"America Is Collapsing Like Rome" - Prepare Now For The Coming Economic Crisis | Robert Breedlove
dU1eJ48ECMM • 2023-02-16
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Kind: captions Language: en oxygen pretty important for human life there's no price on it why it's not scarce something like diamonds not that important to human existence yet has a huge price because the demand weigh outstrips the supply the unique thing about scarcity and money is that money is always scarce right I want to walk through one thread that I all of this is me taking liberally from you so tell me where I go astray here um but this was a chain of events that I was like oh my God I now actually understand what's going on and this is terrifying so you've got um World War II happens and you've got people invading countries and raiding their gold stores because why would you invade if you're not going to get something if you can't steal something these are your words so you invade a country you steal their gold so people like [ __ ] I don't want to get invaded so they started or if I do I don't want them to be able to steal my gold so they started sending gold to the US ends up storing all this gold for people has a massive amount of gold and gold historically basically money as we think of it the the tangible dollars and bills you would store gold in a protected Warehouse somewhere and they would give you a paper that represented the amount of gold so people being Savvy started trading that because it's as good as gold because you can go and cash it in so now the US Post World War II has all this gold coming in and we then after World War II have a the Bretton Woods uh convention I'm not sure what it was exactly but they say hey we've got all this gold now we're gonna make the dollar the central Reserve currency Global Reserve currency excuse me and but it's all backed by all this gold that we have so hey we're good but in 1971 for reasons that you will have to explain uh Nixon decided to take us off of the gold standard so previously to that if you had a dollar you could actually go Redeemer for gold yes now you couldn't and it was Fiat it was by decree I say that this dollar has value and therefore it has value uh the problem is that's married to something that happened at some point in the early 1900s that you will have to explain the beast from Jekyll Island where we decided uh to create a central bank which isn't owned by the government right correct which I still can't believe is true the Federal Reserve yeah is not the federal federal and has no Reserve something crazy like this is where I'm like language matters well played that's a very good way to get me think that this is a government all right so we now break with the gold standard and so it's we can literally print money so as me the ignorant guy that's been his whole life trying to make money knows nothing about investing I make the money I think I am safe actually putting it under my bed only to realize that there's actually somebody that has the ability to go prone to go Burr right and they can press a button and it just makes more money and therefore with more money floating around you've got more people competing to buy that loaf of bread or whatever so the cost goes up as one would naturally expect and so now even though I theoretically have my assets are going up and yeah I have more money but I I either have the same buying power so it's just an illusion or I actually have less buying power and it's actually devastating and so now we get into this crazy making Loop of it seems like I should be getting ahead but I'm not getting ahead I think of inflation as being a natural act but really in the background are people making these decisions and and we will grant them that they are being kind they're trying to do something nice they're trying to level out volatility if I had to guess is actually their motivation but they level out that volatility by um creating debt cycles and devaluing the currency which you are saying mechanistically it just isn't different than theft um but when people think of redistribution of wealth as a good thing is that just another crazy making thing or are people right to think that no this is good we should be redistributing the wealth well that's a good long question um I would start with a long question yeah so let's do this wall three distribution first of all no one ever thinks it's a good thing when they're the target no one ever no one ever wants to be redistributed from no one ever voluntarily gets redistributed from that would be giving up value or wealth or capital for nothing in exchange I don't think anyone I don't say no one ever but typically no one ever will enter that um agreement let's say so maybe we'll track this Arc we'll do what is gold how did we get gold why and how Central Banking was introduced and then we'll get into um really what's happened post 1971. so and I love this question by the way what is money right this is the name of the show and this is the I think the key to incepting these ideas into people or at least getting people to question their socioeconomic reality such that they can peel back the layers of this onion and see through some of these euphemisms we've been getting to or we've been given and one definition of money this is the Austrian economic definition is that it's a Universal Medium of Exchange so again capitalism is built on free exchange it's built on voluntary action right self-ownership you go out into the world create things of value you trade them with other cell phone people the result is we create more output per unit of input we become more efficient acting in concert than we do acting in isolation this is the division of labor this is the reason wealth and riches exist because we specialize and we trade with one another in that process something necessarily becomes most exchangeable or most treatable right by definition for all trading with one another there's going to be a single asset of that uh flurry of trading activity that is the most liquid asset the most treatable or exchangeable asset that is money that's how money emerges in the marketplace it is not a government creation has nothing to do with government other than