Kind: captions Language: en science is you're continually proving that and who came before you wrong you're showing there is no such thing as an authority a god a godhead figure there's no one like that in science there never should be or will be and your job is to prove the earlier generations who were the paradigm of excellence and and the the expertise as well as richard feynman has another quote science is the belief in the ignorance of experts not the wisdom of experts dr brian keating welcome to the show yes it's great to be back here tom on the other side of the table i was gonna say yeah we've got the the tables are flipped i had so much fun being interviewed by you and i highly encourage people to check that out it's one of the more unique interviews that i've done being able to ask questions that i haven't been asked before it's not an easy thing given how many times i've been in front of the camera but i really had fun learning the way that you think and that's where i want to start so it'll be good for people to get a little bit of background professor of physics i'll let you fill in more details but it's pretty credible to say that you were up for consideration for a nobel prize didn't quite happen um and there's reasons for that that we may or may not get to today but um the scientific method is something i've become really obsessed with and it happened by accident so i was trying to figure out how i had taken myself from laying on my couch or honestly laying on the floor trying to figure out how i was going to make my dreams come true and then finally learning how to build companies and all of that and i thought you know i've built companies across a couple different industries it's teachable it's repeatable and so i have a course called business decision making and i was trying to to just write down what do i do and i wrote it all down i called the physics of progress and i show it to the team and one of my employees is like you realize this is a scientific method right and i was like what he's like literally step by step and i looked up the scientific method and i realized oh my god this really is the scientific method recontextualized for business and that's actually really interesting to me because when you essentially discover the same thing from different angles you're probably on to something true and in your book into the impossible you quote richard feynman who says in regards to first principles the first principle is not to fool yourself and you're the easiest one to fool so what does that quote mean what is the scientific method and how do we use it in our lives to unburden ourselves from either willful blindness or accidental blindness i think uh it's it's probably most economical to say that the scientific method is a way of not fooling yourself it is a way to ensure you're not drinking your own kool-aid or somebody else's which is worse it's a way of being as authentic as possible to this pursuit of truth presuming that that's what you're interested in i mean some people are you know willing to deny themselves access to truth or they're not interested in truth but those of us who strive who seek and don't want to yield to kind of our base or urges to confirm what we already think is true to be influenced by prejudice by bias and confirmation bias or some other form of authority bias that feynman's words are really resonant with me because it is really where science meets psychology and meets humanity you know the old joke is how do you know a scientist is outgoing well he looks at your shoes when he talks to you you know i'm definitely guilty of that i have that tendency as well we're introverted typically by nature um but in in reality we forget that scientists are human and because of that prone to biases and i was going to say that we're we have all the same peccadillos as any normal quote-unquote normal peccadillas yeah hell is a mexican treat it's a delightful dish that you should try here in l.a um paccadillos means like foibles okay flaws um a little idiosyncrasies perhaps um that we all have as human beings you know that your your kid is the best or you're you know your your pet your favorite home team is is the best team and you can justify why even though on paper like for me the san diego padres have never you know the only team in the only city in america that has no professional sports championships at all is san diego unfortunately i always say it's compensation right the easiest job in the world the san diego weather weatherman and the hardest job of san diego sportscaster uh so yeah we just don't win and we surrender but uh but anyway maybe i'll turn around but but thinking about what it really means to want to try to make progress means that you cannot deny things that go against your pet theory in other words you and i if we differ on some scientific hypothesis or some business strategy you should be able to take my point of view and i should be able to take your point of view but we should do that with love we should do it for a common goal and you see this in the military most people don't think of the military as i'm loving you know touchy-feely organization but when they have this red team approach you know and they're like get the best on one side the best on the other side they're fighting you know and they might be screaming at it yelling but at the end of the day they love each other in the sense that they want to preserve their life and and maximize the impact on the end on the enemy and so if they're doing it from a point of