Transcript
WIhEYLa08hQ • The Toxic Mindset Killing The West- Inflation Rich vs poor, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos | David Friedberg
/home/itcorpmy/itcorp.my.id/harry/yt_channel/out/TomBilyeu/.shards/text-0001.zst#text/1117_WIhEYLa08hQ.txt
Kind: captions Language: en and it's interesting because you talked about you know it's hard to leave America because America is still the king of innovation and this is where people want to come and there's a cultural tradition of celebrating people that do great things historically why do you say that because this I think is why I'm bringing it up this has changed tell me about it well I think that this um disparity in wealth that arises from successful entrepreneurism and the majority of Americans if you look on an inflation adjusted basis over the last 10 years have not seen their incomes rise and so going back to my original Point happiness is driven by changes in income so when we got social media when we got I mean look there was always media but now there's like so much more access I get to see what Kanye West is doing every day I get to see the plane that Kim Kardashian is flying in I get to see what Justin Bieber like how much he's spending on his new Lamborghini like there's an element now of insight that I have as a um a citizen that I never had um and we always had ultra wealthy people in capitalist societies they were always people who have outsized returns someone who figures out how to make a a Golden Goose can start making more golden geese and more golden geese before anyone else figures out how to make Golden Goose and so they get this outsized return they get this incredible outcome in a capitalist system but I always look at Jeff Bezos because he's like like so so many people have such a negative view of the guy but the guy gave us this ability to get whatever we want tomorrow at a fraction of the cost of what I was paying even at Walmart it's unbelievable it's unbelievable like the technology and The Innovation and the investment that they made they kept reinvesting every dollar they made and people thought they were crazy because they were never making money and he's like I'm going to keep investing I'm going to keep investing and he created this infrastructure that has unlocked value for everyday consumers that people can buy stuff and have access to a toy for their kids for $8 and it shows up on your doorstep tomorrow or lower priced food or like this thing that you wouldn't otherwise be able to buy because no stores in your neighborhood sell it this incredible unlock um in prosperity that's a definition of prosperity for individuals but he's boned for having $160 billion and hanging out on a yacht like mle said we should be celebrating this dude he's a superhero what he did what he did for if if what he did wasn't valuable he wouldn't be worth 160 billion there was no cronyism this guy didn't go in and steal wealth he didn't go in and like steal a mine and pull all the diamonds out of the mine and you know prevent the local people from accessing the diamonds this guy built a business he innovated and that's what has happened countless times in the United States over the last years and the reality is that individuals don't necessarily pay attention because now we're all used to Amazon we're all used to our iPhones so the change and benefit we're getting it's taken for granted I think but my income isn't going up as an individual I'm not making more money but this guy's got $200 billion that's unfair I think the world is made up of halves and have knots everyone thinks that they're a have not relative to some other have and everyone is a have to some other have not that simple fact is what drives all social policy all of politics all of the economic all of the economy everything because it goes back to my point about desire if I'm a have not relative to someone else's have I see what they have that I don't have I want to tax them I want to get them I want to compete with them in the market if I am an entrepreneur I want to go get the market share they have I want to get a politician to take their stuff away from them and if I'm a have and there's a have not trying to get me I want to vote for a politician that's going to protect my assets and I want to vote for a politician that's going to give me freedom to continue to have stuff and I don't and I'm G to have conflict with the person that that is a have knot that says that they want to have what I have because it's my thing it's not their thing I worked hard for it I deserve it so that Dynamic is what drives all of this and I think it goes back to the point earlier about um government spending the have knots vote to get what the haves have or to take stuff away from the Haves and then the government is the agent by which we can all accumulate our power to exercise that action that's where government programs come from and the Hales are viewed as bad by the have not particularly as it relates to individuals with wealth when individuals are not seeing their income grow and so um today unfortunately I think successful entrepreneurs are viewed cast in a negative light generally um you know Elon has gotten very like socially active he's got very politically loud but he's an incredible entrepreneur um who's built these amazing cars that everyone wants and he's got this platform for communication wants every be to access without restri whichi and his entrepreneurism is not cated it's viewed as a threat it's viewed as something I this guy has stuff he has power is what politicians see has power with this open platform he has success with his car company that the other car companies don't have so they want to pass legislation to hurt him he has wealth that individuals don't have so they hate him he's viewed as a right-winger because he doesn't agree with my policy and he has the ability in the the megaphone to be able to say that because he's wealthy so he's he's