Transcript
09-lzAiXfcA • RFK ATTACKED?! Senate Hearing Chaos, AI vs. DeepSeek & Tesla’s Next Move | Tom Bilyeu Show
/home/itcorpmy/itcorp.my.id/harry/yt_channel/out/TomBilyeu/.shards/text-0001.zst#text/1169_09-lzAiXfcA.txt
Kind: captions Language: en tragedy strikes last night in DC RFK gets attacked in his confirmation hearing people want more free healthcare and AI might be the solution Sam mman is either salty or actually like salt p in his wounds as he promises to out compete deep seek plus Tesla Robo taxis are incoming doge is asking people but offering big payouts Mark andreon rants about Dems and Republicans face swapping plus some really fun stuff at the end people are going to want to collect all of the segments today Drew but we got to kick off with something that really is not fun yeah tragedy struck last night in DC Blackhawk plane hit a airline American Airlines flight 67 confirmed dead no survivors it was a terrible accident I don't know if you've seen the video or not I have you can't see it very well up close but moments like this I really do wish uh that I could be the prayers side of it I actually feel uneasily helpless and moments like this where I can't at least like feel like I'm doing something by uh praying for people or whatever but truly my thoughts go out to everybody uh it it is absolutely gut-wrenching you'll be thoughts I'll be prayers um no survivors there was some confirmed that some people were in the river but that ended up getting debunked regardless there's a bunch of Dei Trump fired people I I understand you want to get political guys but people died so let's just have a moment let's just be respectful of their families when more information breaks we we'll figure that out but definitely our hearts go out to DC um in other news friend of the show RFK was pressed at the Senate uh Finance hearing he is part two happening right now so he's he's still going it's not like he's out the woods but there was some spicy exchanges including a tweet of yours how did you feel about the hearings and the replies that like lit this tweet up uh I think healthc care is is a debate that really highlights the core emotional feelings that people have on both both sides of the issue and what I'm trying to get at so my tweet was uh universal healthcare will simply lower the cost of dying if people are still eating food that's killing them so this is on the back of um people there are a lot of people that really do not like RFK and I certainly did not make a secret of it when he was still running he was my vote for president I would have the the Maha movement and the idea of making America healthy again uh still has me incredibly excited it's something that I really want to see happen and this is where thinking from first principles I think is so incredibly important I understand the emotional Poll for wanting to have Universal healthare the problem is uh really twofold one you've got the issue of it isn't going to solve the problem it's simply going to manage the cost of people that are effectively poisoning themselves and I think people need to take the responsibility for what they eat but people are effectively poisoning themselves and we're building a system to be sick care to take care of them as they're slowly uh dying at the end of their lives I think that is the worst conceivable way to approach the problem I get it it really is coming from a place of compassion but we need to get to root cause analysis and life gets a lot more interesting when you can actually identify the root causes of the problems in your life and the the lives of the people that you love and care about and understanding that food from everything that I can see coming out of the scientific Community Food is going to be punch line food and environmental toxins of other kinds for sure uh but let's just start with the food you're you are quite literally made of the things that you eat this is why it drives me crazy when people say that a calorie is just a calorie they as far as I can tell it's because they're talking only about the accumulation of fat uh but that is not the only problem there are way more um complex issues when you take into account human biology than just uh whether or not you're storing fat on your body so having somebody like RFK really pushing into The Fray and saying we need to look at ruka's analysis uh he's somebody that's actually in physically good shape so for the first time in a long time we have somebody that we can say whoa I want to look like that when I'm in my late to mid to late 60s um championing this stuff and so I want debate I want people to press him on okay what are your thoughts on the vaccines and things like that um but nobody will take him at his word like he's telling people as vociferously as he can this is what I think about vaccines uh my read on this situation is he's trying to be very clear listen I'm not trying to take vaccines away from anybody but this stuff needs to be tested and yes it needs to be tested like we actually have to look at what are the long-term effects of the things that we eat what are the longterm effects of the things that we put in our body and uh given that he has been I have watched dozens of hours of footage of him and he is just consistently I'm not saying not not to have these things I'm saying need to be studied I'm saying we need to look at these and you can't force feed people this stuff uh without going through the proper procedures of testing this stuff for safety um so I'm a little disheartened that it seems like he's on a Razor's Edge that they were talking about um with Tulsi doing this stuff in secret at least this one is out in the public but I just don't uh I cannot respect people that don't want to have all of this happen out in public that people don't want to see efficacy trials that people don't want to see this debated um that they want some people to just shut up and um Force the stuff forward that drives me nuts 100% agree I I agree your sentiment like I love RFK that's my guy still when I met him he was genuine the interview was great I did research as we set him up as well and he his issues aligned with my issues he's not trying to take anything away from people he just wants to get to the science and I think that that's something that we don't talk about enough how we went from six vaccines in the 80s to Now 50 in 2020 and yet we're twice as sick twice as uh costly it just doesn't add up um specifically though so people hate him because he's antivaccine and he's skeptical of that Community but I really want to dive into the Bernie Sanders exchange that he had where he asked him is Healthcare a human right and RFK says I can't give you a yes or no he gave an example specifically that if somebody's a is smoking all their life they have lung cancer they are now taking a that they're taking from the pool of resources that other people who are healthy might not have access to as well yeah all right let's grab the through rail yeah so to your point you you uh replied that universal healthcare will simply lower the cost of dying if people are still eating food that's killing them and I understand what