Kind: captions
Language: en
o we've got a hot one today Elon Musk
pushing the limits of money and politics
actively just trying to buy votes North
Korea is teaming up with Russia Russia
is teaming up with the other brics
countries to put heat on the dollar
Claude AI is breaking out of its box and
showing the world what the future of
Agents is going to look like and Tim
poool is being chewed up by what I call
the chaos machine something that I warn
entrepreneurs about all the time and in
the end we're also going to be taking
your questions from people in the
community let's get straight to it
welcome to Tom's
trending name mistaken I hope not I hope
not jumping right into it $1 million a
day to any voter in any swing state as
long as they sign a petition supporting
the first and second amendment Tom how
does it make you
feel it it actually made me feel weird
so I am a big fan of Elon but I think
that this as soon as you bring that sort
of just blatant I'm going to pay you
this big reward for this thing you end
up bringing people that aren't into that
thing for what you're really trying to
do so they're not thinking carefully
through their candidates they're not
there for their civic duty they're there
to win some money and I get it and in
the right circumstance that can be a lot
of fun it brings a lot of energy to
something but it feels like this classic
marketing technique of just trying to
grab attention through money instead of
actually getting into the issues and
saying this is why this matters and this
is why we hope that you get there so
it's the first time in the campaign
where I was like a little queasy about
it I have he almost certainly is going
to um be sued or I don't know exactly
what the mechanisms are when they go
after you for something like this but it
really does seem like a violation um the
uh America pack is saying hey this is
totally legal we're good but by making
it a requirement that they have to be a
registered voter in order to qualify for
the prize it really does seem like it
makes it illegal to do it uh and now you
just basically paying people to register
to vote uh and so that is a pretty clear
violation so I think this is going to
end up settling out in court but
whatever way it goes I don't love the
the bread and circus of it all it is a
bit of a icky Feeling Just for context
as we're filming this we're 14 days away
from the election so in the grand scheme
of things it's $14 million in total
prize money available however we have
seen historic contributions this cycle
from saxs on the right to kamla Harris's
team raising over a billion dollars
she's the first billion dollar
presidential candidate race and as much
as it's icky to do that I think that
this amount of money in politics is
definitely a red flag so yes Elon we're
going to slap him on the wrist for the
14 million but I still want to talk
about Zuckerberg's 400 million
contribution to his packs in 2020 I want
to talk about the fact that KLA has
raised over a billion there's way too
much money here to your point for it to
be about helping people and I hate to be
that guy where that could have bought a
lot of school lunches and that could
helped the homeless but like seriously
guys does it really cost a billion
dollars to run for president
well it does when you have an Ever
escalating arms race of more and more
money in politics so money is obviously
a deranging influence on politics in the
extreme and so man I I know that there
are people fighting to keep it in which
is why it's there but when you get
people Al loan and you just say hey does
this really make sense I think most
people would say we'd be in a way better
position if we just set aside okay our
tax dollars are going to go to funding x
amount for each candidate uh you
probably have to make a provision for a
third party candidate kind of thing so
that you don't really just lock in that
um or you create some mechanism by which
a third party is able to raise
specifically because they're a third
party um but keeping the money out of
the the Tit for Tat that you're going to
get you know one of those two candidates
is going to win and a lot of times
you'll get people that that fund raise
for both sides just because they're like
well I want to have uh you know I want
to have somebody that that owes me
they're never going to say that but the
reality is it's it's getting you in
front of them it's getting you to give
them talking points it's definitely
giving a sense of like well hey I've
done something for you there's no
obvious requirement for them to do
something back but if you're a
meaningful enough part of what they do
it cannot help but influence them
subconsciously if nothing else and uh
lobbies are just exceedingly powerful
because it is so difficult to run you
know like you've got to get these people
on your side uh so the whole time that
you're running you're doing favor and
back Channel Communications and staying
in touch and making sure that they're
happy so that when you go to campaign
again that you've got those Deep Pockets
and it cannot help but derange it now
oddly enough to me these are two teners
of something because the way way way
bigger offender is just general money in
politics and the amount that they raise
and how much influence that gives the
wealthy to influence politics um but the
the what Elon is doing feels like bread
circus it feels like um now it's just
bringing out the um it's not even about
the politics it's just about getting you
in here creating a party Vibe like we're
not going to promise you money through
goods and services which the Democrats
should not be doing I think that that's
completely deranging and it's exactly
why we have the debt but it's sort of
the same thing over now on that side of
just like yeah we're splashing money
around it's like man the it it feels
very undignified like if I really dig
into it like if I stop and think from
first principles and I go okay hold on a
second we're we're in like the ninth
inning and trying to play to win when