love and i feel like we scientists want to do that too at our best of course i say that scientists are humans and that means all the good things about being humans and in fact oftentimes it's like scientists are like kids you know kids are curious they're inquisitive they can be charming they can be mischievous they can also be jealous they can be petty they cannot want to play give me my toy i want to take it home it's mine and so where does the scientific method fit into all this and and maybe even before we get to that why does the truth matter i think you know the truth is what anchors us to reality um if you and i have different versions of reality and relative truth i think chaos ensues from that can i give you a stat yeah the more delusional somebody is the more likely they are to be happy self-delusional sure because i had so at one point i was writing a book and i had a writer that i was working with and i was telling her i'm not interested in what's true i'm only interested in what moves me towards my goals and she really had a stroke on that and she was like whoa whoa whoa like i need you to go into more detail that does not make sense to me and i was like you know what that's actually a really good point because i'm obsessed with the truth in terms of i need to know how the world really works but when it comes to myself i'm not prone to i'm prone to believing the worst about myself and it seems self-evidently true that those bad things are real and right and so what i had to do was stop thinking about the truth as it related to myself but in the real world the only thing that matters is the truth because it's the only way you can make progress and so there's this really weird like thing of like the truth matters but the odds of you recognizing it are problematic and especially like you have to i think you have to delineate between understanding what is true about yourself which you're going to have a very hard time doing and understanding what is true about the way the world works i think i think that is perceptive in the sense that there are absolute facts like people say you know you never hear someone say i believe in gravity like you say no no i have evidence for gravity you don't even have people necessarily anymore that will credibly say i believe in evolution the same way they might say i believe in santa claus or whatever like people believe in something that means per force they don't have evidence for it you don't have to believe in something and i'm not denigrating faith or whatever as you know you would chat a little bit i do have a you know professor i'm an active you know participant in religion et cetera et cetera and we can get into that um as your past guests you know richard dawkins uh would say about you know belief in god like the flying spaghetti monster is this like you know kind of catch-all for everything i have my issues with richard we'll talk about that if we have time if you want to get super controversial i can go off on that but uh but but the point being um there's a qualitative difference between that which i need evidence for to claim is true which is repeatable which is built upon with consensus which arrives at from multiple different perspectives to get at reality we have evidence for gravity from many many levels from the smallest scales you know almost atomic scales even close to the nuclear scale all the way up to the scale of the literal cosmos itself that i study so we don't need that we have evolutionary evidence from all different scales from cellular macroscopic microscopic evolution there's missing gaps literally missing links and all these theories we don't have a fundamental theory of quantum gravity that's a huge lacuna gap in our knowledge of physics and so on what on what grounds can we say we understand anything if we don't understand the most basic aspects of reality however what the scientific method does is it doesn't say that's right it says that's not wrong it says i can't tell you you know do you believe that the earth is a sphere yes okay so you're not a flat earther i am not so so you are wrong but you're less wrong than a flat earther you know flat earther believes that literally and and we can show there's evidence in unequivocal proof the earth is not because the earth isn't a true sphere that's why i'm wrong it's not a perfect sphere yes because the earth as it spins it kind of bulges out like a ballerina doing a twirl or a figure skater on the ice it bulges at its equator kind of like i bulge at my equator no thanks to anything you did with quest but uh but it gets squished and squashed so that's what's called a quadripolar moment now you're less wrong if you say the earth is a sphere than if you say it's flat but technically aren't you wrong well this is a matter of degree we can say that newton was right newton got us the laws of the fundamental nature of physics that allows us to get from the earth literally to the stars to the moon beyond the moon the planets but get to meaning predict we can predict exactly we predict where they're going to be it's ten thousand years from now where they were ten thousand years ago uh but it wasn't precisely right in fact it fails it doesn't fail in like some far-off galaxy newton's laws fail in our solar system newton was wrong on the scale of our of the planet mercury so he could not explain or understand he wasn't wrong he didn't like uh claim there was some demon or something that was doing so it's just his laws were incapable due to the understanding the lack of