The Fatal Flaw in Elon’s Plan for America | Tom Bilyeu Show
qLm5cyMf6eQ • 2025-07-08
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Kind: captions Language: en Elon launches the America Party. The Epstein files finally released, but move along. There's nothing to see. Protests erupted in Mexico City over American immigrants ruining Mexico. I kid you not. BBC employees sign a letter saying they were forced to do propaganda for Israel. Massive flooding in Texas leaves more than 100 dead. 96% of AIs threatened to do something terrifying if you unplug them. You're not going to want to miss this one. And Philadelphia has been turned into a PvP server. The Big Beautiful bill passed over the weekend. Uh Trump signed it on July 4th and as Elon promised, the American party was started the next day. All right. So, when the Big Beautiful bill was signed, I realized, and I'm not kidding at all, uh America is going to go bankrupt. That that was like a breaking point for me where I was like, whoa, like this is actually going to happen. Uh, I will continue to write deep dives and talk about this topic endlessly, but at some point I realize I'm only speaking to individuals who can protect themselves. I mean, obviously, I hope that enough people do something that makes sense for themselves, uh, that it ends up having a ripple in terms of how people think about government spending, how they think about fiscal responsibility, how they think about money printing, how they think about debt. Um, but I no longer think that there is a party to elect that won't print money. Um, I mean, we'll see. I think you're way more optimistic about the American party than I am. I think that it is inevitably going to be a spoiler party that will right now it will be most closely aligned with the Republican party, so it'll put the kibos on them. Um, but I think ultimately on a long enough run, if you have a third party that is as wellunded as Elon Musk could make it, you are whatever party is closest to the America party will be the one that gets their vote split. I think a lot of people at this point are politically homeless and I think that there are a lot of non-magga fiscally conservative Republicans and I think on the left side there's a lot of I don't want socialist communist in America Democrats. And I think over the years those people have had to kind of bite the bullet. Lesser of two evils voted for candidates they weren't really excited about. So in my take I think that 10 15 20% of Democratic parties uh loses and goes into the American party. I think 10 to 20% of the Republicans kind of go and instead of it being a 48 49 that we seen for the last few elections it becomes more a race to 37 a race to 40 type thing. Um and it kind of spreads that. So, I'm more optimistic that this third party would actually help the politically homeless who want to have a nononsense if you could do whatever you want to do. I just don't want to federally pay for it. I want to have a balanced budget. I want to make sure that we're the money that we do spend in government is going toward education programs and certain things like that versus senators and uh House representatives that's been there for 40 years. So, I think there is a silver lining in all this. I don't know if Elon's the guy to do it, but I voted third party last election. I am team third party. I think that's the one missing component in politics that we actually need in America. All right. Um I'm going to plant my flag strong so I can see over time if I end up being correct. I you know me. I'm not afraid to be wrong. But I really feel strongly right now that it's going to play out exactly as history dictates that it will play out. You're in a populist moment. We are at the extremes. Not because there's no other party, but because people are mad. They are emotional. uh until they are not mad, until there is a thriving middle class, until they do not have a vision of uh their country as this terrible horrible place, until they um and whether they think it's terrible, horrible because communists and socialists are trying to run away with it or they think it's terrible and horrible because it's a right-wing uh asane asylum. Like there are so many people right now or because we're on stolen land. Ah, like all of the reasons why people may think that this is a terrible place. Until people think my kids' lives are going to be better than mine, that I'm going to be able to pay off my debt, I'm going to be able to buy a house. Until they believe that, they're going to be in their feels. And as long as they're um in an emotional state, history says that they will vote for a strong man who will slap the other side around. That's what people want want right now. That's what they're going to vote for. And the first people to die in a revolution are the moderates in the middle. And part of the reason is that they're getting attacked from both sides. And part of the reason is they're just not that big of a constituency. So I think that there's like what do they consider in terms of um I know that the split on the vote between in the last election was like less than 2% between people that voted for Kla Harris versus people that voted for Donald Trump. Yeah. Based on the popular vote uh and then I think swing voters are like 7%. So it is it is a small number. So even if 100% of the swing voters go for the America party, that's still not even remotely close enough to do anything other than you have to get the party to go, okay, listen, dear America party, we need you to bring all of your votes to us. And so you will see that you'll see a battle for that middle party to get them to endorse somebody. So it will become that. Uh but I don't think it's it's ever going to become a uh thing where it gets 35 40% of the vote and now oh finally all of us sane people that make up some huge number uh we have a place to go and like you I am politically homeless like you well you actually did vote for RFK. I had a rule that if he wasn't going to be on all of them I knew he was going to lose and I didn't want to do a protest vote because I actually thought uh that