The Deep State is Being Unmasked Here's What’s Really Happening, US AID & RFK | Tom Bilyeu Show
bREpOavvx80 • 2025-02-14
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Kind: captions Language: en Doan covers more crazy spending as Mike Benz drops bombs on Rogan about what that spending is actually for Trump talks about the US controlling Gaza gets the King of Jordan to consider admitting Palestinians Intimates Russia will be keeping some Ukrainian land all while Hamas rejects Trump's Saturday deadline Sam Alman threatens us with a good time saying AI will improve by 300% annually plus RFK gets confirmed 20,000 new JFK files emerge ner a slow day in 2025 Drew not ner a slow day in ner man I'm telling you jumping right into it Mike Benz was on Joe Rogan exposing a deep state that is USA this is just getting darker and darker it's crazy every covert action the CIA does has to be has to be authorized by the president and what's called a presidential finding to take that covert action so if this if the CIA senior leadership or a or just a rogue cell that's not even at the top of leadership but just a a rogue desk a rogue portf portfolio a rogue Network wants to run a covert action in a region but they don't think the president will approve or the president doesn't want to formally sign off on it in case it goes It goes wrong they can walk right over to usaid who can do the exact same thing the CIA does except they can call it discret democracy promotion because it's not technically an intelligence agency so it's not technically covert action so it doesn't require executive branch approval or forn knowledge and they've gotten in trouble on in these cases in some pretty incredible ways crazy so this seems like it's something out of a spy movie like what is going on with us Aid well so what is going on with governments this is where okay I what I'm trying to do and what I hope everybody is trying to do is get a map of how the world actually works and the thing that I found most distress in fascinating however you want to think about it from The Mike Benz on Rogan interview was he really breaks down that we are just moving how the dollars are spent through the system to hide from the American public uh and so tying to my favorite book The Maki of Ellens you really begin to understand man is political animal so governments want to influence other governments where this really gets tricky is when governments in order to influence other governments have to influence their own people and that's what Mike Benz is saying is going on with us Aid is we are funneling uh he had this quote which I think is great when something is too filthy for the CIA give it to usaid and that is terrifying and the reason that that works is you've got the CIA has very specific mandates the CIA has historically gone through these massive scandals and that has caused them to go we need another outlet for this not we need to stop doing it but we need to find another outlet for these dollars and so they SP spin up the US Aid organization and they give it way better sounding name now the funny thing is Aid doesn't stand for actual Aid it stands for something else I forget we should probably look it up otherwise chat's going to go crazy um but it is the same idea as the CIA by another name not exclusively and I'm sure that they also did things that really are positive but uh United States agency for International Development let's put development in quotes so this is where you start cing governments where you're um spending dollars to have influence on foreign countries now the reality is that everybody does this and that's why I'm saying this is how you want to map how the world actually works so is Russia trying to influence the US of course they are is China trying to influence the the US of course they are uh how many countries are trying to do it probably a lot of them but the US is certainly trying to influence other countries and so as I was listening to Mike Ben's talk and I've got all of James Burnham's words echoing in my head about man is political animal the quest for power uh how you um will always have an elite class because the masses are now this is my interpretation you'd probably get the he GBS hearing me say it like this but you um need to give the masses a simplified story that allows you to keep them basically uh calm and moving in the direction that you want them to move in in order to keep the uh country powerful and safe but there is this element of we are just trying to control our populace we are trying to control the world's populace and we are all meaning every country is doing this trying to control it to our advantage now because America is so powerful we are able to do this in ways that other countries are not okay that's piece number one piece number two is that uh this is something Eric Weinstein has been talking about and I believe I quoting him accurately to say it's what he calls the jessip ification of either the world or of America uh do we have that tweet okay here we go ah it is literally the jessip isation uh noun this is him making this up but now the transformation of a previously open free Society by actors within its governing class uh to one in which the electorate cannot be trusted with even a basic outline of what is happening and why via the abuse of need to know or sources and methods privileges okay let me say that in simpler terms Jessup Colonel Jessup is uh a fictional character out of the movie A Few Good Men and in that movie uh Jessup is he they finally break him down on the stand and he admits the thing he says the quiet part out loud and he says the world is such a dangerous place that you need men like me on the wall who are willing to do whatever it takes no matter how dark no matter how Sinister no matter how gruesome that you need men that are willing to do whatever it takes in order to keep America safe and what he's saying is we're getting to that where people are doing really bad and we are hiding it by saying ah this is uh information that needs to be secret that you don't need to know all of this stuff and turning America into that bully on the wall as it were who will do things even to its own people and saying you can't trust