Kind: captions Language: en the big prediction I'm known for is I think we're going to have a revolution or Civil War within the next 5 years and I really think within the next year and I say these things so you guys know that I'm a charlatan so I'm actually falsifiable um if if I wanted to con you over I'd say a bunch of vague things and say that when the era of Sagittarius starts then there will be great Strife in the land no I I predict we're going to have a civil war Revolution within the next five to one years um so the reason that I say that is that it's inside the incentive structures of the uh Elites involved um where if you look at these historic crises I said this in a dozen other podcasts is it's not the majority population that leads to them there's small groups of radicals that hijack the process so for the French Revolution the Jacobin were 3% sorry all leftists were something like 3% of uh France's population and the Jacobin the faction that won were so small that you could pick out factions in the French Revolution based off what cafes they hung out in it was the the unit of French politics at that time was Cafe based so very small groups of people Russian Civil War the bullsh Communists were like again less than 3% of Russia's population the Bolsheviks were a minority of the Communists in turn uh English Civil War it was commonly said that the English were so weak as a people because it had been a century and a half since England had had a real land War people said the English had grown too soft to fight what happened instead was that the two factions the royalists and the parliamentarians they would just draft men and so in our society most people won't want a war most people just want to continue with their lives and then small groups of radicals will seize power and again something I've said before is that no one riots for normies No One pushes for Normie interests people the radicals organize the normies don't thus the normies voices get canceled out and so there's a bunch of levers I see can't get pushed much further the debts one where I said before um we've doubled the amount of debt we've had in the last 10 years this is just this is one of those things where like the news should be screaming about this every day but they don't that the amount of the sheer amount of debt we have is just never going to get paid back but we spend more paying off the interest which is 5% of the debt than we do the military now how are we going to pay off the rest of the debt uh so debts one immigration is another where we had like 40 million immigrant illegal immigrants before Biden's at added around another 10 million we can't push immigration much further uh economic issues are another one where Americans have kept getting poorer where Americans built up a lot of savings over covid and now uh like something like two-thirds of Americans they don't have a $1,000 emergency cost and so Americans have gradually gotten poorer and poorer as a demographic and so you're hitting desperation levels and so just on a financial basis uh most Americans can't make it another 5 years and so when you add up all these things debt Financial issues uh psychological issues um immigration neither side is going to both sides have not respected the last two elections so there's no chance the right and the left respects this coming election where both the conservatives and the left have said that they do they will not basically honor the results of this election where I mean that was Trump's thing from last election he's cast doubt on it this election and for the left there was a a senator who said that uh who said that if the Trump wins this election that they'll try to use the 14th Amendment to get the results thrown out and so you have all these triggers that can't really get moved much further and what happens when you get in a very hard situation where there aren't easy answers as you just say screw it we're going to have a war and so you end up with this place where their the leaders involved have an incentive to defect because past a certain range if you're a conservative politician and the left asks for another budget concession it's your active incentive for you to uh just start a war because you have a higher chance of getting reelected doing so than uh than you do uh if you cooperate and so all these wars start when one side asks concession from the other side that they're not willing to do that was the French re the French Revolution the English Civil War caused by budget crisis um the American Civil War by an election dispute um the fall of the Roman Republic was the assassination of a of a popular political candidate these are all examples and so um the of all those uh I think the most important one is budget issues where we're getting to the point where the average American is economically desperate enough that if you're in debt and you're not going to get laid and all that stuff you you don't have you're going to roll the dice because if you roll the dice even if there's a 50% chance of dying you know you're screwed in this timeline so might as well roll the dice okay so uh here's what I just heard let me know if I miss anything um you've got everybody uh in a terrible economic situation um older people are aware enough of how things have changed that they are dissatisfied young people just don't like their in life uh you've got the levers that are maxed out there's no way to go any farther and now the breaking point is going to be either hey we're about to lose power and so I'm better off uh in a situation where I refuse to acknowledge this uh election for instance and we tell the people hey the election's been stolen you need to stand up and fight for your right and then people actually do that or uh the flip side that the concession is asked for were unwilling to give it and now somebody actually outright calls for violence uh yes like that I think it would be a gradualistic process where no one could take direct responsibility because humans hate taking responsibility um where does the first shot get fired so let me give you a couple different scenarios uh the most likely scenario is an election issue and I would say budget issue if the election's not right up and close to us um and so a scenario I'll give you like two or three scenarios one scenario is that there's an election issue and then um like Philadelphia I'm from Pennsylvania Philadelphia is an incredibly corrupt city if the conservatives said that the Philly government was stuffing The Ballot Box they would have complete plausible deniability whether or not it's true um and so the conservatives there's an election issue and I think for both a budget or election issue the parallel would come from the American and the English Civil War where countries tend to repeat there tend to be genetic patterns in how genetic or cultural patterns in how societies have crises uh where in three different French Court crises there was a budget issue and then the Estates General formed an independent legislature but what I think would happen in both cases is that um there would be an issue and then they would form two different governments and then you would have the American people's government based out of Washington DC or new or Los Angeles then you would have the American Patriot government based out of Austin Texas and so you have two governments that are claiming to be the one true government and what that does legally is it removes any legal rights to hold it removes any legal right to not do bad things because if you are the one true government you have the legal o you have the legal right hand and what would happen is I would guess some some minor violence that spirals out where if a conflict's like this it's one thing and then it gets bigger and bigger and bigger it's like a snowball it's like can we use a specific example here how does the Texas border crisis that was a great one uh and so when I saw that it sunk into my gut that we would have a war um because I live in Texas I know lots of people in the Texas government and uh and so I was relatively I saw as it happened that was fascinating and for people in your audience who don't know and I'm surprised I've talked to a lot of people especially Europeans they never knew the crisis happened it was blocked outside of America is that um the state of Texas basically tried to guard to block its Southern border with Mexico and the reasoning for because uh on a constitutional basis the federal government are the people who maintain external borders and States aren't allowed to but the Texans said because the government's not doing that we get to step in and so the thing that really shocked me there is that within a day 25 States said they milit IL supported Texas sorry 25 States said they supported Texas over the federal government 10 states said they militarily supported Texas that's a huge deal within a single day 10 states said they' use their militaries to fight the US government and National Guards aren't a joke the Texas National Guard would be the fifth it would be in the top five most powerful militaries in the world it has air assets it has tanks it has that stuff and um and so with conflicts like this what do you think in that would have happened cuz Biden just backed down yes so if Biden had pushed the issue is that the kind of thing you see spiraling out of control where Texas is like hey enough is enough because I for people that don't know Texas was like Hey you have to stop all these people flooding in government says no we're not going to so Texas puts their own barb wire up and stuff yes the the federal government comes in and cuts it down I this was not like a hey uh you know a nice conversation this was actions were being taken countermeasures were being taken to let people into the country I mean this is like literally crazy to me uh and so all these states get behind Texas and Biden's like all right all right fine but in that moment in this scenario of how things could go arai had he said no no no you don't understand that is a federal border and we will have it run our way you now have Texas State militia or uh National Guard facing off against the US military yes exactly