you said earlier about the food but let's talk about this health care as a human right what do you feel about that do you think healthcare is a human right so somebody actually replied to my tweet with what I thought was a a really um wise way to look at this so if you look at the Constitution the Constitution says that you have the right to pursue happiness now the reason that they would never be so foolish as to say you have the right to happiness is that implies that it's the government's responsibility to uh make sure that you're happy and the government is never going to be able to do that and so I've always read this idea of you have the right to pursue happiness as a way of saying government needs to have a light touch because um obviously your rights end where somebody else's begins if it makes you happy to punch somebody in the face you absolutely do not have the right to do that but the government isn't going to step in and make it impossible for you to pursue a life that brings you Joy as long as you're not infringing on others and so that idea to me is the same thing with Healthcare that you have the right to pursue having a healthy life you have the right to um let products abound of people that think that they can make your life better including uh the right to health care but the response to my tweet was um that you don't have a right to somebody else's labor so if you're trying to make Healthcare free you get into this weird incentive structure now where you are asking somebody to dedicate their life to figuring out what is arguably one of the most complicated things that anybody could dedicate their life to which is human biology which is this insanely complex system and you're saying Hey I want you to dedicate yourself to that I want you to be one of the best and the brightest I want you to uh pour yourself into making sure that this all works but oh by the way I want to make sure that it's free which means that the government now has to pay for it and um you and I were talking before we started rolling and I said look man I get the The Compassion that people are coming forward with to say Hey listen this man's wife got cancer and now he's got hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt and that's horrible and she was young and nobody knows what caused it it was just a bad rle of the dice she didn't do anything to deserve this situation and so we've got to take care of these people and my thing is you've really got to look at whether or not that works and this comes back to what is the aim of your system for me I want to live in a country that is high Innovation the reason I want to live in a country that is high Innovation is I believe for the people that want a healthy life this is going to be a um Getting Back to Basics with food and technological innovation so I'll I'll just plant the seed of AI being able to solve some of the complexities of human biology being able to detect things in the environment of what's actually causing these problems testing food so on and so forth Okay so uh my hypothesis my thesis is that Innovation is going to be the thing that ultimately saves us now if you want a high Innovation Society you have to have a light touch government because the second you ask the government to come in and just regulate the life out of everything you get these really perverse bizarre incentives we can talk about my analogy of the fires in LA and how that was actually uh it's incompetent government exacerbated by poor regulations that end up creating that problem so okay if the goal is to have a high Innovation society and I'm right about a high Innovation Society being a light touch government such that the free market incentivizes people to innovate because ultimately what's happening in a free market is people can only get you to give them money if they give you something that you would rather have than the money so to remind everybody people get rich by creating something that the public really wants unless unless the government steps in and distorts that system a pause this would be where I would normally play my tape around money printing that is the thing that exacerbates the rich and the poor divide it is not creating something of value that people want to pay for okay so high Innovation Society is the result of a a free economy where people can create things that the public wants that they're willing to pay for okay now it becomes health insurance is going to get better if that's a product that people can offer but if you step in and regulate that like they did with the fires what you end up saying is we don't want you price gouging we don't want you to be able to ignore pre-existing conditions and that kind of stuff and so now the problem becomes the insurance company is no longer involved in creating a product that people would love it's not a free market and so you start getting these weird distortions where they're being asked to pay for something or asked to create a product that's actually terrible business okay why is this terrible business because setting aside the woman who gets cancer and it's really surprising and nobody knows why she got it so much of ill health is due to Lifestyle it's the things that people eat it's whether or not they exercise uh you can look at some of the stuff that Peter Atia is talking about one of the the greatest Minds on this in terms of living a modern healthy lifestyle and he said the number one thing that is correlated to longevity is V2 Max now the way that you get a V2 Max is by exercising in a specific way so if an insurance company is told hey you you have to take people on even with pre-existing conditions now you run into a scenario where the person who's pushing their VO2 max the person that's eating healthy the person that's doing things that would saave off um heart disease cancer dementia all of those things that become just ridiculously catastrophic at the end of somebody's life those people are now being asked to pay the same as somebody that is living a life that clearly we know these things stack up and they're going to cause just massive increases in the cost of healthare and I think the right analogy is if you go out to dinner with a bunch of friends and uh you get the cheapest thing on the menu you don't have any alcohol because you're trying to keep your cost down but a bunch of other people at the table end up having really expensive Stakes they have a ton of drinks and then in the end you just split the bill evenly that is grotesquely unfair to the person that was really restrained and what they got and was trying to think about keeping their cost down and everybody gets it when you go out to dinner it's like that's shitty and you get mad at your friends who are just like throwing it into the trees or you say listen just give me my bill give everybody else their bill that's the free market just give everybody else their bill and look it is entirely possible that before the end of this podcast I have an aneurysm and die and my wife will be traumatized and horrified and um if it happened to somebody else in my family uh and let's say that that somebody in my family has