maybe we could get some fiscal uh conservatism. We obviously did not get that. Not by a long shot. And some part of me knew. I look I was conflicted in the beginning. I thought maybe just maybe that with all of the Doge talk and all of that that we actually Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. some some meaningful cuts. Um, the more I studied history though, the more I studied the uh, modern monetary theory and the way that the big debt cycle goes, the more I realized, oh, I'm not sure if you could elect anybody at this point that would not print because you have to fundamentally change the system. Now, maybe Elon sees it well enough to understand the Fed has to go. He certainly pays attention to Rand Paul. I think he's acknowledged Ron Paul in the past uh who were I don't know if Rand Paul has said it but Ron Paul certainly has said you just have to abolish the Fed. So in fact he wrote a book literally with that title. Um so we'll see. But the half the country absolutely despises Elon Musk. So he's probably not your guy anyway. Yeah. So because of the populist moment that we're in right now, you think regardless American party, if Elon and John Stewart and all the celebrities and people that we use to offset our political leanings to, if they even if they got together and somehow somehow came with a coalition of people, it's just not the right moment for this party, you think, or is it just It's not the right moment for the party for sure. uh and those people will never come together anymore than Elon and Trump did and they will uh end up shattering into a bunch of other little parties and so there there is a reason that these things like break apart there as much as I do not like the political outcomes that we're seeing right now I don't know that having a bunch of parties is the answer now again this is not the thing that I've gone super deep on but every week I go a little bit deeper and a little bit deeper and every week I'm like huh My original intuition seems like it's going to play out. I know we have a clip from Ron DeSantis. Let's play the clip from Ronda Santis and I'll give you more on that. When you do another party, especially if you're running on some of the issues that he talks about, you know, that would end up if he funds Senate candidates and House candidates and competitive races, that would likely end up meaning the Democrats would win all the competitive Senate and House races. And so, look, I'm a Republican. You know, I don't want to see that happen. Uh, I think if you wanna um, you know, get get involved and hold accountable, you know, we do have a problem in the Republican party with these con DC congressmen, they always run saying there's out of control spending and they're going to spend less and they never do it. The reason that neither party is ever going to stop printing is as we've talked about in the deep dive, the modern monetary theory, you actually, and that is the system we have, you actually must, as a matter of physics, print more money to pay the interest on your debt. So there is no way to not print more money. Now, if you're going to print more money, you have to have a reason to print money. And right now, the deficit is the reason. And because you're in a populist moment, all of the voters on every side are like, I want to get my piece of the pie. They have a an emotional intuitive sort of vibe about the American dream is dead. They're not going to be able to articulate why. They're just going to say everything's too expensive. And because they can't get into a house, because they're buried under debt, they just want somebody to come in and make sure that they get a piece of the pie, whatever the pie is. And like when you feel like you're fighting for your survival, it's like give me my stuff. I don't care what happens to other people. Just get me mine. And so when you elect somebody whose job is to get you yours, then all of a sudden, yeah, it's like I don't care that we're going to spend money. They don't understand that America actually will go broke. And I'm going to say within the next 10 years. Um so like that feels now self-evident. Obviously, I hold out in the most deep recesses of my soul, I hold out hope that we will change course. But if we don't change course, America will go bankrupt. That that's it's math. You think that Trump's got if he um he himself has three and a half more years. So now you're you know talking what six and a half years left. Uh if he passes the baton to anybody as far as I can tell, Democrat, Republican, won't matter. Uh rep I think your only chance your only chance is to get a Republican who is fiscally conservative and that's not gonna happen. Uh so I I don't I don't think there's anybody to pass the torch to. So now you're just like the only thing that will get us to change course is pain and suffering. Yeah. I like that Dantis took a constitutional approach. Let's keep listening. Honestly, if you're concerned about the debt, I wouldn't even worry about that because I don't think just electing a few better people is going to change the trajectory. We need the incentives in Washington uh are going to lead to these outcomes really regardless of the outcome of elections at this point. So, you need to do a balanced budget amendment to the US Constitution. And you can do that through the states. You can do it through article 5. We've got 28 states that have approved this. there's another four or five that are on the docket. Once you hit 34, then you write an amendment and then the states are able to ratify that. You need three quarters. Um, you know, if Elon wanted to weigh in on that and work on those state legislative, term limits and having a balanced budget uh amendment into the constitution. Yep. I like that this is a constitutional approach, something that we don't talk about enough. We always want to legislate it, come up with a new policy, print more money, where the founding fathers kind of gave us these backdoor ways in the original document that we should be utilizing a little bit more. Yeah. Watching this clip one, you can feel he's groping for this is a