the fact that they monopolize it and try to control it to control people um and when you look at money from that first principle standpoint and this is from the Austrian School there's a deep Long literature on this you'll see that money needs to exhibit five Key properties and this is an important point we typically think that we want the thing right we want the table we want the car whatever but we don't we want the services the thing renders to us so you could think almost in the world of Economics there are no such thing as Goods if you will I know there are Goods I know they're Stables I know there's cars but what we are after is what services those goods provide to us so when we look at money the five properties that market actors voluntarily favor you could also think of as the five Services we seek from money are divisibility durability recognizability portability scarcity so I'll walk through each one of these money needs to be divisible pretty obvious you want to transact at different scales you want to buy coffee and the same day you go and buy a house right so you'd like to be able to give someone a coin or send someone a wire for 10 million bucks to buy a house pretty obvious um money needs to be durable in that it's not going to corrode over time if you put a bunch of gold in a safe it's not going to decompose right the half-life on gold is way longer than uh matters to any of us if you put a bunch of oranges in the safe and you're using that as money that's gonna rot pretty quickly so clearly durability matters money needs to be recognizable which means that each trading party can verify its authenticity so at every transaction and I'm handing you dollars you can certify either with that little pin they mark on dollars to make sure it's uh a legitimate you know U.S federal reserve issued dollar or if it was gold back in the day they had different techniques for a saying uh the Gold's authenticity making sure it wasn't LED plated with gold in fact the name sound money which you've probably heard in your explorations of the rabbit hole that referred to the sound a gold coin made when dropped a certain way so you could verify its authenticity by the sound it would create and this is another reason we introduced coinage and currency because to verify money at every transaction is a very significant transaction cost transaction costs are dissipative to trade right if we want to increase trade and increase wealth we want to reduce transaction costs so by abstracting into currency or putting it in a warehouse and trusting the warehouse custodian we can now trade much more quickly and more efficiently so that I mean that's that's one aspect of money that coinage and currency helped was recognizability money also needs to be portable pretty obvious you want to be able to move it across space right if I'm buying something in another city I need to get my gold or dollars to the other City to give it to the recipient finally and most importantly money has to be scarce and now we typically think scarce is purely a supply side function that's not what scarcity means scarcity occurs when demand outstrips Supply so when there is more appetite for the thing then there is a supply of the thing okay so oxygen pretty important for human life there's no price on it why not scary it's not scarce the supply way outstrips the Demand right um something like diamonds not that important to human existence yet it has a huge price because the demand way outstrips the supply the unique thing about scarcity and money is that money is always scarce because it's a call option on everything all the capital all the savings humans can produce the heart of man is Never Satisfied we always want more therefore money is always scarce by definition so what Market actors tend to favor is the money that has the most inelastic supply so this means the supply that is least subject to change uh by The Willpower of others that is what Market actors will Zero in on and here there's another number of ways to think about this um time energy second law of Thermodynamics we cannot create in order to store energy right we're sacrificing time and energy to earn money you would naturally want the thing you're sacrificing this absolutely scarce time and energy for to be similarly absolutely scarce that would be the ideal money right something that can't be created or destroyed um with money to gloss over a little bit of History monetary Metals best satisfied divisibility durability recognizability portability those were just and we've tried a lot of experiments we've had seashells we've had glass beads we've had cattle we've we've used all kinds of things as money right Natural Market processes determine that monetary metals were the most satisfactory across the first four properties or services that money can render to us of the monetary Metals gold was the most scarce meaning specifically its Supply was the least vulnerable to change no matter how much effort time energy we poured into producing gold its Supply increased the slowest and the most predictably so this gave us a medium into which we could store economic value and we would know with relative certainty that it would only change by about two percent year over year so this gave gold the store value function we traditionally associate with it um that's great right gold is great gold is good money it's been good money 5 000 years uh served a lot of purposes but the big hang up with gold is lack of portability right we talked about this a little bit earlier you want to be able to move across space obviously but Gold's heavy it's physical right it's very expensive to secure um it actually in one way it's beneficial and that you can store a lot of economic value in a small area and sort of uh amortize the security costs around it but when you need to move it that's when there's a lot of risk involved and this was the impetus for introducing what you alluded to earlier were the warehousing businesses so a private Enterprise a free market function came to be where a warehouse would take custody of the gold give you the warehouse receipt you can go and transact it it's as good as gold right you have a call option on gold effectively this wasn't