lived an absolutely uh detrimental lifestyle for decades and decades and decades um should that be my problem at to take care of that because it's my family or should it be um socialized across everybody in the country all I'm saying is I totally understand the compassion angle and we need to remember that it's all trade-offs and so it becomes a question of what are the trade-offs that we want to make I think if we right now just focus don't don't change the system I'm okay with that just focus on making the system less expensive so my beef and the reason that this is all tied to me is here you have people that want free health care and I'm going to talk about AI I think AI actually is going to drive the cost of this way way way down but you've got people that want free health care and they are battering to death the guy that's like Hey we're going to do root cause analysis hey we want to fix the food supply hey we want to make sure that people aren't taking drugs that are actually making their lives worse we want to look at the stuff and figure out what is the root cause of Health what are the lifestyles that make people's lives better what are the ones that make them worse and because the government is involved in healthcare you just get these ridiculous distortions yeah a good example is like electricity companies and they're heavily regulated utility like monopolies and that's why everybody hates their gas bills everybody hates the electric company like nobody says my water company is the best it's because there's the only one you don't have a choice so I definitely understand where the government can stifle innovation in certain industries and you're just stuck with a shitty product my beef with Healthcare and I think that right now I am playing for socialized Healthcare but only for 65 year olds people on Medicare and you you know federal employees I'm playing for Elizabeth Warren's Healthcare but I if I want to have a baby if something if I want to do something in my life I'm stuck with the bill so it's kind of going back to your uh friends at the dinner analogy it's kind of like yes I have my my chicken while everybody else is eating their steak and drinking their wine they're asking me to split the bill evenly and the person at the other table is also like oh yeah can you uh get a salad and put that on my bill too and it's just like wait so I'm paying for this person and I'm paying for this person but I at least let me get a piece of the steak let me get a piece of the wi like so I think that because we're already getting money taken out of our check for Medicaid taking out that's where a lot of people are thinking okay instead of taking $100 take $150 and then now I should be able to buy into the system or the $100 getting taken out of my check and the other $300 I'm paying for me and my daughter's Healthcare let's bundle those two together give it to one pool and then now that's the pool that everybody like frequents from do you think the existing system can handle a transition like that or do you think the government should step out free market completely and kind of let the chips fall where they may drum shook you just made me realize that a far superior analogy is it's not you splitting the bill evenly with your friends it's you splitting the bill with every one eating in a restaurant anywhere ever uh and some people are in a way fancier restaurant than you and you're still going to be paying for those things uh it's very interesting now look we would be misleading people uh to say that that that analogy holds perfectly because it does begin to break down but if you start looking at people in a country like the UK I happen to be married to a Brit so I see this up very close uh my mother-in-law has um had some uh tremendous encounters with the UK health system and the reality is that anybody that can afford it in the UK has both private and public insurance and so when it's something that's sort of low consequence they'll go public when it's something that's high consequence they go private so people are already saying I can't trust the really important stuff to this system and that goes back to you're asking the best and the brightest to flood into this system and the reality is from access to Cutting Edge technology like literal physical machines you may not be able to get them or there might be an insane weight period which is exactly what happens in countries where all of this stuff is free the weight periods are very very long it's a number system they trying to get you in and out as fast as they can and then the free market steps in tries to differentiate themselves by saying we don't have weit times um we have better equipment we have people that will work with you they're not trying to rush out and get to the next person um and so you're you're all already seeing a class divide in the kind of health care that you're able to get which is going to trigger people again and they're going to say but this isn't fair and this is where again getting to root cause analysis why does it end up bifurcating like that because the reality is when you ask the government to do something that the private sector is good at and government is not government is horrible at efficiency government is horrible at Innovation and the reason that the government is terrible at inefficiency and Innovation is efficiency and innov are the result of evolutionary pressures the free market is under constant evolutionary pressure and we're going to talk about this more with Sam Alman and deep seek and how Sam is saying hey this is actually really invigorating it's going to force him to think harder to outcompete to move faster in ways he wouldn't have to if everything is just given to him and so the way that governmental structures work is they go literally by force take your tax dollars and then they're going to give them to these systems the systems don't have to do anything to earn them they don't even have to show results they get that money automatically so all of that evolutionary pressure which would actually create a Better Health Care system is gone and so the Health Care system is never going to get better it's going to get slower it's going to get less efficient it's going to be less Innovative because there's no mechanism to drive that efficiency and Innovation so the very thing that people want to be given for free can't be be given for free now there's a conversation to be had about okay but can we at least have some sort of bare minimum safety net cool let's have that conversation as long as we're not deranging the conversation by making believe that we can get this thing for free uh and that it will work the same way it won't okay do you have more push back there should I talk about how AI may actually solve this problem I feel like you you you closed that loop I got you okay so um here is the thing that was really it's always been really jarring for me when people ask for things for free and I want to scream into the void that we are all the problem none of us will work for free and because we weren't won't work for free we create the very thing that we're railing against and we