Transcript
dvk2PQNcg8w • Post-Truth: Why Facts Don't Matter Anymore
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Kind: captions Language: en this is the challenge of a YouTuber which is uh you know pushing that record button and actually filming something because you never know are people going to hate it or you know is it good enough uh have you thought through what you're going to say I have not thought through what I'm going to say okay so um I want to talk about the question of why is it that right now when it is really easy to get access to facts and information where you can just pull up your phone and look up anything the world why is it now that we have the most access to facts do facts mean the least this is what I want to know why does fake news spread now why are we more polarized now than ever before and what I have to kind of admit to you is that I was a real Optimist maybe I was naive about the internet but my thinking about having an International Communication System whereby anyone anywhere can share anything and anyone anywhere regardless of say their education background or their class standing can get access to real information through Wikipedia okay my thinking was the internet was going to make everyone happier and more informed more educated uh and and probably more tolerant of others around them and the reason why I think that the internet should make people more tolerant is because it should expose people to people who are not like them right I mean is this is this crazy my thinking is that like as we have a platform to communicate with each other people in diverse places people with different interests from us uh and we all have the ability to sort of debate and agree upon what is true we all would become more accepting of the facts maybe I'm ranting on about this too much is this too much okay so we can edit we can edit so I guess the point is in summary I thought that the um I thought that the internet would make the world more connected more tolerant more educated and more true like more agreed upon the facts and the way things are and for a while I think there were signs that this was happening there was the Arab Spring where you know people in countries that had been kind of dictatorships or people who had been oppressed were rising up there was the approval of gay marriage in a number of countries there were agreed upon uh climate agreements uh that seemed to suggest the whole International Community was coming together there are things like my YouTube channel where there can be four million people who can watch or subscribe to a channel that's about information and about learning new things about the universe right the whole rise of smart content on YouTube I took as an indication that things were going in the right direction that here we can get communities together uh who are all interested in the same sort of in the same quite high level phenomena you know the same like if if I made a TV show I could never convince anyone to uh make an episode about interpretations of quantum mechanics I could never convince someone to make a video about pilot wave theory and go in as much depth as I went into in my videos but on the internet you can find that audience because you can aggregate across the whole world so little niche audiences across every country can all come together and say you know we want to learn this and we uh can support this sort of Enterprise are you guys in agreement okay now here's the problem what I didn't think about was that other communities can form communities where people have particular agendas ideological or religious or you know people with extreme biases normally they are not much of a force to reckon with because they are dilute in our populations but on the internet just like the people who love physics people who hate science or uh people with with differing ideologies and people who are intolerant can each other and they can come together into these camps so I think that starts to suggest why we have the problem that we have today and then what do people do once they've found their communities once they found their people well we have meetups but we also we share things with each other online and you can think about some communities that are really innocuous like the communities of people who are cat lovers who love sharing like pictures of kittens and then someone gets the idea to write like a really cute phrase like I can has cheeseburger on a picture of a kitten and then that little image tickles our brains in a way that is really strong and really incredible and then that spreads throughout the internet and what you have in essence is kind of evolution taking place an evolution of ideas on the internet and so I guess what I mean is you know one person can post this picture of a cat and then people can vary the phrases that are on it and the the best phrase is going to win out and get itself replicated and shared across the web more than any other and the same thing happens with ideological arguments right if if there's some sort of debate that's happening on the internet different versions of arguments can pop up and when you think about two groups on the internet debating they're not really debating each other each Community creates what they think the opponent's argument is and then people within that Community can tweak that argument to make it worse and worse and worse to make it the the most most awful version of itself that pushes our buttons and when it pushes our buttons then we share it with everyone we know and we say look at what the other side is talking about look at how how awful it is and and we keep evolving the ideas to make them really really bad those are the ones that that get shared and spread just like in evolution we are evolving arguments to make them the worst form of themselves and then to make the the push back you