that's perfect and I can give three historic examples to show exactly how this kind of thing would happen uh American Civil War the southern states uh Lincoln won the country on an abolish slavery platform or stop the growth of slavery platform and then he did he won by not winning a single Southern State so the South said because none of our states voted were going to succeed and then there was a battle at Fort suer between federal troops and South Carolina National Guard that's what started the US Civil War American Revolution the British were blockading massachus for disobeying the British laws and then the British marched out to uh uh Massachusetts militia uh a Massachusetts militia uh to take their gunpowder and then what happened is that um is that the the Massachusetts militia fired on the British conflict starts English Civil War the uh the English government tries to force anglicanism as a state religion on Scotland the Scots are Presbyterian Scotland's Rebels what happens is that the English government tries to get the Monarch tried to get the uh the Congress or the House of Commons to uh fund to raise funds to fight a war against the Scots the problem is that a majority of the English Parliament were also like Presbyterians same as the Scots so they said we're not going to we're not going to pay for a war fighting against people who have the same religion as us that King of England tried to shut down the the Parliament and then it went out from there so this pattern in the English-speaking world is politically entrenched issue uh legal dispute and then from that there's a skirmish the Skirmish results in like uh the the match being lit and then the gunpowder blowing up and for all of these wars the english- speaking world is never ready for Wars every single War the English speaking world had for I don't know since the Middle Ages the first six months were dis preparation because no one was prepared for and so what would happen is you have some kind of skirmish let's say between Pennsylvania New York State National Guards uh Ohio Texas versus the the federal military things spiral out from there then for the first six months unless I have a wide variation between the of the war could either be done in two weeks or it would be a long and bloody multi-year war um and so on the um and so what would happen in in the larger War scenario is that for the first 6 months both sides conscript young men they build up their economies and militaries and then the war happens but there's no difference between men and women why would they only conscript young men Rudyard tell me more I mean we all really know the answer I mean we we can play with we can play with the you can use women in some military roles the Soviets did it with snipers and uh this and keep in mind the act of War Fair has not changed that much since World War II it's it's it actually GE the I think the amount of military gear soldiers Carry has doubled since World War II so if anything War Warfare has gotten more physically enduring uh it's using women for Frontline soldiers is not effective you can use women for snipers for uh air air force uh for like some I think for and for backend roles but no you You' the point I was trying to make is you can script young people so the reason I bring that up obviously somewhat tongue and cheek is that um the outcome of a civil war between the left and the right feels somewhat um scripted in terms of how the outcome would be uh how do you think that plays out so I think there's an 80% chance the right wins um and I think it could either be the right wins over the long time or the short time um and the right is a series of strategic advantages over the left that I'm shocked no one in the left notices um so the right is a single geographically coherent territory the right if it became a country would build its capital in Texas or the middle States and you could go from central Pennsylvania out to like the Sierra Nevadas in California as a single coherent conservative territory the left is split up in city states and even on their core territories in the northeast or the West Coast Los Angeles is hundreds of miles from San Francisco 100 miles from the Pacific Northwest you could the territory between Washington DC and Philadelphia in New England it's there's red territory in between so the left is stuck between all these city states lots of them stuck hundreds of miles inside conservative territory like uh like Chicago or Minneapolis or Atlanta um and so the conservative single coherent territory the military tilts markedly conservative and the military is the most defining B uh the most defining variable for civil wars historically and parts of the military that tilt the most conservative are the guys with the guns and the low-level officers and those are the people that determine the tilt of the military historically the police tilt more conservative gun owners tilt more conservative conservative areas of the country produce the electricity and the food and the oil and the IT manufacturing um and conservatives also of a culture that's more masculine and warlike and hierarchical and if we can look at leftist and you can see this isn't indicative of the left's full power but if you look at Chaz you look at uh at the Columbia protests what happens in each case is within 12 hours the social structure of those places broke down because they don't they can't organize people they can't have strict rules that stuff so 80% of scenarios the right wins in the more radical scenarios there's just a military coup like Indonesia we in Indonesia in the 60s the Army backs the anti-communist faction and over night they wiped out the Indonesian left same things happened in a bunch of places in history like Hungary or Nazi Germany or that stuff um and and um other scenario long-scale War red in blue States uh end up with different power blocks different internal economies the war continues for years wars tend to be more bloody Than People predict as a general rule they tend to be more difficult than people predict in the scenario the left wins is because thankfully the US government the thankfully the US military is loyal to the law and the Constitution so if the right is very unhinged and launches a Revolt where it's clearly not legal then the left could use a conservative leaning military to crush the rightest rebels and then use that as plausible deniability to uh crack down on the right okay so that is a very clear picture of what happens if something is sparked that's already militaristic in nature let's walk through the debt concession one so I think the most important issue of our time right now in America for sure by far is the debt yeah people to your point you don't know how people aren't screaming about this day and night I feel the same this seems crazy to me I cannot believe people look at that and don't see any problem people do not understand money printing they don't know what it means they don't know money printing is where everybody is stolen from and only the rich benefit now I'm rich rich and so when I start screaming about this somebody really should start paying attention uh I am legitimately freaked out that people are so nonchalant about debt but how does debt spill into Civil War in the next five years debt is the dominant predictor of all this stuff and so that's why why that's why the David hacket Fisher Great Wave book is was so important to me because you can use in I talked with the three factors before like inequality and wages uh debt and inflation are also really good predictors because what happens here and I'm going to use the examples of it happened in all of these it happened in the Black Death it happened in the the English Civil War in the French Revolution is that what happens over time is that you end up with it's like a failed marriage and failed countries are often like failed marriages where now we've reached the point where let's say Ryan long the comedian has a really funny skit about what if America was a marriage between the right and the left the marriage is completely dysfunctional now and so imagine you have a failed marriage and then because you can't agree on shared directions you get into debt where let's say um because there's no shared sense of cultural unity and so the right and the left are unwilling to make concessions to each other and also there's this whole thing of um as people get desperate and as there's lots of as people get desperate they care more about their own Survival and less at the common good so there's more stuff with people pushing for the government to bail them out and so an easy example of this is Corporate corruption where corporations I I I like to say America's not a capitalist economy we're a fusion socialist capitalist economy because half of America's total economy is driven off the government and so what happens when people get desperate is they use the government to push personal corruption and all of these desperate interest groups latch on to the government in order to get it stuff so the military funding needs to stay high the welfare funding needs to stay high the funding for various corporate interests to support American interests need to say high so as Society gets more desperate people won't sacrific to the whole and to put off this issue they it goes the debt becomes this way to put off all these issues where if you're a president you're like I can't solve this issues uh I'm going to just get more and more debt because we're not in a good place and uh I'm just going to keep spreading debt so that I don't have to worry about this 30 years down the road it Rems you of a Homer Simpson joke man I really Homer Simpson said man Homer tomorrow that guy must be I feel so sorry for him it's glad I'm not him as he's binge drinking and that's kind of where it's at with the debt and so uh debts a really good predictor because it's a sign of social desperation and it just keeps growing and growing and growing and then P I think a lot of people they they don't understand why debt is a problem I hear really smart people not lamenting about debt so let me make it really uh tangible for people okay so it's going to go something like this