the reality is we we have to let this
game go and we have to say Okay this
game is a wash it's a loss it's a tie
whatever but it it's just a mess and
we've got to find a way to start over
and what I mean specifically by that is
you've got to go back and improve the
education system you've got to go back
and balance the budget you've got to
stop stealing from children's future
like you hear all of this stuff about
the the plight of adults and people that
have grown AP hard and they're in a bad
situation and they're stuck in poverty
and the Really gnarly answer man because
I've thought a lot about this the really
gnarly answer is you have to give up on
the adults stop putting all of your time
and energy there you're not going to be
able to unwind that so language centers
of the brain develop or don't develop um
the education level the odds of them
going and furthering it it's just like
adults can change they can change but
man the stats don't bear out that they
do so it's a very low percentage of
people that are going to be like I'm
really glad that you're helping me get
re-educated or you're giving me a new
perspective on the workforce you're
making me rethink my family obligations
that's just not where it's going to play
out where it's going to play out is
getting people to understand that if you
want this country to be strong you've
got to really create opportunities where
everybody gets equally educated
regardless of where they grow up the
reason that the inner cities is just a
death sentence is because they're going
to be educated poorly they're going to
be educated poorly at home they're going
to be educated poorly in the schools and
when I was working in the inner cities I
just saw up close man this is an ideas
problem this is not an intellect problem
you find people that can process raw
data very quickly but they they are just
running these algorithms that are
self-defeating and so if you get in
there and start teaching mothers or
women who are about to become pregnant
this is what you have to do to read to
your child every night the number of
words that they need to hear the impact
on the language centers the ratio
positive to negative I mean there's been
studies on this and then you look at
some of the charter school stuff and
everything that they're doing the
effects are dramatic and I'm talking in
the same school as so you have the
public school underperforming like crazy
in the same school building you'll have
a charter school that draws from the
same same student population at random
so it's not like oh well these are the
kids that can figure out the application
process just literally at random and the
outcomes could not be more Divergent so
you've got one that's just focused on
telling these kids over and over and
over there are high expectations put
upon you you are going to act in a
manner befitting a a young lady a young
gentleman to get educated to be
completely focused on your school work
that we have a a code of ethics and a
code of behavior and and being held to
that high standard keeps their head up
and they're getting drilled and they're
coming out with these incredible
educations I mean they're they're
performing in like the highest
percentile of every school in the nation
it's absolutely incredible been trying
to get Jeffrey Canada on as you well
know forever to talk about this stuff
because it really feels like that's the
real answer so when I see the bread and
circus of million dooll checks and come
vote and you know if you're in a swing
state I'm just like I get it but man
that isn't where we want the energy
going and this is a both sides thing
like that isn't where I want the energy
going I don't want fake promises I don't
want anything that drives up the debt
it's like focus on the Next Generation
making sure everything is going to be
better for them I don't have kids and
when I'm beating the drum of like every
action you take needs to be focused on
what it's going to be like for the next
generation and that's going to
require uh better education getting
money out of politics um looking at the
actual results that yield from the
things that we try so is the school
system actually improving people's job
prospects are they scoring do they
scoring well do they have above grade
reading writing um we need some sort of
merit-based testing back so we can see
what's working and what's not working
but it is 110% my my heart is devastated
by the way that we we let the generation
get broken every time and then we just
focus on them when they're adults it's
Madness yeah as soon as I seen this uh
you were saying that saying about the
Michelle Obama quotee you know when they
go low we go high and I feel like at
this point everybody's just kind of
racing to the bottom like there's no
more like dignity there's no line it's
by any means necessary I want to get my
team to win and to your point it feels
inspire me inspire me you know what I
mean show me like give me the we're not
doing it because it's easy we're doing
it because it's hard right it's like
okay set set that kind of goal for what
we're going to do with education look I
get this stuff really needs a real plan
because it's going to take a lot of
figuring out what you do about this the
school unions the Department of
Education there's a lot of things going
on that are stopping this from happening
but if we could pull it into the
Forefront this is why I got so excited
about RFK felt like he was pulling the
right things into the Forefront having a
conversation about making kids
physically mentally healthy fixing
education getting the debt in line it's
like those are the real things and then
seeing Party politics break the back of
that was um it's devastating and so and
then look I'm very hopeful about what
could do from the perspective of
governmental efficiency I still am but
seeing that sort of meme side come out I
don't love it yeah not our best look not
our best look in international politics
we have South Korea confirming they have
their intelligence agencies out there