introduced to augment the portability of gold well those warehouses became Banks those Banks became central banks and this is all again I'm not laying out a nefarious scheme here this is the economics the economies of scale associated with gold it is more efficient to centralize custody of this heavy bulky metal and issue abstractions in it it's more efficient to transact in that model than it is with physical gold so that's what drives this process the problem is you now have to trust the custodian you've introduced what we call counterparty risk there's a counterparty to that trade I can trade this paper with everyone and it's as good as gold until I go to redeem the gold from the warehouse and there's the Gold's not there or they won't redeem it or a fraction of what this paper represents is available um so that is kind of the history of gold into Central Banking and I guess the history of Central Banking is quite interesting um I would say that you know maybe this is an important Point too that people were all seeking something for nothing I think this is kind of unavoidable this is the entrepreneurial path right you've got a problem you've got an itch you want to scratch that itch or solve that problem with less effort right the the really successful entrepreneur is almost brilliantly lazy right he's identifying a problem and finding the quicker way a better way to solve it when he makes that Discovery he can now sell that product or that service or that method whatever it is into the marketplace and because everyone wants something for nothing they will reward him right this is the entrepreneurial process so that's great we all want something for nothing and it's a valid Noble Pursuit the problem I think is when we cross that line of self-ownership or of morality and we start seeking something for nothing from others right someone else has planted the garden someone else has built the business someone else's mind the gold and instead of me performing the work to create that value or earn that value I figured that I can just go out and co-opt or coerce or take that property or that asset from that person that's a path for me to get something for nothing but it's the immoral path right so I see this as kind of like the driving force in most Human Action we're trying to get something for nothing but there's a line that can be crossed and we talked earlier about self-ownership I think that's the line when you violate the self-ownership of someone else that's the problem Central Banking sort of came about as this natural institution to augment the technological limitations of gold it wasn't portable right but when you put that much power you concentrate that much power into one Institution it becomes noxious it becomes corrupting it becomes uh irresistible for some people of lower Scruples anywhere in the world to seek that seat of power and this is what I think has really started to deteriorate the monetary system and if you look at the history of Central Banking it's a lot of leveraging one another right you know you talked about a lot of the gold ending up in the United States this was also pre-World War II A lot of it has to do with the balance of payments among countries which are just inflows and outflows of capital but particularly when things got hot in Europe a lot of gold started coming into the U.S and again with when we with that much power or money in one place we became the world superpower and so we stepped on to the the theater of war at the end of World War II and we declared ourselves Victorious rightfully or wrongfully so you can make your own judgments about that and then we rewrote the rules of global banking to favor the United States where the dollar is pegged to gold all of the currencies are pegged to the dollar so what this gave the United States is the infamous exorbitant privilege as has been called to be able to print money we could send these paper certificates out into the world and have them send us goods and services in exchange add infinitum right until the system breaks down countries had the option to call our Bluff though they could accept these dollars but they could redeem them for gold if they thought were being irresponsible with a monetary policy for printing too much money well countries started calling our Bluff after 1944. uh we had this huge economic boom and then again glossing over some history I think it was Germany that tried to repatriate some gold so they tried to redeem dollars for gold and then we had the infamous 1971 Nixon shock that said no more gold redemptions and from that point on and it was said to be a temporary measure as governments so often and infamously say who was it that said that there's nothing more permanent than a temporary government solution here we are exactly 50 years later in [Music] um deep into this Global fiat currency experiment led by the United States and things have really come off the hinges I've Point people on this topic to this website WTF happened in 1971.com this is not just economic right this is it's socioeconomic there's you know obesity rates have spiked um drug addiction suicide clearly indebtedness right when you think this is tied to coming off the gold standard as the austrians wrote a long time ago the monetary standard and the moral standard are inexorably linked that and this gets into back into property and time preference um when money's losing its value over time we're all incentivized to be more short-term thinking this is a de-civilizing force and I think it is at I don't want to say it's the sole cause for a lot of the cultural malaise we see in the world today but I think it's a significant contributor okay that gets really complicated so while very interesting I think we pushed that down there's a line that I've heard you say that I think is really important for people to understand because I'm I'm thinking of myself as I first started to Grapple with this idea of inflation as theft and I just couldn't make the words even it seemed like such a non-sequitur to me and that is that there's no difference between I had a realization when I first got introduced to the stock market I couldn't make it make sense until I was like wait this is like baseball cards