and you tell me if you think this is crazy um you guys we have created this feminine structure where we're going to take care of everybody we want to make sure everybody has our insurance nobody gets left behind everybody has a good quality of life get as close to equal outcome as humanly possible to do that we're going to need to fund this the way that we're going to fund it uh we either have to ask money to uh Congress basically vote for things we know they won't do it so what we're going to do is keep raising the debt ceiling and the way that we're going to meet our obligations to the interest on the debt is through money printing yes now for anybody that has not yet heard me talk about the way money printing works it goes something like this uh you were putting extra dollars into the system with no corresponding increase of things to buy which means everybody's buying power goes down but I look at my bank account and if I had $100 in my bank I still have $100 now the fact that that $100 can now only buy $75 worth of stuff I don't really notice that I I feel it emotionally but I can't explain it uh logically and so I just keep going with it then because even though it isn't a one for one for reasons that are too complicated to address right now there's not a one for one if you print 25% of the money supply you will not get exactly 25% inflation but it is the exact same phenomena so uh when you print money you get inflation so we print money people's buying power goes down that is inflation though that sounds counterintuitive so we're printing money the cost of goods go up I'm not able to buy as much and now I start to have a real problem I already couldn't make my payments I couldn't uh buy all the groceries I wanted and now this starts to push me into a period of desperation and now we're back to you can't be a weak man you can't not be paying attention because you're going hungry you can't put gas in your car you can't feed your kids can't feed yourself uh if you're single and so all of a sudden that malaise is is waiting for uh a demagogue to come along and tell you why your life sucks yes you explained that perfectly yeah you nailed that um and the thing is it makes sense for the people involved it makes sense for them to do it because they don't bear the costs and people seem to think that a great irony is that there was huge welfare payments for Co and that resulted in massive increases in inequality the one of the sharpest we've seen in record in American history because you have Co you give someone a check uh to keep them keep them alive they spend it on Amazon that goes to Amazon's stock it goes to Jeff bezos's pocket and so if you inflate money into the economy it will naturally result in inequality skyrocketing because the money will naturally coagulate into the stock market into uh real EST the reason real estate's so ridiculously expensive is the government printed all this money and people invested it in real estate because a house is always going to be there as the currency gets worse you're still going to have your kitchen sink you're still going to have the house so real estate prices are artificially inflated and that they've nearly doubled in the last five years um but people aren't buying houses and it's a remarkable thing where the real estate costs have stayed very high for years because there's all this excess money that ends up in real estate because it's one of the best Hedges against inflation but then it destroys the average cost of living for normal people because lower class and Young Americans spend 2third of their income on rent and so that's ironically the government to get out of this sort of Crisis made it vastly worse because if if you increase rent and that's 2third of young people's income you're you're WIP it doesn't matter if Electronics prices have stayed stable or like I don't know food's not as bad as real estate it's the elephant in the room I have a growing hypothesis about what's actually happen happening in the real estate market I think people misread real estate a little bit let me lay it out see what you think uh I think that the reason people put money into real estate is it is a discip a forced discipline to pay into a savings account that will allow you to pay for the privilege of keeping up with inflation but the reality is you can't just put money in a house and expect 40 years later that that money will be there matching inflation the reality is to get the value of your house to go up to match inflation which only happens because buying power is going down and so really it would the right way to look at the increase in h the cost of housing or the value of the house you own is that the purchasing power of the dollar is going down now you have to constantly pay into that house to keep up the maintenance all that stuff property tax all that so you're actually uh essentially paying into an insurance scheme that is your property that says hey if you keep up all of your payments of property tax upkeep on the house all of that that yes it will more or less match inflation over the long run but you paid a lot of money for the privilege and the reason that house housing prices are staying so high is a combination of people still believe that a great place to put your money is into real estate and black rock is just buying up all these single family homes ironically by aggregating the money of people who are putting their money with black rock yes and so people feel there's this Con search for the other who are all these people that are doing all of this evil [ __ ] it's you boys and girls spoiler alert Scooby-Doo peel the mask off it's you like if you own money or you have your money with black rock they're investing that money into snatching up the houses so it isn't just black rock that is benefiting from this it's anybody that has money with black rock yes so it is a very weird system and yes there really are a Le and yes the game really is rigged against you and all of that but it's rigged in ways that people don't fully understand and because of that they lash out at the wrong people and remind me of the cats that you were talking about at the beginning and they start lashing out at the wrong people it's crazy I'm glad you said that that's one of my least favorite things because whenever I talk about these macro demographic economic crises people say it's the left it's women it's the Jews it's the globalists it's the lizard men and uh you lost me at the lizard men there are people who believe that like literally believe they are lizard men I think like one or two% of the population actually thinks it's keep in mind like I'm officially terrified no yeah I think they they've done studies on this a couple percentage of the population actually think lizard men run Society um keep in mind average IQ half the population's beneath that um yeah and so yeah I mean people like to blame someone uh because that's an easy answer um and the thing with um the reason Black Rock has such a huge amount of money and black rock pushes its social agenda in a variety of ways whether ESG scores the stock market is because of the government money printing because the government money printing if you if because at this point a majority of our currency is false in a healthy economy currency should be representative of actual physical things like this mug uh but no in a false economy it's reflective of uh what the government prints and the problem you run into past a certain point and this is the issue of our entire Society is that when the when the currency becomes a reflection of the government stuff goes to political buddies and so that's what's going on in our society where Black Rock has the ESG score which is based around various leftist social issues and so the reason that there's all this leftist uh culture today and the reason why it keep in mind for a company like Disney uh some minuscule amount of their Market cares about leftist issues uh because keep in mind they make most of their money outside America and in America they woke people are 10% of the population in Indonesia and China it's none and so the reason they're doing that is because the economy is mostly artificial and thus you get good things in an artificial economy by playing to the people who are giving you the artificial money and it's also why there's this this advertising scheme where it can it's 90% of advertisers and it's constructed around not working with conservatives because um and that's insane when you hear it because when the money is artificial the economy becomes a pandering to the people making the fake money but that's not sustainable in any way shape or form yeah I want to go back to something that you said about the money should be something physical like the cup I will try to make this as like deadly simple as I can to see um to test my own knowledge and see if it can be useful to people yeah uh it doesn't need to be tied to physical Goods agreed however if you create a physical good and put money into the system that's how you keep the imbalance from of printing money from getting out of hand okay set that aside I believe that people have a moral right the kind of moral right that should be protected in the Constitution that says you should have a store of value that you can use that cannot be inflated yeah Now spoiler alert I am into crypto I refuse to be labeled a crypto bro that is not at all my Viber thinking but I do believe in crypto in the sense that Bitcoin cannot be inflated now what I like about Bitcoin even though I fully recognize that part of why people love it right now is its volatility that's what people like once you understand that people like the volatility it becomes less confusing but set that aside for a second it is a thing that right now has cultural energy people believe it has value because they believe it has value and cannot be inflated you can actually store your money there now when I see the government attack that I get very upset yes because what they are doing is making it impossible for people to escape the system where your money can be taken from you your purchasing power can be taken from you by printing without needing to talk to Congress