Bitcoin's Bubble POPS, Wait HE Killed JFK? Trump is Changing Your Paycheck & More! | Tom Bilyeu Show
1hN5O6Qd1f4 • 2025-01-17
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Kind: captions Language: en bitcoin price drops people panic sell off price goes back up tickling 100K again but Jamie Diamond still calls it a worthless tool for criminals and sex traffickers play nice Jamie the future is more digital than you think and the Bots are not going to take this sitting down and to prove it we're going to be looking at the insane progress in AI this week plus a ceasefire in Gaza Trump shooting his shot to end federal income tax yes please and in conspiracy Corner drew it looks like we have finally cracked the JFK assassination oh and did a hot woman just thwart a trump coup by getting a hopeful guy to spill government secrets again and best of all everybody it is Community Day so we're going to be taking your questions buckle up everybody this one is a wild Drew let's roll I'm excited I got the average cost down on my Bitcoin it went down to it started at 90 on Monday went back up to 100K today so I'm celebrating if you would have called me on Monday I would have been crying but let's jump right into that cuz I think we we talked with Arthur Hayes last week and you told you said it best the volatility is the key people like that so how can people go through these emotions as they're going to keep seeing this price go up down up down up down okay so here is the funniest thing in the world that the best advice anyone is ever going to get about investing in the stock market is to buy low and sell high now the reason that's become a cliche is because it's so obviously true that people just repeat it repeat it repeat it now why is it still around because nobody does it and this goes back to the elephant and the rider problem people feel some kind of way because we can't see the future and this is where everybody has got to get comfortable with the fact that investing all of investing I welcome you to join me in the comments I will take the Pepsi Challenge on this I am waiting for somebody to really prove me wrong here all of investing is gambling period full stop nobody has learned that lesson um not more painfully but I I'm just surprised that that's the reality but it is the reality as far as I can see so you're it is gambling because you cannot see the future you are betting on a better future and when the present drops people have a hard time now believing that it will ever go up again and so the emotion that you get is oh my god I'm an idiot I'm a Fool I've got to cut my losses I've got to get out of this everybody that said that this was just for sex traffickers they're right oh my God it's going to zero and so people panic and they sell if you remember the Mantra Buy Low sell High you ask yourself well if I bought at something that's lower than the price that it's at now cool go ahead and sell but if you you're instead trying to mitigate some of the gamble have a thesis as long as the thesis remains true ignore your emotions this is yet another reason why I tell people not to trust their emotions their emotion is not Based on data their emotion is based on that one moment they tell themselves a story about what it means in the future when the girlfriend looks at them and says all you do is play Xbox and buy Bitcoin and you're a fool on both counts right so that emotion because they have no clarity about what's tomorrow brings they're just like I got to get out of this and the problem is that most people end up selling at a loss so I really want to orient people if you're trying to weather the ups and downs two things one remember the very thing that makes a whole bunch of people talk about Bitcoin is that it is volatile okay volatility is a feature not a bug right now I would love to see Bitcoin stabilize at some point so that it becomes Bor ing so that people have a place where they can uh store their wealth where they know that I'm just protecting against inflation the printing of money and in the meantime the reason people are so attracted to this is that because it swings up and down so much the smart patient non-emotional people get to take your panic and turn it into their profit because if they can wait when you panic sell and the price drops and then they buy more and then they let it rise again you panic they buy more it rises again and so all the people that are able to do that as long as they end up being right then they make money and that's exactly the nature of the stock market is uh I'll give you my thesis on bitcoin so you can see how a thesis investor how this plays out and of course if the thesis ends up being wrong you lose everything and it's gambling so my thesis is that the future will be more digital than today and the most important maybe one of the most important things that I will certainly stand by to digitize is money so if we know that there is a whole host of benefits to money being digital think of credit right you can buy things easily over long distances instantaneously with a seller you've never met cool we know that that's beneficial without getting into the architecture of money and what is money and all that stuff just know that hey that stuff can be digitized as well it was it's called Bitcoin there's obviously a whole bunch more but the whole idea of the blockchain okay so now are we Peak digitizing money are we Peak digital transactions or is this going to go more uh to give you an idea right now anyway AI agents only exist in the Ethereal world that won't be true for long they're going to get uh bodies and everything but they are probably always going to deal in the realm of digital currencies that they can interact with extremely rapidly so when AI is to do something and again I don't think people understand how many AI are going to come online robots alone will be measured in the millions in the near term billions in the long term okay so let's let that one sit there so when let's say I'm like bro go get me a coffee it's got to buy that coffee I don't want to have to give it money I don't want to have to give it my credit card I want to fund its account and say you have a certain amount Bitcoin ethereum usdc whatever