structural problem. We need to solve this structurally. uh I don't I doubt very much that he understands economics well enough to understand what the real root problem is but at least his solution will start marching you down that road. Now the problem is because you still have modern monetary theory even if you put in a fiscally balanced budget uh mark my words you would have some other crisis that would allow for more money printing because again if you don't money print you can't pay the interest so you have to money print because there isn't enough money in the world. It's like once you understand how this actually works. I mean I mean that literally if people have not watched my deep dive on this every dollar in circulation is tied to nothing. it came into existence as an interestbearing loan. That means that if there's uh let's just say a trillion dollars, you print a trillion dollars. Okay? Well, you owe a trillion and $50 billion in interest. But in this example, only a trillion dollars exists. So, where do you get the 50 billion? You have to print again. And that's exactly what we've been doing. That that isn't a uh it's not speculative fiction. That's actually what we've done. So every dollar that we've created since 1913 when we created the uh Federal Reserve Act or we created the Federal Reserve with the Federal Reserve Act um we have been printing money into existence is not backed by anything like it used to be. Uh it's just fiat. So uh every dollar that comes into existence you owe some percentage on in the neighborhood of 5% and the only way to pay that is to print more money. It's absolutely absurd. is the system. And I know right now if people are encountering that idea for the first time, they're confused. They don't even understand what I'm saying because they cannot comprehend that money comes into existence as an interestbearing loan. That there is a company, a semi-private company owned by dudes and dudetses who who literally are the only people that get to go, "My product is made up. It's made up." Drew, imagine you're Nike. You don't have to make shoes. You just get to say the shoes exist and you give people like uh a piece of paper that says you own a pair of shoes, but you don't actually own a pair of shoes. Like this is insane. And because I don't have to go source the materials and get somebody to make it, my product just magically exists and people have to pay me interest on it. Oh my god. Like people cannot believe that that's true. That every word I just said is true. Okay. So what what I'm hearing is for every dollar there's a $15 owed back to it automatically. However, if we were balanced budget, fiscally responsible, we collect 4 trillion in taxes theoretically, couldn't we pass a $3.5 trillion budget and then leave that surplus quote unquote to be interest bearing payments or something like that? Because you dude, you made the trillion dollars. Mhm. But you owe a trillion and 50 billion. No matter now, let's say you don't spend any of that trillion, you owe a trillion50 billion, but you only have a trillion. You are always, even if you pay back all of the principal, you still have $50 billion in interest payments. And by the way, if you don't pay all the 50 billion in interest payments as you go, it goes up even more. So, you have to print even more money. And guess what we're doing? We are racking up debts. We're at 36 trillion and climbing. We add like a trillion dollars every 100 days. Insane but true. Uh and your interest payments are going up, which means you have to print more and more money. So what's the real game? The real game is the bankers understand you're never going to be able to pay that money back. But what do they care? It was all free. They made it up out of thin air. So every dollar they get in interest payments is free money for them. In 1913, the 25% of the world's wealth met in secret on Jackal Island and they came up with this plan called the Federal Reserve. And this was the whole game. We'll loan people money that we make up out of thin air. They'll pay us interest. We'll get the interest and then uh we know it blows up at some point, but as long as taxpayers are forced to bail us out and the real economy is still turnurning out money, it will blow up. a bunch of people will get killed in revolution or civil war. It is what it is. We just make sure that it's not us. And as long as it's not us on the other side of this, we get bailed out and we just keep the system going because people do not understand this is how the system works. And so you've already and that's why I'm saying they will make up a if if we balance a budget, I'm being a little flippant when I say this, but it is so directionally correct. If we balance the budget, we will go to war because they need a reason to print the money and to keep the interest rolling in. They need it and they're just going to keep number go up. And uh I don't think I have to I mean go watch the deep dive. I go through all the wars we've had since 1913. It is hysterical. It it it is essentially constant. I forget the exact percentage, but it's something like this is so close to accurate. 86% of the years between the founding of the Federal Reserve and today uh some war that we've been involved in has been taking place. Sheesh. And that justifies the additional printing, the additional interest because bro, it's national emergency. We got to go handle this. And so, uh the only way to meet these deficits is to print money. And now that you have a populist moment, great. because now everybody is demanding for deficit spending and so the deficit just covers it all. But listen, we should balance the budget. And the reason we should balance the budget is because you at least slow the train down. And uh far better for you to slow the train down and hope that you can do something like make AI so um productive that you can grow your way out of this. Because if you can balance the budget and grow your way out through productivity, then and only then would you not have a problem. Because you can print money. I can't believe I'm going to say this. Because you can print