or get the vote that that is immoral to me and I believe that we have to have something where somebody can work their whole life save 10% of their salary day after day week after week month after month year after year and when they retire the same purchasing power that was there when they saved is there when they retire yes yes agreed the great irony is that when you look at the things the elite says they're doing now it's remarkable I frequently look at the things the world economic forum and that's not a powerful organization in of itself but it's representative of very powerful people and it's a Weather Vein and I'm like why would you say this stuff if I was a mastermind trying to do all this stuff I would put up this front and this facade of just being completely cuddly and completely undang why would you say you will own nothing and be happy why would you say you're going to live in a pod and eat bugs and I think it's just that they're that socially detached from the mainstream um that they don't realize how it comes across but I mean they have advertising people worth millions of dollars who should know that uh but they don't but I mean so you look at this is most ounc in Europe and China where the attempt to get rid of a physical currency where uh Europe a lot of North European countries they they've had negative interest rates for years and for people who don't know economics what that means is that the government basically takes money out of your pocket while if you hold it in assets and it's it comes from this economic philosophy called keynesianism that you should just spend all the time to stimulate the economy and I don't want this to turn into a canes versus hyek debate but what what they're doing is the creation of a complete artificial currency negative interest rates this is about the establishment of a permanent surf class um because you're not supposed if you can't build up your assets it means you can't own stuff on a social basis you have to work in a big company or for one of the government's cronies you can't own your house you have to rent the the 20 years ago it was rare to rent a service now every single service is rentable I bought Photoshop before it moved on to a renting system explicitly so I wouldn't have to rent Photoshop um and Adobe Adobe Premiere um and so yeah it's it's the attempt to gradually turn the population to be completely survi economically uh and it's gone furthest and they don't use physical currency in China in China every single interaction and I've been there I've seen this is done with your phone and the wallet the problem though is the Chinese government can say you posted a Winnie the Poo me a Winnie the Poo meme your social credit score is too low you can't go to restaurants anymore that's what happens when you move to a completely artificial deflationary currency where I mean the freezing of bank accounts is something that terrifies me where uh in Canada and I I'm a Canadian citizen I've lived there they froze the bank accounts of the truckers and that was completely what the things the truckers did were completely legal and their Canadian Canadian rules and so if you can freeze someone's bank account you completely control them and the public are just I can't believe this isn't an issue of Greater discussion bro yeah it gave me heart palpitations yeah I can't believe it's insane let me ask because the the thing on all of this that I think is problematic is people don't understand where this goes and it seems like even the people that are in the um economic driver seat don't seem to understand yes so I know that you know some people the fed and you ask a question about what they knew about Spanish uh Financial history so tell me that story walk the audience through what we should learn from that I've lived a bizarre life that I can't really explain but I I've seen a lot of things in that life and so I have a couple different Avenues to look into what the the elite believes and I have two friends that used to work at the fed and I asked them this question uh do you know about Spain's hyperinflation in the 17th century because Spain did something that's pretty comparable to what we're doing where Spain had all this silver from uh Mexico and South America the Spanish hyperinflated their currency and this killed the economy of Mediterranean Europe it's why Italy stopping the richest place in the world um and and no one at the f I I asked two of my friends you worked at the FED does anyone at the FED know about this economic crisis and they said no one and that was horrifying because these people are paid very significant amounts of money to know about the economy this this should be their job and the 17th century from a historian's perspective is recent it's called modern and so if they don't know about the 17th century at all it means they're just making stuff up and they have no it means they can only and this is a strange story where I I spoke to this I was speaking to this lady she's um she's very wealthy she's worth tens of millions of dollars she's like 27 years old and so we had a conversation where uh she said is investing in real estate a good idea and I said I think the price of real estate will crash o over the course of your life by the time you're 60 the price of real estate will be much lower than today due to population Decline and she said you're a historian you should look at history and see that real estates kept rising over the 20th century and I said you can't just like that's just the last lifetime history is so much longer but it's lots of very topic stuff like that and from what I've gathered about uh the elite the impression I get is that they train themselves into ignorance they train themselves into not seeing obvious things because it's against their self-interest to see obvious things and so it's this hyper fixation on whatever topic they study and they use that to do evil things where if you're just in economics if if you just study economics you can ignore the historical patterns you can ignore how what you do affect fects real people you can ignore what the social consequences of it are how it affects your Society because you're just focused on that one thing okay um there's a lot of economic corruption going on right now what what is the end game that they think they will achieve if the end game is that it all blows up and it leads to war because moneyy printing you just can't do it forever um what what is the endgame they think they reach uh I don't know man these people their conception of the universe is not mine and it's funny that like we grew up in the same time period we probably read the we supposedly went to the same education system through a certain point where um I think they've removed anyone who can see the big picture and so they're looking at like you know that the meme that goes line go up World's gooder I don't but that uh I follow yeah it's a parody of it's and one of my friends has got a term called Pinker ISM and Pinker ISM and I don't dislike I think Stephen Pinker is a wonderful thinker I think he's done a lot of um I think I agree with every single book He's written uh he's not my vibe though but I do respect him um but what Stephen Pinker does is he says because there are more toilets in Africa the world's a better place and then you ignore the collapsing quality of life in America or the deaths of Despair because worldline progress go up I was speaking to a friend uh where I was was telling her about my worldview was informed by de-industrialization because I'm from the Rust Belt and my entire area got screwed over and the thing that really got to me was uh was like it was just abandoned streets and philli got a smaller population today than it did in 1950 and what the elite said the whole time was uh we are going to teach people coding jobs we'll find some way to not to uh fix this don't worry about it and those were all complete lies uh and then I I was speaking to a friend and what she told me is the way the elite sees this is that you you supporting your area self-interest against progress is selfish you have to sacrifice your own well-being for Progress so your idea that you deserve to have a real currency your idea that you deserve to have a house this is selfish because line go up equal progress and so they see the line go up and they think if we can just push further we'll get progress and what is the line though what line total it's total GDP there's a fascinating book called the growth delusion by David pilling and it's a look at how GDP stats uh mess with how people re deal with the world so for example the reason the healthcare industry in America is a huge tapeworm it just consumes this massive part of our economy for very little benefit if you look at like in if you look at a bunch of other countries um it's a more efficient economics we spend like four times as much on Healthcare per person as France does does for significantly worse service in a variety of ways um and so the reason that's not a political issue is because the more money you spend in healthcare the bigger the total GDP stat is Kenya has an economy so Kenya has an economy six times its size in fact compared to its GDP stats because the way GDP stats are measured Kenya is measured at one six its real size and so what they're looking at and so I could tell even as a teenager I could tell when I was 16 or 15 that quality of life had gotten worse since the 70s because I talked to my parents and I would watch older movies and it was obvious from older movies and my parents that average life had gotten worse but if you brought that up people would immediately jump down your throat and it wasn't even a discussion uh and it's because total GDP number went up and if total GDP goes up even if that's mostly inflation uh then you're winning it's this very warped tunnel vision under understanding of the world okay so um how much do you think of what is happening right now is just in inescapable biological cycles and how much of this is bad ideology that if we could replace the ideology we could move in a better Direction Whoa man everything is itself and yet nothing all things are connected man um am I going to need to