understanding at the time of the nature of what gravity is that einstein later would come along and correct now einstein isn't the final word either most likely that's the lesson of science science is you're continually proving that and who came before you wrong you're showing there is no such thing as an authority a god a godhead figure there's no one like that in science there never should be or will be and your job is to prove the earlier generations who were the paradigm of excellence and and the the expertise as well as richard feynman has another quote science is the belief in the ignorance of experts not the wisdom of experts not the knowledge of experts because look if einstein just came along and said well newton's pretty smart you know i'm not gonna outdo newton like who the heck am i some some guy from you know germany austria no he said newton could be wrong even though he credits him with with being the foremost contributor not only to science but western civilization einstein had great respect for newton and yet he said i have enough swagger to know i can be right where newton the great was wrong and i think that's a core element that only the scientific method can validate who is right but not necessarily only who is right who is less wrong hey guys hope you enjoyed the episode brought to you by our sponsors at blue blocks go to blueblocks.com forward slash impact theory for 15 off your order or just use discount code impact theory at checkout all right enjoy the episode what is the scientific method like what are the steps yeah um how are we using them and then i really i'm gonna keep pinning you down until we get to why truth matters i have a theory as to why i think truth matters but i'm really curious to hear in a single sentence with no commas parentheticals okay uh that's why it's almost impossible for a new york jew to talk without any comments next you'll tell me i can't move my hands um so truth is again for me the core element of establishing what is real for such that i can function is to know that there's a core bedrock of fact so that's what i want to talk about that i can function what do you mean how do you use the truth like when you so you're dealing at a cosmological level and so i don't know for most people that just spirals it's so big and so grandiose and like doesn't help you know go to the grocery store and get a pint of milk um a quart of milk i don't drink milk yeah metric system um please so yeah so take me to as you think about the truth is is there like just sort of a a grounded thing that you consider a life well lived that you need to understand the truth in order to move in a way that makes sense or is it something different than that i think well there's one law of nature that will probably never be overthrown and it's the laws of thermodynamics and entropy and we chatted about that a little bit i want to get a little deeper into it maybe if time permits so entropy is a fundamental realization that there is order and there's chaos and the separation between order and chaos the mixture between the two can lead to some startling inconvenient and perhaps you know completely destabilizing effects if everything is chaotic just think about in your own life if you didn't live in a country where the rule of law prevails you would have a very tough time being happy organizing your life and living and functioning and so in that sense yeah you might you know not like the cop that gives you a speeding ticket or whatever but you thank goodness that there is such a thing as a law order so everybody does everything it is pure chaos interestingly the second verse in the in the bible the old testament the torah is everything was chaotic and and void so when something is chaotic it lacks organization to do work so if you have ever seen a fighter jet take off an after burner on just like blasting away it's tremendous amount of heat tremendous amount of energy but if it just exploded out in all directions the fighter jet wouldn't move at all the fact that it can propel itself near mach one or two is because it's organized through the jet through the afterburner you organize energy energy by itself is meaningless it's almost nothing but organized energy can do anything and that's i think the core principle is that you need organization organization implies order and we can argue is there a fundamental law giver i.e a god or something like that or is it are the laws of nature kind of evolutionary or do we recognize the patterns of nature in other words math at the core of physics is math created is it invented or is it discovered these are all things that are describing laws of nature but if one day two plus two equals five and the next day equals four and the next day it equals a pineapple that life would be completely unlivable and unworkable the fact is we live in a universe of order and it's pretty surprising because you look out in the universe the natural tendency to things you know from the second law of thermodynamics is towards disorder and that's why i believe that that which gives order is is perceptible as almost like a symmetry something organized orderly you know precise that to me is what i call the nature of livable life is that you have some kind of structure and that implies there is some sort of nature of truth um and it can be extended on multiple levels for individuals to collectives but to say that like there are only relative laws i mean that's not what we mean most people think oh einstein showed everything is relative no he said