negative he's he's an evil character now largely um so I think that's what we've kind of seen this um and if you go back to the 50s I mean look throughout throughout American history we've had like some folks that we've boned but there was a lot of cronyism in the early days I don't think there's as much cronyism today I think that there's just a lot of have have not dynamics that are driving this okay so how does that play out because this strikes me as something that if it goes too far Lenin the bad guy had a very useful quote which is if you give me uh one generation of young people I will completely change the world meaning that whatever values and beliefs you inculcate them with will completely um become their entire worldview and so if we raise not one not to three four I don't know how many generations of people that vilify the successful well then people aren't going to Aspire to be the successful so how do you think this plays out I could argue both sides so I could say that we head down a socialist tunnel if we're not careful where we want to make sure that everyone has equal outcome which is what Malay warns against when the reality is equal opportunity everyone has access to participate is what really drives success and drives equality and as long as there are some young people that will step out and build businesses and innovate and build new technology and participate we do have enough of that spirit in the United States still so I'm very optimistic about like us entrepreneurism um I could be worried about the loud voice of the mass saying we need to re revolt and return to a equal outcome we need to get to an equal outcome Society um and redistribute all the wealth and redistribute all the assets and redistribute all the access and so on but um I think that there's still enough young people that succeed through entrepreneurism that they can become beacons and lights for the you know for for making sure that folks don't fall that way we need to shine light and support and um and applaud so I I don't have a great answer for you on this because I think you could see things go either way I mean I think generally I have this worry that we're this very and this is a broader scope point that we're at this very weird like intersection of choosing between like the Dark Ages in the enlightenment which I've said on my show like do we want to stop Innovation because we're fearful of Technology because we're fearful of progress because we're fearful of the downside because we don't like entrepreneurs because we don't want people to accumulate wealth because we hate success because we want the government to do stuff for us and not individual companies that's the Dark Ages and if that wins the day why would that be the Dark Ages so well I'll just say another thing about this one of the ways that this gets supported is the absence of empiricism fact data because as Malay points out all the data shows that entrepreneurism that capitalism is better than socialism he said this the data is there Economist will show you you're not going to compel someone that socialism is better unless you leave out all the data that supports that capitalism is better okay so you have to have an absence of information I'm G this get I can wax a little too philosophical here because I'm it ends up going on too much of a tangent but I do think that there's this element of human beliefs that allow us to do incredible things like we have to come together and believe in something as a group to accomplish a mission to to build something like we all get together and like let's build a house I believe in the vision of that house so I'm going to build that house with you takes more than one person to build that house we all have to work together so the belief allows us to accomplish the building of the house but that also then opens up room for humans to believe in things that aren't empirical that aren't supported by data that maybe I'll take us down a different path and so we can believe that the data is right and good or we can ignore the data and believe in something else and so I do see a lot of alarming Behavior things that worry me particularly on media and from politicians where they say things that aren't true and then people believe them that's what happened in the Dark Ages and it like whether it's the monarchy or the church at the time or whatever group was in power they told people something that they were told to believe that allowed them to maintain their status and then we ended up saying no the Sun revolves around the earth the earth doesn't revolve around the sun despite the data that this crazy guy is talking about ignore the crazy guy his data is wrong what we're telling you is right that's the Dark Ages we ignore emperis and we ignore fact and we don't make progress and the enlightenment is that we get into a more positioned rational thought mode where let's use data to make decisions let's look at the performance of a government program to decide whether or not we want to keep doing it let's look at the results of this experiment let's make sure that data guides us let's make sure that we have a principled rational thought about discussion about what we should do and that's not what we hear from politicians I don't hear anyone standing up there I mean I think Viv probably did the best job of this like he actually came out and gave facts about and figures about the size of some of these government programs and what they were doing and this the success or failure of them mle has shown this there's an there's a there's a world where we Embrace technology where we say we're not going to be fearful of loss but we're going to embrace the risk because the upside is worth it we can go to the Moon we can go to Mars we can cure cancer some people will die but we can do it we just have to be willing to do it we can look at the data and iterate and iterate and be successful or this stuff is bad you know this