right these unless it pays you a dividend if it pays you a dividend it's different because it's actually giving you cash but if it doesn't it is literally baseball cards it only has the value that people agree that it has and once they stop agreeing that it has that value then it stops having that value in any real way when I think about inflation the following sense that I heard you say makes all the sense in the world which is that there is no difference between counterfeiting and inflating the amount of dollars in the system absolutely it's just that one we say is fine because the Federal Reserve is doing it with the sort of implicit um okay of the US government and the other is uh person in their basement you know that's right uh doing it on the down low but it's the same thing yeah and then I heard you talk about there was a time where um when um Africa was being colonized that I forget what region but they use glass beads as a form of payment and the people coming in were like word we've got glass manufacturing places you know back home we'll just make more of these beads yeah and when you think about the things that that money represents our time and our energy right you do something you you specialize as you said your specialization create something and then somebody who doesn't want to specialize in that that specialize in something else gives you money it's a call on that good or service and you give them that thing so if you can just go make these glass beads back home and bring you know ships full of them you can slowly milk the efforts of the people that you're counterfeiting their money and when I heard it said and again I also don't imply I don't think that I choose to look at this with no negative uh Viewpoint that they're they're not doing anything negative on purpose if this is all good intentions just potentially gone awry but when I heard it explained how you would do it if you were nefarious I was like oh my God because you suddenly understand that that there's this extractive nature of I'm either getting you to do this for free or because if nobody ever realizes that the glass beads are fake then you just have inflation right if you give me that thing in exchange for glass beads the next person goes but these are counterfeit then you really lost that's right but if I'm just slowly devaluing it because every the prices are going up because wow there's just so many glass beads everywhere um which first would feel like an embarrassment of riches and then suddenly you'd realize wait everything is just re-normalized and either I can afford the same thing or again I can afford less um then I was like oh my God now I understand how inflation is theft and then you really do get into I think it was Andrew Jackson punching a banker in the face you have to understand what happened on Jekyll Island so it's like before we get to the sort of morality side of all this was just [ __ ] fascinating and I really hope that we don't run out of time before we get to it I want to understand Jekyll Island why would Andrew Jackson punch a central Banker in the face like because I grew up in this system it seems natural yeah but there was a time where this was like governments even by government agencies or or government actors were like met with such suspicion and the founding fathers and how they were like yo you have to be so careful of governmental overreach it's like we don't have that same Vibe today yes what happened on Jekyll Island yes okay great question um I'd like to First reinforce the point you just made that inflation is legalized counterfeiting counterfeiting is criminalized inflation this is yup not my opinion this is in fact mechanically how it works and in the piece you're referring to Masters and slaves of money I wrote about this debacle in 16th century western Africa where they were using glass beads as money and I think this history gives you a good foundation for understanding what's happening today it was really technologically difficult to make glass beads at that time in Western Africa so they they had reliable and predictable scarcity a la gold as we described earlier but only specific to that region European explorers arrive and they quickly notice hey these glass beads are being used as money to you know as a call option on all the wealth this area is producing we can produce these glass beads in bulk back in uh European glass making facilities very low cost uh to the point where they started packing ship holes full of glass beads and this occurred over uh it was over a 300 year period they were shipping in these glass beads so kind of doing it slowly and surreptitiously enough there was resistance actually Africans could identify the counterfeit beads they would try to only use the authentic ones Europeans would introduce you know more indistinguishably counterfeit beads so there was back and forth but over time what happened was this multi-century usurpation of African wealth by European explorers through the counterfeiting of money and what I mean specifically here by counterfeiting is that Delta in cost of production right the cost of production was high for glass beads in Africa therefore they had reliable scarcity therefore they had reliable market value and utility as money the cost of production in Europe was low so they could inflate the supply really quickly and use it to basically disrupt uh the hard money system if you will in Africa when I say hard money I mean it's hard to produce but it was not hard to produce for Europeans so therefore they could usurp the wealth um and this this points to a keep property of money is that the market value of the money is going to converge to its cost of production over time so if I can mine an ounce of gold for nineteen hundred dollars and it's selling on the market for two thousand I'm gonna mine gold as hard as I can all the way up until my cost of production is 1999.99 right so long as there's a profit margin baked in there and this also points towards why fiat currency always goes to zero the cost of fiat currency production is effectively zero again it's an entry on the federal reserve's database right control enter another 10 trillion dollars added to the money supply so it's