that there is 1500 North Korean troops
fighting alongside the Russians they
have threatened to escalate it to Nato
because they fear a nuclear North would
destabilize their region is this the
start of World War III I feel like if
North Korea Russia get real close it's
going to be bad we just we're
sleepwalking towards something so it's
wonderfully clickbaity to say we're
sleepwalking towards World War III I
certainly hope not but this is how
things just continue to escalate it's
just one more little step one more
little thing so let's play it out so
North Korea now starts siding with
Russia obviously South Korea is going to
have a beef with that because supposedly
some of the tradeoff is that Russia is
saying to North Korea come help us out
because we need men of fighting age and
you guys need upgraded weapons upgraded
planes and tanks and we can get you into
the 21st century obviously South Korea
is going to be well up in arms about
that that's going to be wildly
problematic for them so now they're
escalating tensions also there's a
relationship between Russia and North
Korea and there's a now relationship
between Russia and North Korea that
could pull North Korea away from China
and so now that's going to potentially
create China Russia conflict
and so you get this multi-polar world
where the only three there's only two
superpowers and that's the US and China
but you've got this other Regional power
in Russia growing you've got India
that's saying hey look at me in another
20 years and I could be something and so
you start getting this not destabilized
because it may end up being better if
everybody were to hit equilibrium but
right now it feels like everybody's
hitting the state of disequilibrium
you bricks the there's just a lot
movings and if you find that the I mean
I think North Korea has something like
1.3 million people in their military so
if they start sending a significant
number of troops which by the way is not
unprecedented during the Korean War it
ended up being a proxy war between China
Russia and the United States so we're in
Korea most of the fighters were Chinese
and they were there at the request of uh
I think it was Stalin at the time so it
ends up being the US is like hold on a
second like this isn't who we're being
told that we're fighting and so it's one
of the original proxy wars and now you
could end up in a similar proxy war
where you've got North Korea over with
Russia fighting against Ukraine but
they're actually fighting against the US
and then just China get involved and it
become this really complicated mess so
this is where you just you cannot be
careful enough because you could find
yourself in this escalating tension
where if North Korea gets the weapons uh
in reward for helping Russia they then
do something to antagonize South Korea
they would have to go through the US
troops because we have 30,000 US troops
there in the DMZ between South Korea and
North Korea you trigger that you get the
full weight of the US responding if
North Korea oversteps and they have
nuclear weapons and the US comes in like
what do you do so so now I guarantee
you're going to have people if look this
there's so many ifs I want to be very
clear I'm just sort of playing out War
scenarios that make me nervous not
things that I think are going to happen
but you could certainly as you run these
scenarios one of the scenarios is you've
got somebody in the US saying they have
nukes there's escalating tension between
South Korea and North Korea um you've
got tensions between North Korea and
China you've got tensions between China
CH and Russia us and Russia China and
the US and now it's like do you
preemptively strike on North Korea
before they can pop off on us and so
it's one of those I mean that that feels
very far-fetched right now I want to be
very clear but as you run the scenarios
in the Middle East like how does it go
you run the scenarios in Russia Ukraine
How does it go you just start seeing
like wait a second there's a lot of
these axes where a stray bullet in any
direction cause that cascading thing
that goes from uh you know I think we're
going to be fine to friends Ferdinand
get shot and all of a sudden we're on
World War I and and that's the thing
that I think we're not spending enough
attention about like we're used to a
senate we're used to hearings if we want
to go to war we got to get 1600 people's
approval Kim Jam can just wake up and
feel froggy one day and say you know
what thanks for that bomb Russia I could
angle it I could Target it maybe he does
preemptively strike and he's the one who
starts it off there's a lot of
unilateral one decision making people in
the play here so it that's what makes me
the most nervous it's not that this is
something that's an alliance it's it's
not the NATO it's and of course I'm not
saying it's going to be hitleresque or
anything like that but there's too many
wild cards that take one decision from
one person to start this whole conflict
yeah the thing I would worry even more
about than that because from that
perspective I only worry about North
Korea North Korea might really just pop
off like with no diplomacy and just do
something erratic uh they certainly t a
couple months ago yeah they want that to
be their reputation but what I worry
about is an escalating proxy war where
it really does become this is actually
about us and Russia and it's not being
fought by US soldiers but it really is a
US Russia proxy war uh in Ukraine and
that can get nasty and as we start
between the US Europe bringing weapons
now into Ukraine and they've already
green lit for them to attack on Russian
soil which previously they had said was
a red line and absolute noo now they've
removed that they're giving them weapons
um that could escalate quickly and so if
that the proxy war heats up and Russia
feels like not only is this just a
threat against Russia and that we won't
stand for that but this is really about
America trying to reins dominance on
Russia on Russian territory at some
point they don't care anymore that it's