hit on the bong for the this answer yeah so it's hard to disentangle things I think uh because okay I'm not going to give you the philosopher answer um a lot of its natural cycle a lot of it's our own stupidity and they're they're they're mixing together so let's say imagine you had an infinitely wealthy Society in an infinitely wealthy Society people could allow to become infinitely stupid and so it is this Duality um and I think it's it's a combination of them uh but something that I'm going to find very fascinating when I'm older is comparing how different societies have faced this demographic issue and people like to do stuff like let's say blame the left or blame Jews and I'm like you can trace a lot of this stuff in China and so if a lot of these same Trends are happening in China it's not the jews' fault um and that's really interesting I've not heard anybody say that before I invented the idea yeah um where because China you have feminism birth rate in China is worse than America's which is strange because poorer countries tend to have higher birth rates uh China has uh the Chinese government deals with this in the funniest way possible I sorry if you are Chinese I am terribly sorry you have to live through an orwellian dystopia for me 6,000 miles away I can chuckle at it um but in China and this is again something we need to talk about as a society but we don't uh the government is going full authoritarian and so I can see this as the parallel between the Western world and the Eastern world where in the west the government enables it well in China they go against it where uh for example they've planned they've banned playing video games for too long in China they've banned women wearing bikinis or like porn or like even cleavage in movies because they they don't want men to uh they don't want men they want to force men to like get married and like go out with women in order to to see boobs and so a really funny thing uh is that so because women can't wear bikinis in China they have men wear bikinis to model the underwear what I'm sorry yes exactly so the Chinese government doesn't let women wear bikinis publicly so they have men wear them instead uh and the Chinese government also has banned homosexuality so what you're looking at China versus America the Western World the government enables the mouse Utopia in China the government actively pushes against it us authoritarianism and um and so you can see the cultural manifestations of the same underlying Trend where everything I talk about the psychological Black Death uh the um psychological Black Death demographic crisis inequality it's happening at the same time in both China and America but it's taking wildly it's taking you see the same underlying economic Trend manifest wildly differently in a different civilization because the context is so different um and so in America it's right versus left I think China's going to have a civil war too I think for them it'll be uh basically communist Countryside versus uh capitalist cities where the right versus the left is weird in China where uh their hard Marxist left are the social conservatives and the capitalists are the socially liberal people so it is to answer your question it is an economic thing but it's also it manifests differently based off the ruling class and culture why would it be happening at the same time in the west and in China these Cycles sink up so um the last time the last Verge time this cycle hit was uh mid 19th century and so Central Europe had the Revolutions of 1848 and then France had the typing Rebellion 1853 both of which are the typing Rebellion is the third bloodiest war in history in the 1600s in the year 1645 every major country on Earth was fighting both an internal Civil War and an external War at the same time you have a couple that had it before or after in the year 1348 uh the entire world was having a Civil War and the black death um and then you can go back even further where the Chinese Empire the Han Dynasty fell at the same time as the Roman Empire around 200 ad um around 900 ad the abis and cfit in the Middle East the Frankish Empire and uh the tong dynasty in China all fell at the same times these Cycles are linked historically and the more interconnected the world is the more the Cycles are linked and so um and so what we would what we're seeing now is roughly approximate social issues around the world and I I've seen this living I've lived I lived as a digital Nomad for a few years so in France there were the the the the yellow vest riots were happening so I'd see explosions in the streets in Peru the Communist Party had just been elected there um in uh in Canada they have their issues America has issues China right after I went there it became authoritarian um and they shut down people from the West India is having its nationalism Russia is having a war with Ukraine uh the European Union having is having its crisis Brazil Brazil's getting really ugly and so this is a normal historic thing where different of the world uh often experience their own crises at the same time as other crises as we look back on this moment between the US and China what response to what's happening now are we going to look back and say that was the right way to play that man I don't know if I had a good answer uh I don't think anyone's got a good answer so for the US and China uh I you're talking if China attacks Taiwan right I I'm just saying more they're both confronted with the youatt and the left and the right the left is compassion the right is personal responsibility I think those are um given to us by Evolution I think for a society you need the dynamic tension between the two uh but we've got this wild uh imbalance due to the left taking over all the institutions and pumping out kids that just tend to lean left uh but they're now bumping up against reality so that's what I feel going on inica and uh theoretically we're what we're trying is do we reduce freedoms but within our system you see a cultural giving up on things like freedom of speech uh so that's how things are going here campus protest things like that over in China you've got uh massive authoritarian Crackdown you've got the weager and concentration camps but the play there being hey we need value homogeny so we need everybody to see the world the same way um you've also got the credit score so we're going to gamify which you you'll hear me talk about all the time gamification is amazing and as I build out my virtual world I think a lot about how do I avoid a Chinese dystopia yeah but you've got them using credit score visibility into everything you do the zero covid lockdowns like I mean just really stamping down on it but even though you have to give up your individual rights will that end up being the right place so let me um go one step further so there's one more thing just for the audience I want them to hear uh China is passing all of these um educational reforms is probably the right way to think about it trying to make sure that men are more masculine which is why I was so like they're having the men wear bikinis that's Chinese media yeah I culture so you've got uh we only want kids being taught by uh we want kids focusing on physical education we want physical education only being taught by former athletes we want people looking up to masculine men like we don't want them to become a feminized Okay so those are the the two different things happening right now yes and will either of those be a winning solution or is going to be something else entirely they're both going to fail I mean you can't force people to do stuff where uh often times your intentions when you do something or how you do it is more important than the thing itself and so I think the Chinese the Chinese are realizing a lot of the mouse Utopia stuff but when you force someone to do something it's going to backfire like if you have telling people they can only play video games for they can't play video games for longer than an hour a day is just going to make them resent you and it's going to completely backfire if the Chinese Force this on the CH if the Chinese government forces this upon their youth their youth will just learn to hate those values and this is one of the things we've seen with the the left today where the left pushes things that are by all accounts pretty good like uh racial tolerance sexual tolerance whatever but they push it in such a hamfisted way that it creates the opposite reaction of a resentful right um and so that's what I would see happening in the lefts and I think no government today has the mental capability to understand what's happening because if they did we wouldn't have the crisis and I find that for these historic crises the worst thing that happens to a society is that they become too constrictive after said crises so um after the Black Death everywhere in Eurasia except Europe became too socially conservative after the Black Death after the after that whole crisis China became more authoritarian and they lost a lot of their creativity Islam became more like Su hyper fundamentalist religious and India also became more religious and so Europe after the Black Death was able to maintain a more fluid social structure while Asia became more constricted um it's funny I brought that point up three times in this podcast so far but it's not something I talk about that much on the channel um but so if you also look at after the end of the 17th the crisis of the 17th century is that England and the Dutch did the best because what happens with these kinds of crises is that authorities use the world crisis as an excuse to crack down on descent and then when you crack down on descent you crack down on creativity and so with the crisis of the 17th century it's what killed Italy and Spain as being some of the wealthiest countries in the world and so the thing that worries me about a crisis like this is let's say World crisis birth rate crashes psychological Black Death Civil Wars out of it like complete religious fundamentalists or people who are authoritarians win and then we fall into a dark age because what if what happens in this crisis is just like hardcore religious fundamentalists breed is that