now go buy that thing so when I hear Jamie Diamond who has the go that the man deals in money like cash dollars if I'm going to a drug dealer they want cash money they want something that's untraceable right so money has forever been used to do the shadiest [ __ ] ever but because it has so much other utility we don't get hung up on it the same is true of a digital currency on a long enough timeline it's just going to be money it's going to be exactly the same it will be used for elicit things it will be used for normal things and if I'm a criminal or if I'm advising criminals my to the criminals in my community uh I would like to say don't use anything that's on a digital Ledger because while they might not be looking at you now they will be able to track that down it it is the worst way if you want to remain invisible so what the criminals are actually taking advantage of is the ease of digital money not the inherent nature of Bitcoin for instance so that's that is that sort of convoluted thing you've got the volatility people want it because they want a bet and they want that big swing so they can capitalize on it people that think that this is going to zero it could I mean I can't see the future any better than anybody else but I have a thesis in place this is tomorrow is going to be more digital today therefore more money is going to migrate into this kind of asset maybe it won't be Bitcoin and maybe I will lose but I know it's going to be something like Bitcoin and since that's the front runner now it makes a lot of sense to me it matches my risk profile and so when the number bounces up and down I don't even think about it I don't sell I don't check the number very often because I'm like do I still believe that tomorrow will be more digital than today if yes then I'm going to hold if no then I'm going to sell because my thesis no longer makes sense but it's not an emotional decision it's as close to a logical decision as I can get to I love that and let's kind of play that Jamie Diamond video so we can really dive into what he said you said that uh it's as useless as a pet rock what do you really think you're going to have some kind of digital currency at one point so I'm not against crypto you know Bitcoin itself has no intrinsic value it's used heavily by sex traffickers money launderers ransomware so I I just don't feel great about Bitcoin I applaud your ability to want to buy or sell it just like I think you have the right to smoke but I don't think you should smoke I I think that was very disingenuous cuz he said I like cryptocurrency I just don't think Bitcoin has intrinsic value so I don't know how he squares that Circle so here's here's what I want to ask him what is the intrinsic value of a $100 bill the intrinsic value there there isn't one he's going to say um well it's backed by the US government okay cool but what's the intrinsic value of the $100 and ultimately the only real answer is if you light it on fire you can release the energy that's stored within the bill literally that's the only intrinsic value I'm not saying that's nothing but it certainly isn't a lot uh so now you can get people on to Gold you're going to get people like Peter Schiff Peter shout out to you love you almost certainly going to talk about you later um but even gold if you try to tie it to its value in manufacturing you're not going to get very far the reality is that people value it because it is tied to a store of wealth and so they believe that it will have as much or more value in the future than it has today and so they're willing to buy that as a way to store their wealth it is that gold is some insanely intrinsically valuable thing when I think about intrinsic value you're going to get down to food you're going to get down to shelter those are things that are intrinsically value valuable they can stop you from dying right so shelter keeps you from uh being exposed to weather uh food obviously so those are things that have intrinsic keep me alive value everything else is subjective yeah I I agree it's a digital currency that's the future it might not happen now but it's going to happen later so I just want to shout out to all my Bitcoin holders if are a Bitcoin holder throw a dollar sign into the comments and I want they would never do that they would never you want them to flash that b symbol baby Drew just outed himself as as a noob all right we got to light Drew on fire for that one that's I got a Mee for you guys the Bitcoin Community is coming after Drew and now Drew is trying to get us to look at what pig testicles what is this play it there it is that is this is for all my day ones who had Bitcoin in the b in the dorm rooms when they said it was never going to go higher oh God you know we were here from day one Drew what have you done to me I am never going to be able to get that image out of my mind uh we could sew fractal do you know that the size of an animal's testicles compared to its body tell you something about the level of promiscuity of that species so that's a ho Pig that is a hoe that homeboy gets around because you need gigantic testicles to produce all the sperm because you're just going to try to sleep with as many women as you can because it isn't a like a silver back can have test the size of a raisin because it literally just beats the hell out of all the other males and it's like these are my women only I'm going to have sex so it's like you get aerm you get aerm because there's no competition now we can really fractal and get weird if people want to trip out in fact oh we're going to talk about this later but the 15 or the wom that SLE with a thousand guys the penis is shaped like uh it has like the mushroom tip the to shovel out other male deposits these are facts dude how distressing you you blew up the you blew up the The Rundown but I I feel like we need to jump into it now the big 1000 was completely done so it started off I'll give you bit of an overview after to start with it was just like the room was absolutely full then we did groups of five like one after the other of fives I wanted to give people more time so then it went down to like one-on ones didn't it so like one person would watch whilst I was with somebody and