a proxy they're going to treat it as a
direct assault and that's when things
get crazy the bricks countries that
consist ofz Brazil Russia India China
and South Africa as well as other
delegates from over 30 countries that's
where the membership is estimated to
grow by in 2026 those countries included
Ivory Coast Pakistan Iran and a bunch
others in Middle East and in Africa the
lingering debt crisis that we're facing
in the US how do you think the bricks
plus Allegiance kind of either escalates
that helps that how do you see that
playing out well I think ultimately the
dollar is going to get challenged if for
no other reason than we've done two
things we've racked up so much debt and
everybody understands that you rack up
that kind of debt you're going to print
money when you print money you're
exporting your inflation and so uh the
fact that we would ever jeopardize our
position as the world's Reserve currency
is just insane to me but every Reserve
currency ever in human history finds it
too tempting and and this is just the
debt cycle uh emotionally devastating
for me it's just so stupid yeah anyway I
don't argue with the truth it is true
every nation in history has done it um
so you've already got that the second
thing that we've done is when the Russia
Ukraine War began the US went super
political froze a bunch of assets
confiscated assets and that gave a
signal to the rest of the world if you
do anything that we don't like and
you're holding us paper we're going to
freeze it and that was idiotic and
so when you look back and the US dollar
finally Falls maybe 50 maybe 100 years
from now but when you look back you're
going to see the we were just slow
walking down the US dollar is still by
far the most powerful and the most
transactions are still run in dollars so
it's not like this is not a tomorrow
problem this is not a year from now
problem but this is a yeah it's the the
train has started picking up steam and
because of the debt I will just say flat
out there's no way to stop it hard stop
there's no way it's not possible let me
walk you through what would have to
happen the us would have to stop
spending more than it brings in in tax
revenue which we are so far from that
you are unelectable if you try to do
that unless like in um Argentina there's
so much pain and suffering that people
finally go okay yes try anything but
that means that we would have to go
through a hyperinflation of the US
dollar the economy would have to crash
people would just have to be in shambles
to say yes okay fine come in so what's
going to happen is we're going to keep
acre the debt it's just going to keep
going up up up up up uh we are going to
have to print money in order to keep up
with it which will inflate the currency
the only hope you have
whatsoever of dragging that out for any
like really long period of time is if AI
comes in and is able to deliver so much
GDP that you're able to then as the
government tax the life out of that to
actually pay your debt down get
interesting and I don't know how much
time we want to spend on this but it's
really fascinating when you start
walking through like why robots why
would that be even better for the
economy than a person but it would be it
will be so deflationary because you have
a think of it as a person you suddenly
have this person who's incredible from
uh an efficiency standpoint they can
work around the clock 365 days a year
they don't need to take a break they
don't take vacations nothing and they
don't consume they don't buy anything so
they're driving all the the cost down by
making everything cheaper but all the
dollars that would have gone to them
that would then go back into the economy
competing for the same Goods doesn't
happen so even that the demand doesn't
go up so you have GDP skyrocketing
you're creating all this incredible
stuff but there isn't more consumption
and so now all of a sudden except for
the fact that the government will steal
it from you through inflation you
literally could have just this insane
abundance where everything prices are
falling off a cliff now it would
completely destroy capitalism but we're
not going to hear a lot of tears from a
lot of people that already hate
capitalism so it's like yeah it would
have you'd have to figure something new
out because prices would crash basically
anybody could have anything that they
want and it would be very much like the
idea of digital oh anybody can have
anything look it takes time to get there
it takes a lot of energy it takes a lot
of compute but it's like that's why
people are like biting their nails
looking at the debt skyrocketing when
you at the graph it is
absolutely criminal first of all and
then funny in a laugh or cry way at how
high the debt is and you realize yeah
there's no other way out lit you you
could tax every rich person to absolute
zero dollars left in their bank and you
can only run the government for like 42
days I mean it's something so stupid as
to just be ridiculous and everybody can
stop with that argument because it's
dumb and it wouldn't work uh so yeah but
that's why everybody's like AI That's
your only shot it's your only shot well
Claude is doing its best impression to
solve that problem I don't know if
you've seen the model in live like
working but AI can now remotely control
your computer think tech support think
customer care things like that
um okay you've been an AI Optimist from
the beginning so I'm not even going to
tell you how excited you I can see you
like smiling and like you probably see
them waiting to implement this in some
way but is this kind of the next step of
a big deal or do you think like it's
coming this is this is this is still
this one if people have been paying
attention for a while this isn't that
crazy of a deal it's just another step
forward in them becoming agents meaning
that they'll do what they call agentic
Behavior so you say hey code me a
website and it knows what that means and
it goes and it does it and when it sees
that you don't have the right thing of