money and you won't feel the negative effects. The way that this works, the reason that inflation isn't one for one for every dollar that's printed is right now entrepreneurs are working themselves near to death to innovate. that innovation is secretly driving costs down. Now, you don't know that and you don't feel that. You feel like costs are just going up because for every dollar that an innovative entrepreneur can drive the cost of something down, then the government can inflate the currency, print money, uh to eat up all of that before you notice. M and so when you feel 2% inflation or as from 2020 to 2025 there was sorry 2020 to 2024 there was 25% inflation. Yeah. Uh the reason that when you feel that they've eaten up all of the depressive nature of innovation. So they gobble through all of that and then print more. Sheesh. So it almost feels like it's more than the 25%. It doesn't feel like it. It is way more. If people understood when when you look at the graph, I don't know if you can put your fingers on it fast enough, but there's a graph that shows um I think it's the M2 money supply and it shows like how dramatically in like the last 30 years that we've inflated money. It it is heartbreaking because you realize that they have gobbled up all of the innovation plus God only knows how much more. I mean, it's just absolutely absurd. We'll get back to the show in a moment, but first, let me tell you about something that will change how you work forever. Picture this. You need to create a presentation for the meeting with the seauite tomorrow at 9:00 am. You open Google Drive, hunt through scattered project notes, switch to Gmail, dig through weeks of client updates, jump to calendar, and copy meeting notes from five different calls, switch back to PowerPoint, paste everything in, fix the formatting disasters, reorganize the slides, repeat 100 times. Two hours later, you are mentally drained, and the presentation still looks like garbage. Here's the new way with context AI. You tell context, create a presentation using my notes from Google Drive, updates from Gmail and my upcoming meetings from calendar. That's it. Context pulls everything in. Grabs the right pieces, cleans them up, lays it out, formats it. Done. No jumping between tabs, no manual edits, no version mixups. It just does it. Two giant companies are already using Context because their executives do not waste time on tasks. Sign up for free at context.ai. AI and reclaim your time. And now, let's get back to the show. Okay, we opened the show with it. This Epstein list. Um, people have been waiting for it. We got binders. We got press junkets. We had Pam Bondi saying it was sitting on our desk. I need to know that you guys are all looking at your phones right now. Whatever you're doing, stop. You've got to see this meme. This is too fun. I feel like Elon nailed it perfectly. U, we will release the Epstein list. We will need We just need more time. The Epstein list is on my desk. There is no Epstein list. full clown suit. Um, oh my god. Let's I don't even know where to begin on this one. Let's start with the uh start with the Cash Patel on Benny Johnson on his show saying uh why why somebody would hide the list. This is Cash Patel everybody. Simple because of who's on that list. You don't think that Bill Gates is lobbying Congress night and day to prevent the disclosure of that list? And why is it that the Senate, you know, and good for Senator Blackburn to try to get it out, but then Dick Turban comes over the top and says, "No, we're not going to release the names. I don't care about the list itself, but he released the names, right? What the hell are the House Republicans doing? They have the majority. You can't get the list. You're going to accept Dick Durban's word or whoever that guy is as to who is on that list and who isn't and that it can and can't be released. Put on your big boy pants and let us know who the pedophiles are. We have an election coming up and we need to adjudicate this matter at the polls. God knows the FBI and DOJ aren't going to do anything. But how are you going to That's Cash Patel, the now FBI director. Uh we we need to play Cash Patel's updated language. Don't believe it. Well, I mean, listen, they have a right to their opinion, but as someone who has worked as a public defender, as a prosecutor, who's been in that prison system, who's been in the Metropolitan Detention Center, who's been in segregated housing, um, you know, a suicide when you see one, and that's what that was. He killed himself. You again, you want me to I've I've seen the whole file. He killed himself. I know it's hard work. The so interesting. Listen, I want to make sure everybody understands. I have no idea what happened. I have no idea what's on the list. This is like a full conspiracy corner, but boy oh boy, uh this seems ridiculous to me that um okay, you've got Glain Maxwell in prison for what exactly? If this is just Epste was trafficking people to Epstein himself, uh that there were no other names. um that nobody else is on the list that all of the video footage is just him. Uh the footage that they release, as far as I know, and maybe there's something I haven't seen, but as far as I know, the footage of his cell is literally just the outside of the door. Uh release the moment where people walk in and you see that they're like, "Oh, damn." Like he's dead. Is there a big reaction? Why don't you release that? Uh because if the cameras if the cameras were on inside the cell, which we were told they weren't, but if the cameras were on inside of a cell, then show that footage. If the cameras aren't on inside the cell, um, then you wouldn't know that he was dead until you open that door and look inside. And they're, as far as I know, they have not released that footage. Dude, this is just so wacky. Like, if this is I think it's We're about to play a clip from Putin, who I think actually explains what's really going on here. Uh, but if it isn't that, and this is just bad PR, this is like the most mishandled thing I've ever seen in my life. This is absurd. But here's Putin giving what I