then it would literally just be like a rotating circle like that a th men I I feel okay 157 when when 57 guys in a single day is the rounding error it's like bro bro that's where I was going to go with everybody has a college story of like oh I know a girl who slept with 50 guys oh 20 guys oh 10 guys wait wait in a night like some type I don't have that story I want to be very clear I'm very sad now you know somebody who has a promiscuous past okay but I feel like this is like the Mr basification of like promiscuity like my God she like she didn't say challenges yeah like I'm I'm not going to sleep with 100 guys I'm going to sleep with a thousand guys and it's like do you want a thumbnail she did a breakdown there was a post conference what are we do like everything about this terrifies me uh okay so setting the Jokes Aside uh I worry about the algorithms running in her brain are going to Punisher on a long timeline for this Behavior so during I wasn't um engaging with this kind of stuff culturally when it was happening but when the whole um men and women are the same thing was happening it was like I heard the headline and I was like the [ __ ] out of here like that is the craziest thing I've ever heard in my life because from an evolutionary standpoint Evolution's never going to let that happen so it's planting algorithms in the male brain and it's planting very different algorithms in the female brain I encourage everybody with a stomach for lewd discussions to read the book a billion Wicked thoughts which is Google Engineers that sat down to look at all the searches that men do and women do classify them and then take um psychological leaps as to what they mean it it was incredibly elucidating in terms of the way that men and women think about sex utterly fascinating the quick breakdown is uh men are looking for as many women as they can because they're able to with very little investment uh populate the world with their children right so take genghiskhan who was incredibly successful at this game and some absurd like 14% of all it's not quite that high but 10% something like that of all people in the world are related to gang iskhan just insane so that's a male strategy you're never going to have a woman be able to do that because the um investment that she has to make biologically is so gigantic so she's going to spend nine months uh with that that humans have evolved to the point where if the head of a fetus got any bigger women would not be able to walk so we're literally at that balance point where the hips have been widened as much as they can tilted as much as they can anymore and they're just not going to be able to move so or walk so we're in this like weird dance of okay this woman is going to do this incredibly dangerous thing to try to squeeze this gigantic brain out of her birth canal super risky uh historically it killed very distressingly high percentage of of women and so uh you're carrying it for nine months you take a huge risk when it's born and then you've got to make sure that you take care of that postbirth essentially gestation period where you've got to raise that thing for a lot of years before it gets to the point where it's actually going to be able to take care of itself so the female brain um has been likened to a detective agency and so they talk about that in the book so a guy is just looking for sex which is why you look at male pornography and it's literally just close-up shots of genitals that's that's what a guy's here for straight to action yep not even just straight to action straight to the genitals and women on the other hand like they want to understand like is this guy going to be a good provider and so a lot of their fantasy is relational in nature it's mental it's situational um and so if you want to understand what female pornography is it's 50 Shades of Gray it's a long novel about a relationship it obviously has sexual elements in it but it is um all context dependent it's the relationship with the person and what they mean and what it means about them and all the stuff so they're trying to make sure that they identify this person is going to be able to uh take care of me when I'm at my most vulnerable and then be able to help me take care of the child going to have a propensity to provide me and the child with uh resources and so it's just a totally different game so back to sleeping with 1,57 women I I don't have any moral judgment uh that's just not how my value system works but I look at that and I say oo those algorithms are running in your mind and so you have overridden those either with like a a boss [ __ ] mentality of I'm going to control my own money uh this is a ridiculously easy way for me to make money on only fans and I want to control my destiny I want to take care of my family whatever I haven't seen her talk so I can't swear that these are the words she's saying but I'm going to guess that that is what's overriding these algorithms that she has running and this isn't the same girl that up with 100 is it no this is like her homie though they're in the same so when the girl cried after sleep with the 100 guys I saw a bit of that I was like yeah this is the evolutionary algorithm kicking in going okay that wasn't what I thought it was going to be I had to disassociate because you're overriding all of this natural impulse to like whoa whoa whoa who are you are you safe uh my mom giving me the the greatest insight into female sexuality when she said for a woman to orgasm with you she has to trust you and I was like whoa that was super eye openening for me so anyway she's overriding all of that that um that wiring in her own brain and so there's going to I mean look it's it's always possible that her algorithm just they're not there yeah uh very unlikely and I think there will be an internal emotional price to pay and then one last fractal we are both the shout and the echo so we are what we do and what other people think about what we do and she won't be able to escape that one yeah so she'll have a very cloer group of people that love her care about her and maybe you're like you know what I love you you go girl it's empowering no matter what I'm here for you um and the larger world is not because