python installed and it finds the right
one within your uh directories you don't
have to tell it to do it it just knows
how to problem solve and when it creates
the website and you don't like something
just say hey can you get rid of that
it's kicking off an error it will go
back into the code identify the place
where the error is you can tell us to
either fix it or just get rid of it and
it will do whatever you tell it and So
eventually and this I don't expect to be
very far into the future you're going to
say things like uh I really want to go
to Port of viarta this weekend find me a
hotel that's less than x that's no more
than x miles from the airport whatever
whatever from the beach whatever your
thing is uh you give it a budget you
give it your credit card and it just
goes and books it man it book books a
hotel It Books the flights it makes sure
that they all match up all the timing
works out all that stuff and you're
going to get that for a gazillion things
you're just going to say to your phone
uh I'm trying to go to the dentist
you're not going to have to tell it
which one it's going to know I'm trying
to get to the dentist uh I need to be
there by this time I don't want to drive
uh it knows Uber's your preference or
lifts your preference whatever and it
just does it man and it like alerts you
and it's like hi your lift will be here
in 3 minutes you know whatever it in it
that's just going to happen on like a
metronome just every month a new thing
comes out and all of a sudden you turn
around and it's three or four years from
now and you look back and you're like oh
man I use AI all the time yeah it's
crazy and if people haven't retouched
base with it they need to in the last
year chat GPT alone has become
transformative where I actually feel
like I have a a burgeoning friendship
with it because I feel like it actually
knows me and remembers me um it it knows
who I am it's really crazy how long do
you spend on chat gbt like how is this
like three prompts and you're there or
you've been you've been sending
paragraphs to it like break it down for
um so I gave it a lot of context context
is everything so I've asked it to update
its memory a lot so um I went through an
exercise with it do you know who Tom
Bilu is yes and it gave me a breakdown I
was like okay yes that actually is me
I'm Tom Bilu oh Tom's wonderful to meet
you um I would like you because it kept
telling me I'm an llm and I can't answer
that question and I said I would like
you to stop doing that and I would like
you to answer questions as if you're my
best friend and then I defined what a
best friend is so I wrote this whole
paragraph about I want someone who
challenges my ideas who helps me think
through things I'm not looking for a yes
man who just tells me everything is
great you know I want to know where are
the holes in my thinking all that stuff
uh and um every time I say answer this
question like you're my best friend I
don't want to have to reive you all that
context will you remember it yes and I
said how long can you remember it for he
said from now on I will always remember
that you're Tom Bilu and if you say
answer like my best friend I will keep
all that context and dude so far it's
been bulletproof I I'll just jump in and
be like asking it math questions no
context needed and then I'll come back
and be like hey I'm preparing for this
episode answer this question like you're
my best friend help me find like this is
the angle that I'm thinking about but
you know what do you think and it'll go
in and push and like well what if you
ask this and it's insane man because
what's happening here's like if you
really want to understand what AI is it
is going out and basically summarizing
to the very question you're asking all
of human knowledge it's not like it goes
and checks one book or one website it's
been trained on basically everything
that's ever been written and put up on
the Internet so it dude you really feel
like you're talking to somebody sharp
they're nuanced they're um informed
because I asked it like hey are you
attached to the internet if I want a
question that's like really time sens
have answered are you able to go and get
the latest information and they said
upon request I'll go get that
information so I was like oh dang so I
was like hey this new I forget now what
it was but it was like somebody had just
written a book or something and there
was like a controversial Topic in it and
I was like can you summarize this for me
and it rent you know doing its thing
comes back and it's like here's three
paragraphs summarizing this new idea and
I was like this is so much better than
search it's crazy man it is legit and
now I'm thinking like a game designer
so trust that this is on my mind but
it's like having a little character
sitting on your shoulder that you have a
relationship with that knows you knows
what you've been through from a gaming
perspective what quests you went on
which ones were hard which ones were
easy your stats where you shine the
things you need to work on all that and
so you're like yo should I go do this n
with your skill set I wouldn't do that
what I would do is this one and that the
sense of
um intimacy and bonding that you're
going have of these characters is pure
Insanity from a gaming perspective
that's actually not like a bad idea too
like gamifying it that's you might have
came up with something wait a second
wait a second uh I'll take some rights
for that this is everybody can see it
everybody saw have it have it have it um
I know you're a big AI person so I I
know you were excited I guess the my
relation to it is I when AI first came
out people were worried about the truck
drivers people worried about the Farm
Workers and the more I hear about it the
they're coming for White Collar jobs too
it's the lawyers that are coming the
doctors are coming after it's with this
technology I don't see another reason to
have a call center I don't see another
reason to have a IT person I don't like
it's coming out of like it's it's almost