these people they're not the experts they're not all the things that we heard uh during Co Miss dis Mal information that's all this is the populace being able to talk uh and looking at it as the second piece of this puzzle it is because we are living in an age where information is traveling at such high velocity and in such massive volume that if Burnham is right and you you just will always have without passing judgment on whether it's right or wrong just you will always have an elite group of people that are going to create that narrative that is designed to keep people quiet essentially moving in the right direction to keep us strong and prosperous then we're suddenly seeing how it works we're suddenly seeing how the sausage is made and what Eric is railing against is stop lying to me as the government stop saying you can't trust me and we're going to live through that Clash right now because there's so many people that have a voice there's now with the government trying to um eradicate this unelected fourth branch of government known as the Deep State um it's all coming up to the surface and so we're now being asked to confront the realities of how the world works and this is where I'm like the third piece of the puzzle is I don't know how this is all going to play out because one the masses are never going to uh avails of all this information so even though it is now increasingly available to them it is not going to be something that they want to Avail themselves of because it's just too much they're just trying to raise a good family they're trying to make ends meet they're trying to love their life it's just it's a lot yeah and so it's always going to create the opportunity for this um opportunity for people to say sit down shut up you don't need to know about this um so that we can control the narrative because they can dangle the the thing of um this is what is necessary to keep us safe so it is this incredibly turbulent moment in human history where we can see it happening we're all talking about it the only way to stop it is top down authoritarian control which certainly Americans I think are going to rebel against massively um but what happens to the world when there isn't a singular narrative that we can all get behind I don't know that's what we're about to find out and so there are just so many things happening right at this moment um and we'll get into this later not the least of which is the disruption that's caused by Ai and so that is going to occupy a lot of people's thoughts so just to really zoom in on two things I for one believe it is true that you do need men on that wall that will keep us safe that the world is red in tooth and Claw and you need look no farther than Russia Ukraine to understand that powerful people will do as they will and the weak will suffer as they must and so if you are weak you will find yourself in horrific positions um but some of the things that the strong men on the wall do are going to make us real squeamish and are going to trigger moral outrage and you need look no further than what's going on in Gaza which is that playing out in real time of Israel saying uh I've had enough I am the strong man on the wall and I'm going to let Hamas get funded so that they will attack and when they do I'll have the excuse that I need to absolutely smash them with a two-ton hammer and we're literally watching it play out um to use my favorite word fractal I won't continue that fractal without giving you a chance to poke on anything that hasn't been clear but um it it's all happening right now like right in front of our eyes and going back to the velocity and volume of information it's just all there you just have to audit it it's interesting too because on one side Mike Benz is unraveling this deeply established I I the term deep state so I'm I'm straying away from it but like there's this historical pattern of how the government is manipulating and moving in these shadows and then to your point we're so we're getting a a glimpse finally into what's going on into the past and what what got us here what's happened the last 100 150 years Etc thousand 200000 2000 I mean but you know the CIA was around 2,000 years ago but no but the same idea was that that's okay James Burnham read the book The Mak of Ellens everybody if you can hear my voice please for the love of God don't read it once read it twice read it three times he James Burnham just lays out the reason it's called the Mak of Ellens is because uh makavelli wrote the book The Prince and I think other things but that that's the one that he's most known for and when people hear his name they think of somebody who was really Sinister he was trying to be the first like political scientist and saying wait man is political animal is knowable the things that they do are predictable and what are those things and he was using I mean the scientific method was so so early so he's a little bit clumsy about it but he was trying to use the scientific method and so he's saying okay all of these things are knowable the way that people act when they're questing for power when they're trying to protect themselves like these are all knowable seeable predictable things so for instance in terms of how predictable and seeable this is uh there have been documents Declassified that the US did the exact same thing with Japan because we wanted to enter World War II but we didn't have a reason and so to get the US on board with with it they were the the government was internally discussing how do we go Japan into attacking us sound familiar from Israel so how do we go Japan into attacking us they do attack us and then we go into the war as if it were just this Noble thing of like oh my God they attacked us can you believe it and now like we have to respond but we goed the response but at the same time it was the Access of Evil and they were doing truly evil and so should we have gotten into the war probably so it's like oh God Once you pull all of this into the daylight it's like Jesus this is hard to look at but the reality is this is knowable this is predictable it's it was first laid out by makavelli himself uh James Burnham has made it accessible to a modern audience and we are watching it play