the larger world has these algorithms running in their brain yeah and uh men want a Virgin uh I'm obviously skimming quickly on a very hot topic but I am just going to leave it there men want virgins it's a thing uh because from an evolutionary standpoint that's way better you know the paternity you know it's your child um and then women really scrutinize the men so you now go out into the outside world and your faces everywhere as a woman that not only slept with 1057 men but slept with them in one night you're triggering insecurities in guys you're triggering uh shame uh you're triggering disgust and so you're going to get all of that back in spades so the shout I did this thing I have built an internal value and belief system where I still feel good about myself uh my friends Echo back that it's all good it's amazing it's empowering but the outside world is going to absolutely hit her with a tsunami of negativity not just now literally for decades to come and so um that won't be pleasant and as much as I like to really reinforce myself that I need to have a set of values that I live by and no matter what other people think of me as long as I'm living in accordance with those values I'm good I know that I am going to be influenced necessarily so as a social Animal by what other people tell me about the things that I do yeah and so woof man she's just that that's going to be that's going to be tough I got a yes or no question for you y do you think you could find a thousand women to sleep with one man do I think I could find a thousand women that will sleep with one man yeah so you know how she slept she was a woman slept with a thousand men if it was inverse do you think that scenario would happen well the inverse would be um one man sleeping with a thousand women yeah is that what you mean oh I said it backwards yeah that that's what yeah can you find a guy to sleep with a thousand uh not in a row I mean that would be pretty tough I mean it was like 42 seconds per dude so it's not like he was making it's not intimate love making now now I'm going to ask you a yes or no question can you maintain an erection for 12 hours [ __ ] like cuz if you can you got to teach this man because oh my God I don't even think I want to you damage to the penile tissue at like hour four they're like you need to see a doctor so uh unless you literally like one thrust per girl and even that logistically just sounds tough ah man I can't fathom uh yeah my neighbor once had a flemy cough that made me lose an erection so I can't fathom going through a thousand that just seems tough over a lifetime I've got no beef but if I got to Rocket in a 12- hour period I just don't think I can do it man I like to think I'm I'm pretty tough but whoo um yeah that's like the David goggin of sex that that would be tough It's tense [ __ ] right there that'll be hard uh yeah I mean you did it Bonnie congratulations I I don't I wonder what it does for only fan Subs maybe she broke the internet who knows we'll get back to the show in just a minute but first let's talk about optimizing your health the key to upgrading your diet isn't just about what you don't eat the quality of your protein matters a lot I learned this firsthand when my wife leaves was struggling with massive gut issues we realized that highquality meat made a massive difference that's why I've been a butcher box member for years there are no antibiotics no added hormones Just Pure Clean protein that powers real change they deliver straight to your door and shipping is always free here is an incredible offer choose either 2 lbs of wild caught salmon 2 lbs of grass-fed ground beef or 3 lbs of organic chicken breast to get free in every box for an entire year you're also going to get an extra $20 off your first box when you use code impact go right now to butcherbox.com impact and use code impact to upgrade your protein today now back to the show moving on AI we' seen some crazy iterations with AI video later um lately CES videos we've been seeing a lot of the Technologies but AI has quietly become legitimate at making video like text the video has become insane and it's not just 3 seconds we have the Will Smith spaghetti side by side it's like two tabs over g i guys when you watch this I know this is old news so I'm sure you've all seen it but this is uh what I want people to take away is the rate of change like a year it was missing the mouth it was and then now it's it's crazy when he start when I think he like ends up turning into a spaghetti monster eating spaghetti it it is because at first I thought maybe we're just being trolled and this is actually him eating spaghetti because it looks so real and then he becomes like a full-blown spaghetti monster and I was like nope this really is AI I mean it's just absolutely insane it's only a matter of time before TV movies dude uh we have more Clips show show the next clips there's one of it's like uh almost sort of and we'll get to not not that one yet that one's like so yeah this one uh So speaking of movies like look at this this feels uh very video gamey but obviously they typed and they wanted that stylistic uh piece of it but like watch how it Dodges the explosion so even to the point where the patterns that the AI is picking up on is that a ship would Dodge this out of the other now once the AI is generating off of physics so it isn't just guessing the next frame it's guessing the next frame based on what it knows about physics uh wow it dude this is happening so fast I don't I don't look out at the world and see people gasping as hard as I expect based on the rate of change because it's the rate of change that's going to overwhelm people so uh yeah I mean this is crazy now show the one from CES because this is like once it starts outputting like really mundane videos it was the one of the woman flying you had it up just like yeah this one so um this just feels like yeah like super average you know nothing super fancy and like this one you'd go bro that's AI because it's it's just not realistic you wouldn't have open flames and stuff like that so people will write that one off but some of the subsequent ones in the sequence the are just absolutely crazy like if you scroll down this one