Your Life Will Change Forever: War, AI, Power, History & Humanity's Future | Yuval Noah Harari
gpxKBvq4OiA • 2023-05-13
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Kind: captions Language: en if you're a Chinese emperor like 2000 years ago one of your biggest problems in life is that if you give too much power to your ministers and Generals they might rebel against you the will to power and want to kill you and your family and establish their Dynasty and I found a solution which is based on bioengineering now you can ask bioengineering two thousand years ago in China yes it's called castration whoa frustration is bioengineering you take a man you cut something off you get a different kind of man that is perfectly fit for the purposes of the emperor I didn't know they did that yeah Unix I mean new eunuchs existed I didn't know they were Generals you had unique generals and unique ministers because they pose much less of a threat they can't establish their own Dynasty wow and you had in there were periods in Chinese history when most of the Imperial Administration was Unix do you like dark view of humanity like you know you want a government job yes just give us your testicles and we'll give you a government job and this was not just China you see the same thing happening in in the Byzantine empire in the caliphate in the Islamic caliphate because this was kind of bioengineering of a thousand to two thousand years ago that again you need this this special kind of human which has Intelligence and discipline but doesn't pose the threat of establishing their own Dynasty that's the solution so of course this was very limited but you had other you know you have the I know the Christians they also have a problem with with humans as they are because humans are not very good in obeying all the kind of uh uh uh dictates of Christianity so they try to change Humanity but they fail they don't have the ability to really intervene deep inside the human genome the human brain like Christianity doesn't like sex very much it doesn't have it has a negative view of sex but what to do I mean you can't change the human sexual Earth they tried a lot of times but even monks and nuns did not always keep their vows of Chastity you have popes where children so Christianity had a very big trouble like overcoming this sexual urge of humans and um you know you fast forward to the future what would some fundamentalist religious regime Christian or Muslim or whatever do with genetic engineering they can what I often say is that the people who develop the technology they usually think about the good usages we will use this to cure disease we will use this to to improve people's lives but you also need to take a moment think about the politician you most hate in the world or think about the religious movement of the ideological movement that uh which was the worst in history from your perspective and take a few minutes to think what would they do yeah with the technology that I'm developing right now it doesn't mean we stop all technological development but it means that we have to be very careful especially about thing about something like genetic engineering which is to some extent irreversible we have never seen like something like that in history that the Chinese emperor they could create eunuchs but it was just one generation they could not create an entire kind of new specie of human Unix it doesn't work but now it could be done so that's one very big danger and the other big danger it comes from AI because AI also is something completely new in human history it's the first time that we invent something that can take power away from us going back to the will to power every previous invention in history gave more power to humans because even if the tool was extremely powerful an atom bomb the decision how to use it always remained in human hands it was not the atom bomb that decided to uh to bomb Hiroshima it was Truman and the the the American Army it was human beings so even a nuclear bomb actually empowers Humanity AI is the first invention that breaks this because it can make decisions by its own that's the whole idea so it potentially can take power away from us we already see it beginning to happen uh you know increasingly you apply to to the bank to get a loan and the bank says no and why not because the algorithm said no and you apply for a university or you apply for a job and increasing late in AI making a decision about your life and we will see it in more and more areas now again it's not all bad it can improve many decision-making processes it can really improve medicine but we should be aware of the danger when this technology is in the wrong hands all when we don't understand it's its true potential because another new thing about Ai and I think we talked about this last time I was here so I won't go into too much details it's it could eliminate human privacy completely throughout history again Emperors and kings and popes always dreamed about following people all the time and and and watching them supervising them they they couldn't do it it didn't have the technology what do you think so I've heard you say that imagine that North Korea gets a hold or a government-like gets a hold of a device that can read effectively your mood so when you see a poster of the supreme leader and you have anger up cool you're arrested and you're locked away what what is the real world response to that like how do we like do you have a the response is is political I mean I mean don't get there but you know that other countries are going to do it so there's going to be the tragedy of the comments this is where I like I get into the hey I'm optimistic I'm living my life I'm trying to create beautiful things but at the same time in the back of my mind I'm like humans are never going to stop like we're never going to stop the tragedy of the commons is real and so whatever solution we put in place has got to deal with the tragedy of the commons yes I mean again this is where I'm not optimistic because the only way to really regulate a technology like AI is through International cooperation yeah if you think about you know autonomous weapon systems which are extremely dangerous if only