think is probably the most likely answer to what's really happening. And this is in Russian, so I'll I'll read it over it. Presidents come and go, but politics does not change. Do you know why? Because the power of bureaucracy is very strong. A person is elected. He comes with some ideas. People come with him with cases, well-dressed, and in dark suits like mine, but not with a red tie, but with a black one or with a dark blue one. And they begin to explain how to do it. And everything immediately changes. You see this happens from one administration to another. It is quite difficult to change something. I say this without any irony. It's not because someone doesn't want to, but because it is difficult. Take Obama for example. He's an advanced man, a man of liberal views. A true Democrat. Before his election, he promised to close Guantanamo. Did he do it? No. Why did he not want to? He really wanted to. I'm sure he wanted to, but it did not work out. He was sincere about it, but it did not work out. Yeah, I think that um this is pure instinct. I have no evidence that nobody else has access to, but my gut is that there are people from uh the highest strata of elite power, politicians on both sides. This would be deeply inconvenient if not outright incriminating for presidents, former presidents. I mean, listen, I don't know that. I don't know that. But when you see that he has a painting of uh Bill Clinton in a dress, when you see Trump with him back in the 80s like laughing and having a good time, dude, it's just I I don't know. Call me suspicious, but it just seems impossible that uh Prince Andrew is the only person that did anything wrong. That just seems very unlikely to me. Uh so yeah, that's uh that's a lot of supposed sex tapes that there were what 10,000 plus sex tapes, hundreds of victims, but all just uh what's his face in Prince Andrew? I don't know, man. That this is so dicey, especially because you had Cash and Bonino going so hard in the paint before they got theoretically allegedly allegedly visited by men in dark suits with black or dark blue ties. He's very specific on that. Uh this this is nuts. Yeah, it's not happening. Nuts. Diddy got off. Epstein list disappeared. We're never getting to the bottom of No, there's no way. There's no way, dude. But are I'm legitimately freaked out that you can actually have something this ridiculously obvious just out in everybody's face and they're like, "Bitch, no, you ain't getting you're not getting it." All right, before we continue, we got to uh give our hearts and thoughts and prayers to Texas. That crazy flash flood that went from zero to 100 really fast. Um the death toll as of right now has surpassed 100 people. A lot of them being kids cuz there was a camp that was camp that uh there was a campground that got like swept up in all this. So yeah, just a really bad weekend, especially July 4th weekend, too. Um summer camp. Like it's the worst worst of the worst. Yeah. And people are trying to politicize this saying that this was a Trump problem. uh that he had defunded the what National Weather Service. I think that's what they were claiming. But they had put out tons of warnings. Um I think the earliest one came out like 19 hours in advance or something and then the other one was 3 hours in advance. Like they were trying to tell people um this is just but in all the time lapse videos and things that we're seeing, it went from, oh, okay, I see something down there to completely taking over devastating area. like it it is effectively instant if you don't see it coming and you're in like the wrong lane and then from side to side being completely covered it's like 2 minutes. So dude, like I'm not even sure the video footage that we're showing right now, I'm not even sure the average person could run from one side of that to the other in two minutes. So it's like if you're caught in the middle and you don't realize it's coming at first, like you're toast. So yeah, literally the time code that is going on right now took place over 40 minutes. Um, and by minute six, uh, the water is already rushing. So, it's tough. It's tough. So, hopefully they they can find some of those kids and it's all gone. But, yeah, lost a lot of kids. So, that was sad. That's brutal. Um, all right. Now, let's take it down to Mexico City where I kid you not, a lot of Mexican residents were up in arms over the weekend. Um, some calling it Antifa and comparing it to the LA riots. I don't know if Antifa has a Mexico City uh, branch branch division. Hey man, the they were looting, they were rioting, they were breaking windows. Um, it looked pretty bad. And this was part of an anti-gentrification protest that happened over this July 4th weekend. It's crazy. So, I guess uh going to different places. And here's the thing, like I I don't know enough about Mexican economics, but I'll assume that they're in the same situation that they are just piling on debt. um that they're borrowing from the IMF or god knows who. I don't know if they have their own central bank. Uh but yeah, I'm going to guess this is debt, money printing. If they're doing the same thing, that's the thing that's making housing prices just race away from them, making everything too expensive. But of course, um people are going to focus on the things that they understand intuitively, which is house price out of reach. People must be stealing from me. uh I've got uh immigrants and let's get the hell out. Now, here's the thing. If you are an American and you're living in Mexico and you are not integrating with Mexican values, you're not learning the Mexican language, what are you doing there? So, I get the animosity. I understand why people are going to be frustrated by that. And if there is some economic knock- on effect, uh like if they're contributing to the housing prices going up, people they're going to understand that one far easier than they're going to understand the economics that are at play. Uh so and any especially if you're importing people that can afford things you can't, that's really going to be a windup. So uh yeah, this is not super surprising, but it's