dude that just looks real yeah people just wandering but that one guy looks I mean oh my goodness the fact that everything in here is AI created it's not just the one guy on the hoverboard it's the background it's the it's the props it's the sets it's the the fake booths in the background the name tags the name tags that was what really got me I was like yep that 100% but that it knows in the prompt when you say CES it knows what CES is is as a category of thing and it knows that in that category of thing people are likely to wear badges but but not everybody I mean it's just nuts this is all happening so fast so yeah we are already at the point where you could do an individual shot in a movie for sure uh using AI generation but I really think where it's going to get crazy what Jensen hang was talking about at CES is we now have these graphic processors that are cheaper and faster and the reason they're cheaper and faster is we render one frame so okay we know all the bounce and all that stuff it's calculation it's not pattern recognition it's calculation then which is essentially physics for light yeah then we have the AI go oh if it's like that then this is what the next three frames look like and so it AI the next three frames renders one AI is the next three renders one AI is the next three so now imagine I'm doing uh a movie the next Marvel movie and I want to do some crazy thing I can go in I can build uh my 3D models and I can now just start doing key frames and AI is going to fill in all the gaps and anybody that knows about how anime is done that's exactly how they do anime but so they'll have the really talented artist go in and draw like every whatever 10th Frame or something and then they have the cheap guys go in and fill everything in it takes forever it's extremely expensive the industry is known for just abusing the life out of those poor people that do the inet and now it's just all going to be done just like that by Ai and that's that's the thing like right now if you're getting filled with existential dread for now focus on be the one that does the key animation that's already the pipeline it's just now it's going to be filled in by um Ai and so it will be way better it will be way faster it will be way cheaper so an individual person can go in and create tremendous works of art um for cheap and fast it's just really really crazy I was streaming about this today on Twitch which by the way if anybody's into gaming you catch me streaming Tuesday Thursday Saturday Sunday 6:30 am Pacific time uh and there's in The Gaming Community there's so much like existential unease about what's going to happen man what does this all look like yeah uh and it gets scary real fast and so this is where you got to get hold of those emotions ground yourself no one can see the future it's possible we cap out rate of change all that stuff so just focus right now what does this allow me to do focus on that get good at that don't allow yourself to stand still uh that would be the only the mistake 100% I think it's empowering to know that okay AI is going to do these things it's going to take over these industries but right now I can make a really cool 30 second video right now I can now have a editor right in my computer right now I can do those things that I was limited to my limited capacity of Animation my limited capacity of rendering so there there is a a level of opportunity there if you could just get over the existential thread in meaning crisis for sure and that is coming but that's a whole another video all right and you know what else is coming you man Trump uh January 20th is right around the corner and he has already started rolling out his new regulations um this is kind of funny could we pull up that Trump tweet on Truth social he officially announced the external Revenue Service oh God I would be lying if I said when I read this I didn't like get sucked into a populist um sugar rush it did how did you feel when you read that this to me I laughed cuz I was like he announced a new regulation under the guys of like fewer regulations it's like a new agency agency a new agency we're going to slash government except for this one that we're going to add technically he added to because now he added Doge now he's asking an external well doge is just a um an advisory committee that has an end date but this one really is uh a whole another agency uh but I really did have a populist Sugar Rush when I read this it really we're going to talk about the realities of this cuz is not as clean as Trump is going to want you to believe but the idea of hold on everybody I'm really here fighting for you for Americans I am going to find a way to get the government off your back uh the joke since I was a little kid is the only two certain things in life or death and taxes and so what he's saying is no no no maybe that's not a forever thing and maybe we can get back to where because I don't think many people know this uh we didn't have a federal income tax for a long time and then it got put in I think around World War I don't quote me on that but it was a war it was like yeah we got to get something in here uh and so they put that in place um and for a long time it was very low like 1% once they did introduce it uh and it's really only in a relatively modern context so I'm going to say the last 100 150 years um probably closer to 150 but anyway you get the idea that it wasn't a forever thing in our country we went for a long time without it now I think it's important to understand Peter Schiff had some push back did I send you that tweet think I did the dog pull that up it's interesting so the first thing I did was start I I had the the popular sugar rush and then I was like all right hold on a sec I know better than to trust my emotions this feels too good the idea of not being taxed uh how realistic is this and I think we're going to see uh absolute tsunami of people that are like look this is not going to end the way you think this is what Peter shiff had to say if you're listening I'll read it uh instead of eliminating government agencies Trump just promised to create a new one the external Revenue Service but all the revenue collected will be paid by Americans who buy