technology is bad this idea of capitalism is bad the celebration of the entrepreneur is bad and I think that's like this like moment this Crossroads that we are at and we have I don't think it's like we just go one way or the other I think we have that choice every day but I think like we should really take a hard look at like are we launching new science new technology supporting Innovation supporting entrepreneurship supporting free markets and allowing the individual that has the Brilliance and the ability to narrate and the ability to bring people together to succeed or are we saying let's sty that let's shut it down let's use false facts and falsehoods and the absence and regulation and you know all this other stuff to kind of keep things from progressing and we have this moment where like there's you know there's this crazy set of things happening right now in science most people don't understand it they don't get how crazy it is but like we are understanding how to reverse aging in every cell in our body and um there are several multi-billion doll private companies doing this there are several multi-billion dollar private companies building fusion reaction systems to create unlimited energy at effectively free production cost coming from ocean water either of those two things happen Humanity's trajectory changes completely we could live forever or whatever we could live for hundreds of years we could have infinitely free energy and going back to your earlier point with infinitely free energy I could actually make gold out of dirt um so that system does start to exist when energy costs decline we have ai uh we have this ability for all of human knowledge to be encapsulated in a device that I can keep in my pocket and it can answer any question for me and do anything for me using knowledge work and I can spend all my time pursuing my vision of the future and creative Pursuits and things that I'm interested in doing without all the tedium of dealing with data and dealing with knowledge and dealing with labor because machines can do that for me now there's all these kind of like moments that were kind of like just coming up this curve right now yeah and every one of them there's an effort to sty them with regulation there's an effort to denounce the technology as being too risky it could kill us all it's too dangerous we shouldn't be doing Fusion we shouldn't be doing AI we shouldn't be doing you know or we need to be doing it carefully uh which means the government has to come in and control and regulate it which means that all of the Innovation is going to be styed that's the Dark Ages right that's where we miss out on all of this upside and I think we're not like accustomed to taking risk anymore as we were when we were Pioneers in the west in the United States because the people that were pioneers in the west in the United States had nothing to lose they had nothing that a backpack a satchel and a horse and a wagon and an ax and they made their way Oregon Trail style and they got a piece of land and they built something today we have so much to lose I got two cars in a Suburban driveway I've got you know my my kids uh I've got my IRA I've got stuff so I don't know if I want to take the risk of dying from this new thing I don't know if I want to go to like you know going to Mars is cool but I don't know it's interesting I think that part of what's at play here is ideas so I think ideas what people often think of as culture and momentum those are the two things that really matter and so when I I I am a default optimistic person and I'm becoming a little bit more optimistic in in the narrow acute moment that we're living in now but if you would asked me a year ago I was getting pretty pessimistic about the direction we were going from an authoritarian perspective Elon didn't own Twitter yet people didn't seem to want any freedom of speech we were just coming out of Co where I thought people acted like Psychopaths it was just bananas in terms of people giving up all of their freedom in exchange for safety it was just it was a very strange time um and when I think about the ideas that have people in their grips the ideas are not necessarily um the ideas of old so I I will say that um he's a very controver controversial figure now but it's somebody I have tremendous respect for which is Winston Churchill now he grew up a man of means but despite that he was so in the grips of a set of ideas around the greatness of England and uh Britannia that he was so for people that don't know his story he has a really fascinating moment in World War I where he fights and fights and fights to get into politics finally gets into politics gets assigned to forget the name of the place but it was a naval station and he ends up messing up massively and it completely destroys his career and everybody this is World War I remember the guy that's later going to be famous for World War II is like I'm done I no longer have a career I've made a an extremely big public mistake um and but he doesn't go wallowing in it instead he goes I want to immediately be put on the front lines of World War I and I'm going to earn my way back into the government and so they put him on the front lines of arguably one of the most gruesome bloody wars ever this is trench warfare and he said to his mother it matters so much to me to have a reputation for physical courage meaning I'm not I'm not brave at a desk where you know it's like quite easy to be brave I'm I'm getting shot at and I'm brave and so he used to do like all these like really dangerous um uh they were just like routine sort of you walk the perimeter thing and people didn't want to go with him because when he would get shot at he would just stand there and people like what are you doing and he's like by the time they've shot at you you either got hit or you didn't and so he's like now the danger you know it's passed and so he just had this attitude of like I'm not going to