everything is exactly ordered and organized in a specific way but it happens to be certain uh certain physics equations can depend on what the observer's doing so in that sense it's relative to his or her state of motion it didn't mean that like here you add the two velocities together and on jupiter you have to divide by a pineapple and plus it can't no it's very very organized it's not relative at all okay so i actually think there's a really powerful answer uh in there which is this idea of entropy so when i talk about business a lot i talk about entropy and i'm like look there is a reason that if you just keep doing what you're doing now your company's not going to go where you want it to go and that's because everything is moving towards chaos you have to inject a ton of energy to your afterburner example this is exactly why i think the truth matters that if you don't understand the way the world works you're unable to accurately channel that energy or even to know where to apply that energy in order to change the world in the way that you want to change it so to inject that that um directionality the order into the system to get a desired outcome um said another way i and it's weird to me that this has become like a controversial word but power to me power is the ability to close your eyes imagine a world better than this one and then open your eyes go get the skills you need to make that world come true and then actually do it that that's just self-evident and and so when i say power i mean it's that ability to put the energy into the system to create order in the way that you want it to now what gets very confusing and i think about this a lot in terms of relationships there are things that we want to be true because they just they feel better they feel more fair whatever but when you try to deal with like relationships that men and women are the same it gets crazy making because in reality just the way that the brains are wired they're not and so if you're trying to treat them as if they are it's wonderful but the the point i'm making is that it becomes crazy making to not accept that they are different and therefore when you try to inject um directed energy into that relationship to make things functional you can't and you can't figure out why it isn't working and so truth to me matters because it allows you to figure out how to improve things and so as i think about the scientific method i'm like okay either it's just me or everybody falls into the following camp i certainly am not smart enough to guess right all the time and so once i know that i can't guess right all the time i need a process by which to figure things out and the process by which to figure things out as it turns out even in business is the scientific method um what are the steps of the scientific method so that the audience may channel their energies intelligently to discover what is true so that they can make progress yeah so the first thing to note is that there is no scientific method there's no one single scientific method there's no one father of the scientific method sometimes it's crea it's credited with galileo and he did use aspects of the scientific method that we in its modern form there are earlier you know muslim islamic scholars that are credited with it even thousand years before galileo perhaps um and so there there in my mind there's two broad ways of thinking about it and one is called the deductive scientific method approach and the other one's inductive so in the deductive you're starting i like thinking deduct is going down you're starting from some hypothesis and you're making some predictions some projections about what you'd see if that hypothesis is true then suggest some analysis some observation that can produce data the data then can be compared to the original hypothesis and there's a flywheel that starts to spiral and spin so you might say well there might be a market for you know these tokens that could then be used in a in a sense to build up a brand to build an organization to build a network to build a self-organizing system and remember then the word organize is kind of a weird word it has the word organ in it like we think organ inside of our body isn't that weird well organization means that our body has organs they're very constant they have a specialized function your pancreas is not pumping blood around your body if you did you'd be in serious physical drama right the other method is called the inductive method kind of going up so you start with some observation it might be serendipitous in my field which is the cosmic microwave background radiation the oldest most ancient photons that exist in the universe these are 13 billion 820 million year old photons artificial yeah that's right they should you know they belong in l.a they make everyone feel young in hollywood here um instead the inductive method is starting maybe with some surprising observation that demands an explanation then the explanation can be used to go back and say let me construct a more general theory hypothesis which will then perhaps suggest more data that can be taken and used to then explain why that evidence for the original theory is true or the original observation took place so in the field of ancient photons it was discovered serendipitously there were two guys in new jersey of all places i can't believe it i'm a new yorker i can't believe i have to give credit to people from new jersey uh but there's two radio astronomers working at a t bell labs and why would two radio astronomers be working