imported products if Trump actually believes what he is saying the nation is in a lot of trouble and so what Peter's getting at there is uh Trump doesn't understand the complexities of the economy and uh if he really thinks this is going to work he's a fool and this is going to backfire in everybody's face all right I'm going to walk us through the um the Steelman of his argument Mark andrees was recently I think this was in his uh Hoover Institute interview which if anytime you can listen to Mark Andre and do uh including the episode I did with him uh but he is a phenomenal thinker and he said look what Trump understands is system level thinking I will round that to he gets the gist of it he knows how the pieces connect he's not going to be able to give you all the details but he really is in the weeds he gets how one thing connects to another um and so if you're turning to him for you know dates and prise measurements and no he's not going to know that part of it but but the rough gist of how the system works yes he actually does get it now um the counterargument to what Trump is doing because I get what he's trying to do and I love the idea of being able to return America to where we either have very low federal income tax or no federal income tax to be great we're certainly not getting there in four years I I literally can't imagine that World um but the Steelman argument on the Peter sh side of why this isn't going to work of something like this yes we have been there historically uh nobody's lying to you that says that there was a time in American history where we did not pay federal income tax and yes we ran the government largely off of tariffs that we were getting from other people the problem was that America and the world was relatively isolationist already so manufacturing was incredibly strong in the US we farmed basically everything that we ate here in the US and and so back in that day the government was very small uh governments were already more or less isolated we could get everything that we needed here in the US and so people that were trying to come into the US market going whoa you guys have a lot of people and I'd love to have access to them uh we could tariff them at that point because Americans were used to buying American stuff anyway and so the things that were going to come in maybe would undercut or whatever to reach that market and so it just left parody so the people that wanted to get into the market they could get into the market uh we made a fortune off of the you know the rate that we were charging them to come into the country M technically the way that it's paid is actually by the Importer anyway we don't need to get into that I know it just to stop the uh comments from derailing uh so yes I understand how that works but just to keep it nice and simple for argument sake uh a good tries to come into your country you're able to collect off of that and then you're able to fund the government okay now the government obviously is much larger we have massive entitlements uh and so what we would be able to collect from tariffs I just cannot fathom and I'm very open hey if there's an economist out there that that can show me how I'm wrong I'm not a dogmatic thinker I'm always interested in in things that um update my thinking to something that's more accurate uh but I don't think we could ever tax sorry it is a type of tax I don't think we could ever tariff Goods enough such that we would be able to meet the level of crazy drunken absurd want spending that we C currently do in the government okay uh could we shrink government yes hopefully Doge does a little bit but nobody's going to touch entitlements and and until you do that you just you're not going to make that kind of progress okay so there's that part then there is um the fact that we are very globalized at this point and so we count on even our drones that the military uses the vast majority of them are made in China China so China if I can uh do do my China uh I got to get better at that um so that's crazy and we shouldn't do that because if we're in a cold war as I think we are and should that cold war ever get spicy uh you don't want the enemy making your weapons so that's a little crazy so we're an extremely globalized uh economy now and so if you go all right everybody that's trying to bring Goods into this amazing American economy uh we're g to tear a few and then Americans are gonna be like uh time out bro because that's the only place I can get that thing is from China Paraguay El Salvador whatever and so I'm not left with an option and so now you just told me that prices are going to be coming down but prices are going up like crazy so uh don't love this so you are going to get that okay that's the Steel Man of that side it's far more complicated now our spending is way bigger we're extremely globalized so all the things that made it work in the past we do not have the same setup I do think that it's important to acknowledge over time of course we would begin to onshore things again we would have to build back up our manufacturing base um and doing that for people that really had an allergic reaction to the H1B Visa uh who was like I've already talked about my thoughts on this but if America first to you means you hire a Merin workers um then you're going to love them it you'll have a few years of like not so great because you're going to need things to come back onshore um and then also and I think this is the most important part of this is that I believe it is way better to let people decide what they want to spend essentially their tax dollars on so it would go like this yes goods are more expensive but my income tax has dropped dramatically and so my income tax drops dramatically I'm now spending that saved money onto the things that I want to buy some of them because many things especially Essentials you'll be able to get that are made here or they could even tariff selectively such that things like food and stuff like that they they don't touch from exactly so now you're basically making tax dollars discretionary I can spend them as I see fit what I love about that is autonomy and you know my hobby horse about you need to let the person who saves money win and