almost intuitive through that lens why the market value of fiat currency historically has always converged to zero which we call hyperinflation so that's all I think a good way to look at it and that's um and that's happened many times historically so it's not just it's not purely that these Europeans are set out with nefarious purposes per se but if there's a dynamic in money where you it needs to be costly to produce to support its market value and therefore support a sustainable trading economy if it's cheap to produce then it will be uh the market will be flooded with the money in a hyperinflate essentially and so that process again is why people settled on gold it was the most difficult thing to produce so the other thing that happens here is that when you're increasing the money supply um like it's very common today in the US we think oh there's not much inflation you know food hasn't gone up a lot whatever whatever but what you're not seeing is that markets if they're functioning properly we should actually have price deflation over time as we get smarter and better and more efficient at making things or providing Services prices should be coming down so the fact that we're targeting price increases of two percent is shadowing over what may be we don't know right we don't know what um the increase in market efficiency would actually do to prices absent the Central Bank intervention so I think this is a very important Point too that you know people try to argue that the degree of it is such that it can be ignored or not worried about the two percent's not that big of a deal you know let them take what they need but it's overshadowing the opportunity costs of people that's being lost like we would have five percent price deflation or more in certain sectors and so to get to the why did Andrew Jackson punch a central Banker in the face which he is as someone that grew up in Tennessee he's my favorite Tennessean for this very reason I think he also called them a den of vipers and he said he would route them out he resisted um or at least he was instrumental in the resistance of the first two attempted implementations of a central bank in the United States the Federal Reserve being the successful third is because this country was founded on the principles of which we inherited from the Magna Carta life Liberty property as we've touched on earlier the central bank is antithetical specifically to the third one property right it's arbitrarily violating the property rights of some to enhance the property rights of others is another way to look at it so what is that what is life liberty and property our life is our future right these are the to take to lose your life is to lose your future let's say right Liberty is your present it's your present freedom right to lose your Liberty is to become a slave right and the the Spectrum to slavery is very important too zero percent tax or theft is a free man right completely owns himself 100 taxation or theft is a slave all the fruits of your labor go to someone else and then so you've got your life as your future Liberty is your present property is your past actually it's how you've spent your past infusing nature with your life and Liberty right your self-ownership you've accumulated fruits of Labor that becomes your property and so the central that those are the kind of the three tenets not only of natural law but also basic morality right I don't think anyone would sit here and argue with you face to face and say no I have a claim on you more than you do I don't like it's a non-reasonable argument and again this is this is a priori right this is only you can move your left arm there's no argument that I can formulate that says no I have some claim over your left arm and the actions that it takes yet we have that implemented in this system that can violate property rights if I can violate your property rights I'm effectively saying your self-ownership is limited and that I have a higher claim on your life than you do this is like the rotten core at the heart of modern uh statism we call it capitalism but it's not it's state marginalized capitalism with a communistic institution at its core called the central bank so Andrew Jackson was a man that understood these principles he understood the importance of adhering to life liberty and property for a not only uh is it pragmatically the most wealth generative model of human organization but it's also the most humanitarian and ethical right it offers the greatest equality of opportunity to actually have property rights in yourself in your time in your labor so and it's you know thank goodness it's that way thank goodness the ethical humanitarian choice is also the most wealth producing Choice otherwise we'd have a really ugly Dilemma on our hands uh I think Andrew Jackson and our founding fathers understood these three pillars of life liberty and property as the most important components of human organization that if we adhere to them we can actually create modes of being that increase our wealth which is to say increase our satisfactions right the heart of man is never satisfied but this is the way to optimize the satisfactions of human beings and create a mode of being that's focused on trade cooperation interdependence as opposed to Warfare or fighting so it's to boil it all the way down it's like we can either cooperate and trade let's say cooperate and compete it's very important part of Entrepreneurship right it's competition and trade voluntarily with inviolable property and we generate wealth that's a positive sum game the pie is growing or we can violate the property of one another and fight over it and this gets to that old basket saying that when goods and services don't cross borders soldiers will all right we need we're all seeking something for nothing if we don't channel that Human Action into these uh productive channels of trade and Entrepreneurship then we end up over here uh in violence coercion and compulsion the truth is hitting your career goals is not easy you have to be willing to go the extra mile to stand out and do hard things better than anybody else but there are 10 steps I want to take you through that will 100x your efficiency so you can crush