America bans them but the Chinese or the Russians keep developing them then very soon America will say hey we don't want to be to be left behind we have to do it also we don't want to do it but we have to do it so the only one you can regulate it is through some kind of international agreement Corporation and there's International tensions in the world just increase then I'm not optimistic at all about the potential to regulate this technology Within certain within a country you can regulate it to some extent you can protect people's privacy for instance you can have laws that say that if somebody collects my private information they can only use it to help me they cannot use it to manipulate me or to sell it to a third party now this is obvious because we have these kinds of laws about so many other things like who is my personal doctor it's known for for years for Generations that you have this exactly these kinds of laws my personal doctor has a lot of very private information about me and he or she use it in order to help me they are not allowed to use it to manipulate me or to sell it to some political party or to some Corporation so why is Facebook allowed to do it so this should be very very simple that's one defense of our our privacy another thing that we can regulate is that we should never allow all the information to be concentrated in one place whether this one place is a government agency or whether this one place is a corporation this is the high road to a dictatorship somebody that has all the information of all the people they basically control everybody you know I mean even if you think about it on a global scale that you think in 20 years you have some country that somebody in in China or somewhere have the entire personal records of every politician every judge every journalist every military officer in that country from the time they're a little like every illness they had every sexual encounter every bribe they took they know that this is no longer an independent country this had become a kind of data colony to control that the colony you don't need to send soldiers in to to police people you just take the data out and if you have enough information you can control this country by remote control for for afar so uh I think we need to have regulations against these kinds of things and and it can be done and similarly when we think about the new developments like the metaverse we have to think very very carefully about uh uh what's happening there uh again I'm I'm historian so I always look at things from a very long-term perspective but hey we know this this has been a fantasy of humans for thousands of years it really goes back to ancient philosophical and religious debates about what is a human being you know you go back to early Christianity so you have two camps you have one Camp which says humans are embodied beings the body is in the center which was the old Jewish view you are not your mind you are not a spiritual entity a soul you are a body in the Book of Genesis God creates Adam and Eve from clay and they don't exist before that they exist only as bodies they in the New Testament Jesus rises from the dead in the flesh and uh when he preaches to people about the kingdom of God he means a a physical kingdom here on Earth with physical bodies with biological bodies so this was one view as humans are our bodies Our biological entities and then there was the other view which increa which was influenced by Greek philosophy and so forth and which increasingly became dominant which says no humans are not bodies humans are an immaterial soul or Spirit trapped within a physical body the body is bad is evil is corrupt is dirty is ugly the soul is completely pure and spiritual we're back to narratives which of those narratives do you believe I I'll get to that in in a moment I'll just complete my thought that what we see now in the metaverse is exactly this argument being replayed that is can we uh as as humans just shift to the immaterial realm of the metaverse and leave our biological bodies behind or is it impossible or even dangerous to try and separate our kind of mental existence from our bodily in in physical existence or maybe give you a little bit of Hope for some of the people working in the metaverse so I am very grounded in biology so the things that I'm interested in with that very much coexist now will it be interesting for a entirely virtual species to uh inhabit maybe that could be cool but that doesn't help us so even people thinking about uploading their Consciousness I've thought through that one a lot uh it would be a copy of me but it wouldn't be me so all of the sadness of death and all that that I would be hoping to avoid by doing that doesn't help maybe it kind of gives the same sense of having a kid but it wouldn't by any means save me from having to deal with death so but the metaverse is still really interesting to me now I'm a person when I say I'm grounded in biology I'm talking about understanding the microbiome and how wildly that influences my thoughts and am I just a shell for microbes maybe and so like I'm I take a very very grounded approach to that now having said that so hopefully that gives you a little bit of optimism not everybody's trying to divorce from the body it's I think most of the day all the important you know increasingly your social life your job is increasingly in the metaverse the biology of the situation will make that a disaster so I I would highly as somebody developing in the metaverse I will highly caution people against that because you have to feed your microbes you have to love and bond and there's there's so many things that we pick up on anyway I totally see how it it derails but if people are talking about like hey you can't ignore the body this is a very real thing you have to pay attention to this fun place to visit you can't live there um hopefully we can avoid some of the nonsense that comes along with like social media where nobody even talked about let's talk about how this becomes deranging because social media has been incredible in my life I don't have an addictive personality so that probably helps so it's very easy for me to go I spend a little bit of time on it what time