out right now between uh Putin invading Ukraine because he can and saw America as weak and that America America wasn't going to push back but he could see them marching NATO right up to his doorstep and I bet part of it look I am I am reaching inside his mind and I'm not a mind reader but boy does this all feel accurate uh that he's like no I also want historic USSR countries reunited I want to bring it back together and so you've got that blended with you guys are crossing a red line and and I'm going to go for it and then again Israel with freakish parallel to what the US did uh with Japan and it's like that's what's going on with us Aid is the US government is playing uh 90 degree chess and all these shell games of moving dollars through one place to another to confuse the president to confuse the public uh to get like a gazillion little pet projects push across the line government's destabilized etc etc etc but when it comes home to roost you start with the American public or your whatever country your own people people are going to squawk and when you've got a democracy and you have a Bill of Rights that allows for freedom of speech you get this moment do you how do you Rectify that what does a how would you help like our community our audience understand what to do with this information because it seems like it's a wave of information and it helps it hurts us it hits our like inflation is hitting our pockets so we see the downstream effects but after learning this information like what do we do with this it just seems like it's going to be a blip in the news cycle but like should we abolish these National AG intelligence agencies is it a net good is it a net bad like where do you actually land with the impacts and ramifications of these policies and what usaid has been used for okay uh I don't know yet so here's how I interface with the world I spend a lot of time thinking about something and then eventually the opportunity to capitalize on that understanding of how the world Works will present itself so I'll give you an example uh Co hits I have a thousand former employees that grew up in the hood I with my understanding at the time of how the world worked which is still to this day wildly incomplete everybody's is um I think ooh they none of them have savings they're all living paycheck to paycheck they're going to get obliterated uh they're going to lose their jobs and they are literally going to struggle to make ends meet and so I'm like I have to start making Financial content to help them literally that what was in my mind Financial content starts outperforming everything else and I was like huh like I thought I was speaking to people that grew up in the inner cities that didn't understand the basics of money all of the sudden I realize wait money is far more complicated than I thought and I make Financial content for it's been almost five years now just yesterday or the day before I had a call with my um money managers and it was the first time where I was like I understand now enough about how all of this works with inflation and all of that now I'm telling them okay inv invest in this move money here based on all the knowledge that I've been accumulating over the last 5 years now uh that wasn't what I set out to do that wasn't what I would have said would be my ultimate prediction of how that information was going to play out but I formed a worldview that had enough predictive validity that now I feel confident enough I'm still cautious and nobody should look at my portfolio and go oh that must be right um but it it's now playing out in ways that I couldn't have predicted when I first started so that's going to be the same with as I begin to map man as political animal um the easy ways that it shows up I will be far harder to manipulate the next time the government goes for um hey everybody there's a new viral outbreak and we've got to do this or hey everybody for our safety we've got to clamp down on AI whatever like it it allows me to think through their motives let's take Trump I'm extremely excited by what he's doing this all feels right to me but because of everything I know from Burnham and just watching all this stuff play out and you see all these patterns repeat I'm like oh he is man's political animal he's motivated to acquire power to keep power so when he starts saying like oh we're going to control Gaza I'm like that's a red flag for me so despite the fact that I voted for him despite the fact that I'm excited about some of the things that are happening I understand man as political animal I know not to be on his team I know to look at every decision through the lens of what is man as political animal so I don't know how that's going to manifest will it manifest me making financial decisions will it manifest as me making um decisions on where I live like I'll tell you one thing that's been in the back of my mind for a while I do not like how much of my money is tied up in property so this is one of those things that's just been slowly cooking in the back of my mind why because now I'm less mobile so I have way too much wealth tied up in property which is the one thing I can't take with me so if a government Stars acting a fool and I want to change States or God forbid which I do not have any vision of me ever leaving America but having property here if I had to on short notice you just forfeit that essentially um so had I known five years ago what I know now I never would have put so much money in property so that's one of the so this is not me saying oh guys I see everything clearly and just do as I say that I will never be useful to people like that um in fact Mike Benz had a great quote in the um interview with Rogan he said I'm showing you the stars in the sky you have to draw your own constellation so I'm a little bit different than that and what I'm trying to do with this show is say here are the stars that I see and here are the constellations that I'm drawing um I don't know that they're right and I think other people should also talk about what constellations they're drawing uh and then over time that will play out in some useful way that as of today I can't predict yeah it's interesting I'm curious to see how it plays out