live in this time of Plenty where people are tricking themselves into thinking that the government can just supply all this stuff for free going back to my initial point the more things they supply for free the more you have Barnacles on the turtle turtle being um a capitalist economy that drives Innovation you start dragging that down which is why everybody when they go to say but look at these other countries all those other countries are low Innovation countries and so there's a stagnation in those countries now the death happens slowly so people are like ah what do I care but man if you care about your kids or your grandkids in a low Innovation country they're just going to get their lunch eaten you get the whole problem with America where America brain drains the entire world and we do it because we create these opportunities for individuals so by doing that we get the best and the brightest here other countries continue to stagnate I don't know how this plays out over a hundred years all right coming back to ai ai is the person that will work for free so if AI because I know I talk about this a lot but the cost of energy has to go down so if um we can have better policies that drive energy cost down which Trump is working on private companies are working on by spinning back up nuclear energy but I think AI will innovate insanely in driving the cost of energy down um if we can drive the cost of energy down and a robot only cost $20,000 which is uh Elon musk's prognostication of like fairly near term call five to seven years 5 to seven years from now um a highly intelligent I would say within years at least as intelligent as a human perhaps far more intelligent than a human and physically embodied meaning it can do the surgeries it can stitch you up it can meet you face to face remember they're not going to look like robots at some point in seven years they probably still will but you start pushing this out 152 years which your daughter won't even be I mean she be like 32 at that point I don't know if you want me saying that out loud but like um that's really soon M and so you'll have somebody you'll be interfacing like this and they will just see seem like the most compassionate the smartest person you've ever met and they're there physically and they can help you with stuff now if all of that comes to pass and I don't think I have a lot of really Grand assumptions in that now all of a sudden healthc care really can become free but what was it the result of innovation and this is why you want these high Innovation societies when you get the high Innovation Society now you can start driving cost down again I get it because a lot of people are going to suffer right now today there's going to be a lot of human stories you can point to and say this is really horrible this this family that deserve nothing but great and wonderful things is suffering for reasons we either don't understand or they were in uh a lowincome neighborhood and so they're by power lines and they have terrible food choices and all that stuff uh again cue my tape about uh money Printing and education because I agree once people understand that this is a class problem but that the only way that we solve said class problem is by lightening government regulations not increasing them lightening the amount that we um regulate the free market letting the free market do what it does to create that Innovation that's going to be the way that we actually get people what they want it takes time and that's why people just are not having it robots to save us um I mean for real though man dude look I'm I'm really having a moment right now and uh boys and girls uh I already know that if you're if you can hear my voice right now you're already the kind of person that is hungry for information you're curious all of that but please just tell everybody you know to spend as much time with AI as they can it is a super learning device and the fact that people can get access to this stuff for like 20 bucks a month I mean a better $20 never spent unless it is literally I can't afford to eat or uh it's the $20 goes to food or the $20 goes to AI I put put $20 towards AI it it is it is truly unbelievable how rapidly you can learn and that you have a partner with you to help you do whatever it is that you're trying to do yeah it's crazy we need to talk about your online security your password the one you use for your banking your email and your social media might be up for sale on the dark web right now for less than a buck cyber security is a huge concern for me especially as a game developer I'm all too aware of how many points of vulnerability we have and here is why one breach is all it takes for hackers to access everything you own that's why I'm excited to partner with Robo form password manager Robo form creates and manages strong unique passwords for every site you use one click and you're securely logged in no memorizing no compromises consider Robo form your complete digital security system it autofills forms securely shares access and monitors your accounts for weak and breached passwords the next Cyber attack is coming protect yourself click the link in the show notes and get 60% off your first year with Robo form stop making it easy for hackers get Robo form now now let's get back to the show well you brought him up earlier Elon he had his uh Tesla earnings call last night and they announced two things first the launch of their Robo taxi business on June uh June 2025 and they're going to Pilot it in Austin Texas and they're starting production of their Optimus pilot robots so the humanoid robots that they debuted a couple months ago um to start production in 2025 now whether they'll hit households then that's still you know Elon kind of Misses deadline as you said um and then also Sam Alman the tweet that you brought up before you go to that did you did you see the robot that I sent you I put it in the dock I I I think it just sort of fell outside of what we're going to cover today but briefly I will say that there is a robot now that has been given a circulatory system it has all 206 bones of the human body it moves like a human because it uses water to articulate its musculature using tendon and ligament like things it is crazy how uh humanlike this thing moves and when you look at it without its skin it really looks like you're looking at a human body it is nuts now this may not end up being the right form factor we might find that specializing form factors is really the play that when you go to the doctor's office you don't want a humanoid robot stitching you up you want like a stitch machine stitching you up um but in terms of mimicking the human capabilities it's getting crazy like it has the ability to be really gentle and its grip whereas actuators and things like that it seems like they've had a harder time controlling that stuff um because they're using water it's just it's crazy man they use water in the way that the human body uses blood and they use it like the way to contract the muscles it's crazy crazy that's crazy so do you think to the foreign Factor question because that's interesting that this first wave