I do spend is incred incredibly empowering because I have trained the algorithm to give me useful things not things that compare me to other people and make me feel terrible uh so it's like you know you have to be very thoughtful about stuff like that so my hope is that we get a little bit wiser of course not everybody will but it really does come back to this idea of narrative like I tell myself a narrative about what the virtual space is it's going to keep me I think from hitting the major roadblocks I'm sure there will be things I can't anticipate yet but the the thing that I want to make sure that we touch on is I am not religious but I worry that the thing that you're talking about where we have to be thoughtful about Gene editing and we have to come together as a big cooperative I don't know how that happens without a without something filling the Godlike hole in all of our brains where we want some Grand meaning some thing that we can orbit around there is no God's hole in our brain interesting I mean the people think you don't worry about God is dead at all I mean we managed without him for many periods in history and we've been doing quite well in in recent Generations uh without him I think that some people connect God and morality how do we come together then as a huge species like as one planet to fight the big things what's the big narrative we all revolve around I think the big narrative is the biological narrative that we are all Homo sapiens that we are all have the same basic experiences that we all want to fall in love that we all have uh very deep ties with our family members that we all we don't want to be sick it's we don't like pain that we don't want to die that we're afraid to die I mean these are things that are common to all humans you don't need God for them and also very important you don't need God for Morality some people say that and it was common in history to have this argument that even if God doesn't exist we have to believe in him because without God people will just kill and murder and rape and and we now have empirical evidence that this is absolutely not true I don't think it breaks down like that I think people are missing something more subtle with that I'm just playing with these ideas please don't I hope it doesn't come across like I think I know but I feel like the thing is more subtle so I haven't believed in God since I was like 15. so I totally get as I've never felt compared compelled to steal murder rape none of the like none of that enter my mind but when I look at sort of the broad sweep of humanity I realize that people will fall in line with whatever the sort of dominant philosophy of their tribe is so by way of example I'm I feel almost ridiculous bringing this up to you because you're a historian and I'm very much not but the thing that stopped the Conquistadors from coming up and taking over what we now think of as America the thing that originally stopped the Americans from coming across uh the camachus tribe I believe is a name and so how do they become the tribe when all the other Native American tribes were falling by the wayside and getting relegated to reservations why didn't they because of sheer brutality and reading the book Empire of the summer moon was utterly fascinating when he was like they were the only tribe that fought on Horseback instead of riding the horse to the fight and getting off and so they were able to just bring this level of viciousness that we've seen throughout history in all different kinds of tribes and peoples but hearing it described you realize oh it was actually really effective so thinking of yourself as a warrior um treating the other people as the other that you need to stop them kill them torture maim whatever you kill all adults you take either the women in the adult males you take women and children but if they're infants and you kill them too because it's too much vassal it's like it's actually effective but it's super gnarly and so what is the thing that given how many times we've seen that whether it's the I've never stopped it I mean yeah did the same thing and they believed in God so God doesn't stop these kind of Terrible Things From Heaven a thousand percent agree so that's why I said God shaped hole I'm trying to figure out what that because it isn't God I want to be very clear in my stance I mean we need morality that's that's certainly true so how do we make that like a thing that everyone's like yeah because as you were describing uh getting everybody to recognize the biology of it so I have said a thousand times on my Tombstone I want them to put you're having a biological experience that like you and I could not agree more about like I want that to work I just don't think it will and so how or maybe this how do we make you're having a biological experience so cool and so infectious that it propagates and and people come together hmm um you know first of all with regard to the example you gave so yes throughout history viciousness was an effective way to build Empires but now is nuclear weapons it's only a way to destroy all of us so the same way that AI is a game changer in the same way that genetic engineering is a game changer nuclear weapons were also a game changer that you can no longer conquer the world by force the only thing you will achieve is the annihilation of everything just to be clear really fast on that all I'm saying is that they became the tribe not by being genetically Superior by having a belief system that made them Unstoppable yes so and and this now becomes more and more dangerous to have this kind of of belief system um we need I mean again if if you have a lot of people in the world different groups with this kind of belief system you end up with World War III and with the type of weapons we now have not just nuclear weapons but also increasingly Ai and Robotics and so forth this is the end of humanity unless the thing the belief system that's powerful is one of beauty I just don't know how to make Beauty contagious in the way that the will to power is contagious well I don't either but one thing that makes me hopeful is that you don't see a kind of constant level of violence throughout history you do see periods of peace and