at bell labs well because back then they viewed diversive intellectual pursuits as extremely valuable not for scientific reasons for monetary reasons in other words that's where the first cell phones were invented that's where the first radio transmitters they were looking up at the satellite that had been launched at great cost maybe an equivalent dollars today 100 billion dollars and every time they looked at this satellite which is the only satellite it was the only internet in 1965 every time they looked at it they got some signals you know they were getting their their you know their their internet cover their wi-fi but it was extremely noisy unreliable low bandwidth terrible and they couldn't figure out why is the noise so high so they constructed what's called the signal to noise ratio how pure is the signal that they're trying to transmit which they knew there's some radio signals some message you know hi i'm you know it's brian and tom are calling new jersey for some reason and uh and but the noise was horrible static why is it so large they had a model for how their telescope their receiving instrument should behave and it was totally crapping out it wasn't behaving as well as it should not because of anything in the instrument but because of the cosmos itself the cosmos was raining down static static noise on them radio signals stacked just like in the old days nowadays kids i tell my kids you know go on the tv and tune to you and they're like what are you youtube is where it's there's no static on youtube in fact you can search static on youtube if you if you must but that static is coming from the origin is that what that really is coming from og tv about one percent of it right so i need to get back to the method yeah you're saying there really is no method because if you look it up on google it's gonna tell you that there are steps and those steps so match what i use in business that now now i want to fight these are fighting words brian uh i'm going to tell you the steps that i use and then help me understand because if i were a budding scientist and i just heard what you said i wouldn't know how to do anything and i want to i want to see if there's a process that people can loop on like they can in business yeah so in business it goes like this you have a goal so you have to have that goal if you don't have your goals super clear none of this is going to work so very clear goal then you identify the impediment that stands between where you are and your goal then you come up with your best guess so your hypothesis on what you would need to do in order to overcome that impediment and reach your goal you then make that thing that you can do actually doable and you do it so you run that experiment as it were but it might fail and it almost certainly will fail to some extent right so if um it's very rare that it just works oh and here we go so sometimes it works a little sometimes it's a catastrophic failure sometimes you stay steady but you paint a picture of what success would look like in math you run the experiment and you check the math and did it move you towards hold steady or move you away and in that if you're willing to truly look at the data because a lot of times people get emotional to richard feynman's point they fool themselves because they don't want to be wrong they don't want to be embarrassed like the number of times in business i embarrass myself because i was just wrong just like it didn't work and there's so much sort of emotional stuff at stake when you're on a youtube show or you know you're on twitter instagram yeah and you're wrong people are like ah this guy's a sucker uh and so it's difficult so you wanna see in the numbers what you want to see but if you can objectively look at the data then it tells you to some extent what you might have done done wrong which you were mentioning earlier and then as henry ford says failure is merely the beginning the ability to begin again more intelligently so you figure out what that was you formulate a new hypothesis and a new experiment exactly and you run it and that loop of try fail to some extent learn reformulate try fail to some extent that's what i call the physics of progress and i think that is the as parallel exactly and i can translate into the deductive scientific method where you have an idea which is you know sort of going to lead to a tentative hypothesis yeah it's going to lead to attentive hypothesis then you're data driven you have to be quantitative it's not science it's not quantitative in some level you have to have the ability to prove that you're not drinking your own kool-aid as i said that's called falsification how could i be wrong about this i thought everybody wanted you know uh you know whatever widget or whatever you you had it turns out nobody wants it but but this model suggested no the total addressable markets that bill you know everyone eats right but uh you know but but my hypothesis people like something that's bland tasteless does you know doesn't look like any kind of food that i would ever have um but you know but it's just healthy it's purely satisfying and nutritious no nobody's gonna so then if you're there was a business that did that though the uh yeah exactly and maybe they're not as quite as good as quest now there's another way there's another method which is the inductive method twitter i don't know do you know how twitter started what its original purpose was so it was like it was like a podcasting software of some kind of yeah twitter podcast this is