Transcript
d6iQrh2TK98 • Why is this number everywhere?
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Kind: captions Language: en let me show you something unbelievable name a random number between 1 and 100 uh 61 okay that's pretty random just name a random number from 1 to 100 random 43 43 thank you so much 56 7 I want the most random number between 1 and 100 like totally random 11 37 79 79 thank you so much 91 7 three 37 37 why 37 I it's first first number that came from online 44 27 37 72 4 13 7 37 really s n m see 13 7 37 37 73 uh 37 35 37 37 no away 43 2 37 I knew you were going to do it we just 37 and walked away between 1 and 100 all no offense okay 37 oh perfect thank you so much 83 37 37 97 55 37 37 and I shake your hand I love the thought you're putting into this 37 no you are kidding me are you real yeah what did we ask you this already no random number between 1 to 100 37 37 oh my gosh yes name a random number between 1 and 100 uh 37 are you kidding me why um it's a good number I guess any number where did that come from uh imagination I suppose so what's going on well people are actually really bad at selecting things randomly in fact when asked to pick a color and a number people reliably select blue and seven the most across dozens of different cultures psychologists have a name for this pattern the blue seven phenomenon and when picking a random number between 1 and 100 it has long been suggested that the equivalent of the blue 7 phenomenon is the number 37 my producer Emily and I spoke to hundreds of people to test this Theory the most common answer was seven but maybe that's because people just expected that we'd ask them for numbers between 1 and 10 the most common two-digit number really was 37 much to our surprise so we decided to embark on the biggest investigation ever on the number 7 and it took us to some unexpected places I think 37 is a fascinating number it's just really interesting because it turns up so much how many how many objects are there here in the room with us that have a 37 on them but I'm sure there's more than 1,000 here I built the 37 website in 1994 I started getting email from strangers it's everywhere I'm trying to collect them all we're tireless the tireless cabal of 37 people yeah apparently people choose 37 so reliably that there's even a widespread professional magic trick that relies entirely on getting an audience member to just pick 37 out of thin air it's called the 37 Force going to ask you to think of a number in a moment okay it's a two-digit number it's less than 50 both o numbers are odd but different you could have 19 17 or 15 but not 11 because you see both numbers are the same one and one next to one another are you ready 1 2 and three what number did you think of 37 37 fascinating in the famous Stanford MIT jargon file the origin of hacker slang 37 is given as the random number of choice for computer programmers when groups of people are pulled to pick a random number between 1 and 100 the most commonly chosen number is 37 the thing is no formal polls on this actually exist the best we found was a Reddit poll of 1,300 180 people from 4 years ago and the most popular number was 69 but after that the winning number was 37 but we can do better than a sample size of just a th000 people so we conducted the largest random number survey ever in a community post 3 weeks ago we asked people to pick a random number between 1 and 100 we received 200,000 responses here are the results as they came in it's fascinating to watch how consistent these supposedly random numbers are from 10,000 to 100,000 all the way up to 200,000 respondents the distribution barely changes suggesting that people from all around the world think about random numbers in a particular way and it is decidedly not random ignoring the extremes of the scale because people were PR Ed by the numbers 1 and 100 in the question itself and ignoring 42 and 69 because they're not random there are a few numbers that stand out which we seem to regard as more random than the rest 7 73 77 and 37 then we asked people to pick the number they thought the fewest others would pick the goal was to get rid of favorite or lucky numbers and give truly random selections and here here the results were even clearer again ignoring the very extremes and 50 in the middle the most selected numbers were far in away 73 and 37 which were nearly tied the actual least picked number in the first question was 90 followed by 30 40 70 80 and 60 multiples of 10 apparently don't seem that random the most picked overall numbers ignoring the outliers were 73 and 37 ironically all this evidence points to 37 and its inversion 73 as not being random at all so why does everyone pick them well one argument is that this is just how people perceive Randomness 37 does that feel random to you yeah it does yeah 50 wouldn't be random no it would be too um contrived yeah yeah it's two Central I think people think that even numbers are less random than odd numbers five feels not random nine and one feel too extreme so people tend towards 3 and seven this is backed up by the fact that every one of the top numbers in our survey consisted of Threes And Sevens in fact three and seven were the most selected digits on both questions but there's also a mathematical case for Humanity's number of choice because it's not just odd numbers but specifically primes which feel like the most random numbers no notice how we ignore odds ending in fives or how something like 39 still feels a little less random than 37 primes feel random for at least two reasons first they don't appear as much in our lives mean pixel counts fruit boxes square footage we live in a composite world with multiple Dimensions that multiply together so we just don't see primes much past the single digits second we don't have a formula for primes if you have a prime number and you want to find the next one you have no choice but to check every number until you find a prime the closest thing we have to a formula is the prime number theorem which gives the approximation that the nth prime number occurs around n * natural log of n for example the thousandth prime number should be around 698 and it's close but certainly not exact so primes essentially occur at random but of all the primes 37 has reason to stand out if we were to