be cowed I know what we're here for I'm going to get this done I'm going to lead I'm going to show people what it's about that is a guy who had everything to lose but what he was focused on was somehow someway the idea got planted in his mind that What mattered was self-respect and when I look back in history and look very much these could be the blinders the rosecolor glasses that I wear about my own life but so I grew up middle to lower middle class and my parents were just like all right we can't give you money in fact I graduated college with debt can't help you there but my dad was obsessed with kids you're going to learn work ethic and so from the time I was 12 I worked in a door Factory then a paint factory then a paint Warehouse like just doing all these horrendously uh physical labor jobs that I did not enjoy in the slightest and my dad just kept saying but you're going to know how to work when other people don't and you need to respect that and you need to understand how that's going to serve you and so of course that ends up I remember one of the earliest uh we we got a video this but it somehow got lost to the sands of time um Quest starting nent of course everything is hard and I had learned how to drive a forklift back in uh the paint Warehouse days and when all of our equipment show up we realized I'm my God we don't have a forklift we have no way to get this equipment off this truck and we're all like oh everyone else was looking around saying how are we going to do this and I was like guys I'm actually a certified forklift driver and they're like what and so we borrowed a forklift and I was able to get all of our gear off the truck and I looked in the camera and I said Dad wax on wax off you told me that all these skills would come in handy one day and so but that set of ideas drove me and it was the desire to get good at things that I wasn't good at to earn a reputation for being the hardest worker in every room that I was in and so all of those things end up paying off and then I remember when I first got on camera I was telling people all the time hey you should go out work for free uh learn something exchange instead of trying to optimize for money optimize for knowledge and connections yes and I would just get lit up oh Tom like these people are just being taken advantage of of course you say that because you're rich and I was like hold on do you know how I got rich like I wasn't trying to maximize my dollar I was trying to maximize knowledge and connections and so there I can feel that a spirit has changed in some way and that people are no longer in the grips of the same ideas that I was raised with that it was just the water in the 80s to be the hardest working person in the room to strive for more to like pick your biggest dream and go for it to celebrate people who were successful and to like my whole life until it actually happened I was the temporarily embarrassed Millionaire right yeah I'm broke today but I'm not going to be broke forever and so that whole Spirit has has been exchanged for what you laid out earlier yeah like people just expect correct so that worries you that worries me to no end and my default stance is that this is a pendulum that swings and it only swings based on pain and it will keep going in One Direction until it is absolutely intolerable and we will swing back right and the reason that I do this show is that the what you need is not just pain you need pain plus an idea and so when you have a good idea hopefully if you have somebody that can articulate that idea well that you don't have to be in as much pain before you change course but yes when I look at Trump Biden as the nominees for 20124 I'm like oh yeah th this is a group of people who need enough pain to go this is ridiculous yes yeah I mean there's also like what do we you could ask yourself what do we celebrate like in the early 20th century mid 20th century we celebrated people working hard we celebrated entrepreneurs and scientists having breakthroughs if I ask you the question today what do you think we celebrate [Music] today victimhood unfortunately victim Hood you've had it hard celebrity yeah but that gets a bit of a mixed bag but yes so I think that's the that that's the Ator for you and um if that's what we pronounce if that's what we celebrate that's what we manifest the problem is like I think the the the folks who do get recognized like it used to be movie stars were like great success um business you know business tycoons were LED laed um now it's a celebrity who did a lot on Instagram and the problem is that's Out Of Reach for everyone like it this it that's what everyone aspires to is everyone like I think that was the number one thing out of a recent survey coming out of high school is like what do you want to be when you grow up social media influencer because that's what we celebrate um and I think that the the challenge then is like well people that are building businesses in other ways people that are making stuff scientists it it becomes a very hard thing to kind of relate uh very obvious things as to why we're not really seeing people pursue those interests because it's not really what we celebrate as much so yeah so my hope is that we can begin to celebrate some um creation Innovation risk-taking people that are bold uh success people that pull it off like when I look at Elon Musk I get it like I get why some people don't like his politics fair enough I mean it's uh there's a bit of a sort of boyish troll nature to his uh his ongoings on X but uh at the same time he is he is the greatest entrepreneur of Our Generation as far as I know there might be somebody that's done even more but holy hell and up I'm thinking of Bezos right along side of him Bezos is amazing but when I look at the way that Elon has been able to replicate it in just wildly different companies it's it's pure insanity and doing it from an engineering standpoint is really really breathtaking