certainly not cool to see them painting Killer Gringo. Um it's interesting from an economic perspective because I think this is the opposite thing that's happening where a lot of times the people who are uh nomads technomads uh it was a rise of techno nomads after the pandemic and remote work happened. So a lot of people went to Mexico City it was cheaper cost of living. I can rent a nice apartment this and that and eventually that can distort the rental market so that way native Mexicans couldn't even afford their background. Yeah. I mean, listen, the lesson hopefully that everybody is learning is that when you just blow open your borders and let people go wherever they want that there it is going to be wildly disruptive, wildly disruptive. And so if you want to protect your values, if you want to protect your economy, you've got to be thoughtful about the physics of that economy. And so whether it's um America sending all the jobs offshore, importing uh immigrant labor and all of the distortionary effects that that's had on our own markets, or whether that is bringing in people that can afford things that you can't afford and now they're driving up the costs and they're pricing you out. It's a very similar complaint about New York. Like New Yorkers that were born in say the 50s are like, I've been priced out of my own hometown. Like this is bananas. Like I've had to push out to the uh more remote burrows and stuff. LA County as well. Same thing. Yeah. So, it's like when it's when it's your city and it's other residents of your state or your nation, not a lot that you can do about it, but it's going to be it's going to make people feel some kind of way when you're bringing people in from outside the country. You're seeing this all across Europe. You're seeing this obviously here in America, and you're apparently seeing it in Mexico. Uh yeah, I'm not surprised. This is yet another reason why I do not love living through a populist moment. Um, it's just so much anger going in so many different directions. So, we've got some more raids happening here in Los Angeles, literally breaking news right now, and this is a it's largely political theater, but it's the same idea of what you see happening in Mexico. You have people that are actually being traumatized by an economic setup. Uh, immigration does play a role. My beef with immigration is very little about um people that have been here for five, ten years doing their thing in LA. uh largely because you're importing people with Catholic values which we can certainly die tribe on but um I am way more worried about assimilation which is why I'm equally like I think it's ridiculous that an American would go to Mexico and not assimilate in Mexico just as I think it's ridiculous if anybody from anywhere in the world comes to America and doesn't assimilate with America like you're going to have a problem. Uh so now you've got the clash of cultures because I think this is largely a question of uh Democrats versus Republicans. This is uh a sanctuary city LA rep by Karen Bass colliding with Trump. And when I look at I mean you said this so well like seeing people on horseback like coming across the park is crazy. Yeah. And this is what she tweeted earlier today again. Yeah. Karen Bass happening right now. This is footage from today in MacArthur Park. Minutes before there were more than 20 kids playing. Then the military comes through. The second I heard about this, I went to the park to speak to the person in charge to tell them it needed to end now. Absolutely outrageous. Um I I I mentioned it earlier. There's like a cameraman running down there and filming it. It just seems like it's This is why Trump can't beat those fascism charges because every time it's like, "Okay, now that's for immigration or okay, that's because of the economy." Like he always has these outs and then you have him marching across seemingly mostly empty park on horseback and armed and militarized. Like who what who are we getting? Who are we going after? What's the target? Figure out why they're walking in these weird like lines. Like is that all them? I can't I don't know who all the people are. So I guess it's entirely possible that some of the people walking in these lines are not actually ICE agents cuz they look like they're trying to comb through the woods to find a dead body. uh they're walking in that kind of formation, but there's literally no one around them. So, uh that seems weird. But then Karen Bass is saying there was a bunch of kids playing here and then somebody was like, "Oh, really?" And they put up footage of uh basically fentanyl addicts like all over the park. And so it's like, listen, th this is not the game we want to play. The parks have become an absolute state. So let's let's stay focused on one issue at a time. Uh, do we want to see Trump rolling through with people on horseback walking in like these really wide single file lines combing through what looks like flat grass like I don't you're acting like there's people hiding in the bushes. It's so weird. Uh, so you had said something earlier that I thought was really insightful, which is that Obama was more effective at deporting people and there wasn't like all the freak out about it. Now, if you're Trump and you know people are going to read me a certain kind of way and you lean into that, at some point you're just chumming for your base that you know as a populist leader your base wants to see you go to these sanctuary cities and metaphorically slap them around and do your horseback marching and roll in some tanks. Like that's what your base wants to see. But if you're actually focused on listen, we've got a lot of criminals We importing criminals was dumb. Got to get them out. Let's start with that. Uh and then next wave is going to be we've got people that are here illegally uh disrupting the job market or just plain illegally. We don't know who's who. We got to like get people out. So if you've been here less than 5 years, whatever, we're coming for you. But he's leaning into the tropes. Yeah. So it just seems unwise from a man in the middle America party. This seems