like you you can say goodbye to science and Modern Art and all that stuff okay so if we don't have the Playbook right now on how to do this well NE here not in China um if you had to solve this problem for us what does either history tell us or what does your intuition tell us that we would need to do at a cultural values level to avoid the mouse Utopia life is a journey man like it's the friends we make along the way life is the life is the journey itself and it's not the destination um now do you believe that and it's just too Earnest to say without yes it's one of those points that I got my generation got shoved with propaganda in at such a young age that saying it comes across as ridiculous but I mean so the thing is this crisis is just starting my estimation of these events has changed markedly in every single year especially the last four years I don't know what I'll be telling you in four years and the good thing is that we have decades to figure out out uh we're going to be here for decades hopefully we can face information as it comes integrate new aspects into our worldview what I would say though is there are several things that are incredibly important and I should make a video about this though um one of which is you need to find a way to integrate traditional value systems into modern science and modern culture where there are lots of things in the pre-industrial world that are just never going to happen again I can't see like I at least I hope that arranged marriages don't come back after this because when people see what non- arranged marriages look like I don't think they they can or like you can't go back to the pre-scientific world because we've seen science you can't go back to saying God Wishes the Spheres to orient you we have to incorporate science and so my hope is that this century is going to be a philosophic and religious golden age as thinkers incorporate um as thinkers incorporate because we don't have the mental tools to deal with what's about to happen modernity is predicated upon infinite progress in infin growth what happens when that stops modernity has to go through a period of self-reflection to figure out mental tools to understand what's happening so first thing develop intellectual tools and value systems to assess it number two is develop communities uh and I think that if if there's something I've heard from a bunch of wise friends mous Utopia is if you're stuck in Mouse Utopia leave the cage the difference between us and mouse Utopia is mouse Utopia is this self-enclosed Environ if it's comparable to the start of the Bible where Abraham saw the degeneracy of until Abraham went out into the desert with his family and formed the Jews we've actually we've looked at the genetics on that um we've looked at everyone who claims descent from Abraham and there was a y chromosone ancestor in that place that time so uh value system formed communities of people who are opposed to Mouse Utopia and who can because I think I actually think the biggest issue in modern society today is loneliness so find way to solve that um and also develop guard rails against Insanity um and so for example um when I saw things were going to go bad and I saw that the we would spiral into Political fanaticism I gave myself rules for Bridges I would never cross because I knew that this would affect me as a person that my mind is not immune to it so I told myself I'm never going to dehumanize my enemies uh I'm never going to promote genocide I'm never going to say that the truth doesn't exist um I'm never going to kill myself I am never going to promote nihilism and so I made those rules to myself because I think to myself Rudyard you are in a rational place now there may come a where you're not rational so you need to make rules for when you're not rational and so we need to do that as a society where I think a great rule is don't enable nihilist where because nihilism has no benefit if you're like yeah people like the human race is just terrible and we should never have kids and we should hate each other and everything is lame why are you believing that there's no benefit to believe it um and and um fourth is established decentralization uh actually you guys should watch my Manifesto I released a few months ago um decentralization is incredibly important because my biggest worry here is that authorities use uh genetic engineering and Ai and robots to enslave the population because what with these technologies that are coming into existence and again Technologies impossible to predict but a lot of this Tech is already here is I don't want a society where the government as of now can monitor us every day every second with these telescreens and that telescreen the government can listen in on this conversation I don't think that's this is a ticking Time Bomb where if we don't solve this now it's going to bite us later and so I think the decentralization of power is my fourth thing where we need to develop incentives against uh basically governments using new technology to enslave the populace and especially so genetic engineering people into uh subservient because the government is every incentive to genetically engineered people to be subservient and it doesn't have to be a bad thing it could be this nanny State very like helpful like Goodwill government like we're going to genetically engineer depression out of existence the problem is that if you genetically engineered depression you've genetically engineered everyone who's a social dissident and so it's this double-sided thing if that makes sense it does very much I think rules are critically important it's something I talk a lot about that I think people leave out of their lives at their Peril the rules that you implemented are actually very interesting the manifesto why did you write it what did you want people to take away from it yes um so uh I see a lot of factional development and the right where the left is a coherent ideology the right doesn't the right's this Alliance of all these various factions um and if you guys haven't figured it out I am some shade of a conservative politically and uh inside the right I see all of these different factions that have nothing to share and the it reminds me I've read a lot on the evolution creation of the left over the course of the 19th century and it reminds me very similarly to a period of leftist History uh after the French Revolution where it's just chaos and I think we're in that place for the right and the right will develop a new culture so I wanted and most of the people I see who are also doing this they're either sociopaths or grifters so I thought what could I do here I am going to drop my mental model for this before other people do so um to basically get ahead of the competition okay uh if people were going to live by call it one to three axioms from your uh Manifesto what would they be uh the in the manifesto I say honor truth and freedom and those aren't the the all the values that I care about I think there's an important Duality where there's The Duality of the masculine and The Feminine in our society we've got the feminine down for love and caring and support and Community we need to get the Mas we need to have a masculine value system so those aren't your entire values but I think they're a very useful antidote to the issues of our society you uh May made a video that was aimed at young men it was like my message to young men what what do you want those masculine values to be what would be your message to young men so like I spend a lot of time in conservative space and so I have a pretty good understanding what people are doing in different places and it frankly scares me like being a not being a sociopath is discouraged where I I I do stuff like I'll release on Twitter you know human rights are good sometimes and all the comments are calling me a cuck um or it's like even stuff like uh the Holocaust is bad people call you a cuck and once you get to a culture where any appeal to humanity is tarnished and spat at you have a culture that's about to do evil and is rationalizing evil um and so I want there to be the establishment of a healthy masculine based off actual principles not resment because resentment resentment is a fire that burns everything down rather than building PE hurt people hurt people and so you create this cycle of suffering and um what I say for that video and I've gone through a phase of all the masculine self-improvement guys like Peterson and Tate and those guys is that none of it's about being happy uh it it's all about like getting rich and getting girls and looking jacked and like I know lots of people who do that stuff most of them aren't happy why don't we just cut out the middleman and do what makes you happy and the reason the way you figure out what makes you happy is to know yourself and so what I say is that people should increase their level of sentience and sentience is a psychological trait which is your ability to assess yourself independently from the world so most people in life they follow the path that their social class their IQ their region their period of History tells them to do even most successful people follow the track they're left out in life and so for sentience you have the capability to analyze your place in the world and how you differ from that and thus you can make decisions you you gain a degree of self-awareness that gives you control over your life and I think honor freedom and Truth are important values because they establish a moral framework through which to act in the world where Freedom establishes enough Independence that you're capable of being uh they capable of surviving from the tyrannies of culture or State honor gives you a moral code that you can hold yourself to as an individual and Truth gives you a good sense of the world and so what I say is that if you're a young guy um don't do the things that make you think that make you look cool or edgy or that know who you are as a person and do what you actually want to do all right we're in the middle of a pretty gnarly male dating crisis so um if my shade of what I've taken away from you which is ultimately if Society doesn't create the tension uh where a lot