your goals and get back more time into your day you'll not only get control of your time you'll learn how to use that momentum to take on your next big goal to help you do this I've created a list of the 10 most impactful things that any High achiever needs to dominate and you can download it for free by clicking the link in today's description alright my friend back to today's episode okay so you've got Andrew Jackson trying to root out the Vipers I'm assuming he thought of them as vipers because they can redistribute wealth which is a violation of your property that's right why then do we end up creating the central bank and why did they meet in secret like what give us a little bit of background on that meeting on Jekyll Island I know they were pretending that they were going on a hunting trip there's it's such a weird Confluence of things that are happening right now you have this sense of like distrust of people are working behind the scenes against you but you also have the sense of redistribution of wealth is good like it's it's a very confusing time right now and this is a still confusing to this day people will argue with you um that this you know the Fed was set up with very good intentions and that this whole which by the way this book The Creature From Jekyll Island by G Edward Griffin this was formative to my understanding of Central Banking and this is pre-bitcoin that I got into this so I would really just encourage audience to go check out that book uh it's a it's a big book though you can also read an Abridged version called dishonest money I think was one that I gave to my family and friends and it sort of encapsulates the gist of it um but to your question I think based on my study of that book that it was done in secret and it was done over a holiday weekend because this was a time when people still understood the ideological importance of life liberty and property we learned a lot of lessons from Central Banking and it's failure and it's tyranny in England and even before that so it was still fresh enough on the human mind that we we were resistant to its implementation um but as far as why it got pushed again it's just something for nothing principle right there if you could found an institution or a business and by the way all organizations are businesses right governments or businesses institutions or businesses they're all property strategies as I call them if you could establish an institution that could generate Perpetual profits and be able to paper over its own losses or you can never sustain a loss would you not have a pretty large incentive to establish that organization I mean the equivalent question is if you could magically wish for a money printing machine right here on your table like wouldn't you want that wouldn't you once you had it wouldn't you run that machine until it was absolutely blowing smoke and Sparks out the side of it I mean that's Central Banking in a nutshell is it human beings in this pursuit of something for nothing or in this pursuit of um pursuit of wealth frankly right the most powerful incentive in the world we have tried to rationalize and formulate different ways of creating socioeconomic structures that favored the few that could understand it and create that privilege for themselves at the expense of others I think this is where Bitcoin needs to enter a stage left here so I have a quote from you um actually I'm going to start with a paraphrase from Alan Greenspan this is you paraphrasing Alan Greenspan um that sets us up then for a fewer quote so Alan Greenspan again this is a paraphrase a sound store value must be made illegal otherwise fiat currency would not be competitive so you've got this idea of so a sound store of money you talked about you dropped that coin but basically that it's the amount of it is fixed in flexible Supply okay so that's sound now this is your quote which uh I love and I think sets us up for understanding why the Bitcoin guy who has Bitcoin tattooed on the inside of his arm like the most painful place to get a tattoo uh says this this entire system we've built is a complex of unintended consequences and Bitcoin is an immune response from the collective economy so if we buy into the idea that they didn't have bad intentions to create the central bank they don't have bad intentions to make the printer go Burr they just like they're trying to they're trying to policy their way to something that's far more stable which I actually get and when I put like my they don't have bad intentions hat on and I'm like word like I get what they're trying to do and I'm grateful that I've grown up in a super stable environment where I was able to go from you know sort of lower middle class to generating real wealth in my life so for me it worked right I was able to jump class like all the things that I was promised with the American dream I was actually able to do and so I'm like yo that stability is amazing um I didn't ever have to use weapons to build my company which is a whole side thing that I've talked about before where I had former drug dealers working for me long story there's a whole reason why I think it's amazing to give people second chance so anyway they were telling me stories of like people trying to confiscate their product right which for me would have been protein bars so I was like whoa the thought of somebody showing up with shotguns to take my protein was like that's crazy that's a hard way to do things yeah right so it's like okay this is all work for me I like the stability so when I have that hat on I'm like I get what they're at least trying to do but when you try to engineer a system whoa like the number of things that go wrong where you can change whether it's ecological and you're trying to do something and it has you know 10 different knock-on effects or whether it's with money and it has different knock-on effects um why though is Bitcoin the immune response yes um it's funny you read that line I don't barely remember you said while you I heard you say it so whether you've read it or written it or not I can't say but in a podcast you said um so these principles that the United States was founded upon again that have been refined from the past from like the Magna