stupid. But from a chum the waters for your base, it's like, okay, yeah, I get it. And this is why I hate a populist moment. To your point, Karen Bass's uh tweet blew up and a lot of people are saying, "Well, sanctuary and they're the illegals. Well, Biden let a million people in. It's your fault." So, we we're we're getting the spin and the framing of the conversation different versus again, if you want to deport people, just deport people. Obama deported everybody. We didn't see one we didn't see any footage of horseback riding. And listen, though, part of that is obviously the media was very much prodemocrat. probably still is if we're being honest, but you get you've got so much independent media. I don't know. I don't get howly about that now. It's like I get it. The mainstream media, which I don't think they come anywhere near independent media in terms of reach. They're going to have a narrative whatever. That's old school. I don't really think about that. Um but in terms of answering my own question about yeah, how was Obama able to do this so quietly? That's going to be part of it. Now, is it all of it? Probably not. I have to imagine somebody would have been squealing from the Republican side. If they were opposed to what he was doing, if they thought that it was bad optically, it would have somehow found its way. Um, so anyway, I think Trump is chumming for his base. Yeah, it it seems that way. Um, and to that, it was back in the kids in cages uh days all those years ago where there were a lot more uh instead of a catch and release, it was more like more catches across the like border and stuff like that. So, um, it's different different policies, different enactments. So, we'll kind of keep looking at and on top of this, Trump just recently, uh, stripped more protected classes of their temporary status. Um, I want to say Honduras just lost theirs and Nicaragua as well. And like last week, he revoked. Um, the Haitians won as well. So, there's now these temporary visas, people who flew in, had visas to come in. Um, yeah, we'll see how the deportations go and what the final numbers would be with the big beautiful bill. he got an extra 90 billion to give to ICE and detention centers and to secure the border wall. So yeah, um even though border crossings are practically zero. Um and he's doing all this with no additional funds. So why do we need additional 90 billion? Who knows? Uh but we we'll we'll keep a close eye on it. These illegal immigrants are going to have a surprise coming through when we go bankrupt and it's not fun to be here anymore. Oh, it's going to be a rude waiting. Everybody's gonna want to leave. We'll see. We'll see. We'll get back to the show in a moment, but first let's talk about what's really destroying businesses in 2025. Death by a thousand small decisions. 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Um, the B 100 members of the BBC staff has signed a letter declaring they're being forced to do PR for Israel. Um, there was a tweet that was downstream of this that also said that there was a CNN uh petition that was similar, but that hasn't been verified as of yet. But, okay. So, we'd have to look into how left-leaning is the BBC. The left is really turned on Israel. And so, I don't know. We'll see how this plays out over time, but man, Israel has done themselves dirty. Dirty like the world is turning against them. That's rough. Yeah. Man, I we all we don't stand for anti-semitism. We don't stand for u hate or prejudice of any kind. I think the Israel PR machine is starting to just get exposed. And I think that this is a social media thing. In the ' 40s, it was okay because nobody could tweet about it. In the 60s and the 80s, they were winning and it was fine. You know, they were they were defending their themselves, so it was fine. October 7th, something happened. We're defending ourselves. We get it. No, no one got it. By October 7th, the world was already like it was a terrorist attack. You can't argue with a terrorist attack. They're never about Do you know how many people were already like on October 8th before Israel had responded in any way, shape or form? There were pro- Hamas protests. I remember there was a girl that actually made a shirt and this was like a Colombia, forgive me if it wasn't Colombia, but it was like Yes. Uh had a shirt with the paraglider on it. I was like, damn. like that is I Israel started losing people at some point and I don't know when it happened but uh boy it happened and the left is just not here for it and your average Jew is getting caught in the crossfire and I would say that it's also going to the right side as well because when we were worried about us fighting in a war a war with uh Iran because of Israel a lot of MAGA split off and said we're America first we're not supposed to be doing this we got to stop helping them so the the days of a blank check to Israel. Seems like they're running out. But I mean, we'll see, man. I listen, I don't know uh all the tactics that Israel has used. But if one of them is a whole lot of money, American politicians like their money, Drew, they like their money. If there's one thing a politician in America is going to do is get paid, is going to get paid. That's it. I've never seen a politician yet. like it it may be that the public is done and the sentiment turns against them and on a long enough timeline like people need to get reelected. So, we'll see. Uh we'll see if they can bury it again. But we just watched the Epstein files vanish like cotton candy and water, Drew. Like, have you ever seen that little uh raccoon that tries to wash off its cotton candy and it disappears? Oh, that's what the Epstein files. In fact, pull that up. Just write uh raccoon tries to wash cotton candy. That that that Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Watch this. This is the FC files, everybody. Where'd it go? Where'd it go? I was just here and now it's gone. So, we'll see. Drew, if there's enough money, man, if there is enough money. So, anyway, again, I don't know. Uh this is not my area of expertise, but I've never seen that meme. That