find the prime factors of every number we would see that two is the smallest prime factor for exactly half of them all of the even numbers and three is the smallest prime factor for a sixth of all numbers anything that's divisible by three but not by two and so on as we pick larger and larger primes they form the smallest prime factor for fewer and fewer integers but what if we track the second smallest prime factor of each number well first we have three which is the second prime factor of a number only when the number is divisible by both 2 and three or divisible by six so 1 16th of all numbers have a second prime factor of three and as we keep going which number will end up at the balancing point this is the median second prime factor of all numbers all numbers from one all the way up to a Google and off to Infinity would you believe that that number is 37 let's take a look at five five is the second prime factor only when a number is divisible by five and three but not two or five and two but not three in the first case a number divisible by 5 and three means it's divisible by 15 so that's 1/5th of all numbers but it also can't be divisible by two so half of 1/5th is a 30th of all numbers in the second case a number to divisible by 5 and 2 means it's divisible by 10 but it cannot be divisible by three so we're left with 1/10th * 2/3 equals 115 of all numbers adding up these two cases we get that 1/10th of all numbers have five as their second prime factor and we can repeat this for the next Prime Seven just take each of these cases and add them up to get that 15th of all integers have a second prime factor of seven and so on keep keeping a running total we quickly approach a balancing point for the second prime factor across all integers and then we reach it so the median second prime factor of all numbers is 37 half of numbers have a second prime factor of 37 or less there are other remarkable qualities about 37 as a prime it's an irregular prime a Cuban prime a lucky prime a sexy prime a permutable prime a padan prime and at this point mathematicians might just be making up types of primes 37's identity as a prime number is so strong that the same day I first learned the number 37 I learned it was Prime this was one of my first books as a toddler it teaches you every number from 1 to 100 with a short story or fun fact for each so for 26 that's how many letters in the alphabet or for 30 they give the days of September or for 52 that's how many cards are in a deck except 37 it's a prime number nothing goes into it someday you'll understand I did not like that I understood every other number so I also wanted to understand 37 so that number has nagged me ever since and now this video is being made some 20 years later not convinced yet if you take a number that is a multiple of 37 already like 1369 that's 37 squ and then you reverse it and then you stick a z in between every digit then that number is a multiple of 37 and I literally spent the next month on the bus trying to prove that fact which I finally did just rattle off a six-digit number tell me any six-digit number uh 25 it's not it's not divisible by 37 so how did I figure that out um there's a there's a trick for that is this your like party trick that you can bring out surprisingly it doesn't impress as many people as you would think I think it should impress everybody but there's also a practical reason 37 is an important number for Humanity say you're faced with a choice that is both immediate and final like whether to rent the apartment you've just toured or whether to accept a job offer you received or it can be as small as whether to stop the next gas station on a road trip these are all problems where you can't assess all the options at once and then decide with each option you encounter you need to decide whether to accept it or reject it forever and see what comes next in these scenarios it feels impossible to make the best choice if you select too early you'll probably never even see the best option but if you select too late well then you've probably rejected the best option already so your best bet is somewhere in the middle there you know at least some information from the options you've seen and you have some choice to select or pass but how do you know exactly when to decide the optimal strategy looks like this first you need to see some options and reject them automatically just to learn what's out there and then at a certain stopping point s you need to stop rejecting them and start evaluating whether an option is the best you've seen so far if it is then select it but when should that stopping point be we need to work out which stopping point maximizes our chances of picking the best option we can calculate calculate these chances for each spot find the probability that the best option is located there times the probability we get there from stopping point s then add these probabilities up across every spot now the chance of the best option being in any spot is just random if there are n options in total it's 1 over n but it's a little harder to find the chances of getting to each spot say the best option is in the next spot after s s+1 what are the chances we get there well since this is the next spot over from the stopping point we have 100% chance of getting there so we're guaranteed to visit it and select it but if the true best option is in spot s+2 well there's a small chance we'll miss it if the best of all the previous options is sitting in spot s+1 we would just pick that and stop looking before reaching s+2 there's a one in s+1 chance of this happening so the chances we do get to spot s plus2 to pick the true best option is 1 minus that or S over s+1 this same calculation continues up until the last spot n we only get here if we've been passing on every option so far which means that one of the first s options must have been the best of the total n minus1 options we've seen in total this gives us the expression 1 / n * 1 + S / s + + 1+ s/ S + 2 and so on all the way up to s/ nus1 factoring out the S the sum inside the parentheses approximates the function 1 /x going from s to n taking that integral we get the natural log of n / s so the probability we select the best option is s/ n * the natural log of n / s to maximize this probability we can find the peak of this