periods of War we just we we have just experienced as I said earlier uh some of the most peaceful decades in human history so this this makes me hopeful and um we need to find ways to connect people I don't think God is a good way because different people have different gods and you know coming from Israel both sides believe in God but he tells them different things and it tells the Jews that Jerusalem is yours and he tells the Muslims Jerusalem is yours and then they fight over it and the tragedy is that it's a completely unnecessary conflict you know if it was some kind of objective necessity like you have two people alone on an island there is the last apple or the last piece of bread whoever gets it survives the other dies then I say okay you know this is a situation when conflict is maybe is inevitable but this is not the case in my country there is enough food there is enough Territory between the Mediterranean and the Jordan River to feed and to house everybody humans usually don't really fight about objective biological things the same way that wolves or chimpanzees fight they don't really fight about territory they find about fantasies in their minds that both sides have a fantasy about Jerusalem which is just incompatible with the the story with the mythology of the other side and this is what they fight about about the fantasy in their in their mind I mean going back to the to the metaverse in a way when you go to Jerusalem I've I teach them at the Hebrew University so it's a place like with biological glasses of an ape you see it's just like every other place you have trees you have Stones you have buildings it's the same like Los Angeles like any other place but then you put on a different set of glasses you put on religious glasses and you see angels and you see Divinity and you see Sacred Stones and sacred trees and everything is sacred you know a sacred place is a place plus a story about the place and this is at the bottom of most conflicts in the world also you look at again the Russian invasion of Ukraine is it about territory Russia is the biggest country in the world the minimal territory this is the thing they need more territory no it's about the fantasies in in the head I think that the more we come back to the level of organ of the body of biology the more common ground that we have throughout history you you you got the opposite narrative what's up everybody Tom billu here and I am very excited to share some news with you that's going to help you be legendary in honor of mental health awareness month this may I'm teaming up with better help to bring you an exclusive video miniseries available only on Spotify every week in May I'll be sitting down with some of the most inspiring insightful people in the world of mental health and personal development we're talking about people like Mo Gadot and Emily Morse who will share their wisdom and strategies for overcoming challenges building resilience and tapping into your full potential each video will be packed with practical advice powerful insights and actionable steps you can take to transform your mindset and take back control of your life so if you're ready to take your mind and body to the next level tune into this all new mini-series exclusively on Spotify sponsored by betterhelp check out betterhelp.com impact Theory to get 10 percent off your first month you go to narrative again from religions like Christianity that the body is the source of all the bad things in life and the mind this is a kind of the uh our most spiritual more beautiful better part and most of the time it's the opposite that on the level of the body we can relate to every other human being in the world because biologically we are the same what creates this huge distance between us is the fantasies that the mind imagines and produces so I I think that again if I have hope for the for Humanity in the 21st century is actually getting a little away from our from thinking too much from from the mind and grounding ourselves a little more in our body some of the things that are happening technologically become a little bit dangerous because you can hack a human and if you could explain what you mean by hacking a human and then how do we end up hacking ourselves in a positive way well I think this is maybe the most important thing to know about living right now in the 21st century that we are now hackable animals we have the technology to decipher how humans or or what do you think what you want to predict human choices to manipulate human Desires in ways which were never possible before basically to hack a human being you need two things you need a lot of data especially biometric data not just about where you go and what you buy but what is happening inside your body and inside your brain and secondly you need a lot of computing power to make sense of all that data now previously in history this was never possible nobody had enough data and enough computing power to hack human beings even if the KGB of the Gestapo followed you around 24 hours a day eavesdropping on every conversation you had watching everybody you meet still they did not have the biological knowledge to really understand what's happening inside you and they certainly didn't have the computing power necessary to make sense even of the data they were able to collect so the KGB could not really understand you could not really predict all your choices or manipulate all your desires and so forth and but now it's changing what the KGB couldn't do corporations and governments today are beginning to be able to do and this is because of the merger of the revolution in biotech we are getting better in understanding what's happening inside Us in the body in the brain and at the same time the revolution in infotech which gives us the computing power necessary when you put the two together when infotech merges with biotech what you get is the ability to create algorithms that understand me better than I understand myself and then these algorithms cannot just predict my choices but also manipulate my desires and basically sell me anything whether it's a product or a politician and that so that's what you're calling hacking that you're hitting me with the right