what i'm saying yeah it started off as like micro thing publishing not publishing no it had something to do with like release like analyzing or categorizing podcasts okay had some weird start instagram also had a weird totally unrelated to what it would later become but then serendipity struck like with these cmb photons raining down on us we have explained why are they coming in why are they increasing the noise the guys at twitter the guys at instagram i said wait a second people are using this not to share like some weird rss links or whatever for podcast they're actually using it for micro blogs wow now they see this that flywheel then spun up they said well our users care about this let's jettison we were wrong about our original thought of what this could be serendipity proved where the market wanted us to be that's kind of the inductive method so that's then they said well of course give that to me in steps so i'll i'll use youtube because i know that story quite well so started as a dating service and uh wasn't going well nobody wanted to do that but they found that people were watching these really sort of funny videos just as like entertainment and so then they get the idea okay well maybe then this is a form of entertainment and people can just upload whatever videos they want right and it starts to take off that way so if you were looking at that from a scientific standpoint and that were you know like the bell labs example yeah what's so first you have the idea people that was that was first i would say that was more the serendipitous like they discovered almost despite themselves like there are people that probably went down that road and kept saying oh well let's keep making a dating service that has you know whatever features but in this case they kind of discovered by accident that it was very very powerful as a vector in a different direction by looking at the data by looking at the data so it's scientific method they then analyze assess the praise the flywheel starts to kick in but it's different than say like quibby do you remember quibby from like a year ago but almost nobody so quibby was like well people really want like highly produced things but 10 minutes long they're kind of like melding you so they had a they had a hypothesis and then they sunk tons of money into it without ever doing the market research people don't want 10 15 20 minute produced content they want tick-tock they want youtube shorts or whatever um and so that hypothesis ended up having a huge flywheel sucking up cash because they didn't actually have find that their their hypothesis was valid they went down this huge rabbit hole we see it in science too there are theories like there's a theory there's a theory originally that if you took a lump of material and put it on a table uh it would spontaneously produce life that was the hypothesis life existed in molecules and is purely chemical in fact you could get organic life like maggots from iron and like inorganic compounds that was called the the this original kind of spontaneous generation that was the name of that hypothesis totally blown away once the theory of cell structure came along and then eventually natural selection and so forth another one is they used to think that something that was flammable had a substance in it called phlogistin phlogiston it kind of sounds like it's dirty but it's not and phlogistin would be the substance that when ignited would burn but it turned out it really wasn't that at all it was the reaction between something that had carbon and what and the element oxygen which wasn't discovered we take for granted this is interesting i think i'm beginning to understand the disconnect between the way that the science community is thinking about the scientific method and what i think about in terms of um the physics of progress is that you guys are trying to discover things you don't know what they are and so your goal is a goal of discovery of sort of fundamental truth whereas mine is a sense of i'm trying to get there i'm trying to get to a given you have a you have an organized purpose in mind whereas in science we might have lofty goals like we want a theory of everything we want to understand quantum gravity those are kind of broad goals but but usually if you start off there's a danger in science and i experienced this with my experiments um i wanted to experiment in this book losing the nobel prize yeah walk me through that because i actually don't know what the experiment was that got everybody so hyped so let me take a big step back um i have kind of a weird upbringing story my origin story from your comic book days is very very kind of abstruse and strange i was born uh two parents both jewish in long island my dad was a math professor uh they end up getting divorced as many people did in 1970s separated my mom remarried i became an altar boy in the catholic church strange thing for a young jewish kid to do uh but i was always interested in like the big picture questions existence so i want to know about god and i want to understand you know jesus christ and what i learned about and i said if i'm going to do anything i'm going to do it full-on i'm going to go as far as you can go and i don't know if you remember when you were 13 you know which is the age i was when i became an altar boy to go full-on meant i had to become a catholic priest age 13 i knew enough about priests that they couldn't have relations with women i knew at least that was one of the forbidden and i was like hmm do i really want to do