of robots is going to be kind of Novel like you know they're going to be humanoid just to kind of have humanoid but the second layer is then going to be Stitch Bots uh constructo Bots that are like dump trucks with arms that look like spiders or something like that like we're going to start seeing those type of specialized creations for sure yeah so I want to give people one of my favorite math equations uh there is a an IQ definition for a [ __ ] it's something like 82 or 83 their Einstein was 2.4 times smarter than a [ __ ] like by literal IQ definitions okay so from [ __ ] where the um government won't even take them to be Canon Futo to get shot at because they just create more problems than they solve to the person who gave us the deepest insights into the fabric of the universe is 2.4x I want you to imagine a world where there are billions of entities that are 10 times smarter a thousand times smarter maybe a million times smarter like I If just think about 2.4x gets you this insane difference I only need you to believe in 10x and it's already you just can't even begin to Fathom what it's going to do but if I'm right that uh scale in the training models plus efficiency in the um inference on top of the models is how you create artificial super intelligence I don't see any reason to believe that we're not going to see just a runaway train of intelligence and so then it just all bets are off everything's free not just Healthcare literally everything everything everything but again just to beat the drum that is a gift of innovation it is not a gift of Regulation 100% and we're Taxation and we're definitely seeing that um with uh Sam maltman's tweet deep seeks R1 is an impressive model particularly around what they're able to deliver for the price we will obviously deliver much better models and also it's legit invigorating to have a new competitor we will pull up some releases but mostly we are excited to continue to execute on Research Ro map and believe more compute is more important now than than ever before to succeed at our mission the world is going to want to use a lots of AI and really be quite Amazed by the next gen models coming this is my favorite part looking forward to bringing you all AGI and Beyond so AGI used to be the thing that we whispered about is it going to happen it seems like S mountain was like all right I was taking my time but if y'all want to talk about deep seek let let's step on the gas like let's do it dud I when I read that tweet the image that came to mind was this really mild manner nice guy reaching inside his coat pulling out a [ __ ] gigantic gun and cocking it like oh you want to play Let's go I've been holding these models back because I was afraid of freaking you guys out like if you think deep se's got some [ __ ] deep seek is riding on the back of us [ __ ] and I'm about to melt your face with what a real like set of compute and training model can do and this this is what I was saying when we did the Deep seek episode is hey it is a big question as to whether or not companies continue to invest in the training models because you can only draw so much inference from a model that already exists if the model has a flawed vision of what the world really is and then inference can only draw intelligent things from a flawed model it will do great I mean think about Newtonian physics right it allowed us to do a lot of stuff uh but it it is incorrect einsteinian physics allowed us to do a lot more than Newtonian physics but we know it's incorrect so if we can keep training these models to get smarter and smarter so that the inference the ability to uh be very efficient in the um connections that you draw from that the knowledge that you draw from that model of the world um if that onew punch is on this sort of runaway flywheel it gets really crazy and that what I love about that tweet is he's saying no we're going to keep investing in the underlying models we are going to continue to train training is going to be more important and look I'm speaking like a Sci-Fi writer right now not somebody who's deep in the science of this but I just really really have a feeling that he knows something along the lines of the following you have to train these models on the underlying physics of the world they have to understand chemistry they have to understand um particle physics they have to understand quantum mechanics like all of that stuff and once they do now the inference that you can draw from that becomes crazy because like people will say human psychology is going to be the hardest part of this to map it's just so so so complex but it is knowable like your brain is doing a thing based on the way that it's wired the way that it transmits neurochemicals the way that it deals with electrical impulses the way that your um sense sense organs interpret the world all of that stuff all of that's knowable and so once it knows all of those things it can say given this exact moment in history uh that ad will impact these people in this way and obviously that's just me talking from the way that I Perce the world but uh it'll be able to do this drug is going to have this effect on this person that's probably a far more universally interesting way to look at it everything will be n of one um it will be uh able to uh your toilet will have sensors on it so my wife who struggled with um digestive issues the toilet will read her microbiome every time she uses the bathroom uh and then it's going to tell her you need to be eating these ingredients at exactly this time based on the last blood sample and stool sample that we have from you uh do exact this and it will there will be all kinds of sensors probably even sensors that we ingest that are living inside of our bodies that are just like uh CGM is giving a constant blood reading these are just going to get better and better and better we'll be kicking off all this data people can squawk about privacy in the feed um but dude it it's really really really going to be this incredible Brave New World so I have as much if not more anxiety around what AI is going to do to the world that we know right now but I also know if we can get over what I'll call eternally pockets of violence yeah on the other side I think that there's a really good chance we have a world that is just unbelievably cool wow wow it's interesting to kind of see all the hope and the possibility that's happening in the future um but we had a interesting blacks blast from the past so I want to set this up for you really cool all right so everybody knows that do is out here they're trying to become more efficient so Elam Trump announced that they're giving a eight-month severance to all the federal employees that don't want to return to office there was some uproar on Twitter people thought that it wasn't a good idea and then Mark andreon friend of the show we love him I love his tweets lately I don't know if you guys he's so fun man he's so good um he he is one of the best follows you can do hands down get on your boy he went down a crazy Rabbit Hole yesterday that had me captivated so everybody's trying to cancel these guys for Doge and giving federal