because there's a new sense of trans transparency being shown to the government and I'm sure that's making a lot of people uncomfortable um I mean it is for sure if you've made money off of it all being hidden yeah for sure like crimes you hid motives like it's not money is a big part of it but there's a lot of other things that's just corruption abuse weight like is there anything other than money and power um I'm religious I think of like morals and I just think of like being a good like there so there's other there's a bunch of that great two different things uh what I'm talking about is on a grand are you opening my mind right now to an obvious element of humanity yes that's not where I was headed I mean at a global scale what people pursue man as political animal pursues those things but man as political animal is not the only way to look at humans which is what you are very rightfully pointing out yes not what I was talking about but excruciating valid we'll get back to the show in a second but first let's talk about something that's on everybody's mind the dollar is not what it used to be the markets are more unstable than ever with way too many variables changing at once and if you're paying attention you know traditional investment strategies might not be enough anymore that's why I want to tell you about today's sponsor American Alternative assets they specialize in helping investors diversify with gold a nice finite inflation resistant physical asset that's preserved wealth for thousands of years now what stands out about American Alternative assets for me is how simple they make it you can transfer or even roll over funds from your existing retirement accounts 401ks or IAS without selling your assets no taxes no penalties if you're ready to explore gold as a part of your investment strategy call 1888 615 8047 or go to tomg getold.com again that's 1888 8047 or just visit tomg getold.com this is a paid advertisement now back to the show well we go from a shady past to a unknown future cuz Sam Alman is actively trying to break it so can can I cheer for your transitions they're getting they're getting better by the day I like these I like I'm trying um so uh Sam Alman released like a updated road map um he is kind of scrapping this whole like pick your model type uh format business like offering and instead just going straight to we're releasing these two models next year and then after that it's going to be kind of unified brand but I think not necessarily how he's releasing his models but what his North Star is and he talked about it in this clip so let's jump into it the progress over the the reent scale is quite amazing our our very first reasoning model um was like a top 1 millionth competitive programmer in the world people thought that was very impressive it's like wow in AI it's you know the millionth best people that do this that's pretty good um we then had a model that got to like uh top 10,000 uh 03 which we talked about publicly in December is the 175th best program competitive programmer in the world I think our internal Benchmark is now around 50 and maybe we'll hit number one by the end of this year so that's like an amazing rate of scale for more compute in this new paradigm and we don't see any signs of that stopping man so he's basically saying they were the 50th best competitive program mer internally and he's aiming to be the number one best competitive program by the end of this year um which is crazy last year they were in the thousands and now they're number one rate of scale like this AI thing is happening it's here yeah th this is a rate of change so elsewhere he said that it was a 300% annual Improvement wow uh so 200% is exponential growth that means that we're Beyond exponential uh this is a rate of change that's going to cause a problem so when and I were prepping for the episode and by the way shout out guys we now go live during our episode prep so join us on Twitch or YouTube um but the rate of change is going to be traumatic trauma is the right word and this is for sure the kind of thing that's going to lead to at a minimum pockets of violence people are going to panic this this is going to get weird now uh I will caveat by saying people are always going to be surprised pris that then I'll put out a short where I'm just hyping AI as an Act of Faith I believe that we will get on the other side of this and it will be wonderful I don't think it makes sense to look at an increase in intelligence and say that's a bad thing we we want that we should pursue it um but the it the rate of change man is just crazy so I will remind everybody of a very important stat Einstein is 2.4 times smarter than a uh so when you have 300% when you go from the um in the span of like three years you go from the millionth best coder to the best competitive coder in the world in three years from a millionth to First dude that that's insane so what that's going to mean for the world is just an an absolute gutting of the jobs so in in coding let's just stick with that um I'll guess in the next five years is probably going to be a lot faster in in fact what am I saying at at 300% rate of growth in two years 90% of people coding now just will not be coding anymore either Sam is wrong about the rate of improvement or 90% of coders will be gone uh so what do you do with that so somebody uh that joined us in the live said uh what do you do when for the last however many years people have been saying go into computer science because that's how you make a phenomenal living parents have push their kids to go into that and now in the next two years 90% of them are going to lose their jobs that's life the this this is what happens and I would like to um say that call this an evolutionary Force Evolution does not care about any generation just doesn't it cares about the long run blindly in that you things are getting better and things will be better on the other side of this but somebody who's let's say uh 40 right now and they've spent their whole life as a coder they got a lot of Life to Live and they're not going to be able to do it as a coder at least not in the current Paradigm now you've heard me talk about this a lot but I think big corporations shatter