this or can i you know can i do it from the side and so i abandoned that aspect of my role understandably so yeah at 13 years not have convinced me to do that so yeah at the same time when i should have been preparing for my bar mitzvah lessons as a jewish person i got a telescope i got a small little refracting telescope which i tell all parents out there and even adults too get a telescope because with a telescope unlike any other piece of scientific apparatus you can not only replicate the discoveries of these ancient and earlier astronomers including galileo my hero but you can replicate how they felt when they made the discovery now tom try imagining how did it feel when they discovered the higgs boson well first of all there was no like one day when they discovered it took 14 years 10 billion dollars 8 000 people and and there wasn't just like some moment where you say eureka there it no but what galileo saw when he turned this tiny little telescope and he looked at the moon he saw hmm it has these weird holes on it it has these weird mountain ranges on it i thought it was supposed to be a perfect crystalline sphere that aristotle told me it was maybe i have a hypothesis that those craters are caused by the impact of meteors or asteroids hitting into the surface maybe those mountains are some kind of tectonic phenol you know what on earth did he write about this what would make him think that there were other things flying around that would hit it so they had seen things in the skies and actually there was a big debate you've heard about comments and you've probably seen meteors i hope you have some of the most beautiful phenomena as you can see there was a debate our comets in our atmosphere we know now that they're orbiting around the sun the same way the earth is they're just highly elliptical elongated orbits highly eccentric and they come closer and farther away from the sun they're made of ice and they start to melt and boil off ice and dust and they were guessing at that they were done some people felt that they were that they were objects in the solar system some people thought like galileo that they were in the atmosphere that they were cruising through the way that meteors are it was it was found from the speed of the meteors and how fast they travel in a meteor shower that they had to be cl much closer to us than comets uh but it wasn't clear if maybe a comet's just like a really so they understood that a meteorite a shooting star was something burning up in the atmosphere yeah it seemed to make sense to them that it was because they would also early did they understand that i think that they would find these objects there was there are natural craters that you can see um some people that i've actually seen actual objects impact the earth there's a woman i think in connecticut who's hit twice by meteor i mean not not this is not 100 400 years ago this is like 1950s or something um so impact they do impact quite frequently and you could find them and it was more or less and sometimes they make noise and sometimes they're incredibly bright and then they're found not too far away so there there was some phenomena that these were some objects that were coming from so then you look at the moon you think okay same thing's happening yeah what if that have you ever gone down to the beach you take a baseball throw it into the sand it makes a crater exactly like galileo saw so he was like i made a hypothesis that these objects on the moon is basically just like the earth and in fact the moon is orbiting around the earth and that wasn't really well understood how the dynamics of that worked until isaac newton came along with the real theory of gravity and how tides on earth way but when i saw the telescope through the telescope i saw the rings of saturn the moons of jupiter so jupiter has four enormous moons that you can see through a telescope from right here in the heart of los angeles you can see the exact same things that he saw and you can feel the things he felt tom how often do you experience a visceral sensation that unites you with a great scientist from human history it doesn't matter you're not the first person to make the observation you're making it the first time for yourself so i tell all parents do that for your kids and in fact do that is 50 on amazon i always joke i should make keating brand telescopes you know my own uh nfts of a certain kind of non-fungible telescopes someday maybe i will but for 50 bucks even you can do it just don't look at the sun okay that's the only thing i ask you to do um but you can replicate that emotional experience and when i did that i fell in love with astronomy i didn't know you could do it for a career it's like if somebody told you fall in love with it i think the uh the connection between something with regularity at that time my parents having been divorced growing up we were kind of broke all the time it was chaotic in my home life i wasn't like super popular in high school i had a couple friends i'm still friends with them now i pimple face i was overweight um and uh i wasn't super happy and and it literally transported me because i could learn about these things during the day this is 14 years before google was invented right so you had to do real research it wasn't just like looking it up on youtube google like you were explaining about the scientific you want to go to like the library or wait for the sunday new york times to come out with like one inch page about on the page about what's happening in the heavens