employees uh severances when he brings up a '90s example when President Clinton sign legislation today intended to help reduce the federal Workforce by about 273,000 people over the next 5 years by offering buyouts about the 25k to employees who leave government and then he kind of tweeted this Reinventing government reducing Federal headcount reducing federal spending making the government more efficient and efficient for our citizens mainstream Clinton Gore Democrat progressivism in the 9s but it's techn fascism now I think that was a very kind of ju position how do you feel about time Democrat policies that we used to love now somehow turned conservative this is why I want people to distrust themselves we all have architecture in the human mind that makes us want a tribe up and it's it's a bad play so in the 90s Democrats were for the things that now Republicans are for but they can't see past the fact that they think of themselves as a Democrat and so anything Republicans do is bad and vice versa Republicans are going to look at the Democrats and all they want to do is dunk and say these guys are morons and all that [ __ ] they're all just a bunch of woke nonsense it's like for [ __ ] sake you've got to take each thing one by one and say is this going to get me the outcome that I want most people don't even take the time to define the outcomes I get it life is complex it's way easier to just be like my tribe tells me to think like this so I think like this but wo it this tweet storm just shows once again that's not the way to approach it the way to approach it is why was it a good idea then versus now now I looked into this thank you for flagging it for me by the way um I looked into the actual document that Gore had published about how to make the government more efficient and hey it sounded a lot like the things that I've been talking about which is you need kpis he didn't use the word kpi but it was very obvious that's what he's talking about uh and you need to see based on metrics whether the policies that we put in place are actually working or not and the fact that people totally divorce themselves from what are the results is this going in the direction that we want yes or no if no do something different based on your assessment of the underlying cause and effect that led you to this place thinking from first principles uh so yeah it was really fascinating to see huh this used to be a Democrat position and now is not which by the way should get everybody to realize the following Democrats fought get ready for slavery Democrats that's nuts and it was the Republicans led by your boy Lincoln who was like hold on a sec this is [ __ ] egregious and absolutely terrible now how many times have they flip-flo back and forth I don't know but why did they flip-flop because they look at the other party winning and they say what's the uh what in marketing you would call Blue Ocean what's the thing that they are underserving that I could go do that people be like yo I'm for that so the Democratic establishment Wing becomes this ultra um I don't want to use inflammatory words they very much Embrace money in politics they very much Embrace their relationship to corporations and so Republicans great irony if you're my age Republicans go oh then we're going to be for the working class that's exactly how it flips and it will flip again and as soon as people the Democrats see uh that blue ocean that white space that's being left unattended by the Republicans then they're going to swoop in and and do their thing and offer it there and at some point they'll Flip or move into another Rel Rel ship but the tribes are all pointless the tribes are all pointless it all comes down to people want Power read The Mach of Ellens people want Power they will strive to get there they will strive to keep it and when they get there they strive to expand and once you understand that it's like Oh They'll lie they'll twist things to remain in power everybody everybody this isn't a left or right thing um so the demarcation of there's left and right which which I've explained many times call it compassion and responsibility as that split but then you have establishment and populism shout out to our boy Jen yuger for um making that one clear for me and once you understand that sort of fourway breakdown it starts to become a lot clearer are you for the entrenched Elite or are you for the masses and that's establishments entr trenched Elite populace is for the masses I think not to go backwards but I think that o triggers the RFK like nomination uh Senate confirmations because a lot of the people that are pressing them so hard are talking for their donors and I don't think they're talking for the American people the guy that wants to ban red 65 I don't think is the guy that you need the Press like the person that's saying let's not bankrupt the pharmaceutical companies that's when you have to start kind of asking those questions but that's that's being care if a company goes out of business it means that people don't want their product look as a guy trying to run a company I wish people really cared whether I went out of business or not but man that isn't the play that is not the play the play is if I'm not winning in the marketplace I'm like huh I'm doing something wrong I am not either I have a product that people want but I don't know how to make people aware of it or I don't have a product that people want and I need to address said product uh yeah nobody should care about whether any individual company goes out of business or not that's unless the government is paying the company to operate then well so dude now okay are we going to fractal into this this is probably a separate thing I set you up can can I just shout out to everybody out there guys did you know this shocks me to my core the FED In Cahoots with your own government started buying corporate bonds as a way to inject printed money into the system that that's like Marching In the Streets bro that's like what the [ __ ] are we doing that is the government deciding what companies live and die that's nuts what is happening yeah I I am a ghast that that's going on but it's just complicated enough that I mean one I still don't have a full picture of how all of this works I'm well aware of that rule number one don't trust thyself that is a uh very much an autobiographical comment uh but two I know that the vast majority of humanity will just they just don't have the time or the inclination to build a mental model of all the ways that they are being manipulated sandbagged I it's it is immoral it's immoral so crazy let's cut throw it out here we'll get back to the show in just a minute but first let's talk about optimizing your health the key to upgrading your diet isn't just about what you don't eat the quality of your protein matters a lot I learned this firsthand when my wife Lisa was struggling with massive gut issues we realize that high quality meat made a massive difference that's why I've been a butcher box member for years there are no antibiotics no added hormones Just Pure Clean protein that powers real change they deliver straight to your door