emotional message at exactly the right time based on my biometric data yeah this is one of the things you can do then you can predict you can manipulate you can eventually also re-engineer or replace if you really hack a system you really understand how it functions then usually you can also re-engineer it or you can completely replace it and again one of the dangers that we are facing today in the 21st century is that computers and AI would be able to replace humans in more and more tasks and maybe push millions of humans out of the job market as a result all right so I I fully understand the dangers and we will talk about some of what we were talking about off camera which is we've got this whole story called neon future where we're exploring that notion of what happens to what you've called the useless class when they're pushed out of the job market what does that do economically but go going just staying with the the notion of the hackability for a second so it's funny as you were describing it and I know you bring the sense of like uh there's some like real significant problems we need to take a very serious look at and I get almost giddy with excitement because I have potentially delusional levels of optimism I'm very open to that no I agree I mean the thing about this ability to hack humans is that it has also potentially tremendous positive consequences and this is why it's so tempting if it was only bad then it was it would have been like an easy deal to say okay we don't want that and let's stop researching or going in that direction but it is extremely tempting because it can provide us for example with the best health care in history something which goes far beyond anything we've seen so far this can mean that maybe in 30 years the poorest person on the planet can get a Better Health Care from her or his smartphone than the richest person today gets from the best hospitals and the best doctors the kind of things you can just know about what's happening in your body um is nothing like we've seen so far yeah now that that's really extraordinary and if you had to take the positive look and say okay we have this ability let's just say it's already there we've got all this biometric data it's kicking off um how would you encourage people to leverage that to empower themselves and I'll use an example that I found profoundly interesting from your book so you said that growing up that it was unclear to you that you were gay but that now Stanford has developed an algorithm that essentially can look at three or four photos of somebody's face and predict with 91 accuracy whether or not they're gay which seems impossible but if that's true the level of data that we could give ourselves about our like deepest most hardwired desires there would be a level of clarity there that seems useful how would you encourage people to use that well it's a very good example I mean the Stanford algorithm actually there is a lot of problems with that research and let's put it aside but first key message from from that is how little people actually know about themselves and um one of the most important things in my life and also in I think in my scientific career was the realization of how little I know about myself and humans in general there was so many important ideas and important facts we don't realize about ourselves I was 21 when I finally realized that I was gay which is you know when you think of it it's it's absolutely amazing I mean it should have been obvious at age you know 16 15 and an algorithm would have realized it very quickly and you can build algorithms like that today or in a few years you just need to to follow your eye movements like you you go on on the beach or you look at the computer screen and you see an attractive guy and attractive girl and just follow the focus of the eyes where do the eyes go and whom do they focus on should be very easy and such an algorithm could have told when I was 15 that I was gay and the implications are really mind-boggling when an algorithm knows such an important thing about you before you know it about yourself now it can go in all kinds of directions it really depends on where you live and what you do with it in some countries you can be in trouble now with the police and the government uh you might be sent to some re-education facility in some countries like with you know surveillance capitalism so maybe I don't know about myself that I'm game but Coca-Cola knows I'm gay because they have these algorithms and they want to know that because they need to know which commercials to show me let's say Coca-Cola knows that I'm gay and I even know it about myself that they know it and Pepsi doesn't Coca-Cola will show me a commercial with a shirtless guy drinking Coca-Cola but Pepsi will make the mistake of showing a girl in the bikini and next day without my realizing why when I go to the supermarket when I go to the uh to the restaurant I will order Coca-Cola not Pepsi I don't know why but they know so they might not even share this kind of information with me now if the algorithm does share the information with me again it's it a lot depends on context one scenario is that you're 15 years old you go to a birthday party of somebody from your class and somebody just heard that there is this cool new algorithm which tells you sexual orientation and everybody agrees it will be a lot of fun to just have this game that everybody takes turn with the algorithm and and everybody else looking and seeing the results would you like to discover about yourself in such a scenario this this can be quite quite a shocking experience okay but even if it's done in like complete privacy you know it's it's a it's a very deep philosophical question what does it mean to discover something like that about yourself from an algorithm what what does it mean about human life about human identity we have very little experience with these kinds of things you know from very ancient times all the philosophers and Saints and sages tell people to get to know yourself better it's one of the maybe the most important thing in life is to get to know yourself better but for all of history this was a process of self-exploration which you did through things like