know even worse and that I think is leading to this polarization and what's worse the internet is organized by algorithms algorithms that are designed to take the things that are most engaged with most that that most push our buttons that get us going and get us sharing and liking or hating and they promote those even further and this I think is where something like fake news comes in how is it possible that during the last election cycle in the US more fake news was spread and shared than real news that is extraordinary and I think it happens Because the Internet allows groups of people to come together who have really particular views it allows them to share things with each other even sharing what they think the opponent's argument is tweaking it ever so slightly doing all of these little mutations little alterations and finding the ones that push our buttons the most and then those are the ones that get shared those are the ones that get liked and hated and everything and those are the ones the algorithm elevates to the very top so rather the rather than the internet bringing us together rather than us converging around the facts instead the internet allows us to divide ourselves into factions and to have this crazy evolution of arguments which is facilitated by the algorithms pushing us ever further apart and that is the the the best that I've been able to reason about why we now care less about facts than we ever did before because deep down each one of us is based on confirmation bias we naturally go out into our world and we seek things that agree with what we think rather than looking for things that disagree with what we think that's an innate human trait as you can see in my video can you solve this so it's upsetting and uh I think we need to find a way to overcome this Division and find a way to uh agree again on what is truth and what is not thank you [Applause] all right all right so uh questions anyone want to question or comment we have a gentleman down the front yes um you know that term has a word cyber balcon I learned it from Visa it's very useful term say it again cyber vulcanization balcon isation balcon isation yeah sort of the SPL the splinternet you know everything sort of the splinternet I love it cyber balkanization I don't know what balkanization is well I guess it has to do the political situation in the Balkans at some oh cyber balkanization yeah I don't know if you heard youber name CP but he has this idea yeah shout out to cgp Gray's video here he has this idea that you should um try you should think of your opinions like papers in a box and if you find another opinion that is better than the opinion that you have in the Box you should Swit switches out you should not believe us you are not your opinions your opinions are just like stuff you car with you and that should be easily changed it's a very good point I also I should cite cgp Gray's video about the evolution of ideas because I was strongly influenced by that video I think it's one of his his best and most important videos yes um so we have this mechanics that evolves strong IDs that polarize people do you think there's a way to utilize this mechan mechanic to make the internet better to bring us all together to not being pushed around but it by utilizing to better stuff right I mean I personally think that the mechanics that's brought us here to division is not in its current form going to lead us to convergence so I think something has to change about the mechanics and if I think about one of these options right who was uh saying about the ideas that being the paper and you should really swap them out that's a very sophisticated mature idea right it's a very sophisticated and mature to think that we can have our beliefs set down and then when they get challenged we can think about them and and swap them out for new ones that's not something that humans like to do it's hard it's hard I was um recently in the Netherlands and the guy who was driving this van we were going around shooting a TV series guy who was driving the van talked to me about electric cars and he was saying to me Derek you know that even if you get like a low emissions or a zero emissions car an electric car half of the emissions of any vehicle come from the production of the vehicle in the first place so really if you think you're cutting down a lot of the emissions of your vehicle by getting an electric car which full disclosure I do have uh he's saying you're you're not really you know dramatically decreasing the emissions because still half the emissions happen when the car was made so a better strategy than buying all electric cars would be to not buy any cars at all and just keep driving your cars a few years longer because that's going to save a lot more because you know a lot of the Wast is up front and I did not believe him I was like that is crazy half the emissions half like I know it's hard to make a car but half the emissions and you think it's going to drive for you know hundreds hundreds of thousands of kilometers and I went and I looked it up and it was true and I take his piece of paper and I swap it in and I move mine out but I think it's a really hard thing to do and it's something that like I felt repulsed by like I didn't want to swap my piece of paper out that's why I think I don't know that that can be the solution wholesale cuz we can't just say to everyone hang on a lot of you have beliefs that are not true can we just swap some paper out with you they'll say no that's my paper um so I was going to say to me the thing that needs to change I would say is some of the systems and particularly the algor algorithms because I think Facebook and I think they are looking at this now needs to figure out a way not to elevate fake news but to let it languish and promote real news they have a responsibility because they are cating the feeds of