function by setting its derivative to zero and this gives the natural log of s/ n = -1 so s/ n = 1 over e or about 37% so explore and reject 37% of options just to get a sense of what's out there and then pick the first option to come along that's better than all of the ones you've seen so far and your chances of success using this method are also 37% this math question is known as the secretary problem or the marriage problem as it also applies to hiring the best employees or even deciding on the best life partner now it can be impractical to check 37% of the options because you don't always know how many candidates are out there but the 37% rule also works for time so if you want to get married say in 10 years then spend the first 3.7 years seeing what's out there and then select the next person who's better than anyone you've seen so 37 is actually important to our lives and people seem to subconsciously recognize this we gravitate towards the number [Music] everywhere 37 seconds 37 years 37 patties I was 37 37 cubic feet 37 37 how many enemies do you have 37 37 37% 37 37 37 hours destroyed 37 restaurants 37 I'm 37 37 interlocking bronze gears page 37 37 years old 37 prototypes 37% this collection of images everything you're seeing on screen has been collected by one man over the course of his life and you already know who it is it's just fun right the whole thing is just fun how many how many objects are there here in the room with us that have a 37 on them uh this is probably on the order of uh four digits I'd say um there's probably not 10,000 but I'm sure there's more than 1,000 here neutr grain uh granola bars 37 G it's a 37 in yard stick it's just some political cartoon about sports but there's no reason that guy had to have jersey number 37 a nail that I found somewhere that has 37 on the head I don't even know what that means one time my mom gave me $37 for my birthday they all have 37 in the serial number was your 37th birthday like the greatest birthday ever I had a big party and I invited everybody I knew the Texas state lottery was $37 million I had two different friends who both gave me 37 lottery tickets I didn't win I won five bucks this is an article from when they found the 37th meren Prime it's just clipping after clipping how many how many hundreds of these do you want me to go through I must have gotten that in Germany but I don't know but I don't remember what it was was it like a Locker number I wouldn't steal a Locker number I've never stolen for 37 look at that stolen from the highway when I was on a road trip I say you've never me I have committed a crime yes there was a a bookstore on campus when I was in undergrad at at KU and there were 37 steps in that staircase useful facts these are useful facts do you feel like everyone gets 37 this much in their lives or do you feel like you're just attracting it that's a good question you know the reason I started was because it seemed like it turned up a lot I started back in the 80s there was a comedy routine by Charles Fleer and he went through this sort of Lany of coincidences about the number 37 like there are 37 holes in the speaker part of a telephone Shakespeare wrote 37 plays there's 37 movements in Beethoven's nine Symphonies there are all these amazing coincidences that he rattled off I was amazed and I've been collecting them ever since since like 1981 uh yeah so 43 43 years probably I built the 37 website for the first time in 1994 I don't know how the website got out there but it but somehow it got out there uh I started getting email from strangers I've got maybe a half a dozen people from around the world who every week or month will post um their latest batch of 37s that they've seen out and about and they've been doing this for how long 18 years wow we're tireless the tireless cabal of 37 people yeah do you have anything to say to anyone who might be like 37 that's just a base 10 representation of that number I am also interested the number 37 in all of its various other forms Roman numerals binary numbers one01 01 by the way um numbers in any other base yeah 25 uh in heximal 4 five in octal and do you think you're going to keep looking for a 37 and collecting 37 for your whole life yeah yeah I can't see any reason to stop yeah for sure so maybe there's even something innately universally special about this [Music] number we can argue special coincidences for many numbers but we need to finally address the elephant in the room the sheer amount of brain power 37 secretly takes up in our Collective Minds it's Humanity's go-to random number one of our most prominent prime numbers and most of all our ideal number for making decisions maybe that's why we're inclined to it naturally it feels right to us as where to settle and what to pick though with this we may have ruined Randomness even further I mean the next time anyone asks people to pick a random number between 1 and 100 more people than ever might be saying 37 it's been the story of my life that I intend to take everything that I have here and turn them all into individual facts on that website uh but the website's been there untouched for 27 years and it hasn't happened it doesn't look like it's ever going to happen maybe on the 37th anniversary you can get it all done that's a good idea that's a good idea I because I have time to do it between now and then uh and that would be that would be that's that's a great idea once our video comes out do you want people to write you with any instances they see of 37 you might get swamped for a little bit 37 is out there it's everywhere I'm trying to collect them all bring it yes bring it our intuition is one of the most powerful tools we have and the number 37 is just one example of the Unseen patterns in our minds luckily there's a way to supercharge your intuition giving you the skills to see beyond the everyday and uncover Hidden Truths about our world and you can get started right now for free with this video sponsor brilliant brilliant gets you handson with Concepts in everything from math and data science to programming and Technology to help sharpen your thinking and build your problem solving skills on brilliant you'll learn by doing so even abstract Concepts just click Plus you'll be able to take what you learn 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