and shipping is always free here is an incredible offer choose either 2 lbs of wild caught salmon two lbs of grass-fed ground beef or three lbs of organic chicken breast to get free in every box for an entire year you're also going to get an extra $20 off your first box when you use code impact go right now to butcherbox.com impact and use code impact to upgrade your protein today now back to the show all right let's let's get in lighter news let's let's make our people smell again let's do it let's have some fun everybody GTA 6 is being announced everybody's been waiting for this game for the last what six seven years we said yeah I think uh when I last checked in on it they' haded been developing it for six years and that was probably six or eight months ago yeah it's got to be got to be pushing seven there's rumors though that it will not be the usual price tag uh Asma gold broke this down in a video that dropped a couple hours ago well they're trying to figure out a way to get people to pay more money for games because basically the price for video games hasn't really changed in the last 15 years but inflation has so the problem is that as video games have become more expensive to make they can't increase the price of the games which is one of the reasons why they add in microtransactions and also like there have been elements of of gaming like for example distribution that's cheaper now but you also have Steam for example so instead of spending 30% on of your money on like packaging and sending it to GameStop now you're spending 30% of your money on Steam okay so uh I am a simp for video games let's start with that so I could not be more biased um I I am really excited to see GTA six now admittedly I don't play GTA partly because it's literally you just go commit crime to make money and I get why as a game you need some sort of engine where you can just go do things um it's not an engine that speaks to me but whatever put put that aside it's not going to be a play style that impact Theory develops but uh whatever it's a video game um I one have no beef with the games getting more expensive because you don't have to buy GTA like if you don't want to buy a game that's that big from a World building perspective then go play something else but it is my understanding that they've already spent a billion dollars on the game I've heard rumors that it's actually two billion dollar I don't know what's true but it's a lot it's a lot and when I think about how much we've put into our indie game dude dude game development for now ai will decimate that but game development for now is ridiculously expensive and so what they're saying is listen we're GNA take a huge risk put a billion dollars or possibly two billion dollars at risk to build this incredible game for you and you don't have to buy it but if you do you're going to get access to what I have a hypothesis will be an unrivaled game in terms of its scope and just the things you're going to be able to do inside of it and so no no beef whatsoever now I also have no beef with microtransactions I don't like pay to win and I will never play a game that's pay to win it's just not interesting to me but I don't understand people who think that it's morally incorrect that's why I I cannot wrap my head around it no one's forcing you to play that game like if you don't like games like that go play other games and this is where it's like if people stop playing those games then the game companies will respond to your incentives so it is because people play them that you're going to keep getting more of that now I'm captain microtransaction I love it the most now you're letting me control how much money I spend in your game so um project kaisen has microtransactions right now we're free to play will we be free to play forever I don't know we'll see uh partly just responding to culture gets what culture wants so if they're like I don't care that you're uh the only way that you make money is Battle pass and skins which are entirely optional and I don't have to do at all I hate you for doing it well then we'll stop doing it but um I can't wrap my head around why that bothers people so I admittedly in in a position where this is not problematic for me but I've spent a laughable amount of money on skins inside of fortnite but it brings me joy I love it and I can play without it I don't have to um the game is free so they're literally saying you pay what you want you don't have to pay any more than that uh yeah I cannot wrap my head around people's beef of that and that's my whole thing is that I appreciate the development in GTA can get away with it but this is going to be like a a market altering move where when the first video game does it all the other AAA video games are going to increase their price to 100 sure I'm the same way though I have fortnite I have probably I bought one skin and I was cohors by my daughter on like Christmas Eve to get it so I've played I probably paid 50 60 hours of that game and I paid 14.99 so to me I'm winning that's perfect I'm good I yeah like I'm I'm out of it so I am very much play like you shouldn't have to pay but I'm even looking like let's take a step back from GTA let's take a step back from fortnite the market itself though seems like video games are getting cheaper cuz play to um pay to playay used to be the standard and now there's all these freet to- playay games and the top five or six games if you look at like the uh streaming chat the streaming channels and things like that Minecraft I think is like $10 now fortnite is free Destiny was expensive that's free Now Call of Duty has a free option so there are these other games that they're realizing like okay we could give you the $70 $100 polish package but here's a freet to playay online version and a lot of people are now migrating to that free online option so is it just one of those things that there's going to be two games that you get for 100 and then everything else is going to be free or uh here well so what will the pricing model be the pricing model will be they'll charge as much as they can in the marketplace for sure without enraging their customers because whether it's logical or not if people feel some kind of way about them charging $100 and they rebel against the game and it f s then they're in a terrible situation and so it's one of those I can rail against the way that people feel as much as I want it doesn't matter people feel what they feel they're going to act the way they're going to act and I have to dance to that tune and let's just be very clear about how markets work the market has all the power so if they refuse to buy something for whatever reason they decide to do it then people are going to change their behavior um the thing that I think people are bothered by is people are so aware that marketing is ultimately manipulation marketing is getting someone to feel what you want them to feel when you want them to feel it that's marketing and once you understand that it's like oh wait a second I'm going o I understand your psychology I know what you want and I'm going to frame things in such a way that you're going to feel exactly