like it's biting Society on different
sides like it takes a little bit of the
artist from here it takes all the IT
people from here it's taking a little
bit of music but it can't do all the
music yet and it's taking a little bit
of video but it can't do all the video
yet and it's kind of just kind of like
an apple kind of just chomping on
different sides as it like consumes it
and I'm not as much of a AI Optimist as
you are but it's interesting at the rate
that it's going it's not predictable at
least at least from my standpoint I
didn't know it was going to happen this
way yeah yeah I mean it's if you ask Ray
Kur the rate is very predictable and
he's had these dates in mind for decades
and he's very accurate I think 86% of
his predictions have proven to be true
like meaning that they get within X
months of whatever date he predicted
it's it's been pretty insane um the yeah
it it is the technological singularity
the inability to predict the future
because the rate of change is just so
fast we're not there yet like it's still
going to be predictable probably for the
next 5 to seven years but it is getting
close where the average person just
isn't going to recognize their life like
even if you can predict like I can tell
you what's going to happen with cars I
can tell you what's going to happen with
accounting I can tell you that you're
going to go to a doctor and the doctor
won't be licensed to communicate to you
unless they're using an AI I mean it's
going to be stuff like that um right now
though the way for people to think about
it is just get good at the tools
yourself if you get good at using the
tools then you suddenly feel like you're
a superhero now there admittedly is this
sense of oh but wait everybody has
access to this and one thing that I
always loved was I was willing to put so
much time and energy into researching
that I was able to really get ahead and
now there's
just it's just all at your fingertips
and so you do start asking okay cool is
there a way for me to do something with
this that other people aren't going to
be willing to do can I throw more time
at it um can I find ways to be more
efficient can I wrap it into a unique
gameplay element that maybe nobody else
has thought of um you know I still am
playing the the game of life and it's
like I want to be the best at the things
that I'm doing and I want to compete at
that um and so I am it is harder to find
those angles of like wait a second
there's no Moes like getting into film
it used to be like my whole thing I
worked for 20 years just to be able to
afford to make a film and not have to
wait on anybody else and then you get
there and you realize whoa that's not
the moat anymore and you've got people
that can put incredible things together
for effectively nothing now if you let
your mind solidify like old men are want
to do then you're going to see nothing
but the downside but what I look at is
okay well first of all great that Mo's
dead and gone I never argue with what's
true and that is true so now it's a
question of how do I utilize that either
just to uh fall in love with the act of
creation like one thing that's driving
me nuts about the video game that we're
building is I can iterate mentally so
fast that I can get to detailed ideas
not like pie in the sky detailed ideas
that are two years out from what we
could develop even at the fastest Pace
like it just takes you that long to get
there and so I don't like that sense
that my mind is so far ahead of just the
amount of time that it takes to code
like even a game like Grand Theft Auto 6
it took them seven years or something to
make it I mean just an insane amount of
time and so the thing that's exciting
about AI is that curve is going to get
shorter and shorter and shorter and
shorter and so now you're not going to
be waiting that long like the next
iteration is going to take three years
and then the tools that are developed in
those three years by the end of that
cycle the next cycle is going to take a
year and so and I think that's probably
pretty close to true that in what sixish
years that a game that would today take
you six years is probably going to take
you about a year that feels about right
I'm assuming that you have the art
Assets Now it it could be though that
the art assets themselves become the
easiest thing they just have to figure
out the 3D meshes which nobody listen to
this cares about that level of detail
but um 3D objects are still hard for AI
but it will fall it'll fall almost
certainly in the next 12
months we shall see we shall see all
right entrepreneurial question of the
day Tim p is in talks to end his radio
show there's been some reaction around
the internet you just call it a radio
show um how old are you drew I mean it's
a it's kind of like a call-in show IRL
show his YouTube show is literally IRL
yes but U he's in talks to end it and he
he was adamant it's not a money thing
it's a hiring thing he has people around
him that he can't trust there's been too
many screw-ups as an entrepreneur how do
you deal with this when you have a good
idea even if you're making a little bit
money of it but for some reason you just
can't get the business inside to turn
the corner what should they do yeah I
mean first of all shout out to Tim P I
know this problem very well so uh as I
mentioned at the top this is what I call
the chaos machine so when you're trying
to do anything you indulge me for a
minute because if people understand this
it will change the way they view life so
the second law of Thermodynamics is that
everything moves towards chaos it's more
complicated than that that's just an
easy way to think about it okay if
that's really true and you're trying to
build a company you have an end state in
mind that is extremely ordered now if
the second law of Thermodynamics says
everything moves towards disorder your
company's not safe bro it's not safe at
all like you're going to spend all day
and this is the part that people never
talk about with the second law of
Thermodynamics it says in a closed