and that puts somebody in a position where if they're willing to forego all of those other goods and they want to live a really uh fire life FY um then let them do that I think it's FY re right the people that really limit their life I probably should have looked that up before I quoted that but it's fire no matter what the acronym stands for I can't remember now Financial if it's independence of God then it's fire f i e anyway uh someone will put that in the comments which is the right one but people that really want to live a um sort of monastic life but just save save save save safe so you now give them an opportunity to get ahead and that to me like if if Trump can begin the process of putting America on that path where all right I get to keep a very substantive amount of my paycheck prices are going to go up but on things that are discretionary spending not my essentials um then I think people would start feeling really good about that really fast but I do want to acknowledge it's not like like a simple thing like they're going to have to be deaf about it I I think it's it's where I see it it's a oxymoron because yes you can remove our federal tax dollars but we're going to have to subsidize the on shuring of a lot of these industries which is going to increase our government spending so then they'll need those tax dollars and so it's one of those things where it's like the government will have to spend more to bring the factories back to subsidize the first level of farmers who plant our almond so we don't go across the sea again like we'll have to set those people up to make it America First and America manufactured at least sort of so a lot of times the way that subsidies work is through not collecting tax revenue versus actually outlaying raw dollars uh now I'm I haven't looked at this I'm not close to this at all I'm just saying there are levers that they can pull so for instance I was thinking the solar thing where it was like the cash grab of we're doing solar Farms now so then it created a wave of people going into the solar industry because they knew they get those Federal subsidies for certain things correct correct and if uh Trump is able to pull this off we could get ourselves to the point where we were selling energy to the rest of the world so not only are we energy independent but that we can now sell so there are things that we could do that would um by deregulating a lot of this stuff by mining minerals and ores that are I forget how many of the like critical things um have been discovered in America but we have more resources than we have tapped um that were regulated away from doing when you start to deregulate you get Innovations like fracking and I know that's super controversial but when you let people explore options like that you're going to see more and more stuff like that um I'm not super close to the problem but my understanding is that we could become energy independent have a surplus and be able to sell it but we we would have to go back to Coal we would have to stay on fossil fuels um and so I don't know about the coal thing I could be wrong about that certainly fossil fuels um so and then seeing the nuclear plants being spun up by companies there there are a lot of options that if we get the regulatory environment correct um that we could really have potential there in terms of being able to not just tariff people but generate by selling into other economies yeah um I'm I'm hoping for it because I would love to not see that federal tax line on my paycheck you and me both so yes um something we're not going to see is fire in the Middle East at least for the next couple days we cated we celebrated the Seas fire but Ben Shapiro gave us a sobering tweet of the reality of this situation let's break it down yeah I think this is important uh to note so the hostage deal is not an end to the war um this is a temporary ceasefire so uh for anybody that is optimistic I love that be optimistic I think exting this is worth celebrating shout out to everybody involved shout out to Biden shout out to Trump like love it love to see it I think this is absolutely fantastic news for all of us concerned um and let's also remember that this is not the end of the war the odds that this goes hot again are very high uh I'll be interested to see how this plays out but they specifically would not agree to um some of the things like a uh in fact we can just read what he put uh where is it he covered this well the third one yeah so what does all of this mean first that some hostages will come home alive this is an unmitigated good it would have been excellent to get more hostages out but that option was presumably unavailable given hamas's radical and transigence and the waning health of many of the hostages second that the war will continue until Hamas has no control over Gaza Trump's nominees have said as much so has the Israeli government the Trump team uh squared the circle the Biden team undoubtedly wanted a permanent end to the conflict as a condition of the saage release team Trump presumably told Hamas that wasn't going to happen and that this was the best deal they were likely to get so yeah the odds that um we're still back in in that very uncomfortable situation where Israel is not going to back down until Hamas is completely uh a non- entity in Gaza uh and gazans don't feel like um they've got Israel basically um in the open air prison so uh it could still get very weird but this is a super encouraging step and I saw Trump's tweet about this I don't know if we have it or not but he said uh basically this is a really great indication hopefully we can continue to make progress with the Abraham Accords uh so it's going to be interesting man it's going to be interesting I really can't stop myself but be hopeful it's uh I'm well aware that that's an emotion and I am very uh convinced that one should distrust their emotions but but I'm going to enjoy this one at least for a few days before it becomes real exactly take the win celebrate let them people come home and we'll deal with the next step when we get to the next step um you ready for your Tim foil hat I'm ready let's put it on conspiracy Corner everybody all right this is starting to become my