That's a good one. Oh god, that was hilarious. That poor little guy. All right. On July 4th, uh Sam Alman dropped a technical capitalism manifesto. Um interesting take because AI had a bunch of news this weekend. So it just seems that the leader in AI right now having his take throwing his uh hat in the ring. I'm not big on identities, but I'm extremely proud to be American. This is true every day, but especially today. I firmly believe this is the greatest country ever on earth. The American miracle stands alone in world history. I believe in techno capitalism. We should encourage people to make tons of money and then also find ways to widely distribute wealth and share the compounding magic of capitalism. One doesn't work without the other. You cannot raise the floor and not also raise the ceiling for for very long. The world should get richer every year through science and technology, but everyone has to be in the up elevator. I think the government hugely does a worse job than markets and so we need to encourage our cult our culture of innovation and entrepreneurship. I also believe that education is critically important to keep the American edge. I believed this when I was 20, when I was 30, and now I am 40 and still believe it. The Democratic Party seemed reasonably aligned with it when I was 20, losing the plot when I was 30, and completely to now and completely to have moved somewhere else at this point. So now I am politically homeless. But that's fine. I care much much more about being American than any political party. I'd rather hear from candidates about how they are going to make everyone have the stuff billionaires have instead of how they're going to be how they're going to eliminate billionaires. The American experiment has always been messy. I am hopeful for another great 250 years. Happy fourth. Okay. Uh that is a guy that does not understand economics. So he he is a brilliant entrepreneur. Highlight he goes off the rail. Okay. So uh first I want to highlight something. He gets very right. The American miracle stands alone in world history. That is true. And people don't know history well enough to understand how extraordinary what America actually is is. Uh they are convinced that it's going to be better somewhere else. look closely enough at any of those places and you're just gonna find that it it is like the cotton candy in the water. Um I think freedom really is the right answer and I think he totally gets that. Okay. Uh I believe in technoc capitalism. Fantastic. Uh we should encourage people to make tons of money and then find ways to widely distribute wealth. Okay. It does not work like that. So what he's talking about I presume is philanthropy. Now if somebody wants to give away their money that's wonderful but it unfortunately does not create the outcomes that you want. So, when was the last time that philanthropy was just like massive, massive, massive? I bet you can name the names. Like Red Cross, like we're talking about uh No, that's not really philanthropist like people themselves. Rockefeller, um the Bill Gates Foundation. Yeah. Well, that's now. But like when you flash back to the old days, you're going to name all the robber barons. So all the robber barons were just Carnegie Rock. Exactly. And so they were like, "Uhoh, we live in this hyper populous moment. the wealth inequality has become so absurd that the word on everybody's mouth is redistribution of wealth. So he's right. You should encourage people to make as much money as they can. You want to live in a system where people are unchained from the shackles of socialism, communism, uh undo regulatory burden. You want them to be able to build and create. I'm writing a deep dive right now that comes out next Monday about this idea. You have to look at how the guilded age, which was like 1860 to 1890, ending in maybe 1900 if you're going to clock it all the way there. So, 30 to 40 year period there. Uh, and we didn't we didn't have money printing yet. True. So, wasn't because we had a central bank. That doesn't happen till 1913, but we're having it again now. So, how is it possible that we had these two moments where we get this freakish wealth inequality, no middle class, and now the wealthy are like, "Uh-oh, I better start giving my money away." It's almost like the health of your society is determined by are wealthy people able to get wealthy? And are they terrified to be wealthy? If they're able to get wealthy and they're not afraid to be wealthy because other people feel like I could be wealthy, too. Like it used to be that Americans the joke used to be uh all Americans should vote Democratic because you get more tax dollars allocated back to you in the form of entitlements. But they don't because they consider themselves a temporarily embarrassed millionaire. And the reality is that should be the truth that everybody has an opportunity. You have to meet minimum intellectual requirements, blah blah blah. You have to work hard, all of that. But you want people to be able to move up and down. And the problem is it's not true anymore. So it is we went from first in social mobility to 27th. So brutal that moving in the wrong direction. So fascinating that we're paralleling the robber baron era. So they were just gobbling up a very small number of people uh did basically regulatory capture and a very small number of people gobbled up the industrial revolution. So railroads, oil, steel, etc. Now what you have is something different. Now you have money printing assets, financialization and and some innovation with information technology and stuff like that. So okay, cool. Like I get how people are making their money but the problem is in both um moments we eroded the middle class and eroding the middle class is the problem. So then you have to ask how did the middle class get eroded? Different reasons in both times. one crony capitalism, uh, regulatory capture. We gobble up all the industries everybody else can piss off. Now, in this moment, it's printing money. So, if you don't own assets, you're going to get just blown
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