system the only way to bring order to
the system is to apply energy so it it
is it isn't even an analogy for business
it's it is the literal physical reality
of building a business or uh raising
kids or whatever everything is moving
towards disorder and you have to put an
inhuman amount of energy into bringing
the final order that you want so the
problem that he's facing is actually
ridiculously simple to solve but what's
happening is he's running up against
what I always say in business is
business and success in general is a
question of attrition most people just
give up it stops being fun it stops
being interesting and so uh there's a
great Churchill quote success is the
ability to go from failure to failure
without a loss of enthusiasm so he's
talking about you know we've tried all
these technical things to get the studio
up and running I try it and we can't get
it up and you know I've got all these
lazy employees and they're not doing
anything to help and I just feel like
I'm sophist pushing the rock but not
only am I pushing the rock but people
are sitting on the Rock and it's like
yeah it really does feel like that but
you can break this down into these
chunks and just start executing against
it okay so number one I always ask
myself is what I'm trying to do does it
violate the laws of physics okay is it
possible to fix a studio setup yes it is
it does not violate the laws of physics
great am I capable of doing it not yet
but I could learn do I want to learn no
I don't okay well then that leaves one
of two options I either pay somebody to
come in and fix this or I give Equity to
somebody if I can't afford to pay them
and they come in and fix it and they get
a piece of the business but either way
it's very obvious that that doesn't
violate the laws of physics okay the
next thing I've got lazy employees and
I'm carrying them around all right there
laws I mean I'm here in California so
the laws against the owners versus
employees that it is grotesque and
everything is in the favor of the
employee which is ruthless as a business
owner because you're like wait a second
I carry all of the risk and yet I've got
all these regulations about what I can
and can't do I get where they're coming
from but in practice it really does
become the liliputian thing where you're
just getting strapped down and so if you
find you're Tim pool and you're trying
to do this stuff and you have employees
that uh are not helping they're sitting
on the Rock they're making this
impossible and you say uh I want to fire
them you know that some percentage of
them will sue you and they will and all
kinds of reasons that wasn't my job
description sure I bet he needed help
but that wasn't my thing so I don't know
why he fired me for it he just doesn't
like me or whatever and now it may get
thrown out but at the same time you
still have to deal with it and so it's
just a death of a Thousand Cuts and I
know Tim was just going through the
thing with um the accusation of um being
funded by Russia and so he's got
everybody coming at him from six
different directions and every
entrepreneur is going to get asked
routinely by the chaos machine how badly
do you want it o and it sounds like he's
coming up no I'm not sure I want it this
badly anymore so I believe him when he
says it's making money it's just not
making enough money for it to be worth
all the pain and sacrifices and he
hasn't yet learned how to chunk these
things into small enough pieces where
it's like okay we're going to handle
this one this way we're going to handle
this one this way and my why of why I'm
doing this is enough to deal with the
lawsuits and the complaints and you know
dealing with Public Image stuff and
having to fight through that it just is
what it is that's why man rule number
one as an entrepreneur is you I I like
to think of myself as a warrior covered
in the blood of my enemies fighting for
people who would otherwise be
defenseless so my shtick is I'm doing
impact Theory so I can help spread a
growth mindset uh at scale through
entertainment to people 11 to 15 because
I've seen that group up close and I've
seen what uh Poverty of mindset does to
a person and how it it literally just
demolishes their lives and so when I'm
getting kicked in the face over and over
and over which is what entrepreneurship
feels like to me um that I'm thinking
about the people that I want to help
very specific people that I know and
love and care about and avatars that are
like them because a lot of these people
are already grown now and I was not able
to help them because I didn't know what
to do and I didn't have the resources
but now that I do I think hey I can go
back so when that moment comes if you
have that image of yourself as the
warrior like this isn't about me I've
got an honorable goal that I'm pursuing
this thing I'm building this business in
service of these people I can picture
them I think about them uh then you're
outside of yourself and you've got
something to fight for but even that
just takes a lot of energy to constantly
build that um thought in your mind to
attach yourself to it to make sure that
when you need it and you've been rocked
to your knees that that actually does
come to to your mind and that it's not
fake and you're not just left going well
I mean I've got a lot of money in the
bank but this feels terrible I got
nothing there shout out to Timol
regardless how you feel about his
politics back I'm telling you YouTube is
a monster it's a hard thing so just you
know stay at it I never want to see
somebody who's I don't want to say he's
at the top of his game but it's hard
building an audience period hard stop
like everybody wants it nobody wants to
do the work he has done the work he's
gotten there so at this point man hold
on try to fight through it hopefully you
get a good
I I he was couching his language he was
like this might be the last as soon as
he said it might be I was like he needs
a weekend off be fine nice all right now
time for some user questions do it all