of men can be successful and getting laid then you're going to have a problem either of withdrawal or violence um realistically how do we solve the dating crisis um the easiest thing to do is just get rid of dating apps um and I think so a lot of people in my space blame women mostly for the dating crisis I think it's mostly the mechanics of dating apps where so imagine you're a man and an attractive woman in a major city gets a thousand offers of sex a week I've looked at I looked at their phones it's often 20 a day and so if you have that you go to the club uh that's stuff you have infinite sex that's a horrible incentive structure because um it puts people it for the women involved it gives them such a high degree of selectivity that it it it's you're removing women are so if dating apps were a country they would be the second most unequal in the world after South Africa and ahead of Venezuela so if Tinder was a country it would be like a failing third world communist country with a nobility um and so it's reasonable to understand that if you put any person under those kinds of incentives what it would do to their ego or like like we all know rock stars are known for being super humble and great guys uh yeah that's what we know yeah exactly um and and so I think people just so I'm goingon to be a boomer just people should go outside the problem is that going outside is a group effort where if you're a Zoomer other Zoomers don't go outside and so it's this tragedy of the common situation where like I think the biggest issue is because so over 60% of relation ships are formed online now and among Zoomers I'm guessing that's even higher uh and that's not a good thing because the selection pressures for online dating are not as good as other forms it's basically attractiveness um and so if you act and this is John height talks that this this is a just a broad issue in our culture that like you should see these things as heroin uh these things are like meth um and I catch myself sometimes on like a a quiet Sunday to spending 12 hours on my phone and I feel disgusting but the problem is that like there's no mechanism against that and so we don't have any institutions against ask you because the you here I have before me a very bright Jen ear and so let me ask the obvious question you already know the power of rules why don't you have a rule around how much you use your phone so the problem is that you don't want to have Nanny State rules because then in the after a generation or two people get resentful of I'm talking personally imposed I don't want these from the top down [ __ ] that like I you should be able to let me duct tape my phone to my forehead if I want to but I'm saying so I tweeted out today because of you uh think of uh screen time video games all the modern wonderful things as like alcohol yes in small quantities ton of fun yes in large quantities absolutely destructive and comes down to your personal discipline as to whether or not it's going to be a problem or it's going to be something that you use when you want the the problem with that is that statistically personal discipline is not effective for most people you know 90 95% of diets fail and so on an individual basis you can build up the willpower but on a social basis that's not going to work and so what the absence of something is normally not effective what you need to do is the replacement so the reason alcoholics are such big issues is alcohol has become their life they're happy they grab a drink they're depressed they grab a drink they're with friends they grab a drink the neural highway to alcohol in their life is just very strong and so the issue is how do you fill up other stuff in their life that they can do instead of alcohol and it's the they build up Hobbies relationships um a bunch of other things uh and so phones are the same way and the problem with screen addiction and I'm going to use an example of this is that when when the N when the Europeans introduced alcohol to the native americ amans it just completely destroyed their society Native Americans would spend all day drinking they just because they had no social protections against alcohol so native communities would actually there was a weird part of American History there was a prophet and a messiah called tumsa based out of Illinois who launched this uh Warrior Confederacy from Alabama to Canada in like 1810 no one remembers it but he banned alcohol and so the problem with us with scans is that it's a tragedy of the common situ situation where we there was all of these social institutions that facilitated not having screens where there were third places young people would meet there was social etiquette about how to talk to someone there was uh people say play outside outside for most Americans is a parking lot and so implicit in the problem is that we removed everything we've made screens that easiest answer for young people and so in the same way that for Alcoholics Anonymous you tell an alcoholic here's an organization where you're accountable to people we need to find that Institution for screens it's interesting so I will assume that just like drugs you have when it comes to screen time you have people that uh use it too much because they're not putting in rules they're not thinking hey I should go spend a certain amount of time with other people whatever in physical space uh and then you have people that just have an addictive personality and more or less no matter what they're going to find their way to to an addiction whether it's work sex drugs alcohol phones whatever they're they're going to have an addiction um but I really believe while you're not going to catch everybody with building out rules I think you catch a lot of people to me the the big thing that falls apart is people don't know where they're trying to end up they don't have any uh hypothesized strategy on how to get where they want to end up and there is this sort of nihilism giving up um the thing that I am glad you're making me confront because whenever somebody from genen Z comes to me and says hey Tom I want to be successful but I feel lost whatever I don't know how to achieve um my answer is always the same if you know how to make people money you will always make money and you can get so good at something that people can't stop you from doing it so you can get so good at helping somebody else make money you don't even have to start your own company even if people were actively trying to stop you you will be able to find a way um and that is true of jenzy as much as it is true for anybody else and so to me dear genen Z the thing that I would say to you guys because you are the future you're going to get to run the country the way that you want to run the country and nobody's going to get to stop you because they are all going to die and so my thing to them is what do you want it to be you're you can look at me as uh some dumb Boomer who doesn't know what he's talking about doesn't know how hard it is in your life or you can look at me as a student of History who understands how all the [ __ ] moves and cycles and there are always the people you said it's it's always a minority that can organize that has a Clear Vision that rallies the troops conscripts the Army I'm saying don't be one of the conscript conscripted be one of the people that rallies people and then if you know where you want to go and you're willing to face your anxieties and get better at that and deal with the mental illness and not just hide in a hole and push yourself to get outside of it and as someone who has struggled with crippling anxiety you cannot point a finger at me and say that I don't know what it's like I was an early adopter of that [ __ ] so I very much know what it's like to deal with anxiety and to say I want to get somewhere and anxiety is standing between me and my goal and I'm going to have to find a way to deal with that yes so what in that message sucks I agree with all that um and so um yeah I mean there's a million things to say um gen Z is the most class divided generation I've seen in a very long time where the top 20% of genen and this is my personal experience is 80% of the skills and 80% has 20% so I think there's a subset of gen Z who are the most competent generation since the the greatest Generation but most of the generation are just they can't function and so it's going to be very very strange to see that play out um and and uh I mean my piece of advice is just do stuff just do things and I my father would he had a couple quotes one of it is it's often more important to make a decision than a good decision and he said Rudyard you should do well in math so if there's a major war you can be in the artillery not the Infantry um and he also said um he also said Rudyard we live in a capitalist Society so make as get as many skills as possible and someone will pay you for one I think that's a pretty good mental system and so in my life uh when I dropped that when I when I left High School I hiked 600 miles in the Appalachian Trail alone from the top of Massachusetts to the bottom of Pennsylvania because I wanted to do something I wanted to face the real world and through facing the real world I would know who I was because I never liked school and I wanted to because a school felt really fake it felt like a bunch of like hamster wheels um and so I wanted to do something hard and real and then I worked on the channel after that and then I in the first semester of college I was making enough money that I dropped out and then I lived as a digital Nomad in Mexico and a few other countries so what I would say is and what I remember from the Trail is hiking that far seems hard but the task is just putting one foot in front of the other hiking 600 miles involves the actual Act is just walking and that's the case for most difficult things it's it looks intimidating but just do it all right let's talk to 2024 election you've said that America is already communist one I'd be curious to know what leads you to that and which of the candidates leads us either to more communis or away or are they both just pushing in the same direction America's culturally communist uh the video You're referencing