into a gazillion solopreneur uh companies and so the right response to all this is not to Panic it's to figure out how you leverage it to your advantage like I think about this a lot man I used to think I was having to I had to make all these millions of dollars before I could tell uh the stories that I want to tell um not true in a year two years you will be able to make a certainly a Hollywood scale quality short by yourself one person literally one person uh in 5 years you'll be able to do a Hollywood length uh quality everything one person one person man that that is again a rate of change as I said in the intro if Hollywood is the canary in the coal mine of the rate of change uh that Canary is about to be dead yeah speaking of Hollywood we actually have a producer we have a clip from one of a t reality show producers he's going through it already the American entertainment industry is is dying I struggled about making this post but I think it's time for me to voice what's really happening behind the scenes in Hollywood a lot of people have been asking me well Patrick what's your next project what's your next project and I'll be honest with you I haven't worked since spring of last year and there has been no project since after I wrapped my last show fight to survive and we saw the strikes looming for the writers we thought okay this will be a lot like 07 08 since reality or unscripted television is typically non-union we usually pick up the slack when the unions like the writer guilded and the Actor Guild are doing their negotiations and we expected this to happen last year but it didn't since studios are runed by corporations now as opposed to Executives who used to Champion shows or support creativity or the Artistry behind making television that's just not how it goes anymore it's slashing budgets across the board from what I understand the networks have simply run out of money they all tried to adopt the Netflix streaming platform get rid of advertisers and work on just solely a subscription based model and that just killed revenue streams in short there's no money to make television shows anymore or at least not in the United States we've seen a lot of Outsourcing out of the country there's actually a show that's going to be about San Francisco Asian gangs they filmed it in Cape Town South Africa San Francisco is just 300 miles north of La some people think think this is Revenge from the corporations for workers actually trying to unite and get what they want but no matter what the explanation is there's just simply no work out there and it is crushing entertainment workers they're getting crushed and for context he released this in February 2024 so imagine what he's going to sound like in February 2026 25 27 like no no no by then by then it will just be so self-evident that everybody is making their own stuff uh yeah I'm I am now as the CEO of impact Theory I am now generating uh content by myself just doing uh prompts shooting video on my phone and look it's not good enough yet but whoa when I look at what I can do like really I'm talking like in three minutes you can make a shot where AI is integrated with your real footage and it looks 80% of what you would expect from uh a seamless um piece of like CGI cont now it's only 80% but in 3 minutes like that is it's insane and it is if 300% rate of improvement is to be believed by 27 dude it's just it's game over for Content creation not in fact let me say to another way all of you out there that have ever wanted to make your own stuff and you run into gatekeeper after gatekeeper it all goes away all those Gatekeepers are gone so it will be like Tik Tok or uh Instagram YouTube now where it's anybody can create and so it just becomes a question of how creative are you are you able to capture people's imagination and so uh you have to like it really only gets scary once you start talking about disaggregation of capital and I don't actually think that that is a uh only net positive I think that there are going to be some real downsides to that so the only thing I can't clearly see is will there just be a huge bifurcation where you get Gigantor uh creators like a Mr Beast who do aggregate a ton of capital plus then a gazillion little people who make just you know the the bulk of your feed you can only watch so many Mr be things um that I don't know I don't know if if that top will happen or if it's just going to be um AI itself get so good at generating this that you just set up an account that's all AI generated and it puts out a certain amount of stuff every day uh the algorithms are certainly going to change so they're going to know how to read AI created stuff and um will content be made for AI or for humans that's the real question and I don't know the answer to that yet we'll see yeah I definitely think the market is changing and even now with YouTube kind of becoming a prominent player where we had a stat that actually didn't make it to the show but more people are watching YouTube on their TVs than they are on their phones right now so I think to that point of Netflix kind of killed the NBC network type model and now I feel like the internet is quickly going to kill the streaming market and then AI is going to kill the internet and then before we know it it's going to be some type of new you just open up your phone and it's a app and you press it and you can just pick a genre and that's what you watch or something like that like it's going to get hyper Focus hyper essential specific to you as opposed to like we're all 300 million people going to see The Avengers I don't think we're going to get that as much as we used to I don't think so I think that the future looks something like this um you open up an app and it's a hybrid story and game where you're the main character and maybe it interfaces with your friends at probably will um and you go in there and you're making decisions that have real consequences inside that storygame in a way that is so expansive and is unfolding before your eyes because you no longer have to create assets because the AI can just spin it up and it will do it Based on data that it's getting off of your wearable devices based on your eye tracking so what you're looking