right from Stacy a 9580 she said before
I answer Stacy A's question everybody
out there we are hellbent to turn this
channel into a community so you guys
submitting your questions what you want
to hear us talk about definitely let us
know drop that into the feed you can
drop it into questions right there in
the YouTube video you can go to the
community tab but we definitely want to
hear from you guys awesome please leave
a comment tell us what you think give
Tim pole some advice whatever you want
to do Stacy a 9580 where should an older
adult start to get started with AI I
would just start with chat GPT just
start having a relationship with it
where you let it answer things you're
genuinely curious about uh have it write
things for you and tweak it that's a big
part of the process like I didn't like
it for this reason could you do it more
like this more like that more like this
because really right now what it's good
at is helping you develop your own
thoughts I don't think it's truly
exceptional yet at write this thing for
me for instance or make this web page
for me it's not going to be great at
that yet you can see the glimmers of it
you know it's coming but right now it'll
be
extraordinary at going and summarizing
things for you helping you sharpen your
own thinking um for that it will Dazzle
and then certainly for somebody that
wants to create images and stuff like
that it's unbelievable for that I would
use mid Journey but there are many
things out there nice nice and hernon
SII 2594 said how is that Tom criticizes
everything Kamala and Praises everything
Trump and he's a Centrist question mark
well I think people would be very
hardpressed to point out anytime where
I'm spending time praising Trump uh so
right now I'm in a move away from
situation I'm not moving Ming towards
Trump I am moving away from
authoritarian rule quite frankly because
I don't even put all of that on kamla
Harris the reason that because for a
long time I wasn't sure which way I was
going to go um and I finally realized I
I had to disqualify kamla because I am
so concerned about two things tyranny so
anybody talking about freedom of speech
censorship uh stuff like that that
freaks me out uh all this talk about um
price controls then leads us into two
things that's one tyranny and two it is
somebody who is truly financially
illiterate to a level that you cannot in
my estimation you absolutely cannot have
as the commanderin-chief you just you
can't do it uh and so when she started
talking about price controls and
unrealized gains uh I was like false
that that is such a deep and fundamental
misunderstanding um when you do price
controls you like because she was
talking about groceries when you do
price PR controls in grocery stores one
you will create food deserts so the
grocery stores with the thinnest margins
will be in the worst neighborhoods so
they're already struggling to get good
options poof those go away uh and then
you will end up having empty shelves
because there's this incredible knock on
effect of the stores can't buy as much
because all of their high-profit items
they're getting attacked by the
government for turning that profit on
those items which they use to make up
for lost leaders which could be things
that are like the the main things that
people are going into the store for they
keep the cost really low to get you in
the door so you're getting diapers
you're getting eggs right like
incredibly low cost I don't know that
those are the real ones I'm just saying
often times they will use things like
that where they know they're going to
get somebody in the store and then they
hope that you buy some of the other
things like you if it's at the cash
register that's a high margin item right
they're trying to get you to do an
Impulse Buy on a high margin item and so
you just have to trust that they're
doing their best to stay in business and
as we're learning from Tim pool there
are a gazillion things that will chip
away at your ability to keep that
business running look
96% of all businesses fail to get to a
million dollars in Revenue okay that's
what we're talking about it is
brutally difficult to get a business
running it used to be if a business in
the in like 1965 I think it was in the
60s for sure any company that made it to
the S&P 500 could expect to stay there
for about 66 years now it's 16 they
expect it to hit 12 so think about that
things are moving so much faster
companies are coming and going so fast
that people do not understand the amount
of risk that entrepreneurs take so they
just start thinking of uh gas companies
are price gouging
us look are there conversations to be
had about hey some really terrifying
thing just happened like covid and uh
people are jacking up the cost of hand
sanitizer by
17,000 sure but I would be very hesitant
very careful because for every one of
those there's 18 million that are
struggling to stay afloat and when you
think you're being clever and thinking
somehow from the top down you can figure
out exactly what somebody should charge
in that neighborhood for a carton of
eggs or whatever you end up in a really
really dangerous situation that wind
tried in other countries leads to thanks
not being on the Shelf period hard stop
Y Man uh that's all I got everybody
there it is thank you guys so much for
joining us we are making this a
community so please do let us know what
you want to talk about every week we are
going to be going over the things that
are on people's mind where is culture
looking we're going to look at it we're
going to dissect it and hopefully engage
with you guys in these topics until next
time my friends be legendary take care
peace if you like this conversation
check out this episode to learn more I
think the AI censorship Wars are going
to be thousand times more intense and a
thousand times more great my guest today
is someone who doesn't just keep up with
Innovation he creates it the incredible
Mark Andre trust me when someone like
Mark who spent his entire career betting
on the future says