what I want you to feel when I want you to feel it uh people don't like that and so they go here's my beef with microtransactions Tom you are creating a sense of fomo and that's how you're getting people to buy it and so then I'm like so wait are you saying that you don't think people can think for themselves like I don't understand and they will say yes people can think for themselves and this is evil and scummy and now I'm just like but you understand they're going to do the same things to get you to spend the $60 or $70 or now $100 to play it so marketing is how we feed the Innovation economy um I definitely aggressively believe that Innovation is the right play to make people's lives better as close to un as you're going to get so anyway this is people that I think halfway think through something and then they uh have an emotional reaction they trust their emotions and they just go ham are you getting GTA 6 oh of course all right can I borrow your copy when you're done then sure $100 save let's go go all right and last but not least on this segment on this uh today's news of dating is trash number 79 um everybody loved this segment so much so I had to bring something else up so this I just found was funny deep seek uh this deep seek prompt somebody says when your date send you the simplest message so they put hey with two e and deep seek broke it down okay the user wrote hey with three e that's a friendly greeting maybe a bit informal I should respond in a similar tone let's keep it casual and welcoming maybe add a smiley to match their Vibe they might be starting a conversation so I can ask how I can assist them today keep it open-minded to encourage them to share what they need help with avoid being too formal use some emojis to keep the mood light make sure the response is warm and approachable hey there smiley face how can I assist you today and for the first time I feel like AI understands me and this is why I got off the dating apps cuz I felt like that first text I didn't know how to respond I was thinking too much and um yeah so thank you deep seek for validating me and validating all those people that don't know how to respond when they're person on the dating app makes a first move that's hilarious my favorite response to this tweet was oh so deep seek overthinks even faster than I do I was like I like it yeah cuz that that is a very deep response to uh hey but what I is it technically has two e and deep seek is like it has three e uh so completely miss that here is the the fun of AI is I think we already talked about this this is so fascinating to me that we are ultimately going to send our AI representative to speak to their AI representative to find out if there's compatibility that is going to derange things so hard uh which is why get out in the real world of all the places uh where you want real world interaction it's here uh in in the world of dating because ultimately this is um part of what makes relationship so great is ultimately about a fluid Swap and like dude sending AI like not being able to think for yourself that that one feels like a bad play get out there take the risk now use it as a coach I love that behind the scenes like hey I'm thinking about this out or the other uh it will give you extraordinary advice for sure and getting in back into the realm of Sanity where we realize men and women are different and so it's like okay wait a second how would a woman see XYZ like if I could have asked it hey uh I showed up with custom written poetry and flowers on the first date and she didn't seem into it I don't understand like what's wrong uh and it could have spared me a lot of pain and suffering because oh boy was that a terrible way to go about it and I did it several times several times dude I once just a clown of myself uh uh I once wrote a poem anonymously where if she just read the first word of each line it said who I was or gave her a clue that would make it obvious who I was uh and gave it to her she did figure it out by the way and was mortified and I never got that date just just by way of like how terrible a strategy this all is um yeah so AI could have saved me a lot of pain and suffering Drew is is doing a search as we speak literally asking hey I show up on the first date I still want to know what it says uh I I showed up on the first date with custom poetry and flowers what do you think of this strategy let's see you got to zoom in this is an ey test okay here we go that's a bold and romantic move it shows thoughtfulness effort and creativity which can be really attractive however it also depends on the vibe of the person you're meeting some people might find it incredibly charming and appreciate the gester no no they won't While others might feel overwhelmed if it's too much yes that is correct also they think you were soft soft uh a good strategy is to read the room if you've had great conversations before the date and there's already a sense of connection which there wasn't it can be a big plus uh if it's completely blind date not quite that bad uh or there's not much Rapport yet start with something a bit more casual engaging their response first might be safer how did they react okay that was a good that was a good terribly terribly want this chat I would be like bro you are gaslighting me we both know this is a terrible strategy so uh this is where you have to train your AI because it is going to give you a blend because this is where you realize that AI at its current state is simply telling you the most common answer out there online it's not dealing with the physics of the situation uh but you could train it to like really zoom in on hey I want you to think about this from the perspective of the difference between men and women what makes men successful blah blah blah uh and if you get good at prompting you will be shocked to your core at how good chat will get at uh giving you high utility answers yeah I found propped engineering is good and like giving it context so I literally have like one prompt that's all like how to fix my car stuff and it's a bunch of like so every time I go in there it has all the previous contacts like oh yeah you did this reper later you should do this and watch out for this so it kind of compounds on itself the more you talk to it to that point yeah no doubt all right that's all I got all right everybody if you haven't be sure to subscribe and by the way if you're in this community please if you want to see us cover something send it in we are in the comments non-stop violence it' be wonderful to see you there and if you prefer to get your podcast on a podcast app make sure that you check us out we are everywhere that you find your podcast and if you're here on YouTube we love you the most and we will see you guys next time until then be legendary take care peace if you like this conversation check out this episode to learn more the bulletin of a scientists moved the Doomsday Clock closer to midnight than ever before deep seek tries to Gaslight users Trump force fed Deportes back to Colombia by threatening president Petro with a tariff stick people say foreign gangs are trying to destabilize America