meditation and maybe Sports and maybe art and contemplation and all these things what does it mean when the process of self-exploration is being outsourced to a big data algorithm and the philosophical implications are quite mind-boggling it's interesting so let's talk about that so the implications you're Outsourcing the self-discovery process to me that sounds so profoundly useful because all day the people that write into me they're asking basically one essential question how do I find the thing that I love because I tell people you need to develop a passion in your life I don't think you find it I think you develop it but they need to start from an area of real interest it needs to be actually something that at a hard wiring level they're just they get that response so their next question is like how right how do I get into that how do I discover the thing that triggers me like that and if I discover it then how do I develop it into a passion if you had an algorithm something that we're able to use the more manipulative techniques that you were talking about that Coca-Cola is doing or whatever but give it to you in a way that can move you in a desired Direction so I'll give you a specific example that you give in the book so talking about how let's say there was an algorithm that knew you'd just broken up with somebody knew that you were in the grips Of Heartache because they're they're reading your Biometrics in fact give it to us that that example that you you put so the Biometrics they're reading you the it's the song it knows what songs to pick yeah I mean so something is as simple as choosing music so you you will just get dumped by your boyfriend or girlfriend and the the algorithm that controls uh the music that you listen to chooses the songs that are the best fit for your current mental state and of course this brings up the the question of what is the Matrix what do you actually want from the music do you want the music to uplift you or do you want the music to kind of connect you to the deepest level of sadness and depression and ultimately we can say that the algorithm can follow different kinds of instructions if you know what kind of emotional state you want to be in you can just tell the algorithm what what you want and it will do it if you are not sure you can tell the algorithm follow the recommendation of the best psychologists today so let's say you have the five stages of grief so okay walk me with music through these five stages of grief and the algorithm can do that better than any human DJ and what we really need to understand in in this regard is that what music and most of art plays on in the end is the human biochemical system at least according to the dominant view of out in the modern Western World we had different views in different cultures but in the modern Western World the idea of art is that out is above all about inspiring human emotions it doesn't necessarily have to be Joy great art can Inspire also sadness can can Inspire anger can Inspire fear it can be a whole palate of emotional states but out is about inspiring human emotions so the instrument artists play on and whether it's musicians or poets or Movie Makers they are actually playing on the homo sapiens biochemical system and we might reach a point quite soon when an algorithm knows this instrument better than any human artist a movie or a poem or a song that will not move you that will not inspire you might inspire me and something that will inspire me in one situation might not inspire me in another situation and as time goes on and the algorithm gathers more and more data about me it will become more and more accurate in reading my biochemical system and knowing how to play on it as if it was a piano like okay you want joy I press this button and out comes the perfect song the only song in the world that can actually make me joyful right now that's so interesting to me alright so right now real world you can snap your fingers and you can have one algorithm that's tied to one uh biochemical process in your life for real what would you want to Monitor and get that feedback on no that's easy I mean a health care if there is like something seriously wrong in my body that I don't know about like I don't know cancer or something I would like the algorithm to find that out I don't want to wait until I mean the usual process is that it has to go through your own mind you can't Outsource it I mean today when you need to diagnose cancer there are exceptions but in most cases there is a crucial moment when you feel something is wrong in my body and you go to this doctor and that doctor and and you do this test and that test until they finally realize okay we just discovered you have cancer in your liver or whatever um but because it relies on your own feelings in this case feelings of pain very often uh it it's quite late in the process by the time you start feeling pain usually the cancer has spread and maybe it's not too late but it's going to be expensive and painful and problematic to treat it but if we can you know Outsource this don't go through the Mind through the through my my feelings I want an algorithm that with biometric sensors is monitoring my health 24 hours a day without my being aware of it it can potentially discover this liver cancer but it is just a tiny just a few cells are beginning to to to to to split and to spread and it's so easy and cheap and painless to take care of it now instead of two years later when it's already spread and it's it's a big problem so this is something that I think almost everybody would sign on to and this is the big Temptation because it comes with the whole other the long tail of dangers I mean this algorithm that the the the Healthcare System knows almost everything about you so one of the biggest battles in the 21st century is likely to be between privacy and health and I guess that health is going to win most people will be willing to give up a very significant amount of privacy in exchange for far better Healthcare now we do need to try and and enjoy both worlds to create a system that give us a very good health care but without compromising our privacy keeping the yes you can use the data to tell me that there is a problem