at uh which um did you hear the that Instagram is launching that pinch to zoom did we talk about that yet yeah I haven't so this this is absolutely crazy uh they're releasing to uh the public that if you post something and someone does a pinch to zoom on something it will notify you so if somebody pinched to zoom to get a closer look at a woman's ass boom the Creator is going to get notified o people like that one but that's not the real play the real play is somebody Zooms in on your sweater and now I know o I need to make more of those because people are really taking a look at that thing and so um companies are going to use that data but also from this entertainment perspective the AI is going to be able to read what you're looking at what you engage with uh what kinds like what Adventures does it send you on that you are most engaged with and by the way do you like a different style of game in the morning then you like later in the afternoon when do you want to be passive when do you want to be active and it's just all going to be happening in real time now something like that is going to take a while that's outside of that three-year window just because people are gonna have to discover the ways that this stuff works and build all that um but that when I look into like what's the future of entertainment sub 10 years it's that wow it's there's a lot happening there's a lot happening I feel like it's just it's just kind of splitting up but I do think that what you said resonates with me the most is that I'm at least happy that The Gatekeepers are now out the way and I mean they torpedoed it they being forcefully removed at this point from from AI but at the same time the people who do want to create I think they should still be optimistic they should still be hopeful because now it's your idea if you're a really good writer and you want to like create into a book you can do that right now 100% for free and if it hits with people you can publish it to the masses like there's no more I need only Simon and Shuster can let me get a book deal you know what I mean so they're removing that with movies we're removing that with music like so it's just another wave usually there's going to be a time where we remove that with TV shows and we'll be able directly to publish and stuff like that too where this gets interesting is right now you can still create a moe so Mr Beast the only gatekeeper was does YouTube censor his content he could do whatever he wanted but he's now created emote because he can spend so much more on a video because he makes so much every time he launches a video but once there is no like production cost and you just you can create anything that's engaging now you're going to like people will have a viral hit and then they might not be able to get attention again for God knows how long and so that's the part that I worry about like how do people end up having enough stability that they can make a predictable living because humans do not like change and so this kind of rate of change is don't we do with that now though cuz there's a bunch of people who had a really viral Tik Tok where they did that one crazy thing so now they keep trying to do that same crazy thing over and over and it's just kind of stair steps for sure but imagine that um one you've got to be able to take time off to do that and so there's only so many people that are going to be able to do that uh and imagine that you can so so Moe number one do I have the time to learn this to build a Channel all of that uh whereas now you're going to be one guy is going to create I mean let's be really downplaying it one person will create a 100 channels that are all AI generated so it's a workflow of AI and he's just looking for the one that Garners the most views the fastest the algorithms are all going to it doesn't matter how many um followers you have it just matters how people respond to that content uh and so if you can SP spin up effectively infinite number of channels to test content and all that content is being generated based on an algorithm that you yourself write that says okay uh you create a feedback loop uh create a piece of content in this style go over here turn that still into a video uh post that video on this with the copy generated from this Ai and I mean ultimately it'll all be integrated and then watch for which one gets the most views figure out what the pattern is make that piece of content better MH and so now it's like is that fulfilling from a human creativity standpoint so this is where just again I will come back to the rate of change is such that just when you wrap your mind around how something works it doesn't work that way an hour later I mean it's when I think about YouTube uh I've been on YouTube now for eight or nine years and it's changed so much people respond to me like I'm 95 and I've been doing uh YouTube for 50 years I it's really crazy the way people refer to me as an elder Statesman and when I think about how much it's changed in those eight or nine years it was manageable I could feel the changes you reinvent yourself you do something different it it all feels um like you can keep up it [Music] won't man we shall see we shall see heading into international news now Trump sounds like he might be okay with giving up some of Ukraine's land to Russia let's let's get a quote if you see any future in which Ukraine returns to its PR 2014 bers well I I think Pete said today that that's unlikely right it certainly would seem to be unlikely they took a lot of land and uh they fought for that land and they lost a lot of uh they lost a lot of soldiers but it would just seem to me and I'm not I'm not making an opinion on it but I've read a lot on it and a lot of people think that that's unlikely and of course people are going to say this is Trump saying that they should keep it and kind of attribute it to him but break this down for us so one I assume when he says they that he's talking about Russia that Russia fought for it law soldiers so they're not going to give it up all right this is where I'm we we'll see I'm expecting people to try to make this into uh orange man bad and he's saying that you know Russia earned that land or whatever I think here he's