a billion people around the world they have the responsibility to make sure those feeds are not misleading and that is something that they were um bad about doing in the last uh last election yeah if you're uh determined to find the real news you go out on a marathon of research and usually you dig deeper and deeper past the sort of junk that's being catered to us by the algorithms but what you're essentially proposing is some sort of AE detector to be implemented in algorithms that's kind of hard to do right unless it's manually altered by companies like Facebook I I don't think you can manually alter the algorithm I I think you have to find a way and I think the algorithms can be made I think it's a big challenge I agree with you but I think there's a way to do it I mean if you look at Google search results there's constantly people trying to game what Google's doing but you don't end up with fake news sites at the top you don't end up with Spam sites coming up top in the Google search results that's because they battled and batt ATT and battled to find these signals that that separate what's a valuable site what's a site that people appreciate and and seems to be linked into a whole bunch of other sites which are all part of a factual web right and I think that similarly Facebook needs to do something like that where in essence they look for signals of truth I agree very hard and it's going to be a constant battle but I think you need to look for the signal of Truth rather than just the signal of what pushes people's buttons yeah I really liked your point by space because I feel like if you look back at like the Stone Age if you had a weird opinion and you were in your little tribe either you convinced everyone or you changed your mind right so you know Facebook is kind of like our tribe right so some people use Facebook as more like oh these are my acquaintances but a lot of people use it like these are my close friends and if a close friend says something weird about about something on Facebook you comment right you have a discussion and you know you don't say no you're wrong I'm not going to talk to you anymore right right because he's your friend so either you change your mind or you convince the other person right but if you go on like Reddit you're not going to convince like 10 million billion people so uh yeah I don't know maybe like if you have ever like tried the controversial tab on Reddit that's usually where some of the most interesting discussions are but yeah sometimes it's not so and uh I think this brings me to one of my kind of points that I think is a little bit counterintuitive and it's a point that's difficult for me to think about I I'm still not settled on this idea but I wonder if sometimes that arguing just makes things worse you know and as someone who makes science films I wonder like if I go out and make a film about something that's controversial I don't know if maybe I'm just making it worse and so I I think we all have to think about that really carefully before we engage in discussions which is is there a chance by making these points which you think are really clear and really get at the truth is it possible that you were just causing the other um side to be more deeply entrenched their beliefs in the first place down here y do you think that adapting algorithms to like identify true statements can have some issues with like separating true or like uncontroversial statements from controversial that um what's uncontroversial will more likely seem true simply yeah I get you there I as I say I don't know the solution I think it is hard but I do think we have to figure it out I think think that there are places on the web that have a good record of Truth Wikipedia for example for all of its ability to be edited is still more likely than not to be true so I think there's all these places that do signal true things I think you know CNN is more likely to be true than Breitbart News so I mean there has got to be some signal in the noise some way to trace back references and things right some of the things we talked about were um some of the things we talked about were manual intervention or or deeply searching right going back and looking at all these different sources that's something that most humans don't do and won't do and can't do don't have the time to do that's why I'm saying a machine can look at references a machine can look at uh signals that spread you know and and they can do that very rapidly so you want to find out who are these people do they have a record of you know false are they actually accredited are they at a university there's there's a variety of things that you can do to see whether things have have a Tru signal or not I don't think it's easy but I I think it's possible yes there are traditional news Medias that may uh uh present the news or these articles fake or not to the public don't you think they sort of have part of the uh blame because they fact checked those fake articles when the results already were in like all these statements were said and then when the results were in say in the last election they just went oh wait uh these statements were they true oh wait they weren't but too late to alter the results from false statements yeah but I think there was a lot of live factchecking but it didn't seem to do anything like people didn't seem to care about facts and that deep down is the is the real question I want to get the answer to which is like why don't people seem to care what's true and I guess maybe rather than putting it that way there were different camps which each had their own narratives and their own things that they believed was true and that was different from the other side and so figuring out what true was was was really hard especially if you were completely in one Camp I mean M there were there were fake things around on both sides yep