Carta one of the most important if not the most important is the principle of inviolable property meaning again property is the relationship between yourself and the value you create or the fruits of your labor which is the foundation of the scaffolding that lets you climb the socioeconomic hierarchy right from as you said lower middle class to where you are today was because you knew that you could hold the value of the value you created and use it to scaffold yourself upward if that Foundation were not stable right at least to some extent there would be no way for you to have upward Mobility so again it's we're back to property rights being the basis of civilization itself they're pretty good here they're pretty good in the US you can open a bank account you can put dollars in it your property audits will be violated by inflation when the Federal Reserve is printing money you're going to now need to outpace inflation with some other investment otherwise your property will be diluted you don't have full property in that money because if you try and wire it to you know I don't know what countries are on the ofac list today Iran or something they'll block you and say no you can't do it so you don't have full rights in that property you are being surveyed you don't have full privacy but you have pretty good property rights right relative to the rest of the world Bitcoin is the first permanent implementation of this principle we've been refining throughout human history of inviolable property it actually cannot be violated in any way no one can produce more than 21 million Bitcoin so it's and I've argued this in some of my writing that although it's an invention we've actually discovered something with Bitcoin we've discovered absolute scarcity for money so if we're back to those five properties of money in terms of scarcity Bitcoin is absolute it's not relative right it doesn't change we know with you know nothing's um people argue with me about this it's not absolute everything's probabilistic true uh Bitcoin has proven itself over 13 years of flawless operation that it does two things essentially perfectly what's your turn out a block on uh one block of transactions on average every 10 minutes and adhere to a supply cap of 21 million so it's the first fixed Supply money there has ever been and I don't think you can recreate that because by definition money is a centripetal Network effect so it we tend towards one so for the same reasons we had one analog gold we're likely only to have one digital gold um this so your property rights cannot be violated by inflation because no one can change the supply cap if you hold a thousand Bitcoin you hold one thousand of a possible 21 million forever right you have a guaranteed fraction of the total money supply you cannot get that level of assurance with any other asset in the world full stop doesn't exist even with gold you can hold all the physical gold you want you're still not immune to some technological breakthrough we figured out figure out how to produce gold in the lab very cheaply we mine an asteroid we mind the ocean floor we find a new South American Bonanza whatever you're not immune to any of that but with Bitcoin and again it's a bit of a bet because it's only 13 years in but it's done these things perfectly so far if it continues to do what it's been doing for 13 years you have a guaranteed fraction of Total Money Supply so you have an inviolable property right further this is again property is the relationship right we've historically always needed an enforcer so you need the police force you need the military to make sure no one comes into your house and violates your relationship with your house we needed if maybe not necessarily a monopoly on violence but you needed a protection-producing Enterprise which historically is the role of government to enshrine your property rights the problem of course is that they willed the power to violate your property rights as well which historically has been very tempting for governments and bureaucrats they typically give into it and governments get overthrown over time that's been the cycle we're locked into bitcoin's the first property right independent of the Monopoly on violence or independent of uh physical protection production it's an informational property right it's just an alphanumeric string you can store it in any information bearing medium put in your mind put on your computer put it in a song do whatever you want with it and there's no the enforcement is done by the mining Network so the algorithm and the free market competition that's going into Bitcoin mining is effectively displacing the protection that government was historically necessary to provide in Bitcoin itself so it's this radical new you know some people call it a metaphysical property right and that it's just an information Bearer asset so gold was really good as a bear asset and that you know assets equal liabilities plus Equity the accounting equation gold was pure Equity if I hold gold it's no one else's liability that's really important right I have no counterparty risk if I hold physical gold if I hold dollars that's not true right I have this liability to the Federal Reserve to the bank whoever whatever counterparties are involved bitcoin's the same as physical gold but it's non-physical right it's informational so it opens up this entire new sphere of possibilities and how you custody it you can custody Bitcoin in these multi-signature schemas that are all but immune to theft you can chop the key into a bunch of pieces and distribute it geographically you have these military-grade protocols wrapped around it and it gives you an absence it it is the highest implementation of human self-ownership we've ever had right in the past it's been scribbles on the American Constitution or the Magna Carta and like We'll always adhere to this document no matter what but then you know a few hundred years go by I'm like well you know let's tweak this or change that or add this bitcoin's taken those principles we've used with foundational documents historically and it's permanently emblazoned them in computer code an unbreakable code basically is another way to think about it so it's the invention