putting forward um a behind the scenes look at what it's like negotiating with Russia and Russia is saying look fought for that people died for that and the odds that we're going to give that back are essentially zero and Trump is trying to get to the end of the war so that's my instinct and to be honest watching him because he he cannot help himself from talking so uh there's a great quote I don't know who said this originally but when we speak we cannot help but reveal ourselves and when Trump speaks he gives away so much about what's going on behind the scenes and it is a really fascinating look at Power politics and as somebody who is obsessed with getting an understanding of how the world really works this is how business negotiation works this is obviously how political negotiations work you find your point of Leverage and um you play that point of Leverage to get as much as you can and so if he's back channeling trying to broker this he's saying a lot of this stuff out loud to get people used to the idea that look UK Ukraine is not g to have everything they want he knows that zalinski is listening to this and I know zalinsky said something like whoa whoa whoa no negotiation should be happening without me present good luck with that it's just not going to play out that way uh Trump is in a way more powerful position than zalinski by a country mile and so he's going to do whatever he thinks is in America's best interest whatever he thinks is actually going to end that War uh with or without zalinski and given that Putin could stop the war instantly but zalinski couldn't the the power is with Putin and so you're G to go and you're going to talk to Putin now of course he's going to want to involve zalinsky because if zilinski can't get his people behind this then you could have years of of Frozen conflict where essentially you have an Insurgency coming from the ukrainians and just constant never ending like Gaza uh is um Palestinians and Israel going back and forth you don't want to create that kind of Frozen conflict but nonetheless like you go where the power is and so watching this there's going to be a lot of people that want to look at this through the lens of morality and I get that I get the impulse but this is where this is the law of the Jungle and because we've had 70 years of visible pce in the W behind the scenes a lot of crazy immoral was happening but it felt to the average person like oh this is like a good time peaceful people are acting honorably we lost sight of the fact that this is um I have Hammer I can smash you I will smash you I will take your things uh we forgot that that's what humans are the product of yeah it's interesting um way back when I used to sell uh Vacuums at Sears and I remember like one of my co-works always used to be like you know you can you can pitch them you can get them to like a certain point but if it's like a husband and a wife you got to sell you got to sell it to the wife but persuade the husband or something like that so it kind of feels like that with this Ukraine Russia War where it's like yeah zilinski is a president and he should be in the negotiations but like we carry the pur strings we've been sponsoring this so it's like I'll come and let you know what we decide type thing so that didn't bother me as much that he's negotiating by himself but I think that at this point we all want a resolution to it and with what Trump is doing in other places of the world with these terrorists that we're supposed to break our economy but somehow other countries are caving in I think he's just trying to keep keep that same effort going um so we'll see what happens with zinsky and if he's okay with the deal that they ultimately end up making um but that actually brings me to my next thing because Hamas is not okay with the deal that Trump made in the Middle East and has officially rejected his 12:00 release deadline they were quoted saying the language of threats has no value and only makes things worse so do we think we're GNA see some blowback after this deadline has passed I mean it certainly sounds like it is but that that is a pretty um ahistorical quote the language of threats is precisely uh what people use and if you know that they can back it up then and I mean look uh okay let's say that I'm Hamas I get it if you really believe you are right and you have God on your side uh and you are going to crush anyone that MTS to stop you of course you're you're not going to back down easily but you've just watched I mean I don't know what percentage of the com countries actually turned to Rubble or sorry it's not a country the um the territory the land however you want to think of it um Gaza I don't know what exact percentage it is that's been um turned to Rubble but it's devastating and you now let's say that you make a move and you say uh you we're going to start killing hostages so you broke the ceasefire and we're going to start killing hostages and they have it's like 76 or something like that um everyone you kill you're just incentivizing the far greater powers to come in and just finish the job so again morality goes out the window they will have a cover story uh to say this is why we keep doing it we had a deal they violated the deal America we have your support um and that's going to give them all the cover they need with like the UN and all that cuz if I'm not mistaken America can effectively veto any sanctions that the UN wants to put on um Israel and so this is where I'm like this is essentially their Veiled Threat that you guys are going to make it worse and it's like all they can do at this point is continue insurgencies which they are certainly um they've been weakened tremendously Andor kill all the host ages and so it's like you you have a card cuz people are going to care a lot about getting those hostages back um but if you play that card Jesus man this is what they did for October 7th now when you have a deadline and you don't meet it even if Israel and America are the ones that broke it if you start killing hostages yikes and for context the Palestinians are saying or Hamas is saying that the reason they are going against releasing the hostage is because they're claiming that Israel has broken the