favorite segment um I think that yeah we're gonna have a lot of fun with this in 25 so I never know if uh how much Credence to give these I give them very little I admittedly this to me is an entertaining aspect though conspiracies have a crazy way of proving themselves to be true uh but what do you have for us what's up first all right so Alex tweeted um so Aster right there that the historic JFK evidence dropped that he found who was behind it and it was LBJ did you listen to it I got like 30 minutes in but the grainy old schooly like voice kind of got me out of it interesting so uh we won't play the whole thing here but basically it is a very clear tape uh and it is audio of the former executive director of the DNC and close associate of LBJ this is me reading the Alex Jones tweet uh Clifton Carter admitting that LBJ hired ma Wallace to assassinate JFK it is not ambiguous at all he just straight says uh I didn't love it uh but I'm an LBJ guy and so we did it and that's just that and I was like damn now admittedly in the age of AI I just assume all this stuff is fake so I will wait for somebody to play had you ever seen that before I had never seen this Ultra highdef uh U of uh Kennedy getting shot pretty gruesome crazy uh makes it pretty clear uh where he got shot from just by the way that the blood explodes but again it's been upred so much I don't know how much it can be believed but anyway I am the world's headlin reader on the JFK stuff so I will leave you guys to check it out but if Trump goes into office and starts declassifying this stuff and we just get a wave of this uh of just the raw answers man of of the uh man's political animal hey I'm I'm GNA go black pill for a second um take sir FBI came out and said that they killed Martin Luther King M mol X they gave us all the alien documentaries and all the they was like yeah Area 51 there's we got aliens right now they told us everything but the JFK files for some reason are double sealed in a safe like locked up and for me it seems that they have been willing to back up and backtrack and even the weapons of mass destru like there have been so many times where government was like my bad we were lying like we didn't really mean that this is what actually happened and this is the one thing from the longest time frame that it's still like n you'll never you'll never know what happened so to me it's like maybe it was an inside job that it came from somebody who then took the position of the White House and maybe that's why he didn't want it unsealed and here's the really bad news I'm like oh okay that's dude I don't even know what to do with that yeah so it it let's just thought thought experiment I'm not saying this is what happened I'm saying thought experiment uh let's say that really is real tape that's really what happened LBJ the vice president had the president murdered so that he could step into the white house uh that is unimaginably dark yeah and yet because it happened so long ago and I've just seen so many crazy things that you just go okay it it literally didn't even change my day I wasn't even like oh my God this is crazy I was just like oh that's what happened like it's almost way more boring than some of the books about the assassination which are way more like CIA goes and gets and maybe it's just because the only things I've ever read about it are like the downstream and so you hear all the like they went and got this guy and he was trained here and they' to lie about this and take him to the DMV and and so it just seemed so coordinated whereas this is just like yeah we just had him kill it is what it is like there's something about the banality of it all that is just it's in keeping with what I already believe about humans that's the terrifying part like if you read history this is like not that big of a deal man like this is just what humans do yeah gangas Khan is laughing right now dude honestly honestly if you're in my community um and you're not already you would love reading about history it is so fascinating there's a book I'm reading right now in fact I need to check on this tweet CU I tweeted about this yesterday um I'm reading a book called blood and thunder mhm and it's about uh the conquest of America there's no easy way to say it so we [ __ ] took Mexico uh which went all the way up through California we're just like we'll take that [ __ ] uh obviously Native Americans wiped out crazy and you read about those times and you're like hold on wait a minute like that's how people treated each other dude it is the most brutal gruesome Litany of murders in the coldest blood you can imagine every page is an episode of I shouldn't be alive and half the pages are everybody's dead I mean it's just but like dead in like really horrible nasty ways yeah and you're just like yo humans are capable of insane [ __ ] so the only thing that makes this kind of crazy is that it's so high level and that they hit it for so long but it isn't like more gruesome it's not more evil it's just like humans do a lot a lot of evil [ __ ] like up close evil [ __ ] I mean kill the woman cut open the womb take out the baby evil [ __ ] yeah yeah it's nuts so anyway that was my take on LBJ I just running the thought experiment of it's all proved yep it's it uh I'm I'm going to shrug and just like move on man that's weird I don't know that I like that but that is true I respect him all right so we went back in the day so I'm going to give you a current one and maybe this kind of changes it up a little bit all right another conspiracy let's go so investigative journalist James O'Keefe who is oh my God who is swipe exposing people I'm never going on a date with anybody in DC this is crazy don't don't do it don't do it he exposes a guy named Jamie Marina who prides himself Manina Manina or marinina looks like Manina from here that's how I've read it but James said added R in there so I'm going say Jamie uh exposed himself as a former FBI agent called himself a spy hunter and meanwhile was just telling all the T to his date um he talked about how he is working with one two and three star generals how he goes wrote a bunch of op EDS to try to smear Donald Trump in o
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