of inviolable property right it's no longer a principle we've grabbed this principle out of the space of ideas and we've anchored it into reality via the thermodynamic competition of Bitcoin mining and it is so radically new and hard to get your head around that it's shattering World Views worldwide Bitcoin I think you would agree with this I view Bitcoin as a deflating currency fix Supply correct but as more people want it its value is going to go up which if that is true then the longer I hold it the more pizza that same single Bitcoin will buy exactly so that has changed my behavior I think of dollars as like whatever like spend it but when I have a Bitcoin I'm like I don't want to mess with it this is time preference yeah I want to hold it so because of that my base assumption is that if you have a deflating currency that thusly buys you more over time it's so counterintuitive because deflating makes it sound like it's bad it's getting smaller but it's actually growing more powerful exactly it's buying me monetary dilution as inflation and monetary enrichment as deflation yeah the inflation deflation is a Keynesian euphemism actually to sell the idea of infections well played because my brain is having a very hard time okay so my Bitcoin is growing in purchasing power over time and that has already changed my behavior so I know that it's going to change more people's behavior my base assumption is that will cause a decrease in Innovation because people are like dude your iPhone is cool but like uh I'd really rather wait and see what my growing powered Bitcoin that's the leap I want to challenge right there where we say less we say more saving equates to less Innovation yeah you can see exact Ops why the the nature of saving itself is that we are delaying present consumption and looking further into the future and engaging in longer term production processes yep now the austrians describe this as the more round about the production process which is equivalent to saying the more finely we engage in the division of labor so you have one long production process to produce a thing the more finely we chop that up amongst ourselves the more productive we become so that um effort that impetus to push into longer production processes that are more more roundabout and more finely divided that is innovation that is how we we become more than some of our parts we accomplish great doesn't feel true to me with less efforts when I that's it there's you actually think inflation drives Innovation can I give anything uh well so I'll tell you why I think inflation and look trust me when I say I am at the edge of I am thinking through this in real time so this is not me saying I believe this but this feels right to me so when I think about what gets people to innovate it is if I bust my ass and I come up with something better than other people I get more value from people in a very fair exchange where they think they're taking advantage of me because they'd rather have this thing that I've created than they would they want the money as do you have them exactly and so I'm like the word this is amazing so now where what we get into is right now with an inflating currency people have just a sense of like oh this money is it's it's inconsequential it it God this is going to sound stupid but a dollar is only worth a dollar whereas a Bitcoin to me feels very precious it's like this gets becomes two dollars three dollars ten dollars a hundred so now I'm like uh I don't really want to spend this okay because of that I don't have the ease of like buying that I would so now my evaluation of the thing that you've created I'm way more scrutinous so I mean maybe just raises the bar on Innovation but it it I think you're saying it feels like it turn to Value investing perhaps so for a long time people would only invest in projects that created real economic value right and if your money is holding purchasing power over time that's a good bar you can think about it like this imagine we're on a world run by Bitcoin so there's one hard money fixed Supply everyone uses it in the world every successful economic project every entrepreneur every Innovation that successfully increases productivity that accretes to the purchasing power of everyone's money so in a world where your money's constantly losing purchasing power that is not happening so you get more junk I guess there's more of a there's there's actually the incentive and this is related more directly to the violation of property but there is an increased incentive to consume rather than invest the more rapidly you you violate property rights and the more that it's permanent rather than intermittent so if I know the high degree of certainty that you keep 20 of whatever that I make that I have a 20 less incentive to engage in investment rather than consumption activities and again that's what we're doing when we print money we're actually inducing or incentivizing consumption actions over investment actions and investment actions are what Drive Innovation it's savings that underpin Investments investments in that long-term production structure I I suggested there's also r d in their experimentation right we're trying new things that is what creates innovation in the real world so if anything The Innovation that we've seen in the 20th century has been in spite of Central Banking not because of it but it gets very murky here because it's very easy you could swap someone else into the seat right now some canes and economists and they'll give you a completely different interpretation of economic history right they can go through the historical facts and Trace their own Arrow of causality and say here's what happened and we're back to Copernicus back to Copernicus but here's what the libertarian philosophers did they said you can't mistake economic history for actual economics economics is more of a rationalistic science you you have axioms man must act man prefers present satisfaction to later satisfaction all other things being equal like these axioms it's like geometry I I so I didn't understand why can't I take economic history as economics if you take economic history you can because t
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