ceasefire but I don't know man I'm on like a Paramount kick and maybe I'm watching too many like mayor of kingtown but there was a point where they uh I got it like a month so when I get these subscriptions for a month I'm binging everything so I I done like three shows deep now um so there was a scene in that movie in that show where like the prisoners took over the jail and then there was a point where they're like in negotiations there's military tanks outside but the prisoners was like the message isn't Escape like I'm not trying to leave but you're going to feel what we felt and then they just started killing people everybody's dead so it's one of those things now from hamas's perspective like I mean yeah you could say no to the deadline the hostages are leveraged but there's going to come to a point where it's like it's just going to be death it's just going to be like a body so like I don't know what message they're trying to do you can wag your finger at isra all you want Israel has kissed the ring they got Trump in their pocket you can argue with the uh APAC and their funding uh tactics but Hamas has no leverage it seems like to me we talk about negotiations and strategies a lot it seems like it's just they're looking to just make this a big suicide mission so I'm hoping do going to get that dark but well I think it's already that dark uh and Terror works and so they will use that and that I mean the real thing to watch out for and unfortunately I don't see any restraint on behalf of is is for sure uh we'll see about the us but I don't see any restraint based on long-term consequences uh what I see oh God this is where I hate watching history because this is just going to sound horrible um what I see is a replay of America and the Native Americans and dude that that was truly if you want to hear gruesome just read about the conquest of the American West yo like the nastiest on both sides where uh obviously we were slaughtering Native Americans like wholesale uh and Native Americans were killing um settlers like licky split like some of them the commandes were gnarly gnarly and you read about it and you're just like godamn but still if one power is way the stronger ultimately they just hope go Smash and given how much of Gaza they have already smashed they've shown they're just going to keep going and so when you had America that was sort of oh God I don't know how we feel about this uh you had some play but at least for the next two years not so much so anyway the long-term play is going to be insurgencies if you drive Palestinians into um Jordan into Egypt what do they do do they do they attack internally and go after Jordan and Egypt which is obviously why Jordan and Egypt are so hesitant to bring them in do they find other ways to go after uh Israel do they draw Iran into this cuz let's not forget this still could escalate but this is why the US is trying to weaken Iran so that Iran can't be a player in this whole thing um so yeah this this is uh this is real power politics playing out yeah well somebody's gonna have to do something because Saturday at 12 o'clock is tomorrow so we shall see what happens uh yeah I mean let's pray for a stalemate because uh I'd much rather that than just about anything else I can think of 100% and last but not least friend of the show RFK is official he got confirmed look at that look at that is that really him walking in after okay this is the hey by the way AI this is literally what you can do this is so crazy I love it I was like man he was walking in with some Swagger uh yeah brought to you by AI boys and girls brought to you by Ai No but it's official so I'm excited about that um we were joking with the live stream earlier um he already has kind of started the the Banning of like red dyes and like red three I think the FDA has um officially a banned uh Lynn is in love with Takis tell people who Lyn is otherwise you're be like oh ly yeah my daughter uh that's why you got to join the community guys hit the live stream hit the comments we talk about our families and stuff like that you would have heard Tom's amazing onesie story I'm not going to make him tell it now you got to be on a live stream that's exactly right no but yeah she like loves Takis every time she eats it it's blue and red all over her face I'm like you know that's paint on your face and she's like no it's not I'm like oh well let's read the ingredients and I turn it over and I ask what all these things are so I'm very excited for us to have like RFK would be very proud of you Dad yeah you know I went to McDonald's in uh London last year and it actually was good I felt a little bit better I mean it's not good food but I was going to say wow I've eaten at McDonald's in London I don't know if I'm going all the way to it's good but but it it tasted different I was like oh snap maybe they I am getting poisoned by my country like I thought that was all like hype but I don't know do you have a favorite junk food you're like over do I have a favorite junk food yes so uh somebody in the comments please tell me what the batch number is but there is a uh it's like batch 46 it is a licorice a black licorice made in Australia that I was so into for a while I was importing it myself in like these gigantic boxes uh when my dad and I were there I found it I don't randomly was just like oh let me try it and cuz I I I like black licorice importing licorice is D I paid more in shipping fees than I paid for the actual licorice but the problem is I really don't eat a lot of sugar and so I stop but yeah that if I was really going to say that in Cold Stone ice cream but talk about things I almost never touch but this is if I'm really honest partly because of Health but mostly because I can't game if I eat sugar because it makes my hands hurt really so yeah welcome to my age plus my mom has similar problems with her hands so I found that if my diet is not just clean clean when I game then my hands start to ache and not like in a an okay way like a this is not fun way so over Christmas where normally I would go ham uh I had to choose between gaming and eating junk food and I chose gaming nice look at that so yeah and th
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