and and we should do this or that to solve it but I don't want this data to be used for other purposes without my knowing it whether we can reach such a balance and like you know have your cake and eat it too that's a big political question I have a hypothesis I know you don't believe that history repeats but that humans do have a biology we have a nature humans are like something and I think there's two things man and this is like a random entrepreneur stabbing in the dark here but I've engaged with people enough that I'm pretty confident that I'm on the right track I think there's two things that lead to this kind of thing where we're fighting over something that in the end really isn't that important one some people need to be chased by a lion so without an extrinsic real danger that forces you to be like yo we may not see eye to eye but you can help me keep my family safe and in return I will help you keep your family safe without that that impulse to protect or whatever goes awry or just that they can't handle boredom something we talked about briefly before it started rolling and then there the other thing is Nietzsche's Will To Power and yeah I did not understand the culture War until I started reading about Nietzsche and the idea that we have we want to it can manifest beautifully we want to get better we want to improve we want that control over our life to to manifest what we could be but then there's also the toll booth person that isn't going to let you through if you don't have exact change because they can and that they get to feel that sense of okay I matter I I have some control over the world and that desire to have power coupled with there's nothing real to fight against puts humans in a very weird situation where they will pick up on minor things and we just run in opposite directions so that we have the expression of the will to power now I am new to Nietzsche so I do not claim to fully understand him but it seems like he saw it as a pretty broad spectrum it could be a beautiful thing it could be an ugly Petty thing so I don't want to paint it with like these dark overtones and wolves howling in the background but like that it can manifest in a pretty ugly way I I completely agree that much of what we see now is not an ideological battle it's uh certain politicians uh who as you say that what is driving them is power not ideology and they are using um divisive issues you know the way to gain power is to take a certain issue and politicize it and they they are searching for issues that can get people enraged that can and then harnessed harness this energy to get to power so a lot of the issues that you know people are fighting over if they were de-politicized they could have been solved much more easily but you take these issues and you turn them into these big ideological battles and then nobody wants to to back down and become this tribal Affair and this is the the way that these leaders are right to power and and again we see it so many times in history it's really terrible I think that the job of leaders should be actually to heal the community to bring it together and this is why also I think that you know many people today say that uh that we see the research the Resurgence of nationalism all over the world but actually much of the world you see a crisis of nationalism and the Resurgence of tribalism of tearing Nations into their components and destroying actually the national Community like I said before nationalism when it is understood correctly it's a Force for good in the world the basic kind of message of nationalism is uh the the ability to care about people you don't know which is amazing you know from a biological perspective we are kind of programmed to care about a very small number of people that we know personally our family our friends and to prefer them over everybody else and the big task of nationalism is to come and say and say to us no there is a much larger community of people that you need to care about so for instance you take money away from your family and you give it to build a healthcare system this is these are taxes so that strange people that you never met in your life on the other side of the country you'll never meet them but because you're a good Patriot and you care about them you pay your taxes honestly so that they get some basic health care or education or a sewage system and um similarly like you now I don't know you're a mayor or you're a a prime minister or something and you need to appoint somebody for a job and you have two options you have your cousin which is not qualified at all but he's your cousin man and you have like a very qualified person who is a stranger millions of years of evolution are screaming in your ear are you an idiot give it to your cousin but patriotism tells you no you should give the job to the qualified person because they would do a better job for the community and that's that's the the the the the the the good side of of nationalism and what we see now in many parts of the world is politicians who describe themselves as nationalists but they are actually not trying to create uh uh Harmony in the National Community they don't strengthen the national Community they tear it apart they deliberately look for any crack for any wound in kind of the national body here there's a problem this is something that people don't agree on and instead of trying to heal it they kind of poke their finger into it and try to enlarge it as much as possible to inflame it because if this is their ticket to power and in this way they destroy the national community and uh turn the nation into boring tribes and then they Place themselves at the head of One Tribe and tell people you have to follow me otherwise the other tribe will Destroyer and you're completely right this is simply uh the will to power it works we see unfortunately in many parts of the world we see that it is working not just in the U.S I mean though elections this this week in Brazil the elections are next week in my country in Israel it's exactly the same instead of leaders who are trying to heal the national Community you see leaders that try to destroy it and get power by kind of leading Just One Tribe yeah this is why like