is uh the four religions and so the context of this video is I'm talking about what philosophic assumptions underly a society so America's obviously not economically communist if it was we'd all be talking to other in a breadline now um but on an e on a philosophic political basis our entire Society is underlied by Marxist assumptions where uh where Marxist assumptions involve world is oppressor versus oppressed oppressed equals good pushing the interests of the oppressed is the moral thing uh the world is material is is all material moral standards don't exist thus increasing the economic level in quality of society is the morally correct outcome um that so much of our society is communist indirectly or directly that we forget it even conservatives today are philosophically communist in ways they don't understand myself included um and so we are philosophically communist well we are social structure and economically not um I mean that's an obvious question I mean the left is more culturally communist than the right is I don't think either side is actually pushing for economic communism um and I think that I mean so the left at this point they aim at putting in their priests into every part of society because HR departments and uh Dei employees are really priests it's a secular religion and they exist to monitor do the people in the organization follow the religion in the same way that back in the day you'd have a pastor all right what's more likely to spark violence if uh Harris wins but people don't believe it or if Trump wins but people don't believe it I I think there's going to be violence either way if Harris wins it removes plausible deniability from the right and so there's a higher situation of Harris wins that the left can say that the right is completely unhinged and then Ed a military to back the to destroy the right so Harris Victory what happens then again it's all margin if it's razor tight both sides can claim that they really won and will uh if if it's an overwhelming conservative Victory the left you you will see lots of antifas um and we'll see lots of chazes and maybe blue city is forming city states but that would put the military in in the um in the right um and so you you'd pick something if the left wanted to gauge that war and there was an overwhelming conservative Victory they'd pick abortion or something like that I don't know immigration they'd say that like for inalienable human rights we have to fight um and then if the left has an overwhelming Victory uh what happens is that um is that uh the right would have less plausible deniability and so if the right launches a Revolt the left could use the military to crush it okay um in all of this one thing that sort of been dancing at the edges of the conversation but we've never pulled it in is immigration what is the point of an open border why is the left Pro immigration just like unchecked immigration why the right against I was pro-immigration till 2020 and then I turned around and the reason I was Pro immigration was I just thought it's good to have more young people it's good to harvest Talent all the economic reasons you see and then what happened was I saw that immigration is being pushed irrespective of economic interest in Britain for example the British government spends 40,000 a year year on housing immigrants the average immigrant the average Brit makes less than 40,000 and in some parts of Britain the average is like 15,000 um so that's just insane and the Brits are losing a tremendous amount of money and look at New York City they're how probably Los Angeles too New York City they're housing the immigrants in hotels for an incredibly expensive price and um so it it's clear that past a certain point it's not it's not economic self-interest for the society I think it's a constellation of a bunch of things one is vote vote vote stuffing where I I didn't really see the importance of using IDs for voting until pretty recently but now I see that if you don't have IDs for voting you can just Bunch bust a bunch of immigrants in and then win keep in mind 15 10 8 to 15 million immigrants have crossed the border since Biden that's adding another Pennsylvania to the country who so it's not a small thing that's first thing second thing is that it if we didn't have immigration we would see a skyrocketing of wages for local Americans because due to aging uh and due to the trade war with China where a lot of Industries coming back to America and so capital and the elites don't want this to happen so the only way to offset a natural massive increase in wages is to import a [ __ ] ton of immigrants and an interesting thing I I didn't believe this statistic is that nearly 100% of new job creation since Co has gone to immigrants the statistic are absurd and so what I've heard from people is that for agriculture as an example they are busing in immigrants to replace entire I I don't know if this is true it wouldn't surprise me if they are busing in immigrants to replace entire Farms or entire uh Industrial Systems so reason one vote stuffing reason two keeping down wages reason three destroying the collective social Unity of the society where um Western culture has developed all of these social Traditions dating back to the Middle Ages that make it difficult for governments to overreach where um and Western governments have private individual rights they have weapons ownership they have uh a concept of the of the individual soul um separation of powers whatever and so most of the countries immigrants are from are not countries with those heritages in Mexico they've been ruled by an oppressive cast system for the last like 700 years going back to even before the Spanish and so or if you import middle easterners the Middle East has never been a democracy so you're importing populations that are familiar with government overreach and um and also I think I think a lot of the motivation here is um the attempt to make things worse so that people beg to have the government save them you remove the police crime gets too bad now you need uh political now you need the political Brown Shirts to protect you because the police are gone and finally I just think the real answer is suicide I think we're a civilization trying to commit suicide in every possible way and this is just one vector for suicide you're going to have to say more on that why why would Society want to commit suicide is this just tied back to whatever biological thing breaks as we get to a certain size or is there something else it's funny this is obvious to me so it's funny that I it's funny to me that it's not a widespread idea but I mean Society is not rational why would a person commit suicide like let me answer that a person will commit suicide when they no longer believe they will ever feel good about themselves again yes it is entirely about feeling yes so it's a mistaken belief but at the societal level why would the I mean is this uh we're a if you believe that we're a cancer on the face of planet Earth and you want to save planet Earth that's why you commit suicide like that's the only reason I could insert that's a rationalization um so it's the breakdown of social connection inside Society meaning that the individuals in the society push the collective to suicide if you look at suicide notes that we've studied the number one word is useless people want to kills where they feel when they feel like their lives don't have value and they feel like they're trapped once you hit critical mass of those people in the society they push for uh they push for it on the entire social structure and this is it's happening at a way worse level now but for example when the Persians conquered the Babylonian Empire the Babylonians opened the gates for them there were lots of Greek cities that open the gates to the Romans a society can be so sick that it welcomes Invaders In that's happened before and a society it's not a rational thing it's just the people involved the society is the Manifest and this is one of one of my favorite video ever is the emotions of so the emotions over history video where I talk about Asian cultures are shame based Western are guilt-based tribal are fear-based and so the group manifests psychological neuroses in the same manner the individual does um and so if an individual can get suicidal so can a society and I believe we're suicidal because I mean first of all our Elite our society and it's strange that the West governments are democratically elected they elected they were elected to do this um they want the destruction of Western culture the removal of our history and the statues of our leaders uh the demographic replacement of white populations the removal of traditions the breakdown of the family um the just every single thing that would result in the West's identity we are actively trying to destroy and it goes into stuff like de-industrialization in Europe I can't believe that de-industrialization is an actual political agenda but it's happening in the wealthiest and the most educated countries in the world like Denmark or the Netherlands or Britain where they're they're making they made Farmers nearly get rid of their own cows which is it's just it's insane it is insane all right man uh where can people follow you as you track a world going mad as you see it uh you should check out my channel what if alt his uh what if alt hist it's all free on YouTube I have a second podcast called history 102 where I spend an hour explaining various historic periods like the fall of Rome the American Civil War uh Etc and I've got various other social medias thank you so much for having me brother thank you for being here guys do not sleep on History it's one of the most important things you you could be looking at in order to understand where the future is going if you haven't already be sure to subscribe and until next time my friends be legendary take care peace if you like this conversation check out this episode to learn more there is an expression a saying in in in the Islamic context first first we come for the Saturday people then we come for the Sunday people the Saturday people are the Jews the Sunday people are the Christians I can I can link pretty