I'm a super optimistic guy as I was saying before we started rolling like when it comes to AI the metaverse all that stuff you're gonna have to slap me back to reality because I'm so optimistic but on this I am pessimistic only because when I look at the human animal and the way that we're wired and what biology tells us to do I don't see it feels like a positive feedback loop that has been magnified a thousand-fold by social media and so now information is coming at us so fast it's mimified so it becomes very easy to digest yeah I have a level of confusion because so much is coming at me if I feel insecure nothing from a biology perspective nothing is more intoxicating than the certainty of righteous indignation so the reason that somebody can acquire Power by poking at something is they're telling me exactly how to feel about something very concrete and so it's like you should hate those people because they have guns you should hate those people because they believe in abortion you should hate those people because on and on and so it now in all of my confusion I have absolute certainty and through a weird Quirk of evolution that calms my mind and distracts me from all the like internal emotional turmoil that I was having and it's like the only way that I see that running its course so that we it's like labor once a woman goes into labor there is no stopping it she's either going to die or she's going to give birth to the child those are your two options there's nothing in between yeah because you're you're in that positive feedback loop I feel like and Lord knows I want you to tell me that we're not but I feel like we're in a positive feedback loop right now of people racing away from each other and the only way that they will come back to the middle is through enough suffering and every war proves that after a while you just don't want to fight anymore and you've seen too many people die and it's like oh my God this is so horrible now I'm willing to compromise now I'm willing to come back to the table and if you see a way out of this because I am a big believer in Nelson Mandela when I read long walk to Freedom that changed me at some deep fundamental level where he was like hey they imprisoned me for 27 years and what's my answer when I come back out to find what I've heard you refer to as a middle way so way number one is to remain oppressed clearly he wasn't prepared to do that way number two is to become the oppressor and he was like you give up your Humanity when you become the oppressor so he's like you might be in power but you give something up that's not worth giving up the Third Way the way in the middle is to heal people to bring them back together and so I'm like if he can do that like none of us have an excuse but I don't think that we can I think he was such a freakishly rare human I just don't know who we turn to less optimistic about the metaverse and all that and we'll discuss this in a minute but but I'm more optimistic we can trade optimism yeah I'm the opposite I'm more optimistic about I mean not like terribly optimistic but a little more optimistic about our chances you know kind of politically and and so forth first of all I look at the long term process of History uh we started tens of thousands of years ago hundreds of thousands of years ago is isolated bands I mean a hundred thousand years ago you have humans living in small hunter-gatherer bands of a few dozen individuals and over history you see that the direction is very very clear humans find ways to trust More and More Strangers to come together into larger and larger groups even though kind of evolution evolutionarily it makes no sense I mean we are programmed to trust just a very very small number of individuals that we know personally and yet we have our Nations we have countries of hundreds of millions of people if we have a trade Network which covers basically the entire globe so humans find ways how to uh uh to to to overcome these Tendencies and to develop Trust and when you look specifically even at the issue of violence and War the last few decades have been the most peaceful era in human history now I know there have been conflicts and and wars in the last few decades I come from Israel you don't need to tell me I lived in the Middle East all my life but when you look at the statistics it's the most peaceful era in human history it's an era when humans had more chance to die from eating too much than from human violence in most of the world it became unacceptable for one country to just invade and Conquer its neighbors because it's it's stronger um you see it in the state budgets maybe in better than any other place for most of History the number one item on the budget of every King and South and Emperor is the Army the Army the Navy the fortresses the military in recent decades the average expenditure of governments all over the world together the average on the military is about six percent wow that's amazing because this is what enabled the resources to shift to again education welfare uh Healthcare most countries spend much more on Education Health Care and Welfare than they spend other than on their military you can reboot your life your health even your career anything you want all you need is discipline I can teach you the tactics that I learned while growing a billion dollar business that will allow you to see your goals through whether you want better health stronger relationships a more successful career any of that is possible with the mindset in business programs in Impact Theory University join the thousands of students who have already accomplished amazing things tap now for a free trial and get started today and that tells us that it's possible now we shouldn't be complacent and think that oh this is now that's it we have peace we can just relax no peace didn't come from some changing the laws of nature or because of divine intervention it came because people countries built good institutions not just on a national level but on the international level it is 1945 countries have built a rule-based uh International System which had many problems but still managed to provide more peace than in any pre
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