nowadays it's trivial and it's almost too it's almost too easy nowadays and i want to relate a story just put a pause in the origin story for one second einstein said he wasn't an inquisitive kid he wasn't super inquisitive as a kid in fact he said i discovered relativity because i never asked my dad the question of what would happen if i was going at the speed of light and i looked at myself in the mirror he never asked his dad that and it's good he said had i asked my dad that question einstein said he would have given me the wrong answer by definition because einstein the elder einstein albert had it come of age and invented himself so he would have been deflected detracted from the right path what would happen not uh this is like we're nesting these ideas here but what would happen if you were traveling at the speed of light and you looked into a mirror well so nothing with mass can travel at that speed so you can travel close to the speed of light so the punch line is you can't you can't do it but even if you travel at large speeds you would still see yourself because light is the only thing that always moves at the speed of light so you would see your reflection off the mirror but now what an observer on earth would see stationary observer is radically different and that does throw into almost quasi-chaotic nature the nature of what does it mean to be simultaneous so if i tell you i snap my fingers at the same time you know what that means but if i'm in motion and in your stationary you'll hear and it'll look different similarly if you're in motion the color of light will change and there are all sorts of strange phenomena that take place but getting back to the origin story when i looked up and saw that there was order in the heavens i could do research during the day at the library pieces of paper dead trees and i could do research and i had invested energy and that gave me power like you said before investing energy organizing it into something that gave me intellectual power i wasn't a great student i didn't like get the highest scores in sats and aps and stuff like that i went to public school modest means and what i wanted to do is just go as far as i could but i never knew no one ever told me because i wasn't in that milieu where i could learn about i could be a professor someday of astronomy it's like if somebody told you you could have your job today first of all it didn't exist when you were a kid but you'd be like why would somebody pay me or why would i get remunerated for something i would do for free because i know this about you you would do this all for free you love doing this you love the connectivity you love the the the bonding between people that maybe you'll never meet you do it for free i would be a professor for free don't tell gavin newsom please because it might take you up on it uh but you know as a public employee but um i wanted to do it but i was like who the hell's gonna pay it's like being an ice cream taster you know is anyone gonna pay you to be a wizard you know the uh no i just it didn't enter my lexicon it wasn't it wasn't even possible for me to become a professor little did i know you know it is possible it's just there are more people that play in the nba you know starting uh teams in the nba than all the professors of cosmology in america it's not a very very popular you know by numbers uh and that's partially because it you know it takes a long time to get there but you know i definitely feel like the the path from the inquisitive curious kid that i was at age 12 did give me not that just the passion because i always think of passion is kind of like passion's like a spark that can ignite the afterburner but you need the fuel to keep the afterburner going and curiosity is that fuel so i'm i am nothing as einstein but if not passionately curious all i get such a thrill such a dopamine hit you and andrew huberman talked about this like that's like the fundamental currency of the human body is dopamine well scientists i'm sure you know this have shown you get a little hit of dopamine when you investigate curiosity people use this in meditation for weight loss and for smoking cessation drug addiction that if you now surf the urge you get cured why do i feel hungry i just ate i just had a quest bar you know but if you get curious you can overcome addiction that's because it'll satisfy a tiny bit of the dopamine sensor i get those dopamine hits all the time courtesy of this thing i've been really passionate and curious about since age 12. very interesting now going back to the experiment what was the experiment that you ran that got everybody hot and bothered so the way i heard you tell and for anybody looking at the screen here the book that you are showing losing the nobel prize is not the book that we're actually going to be talking about which is um into the impossible which is what i read for this interview but um i had heard you intimate that you specifically set out to create a um experiment that would get you a nobel prize so what was the experiment yeah so first of all i should say with the nobel prizes the nobel prize is the most important award i claim of any kind on earth including the oscars the grammys the latin emmys whatever they are right yes i would hope it's more important than the oscars not to diminish as somebody who would love to win an oscar trust me i'm not in any way shape or form diminishing that so it's given out in six different subjects every year predominantly in sweden and norway and categories like medicine chemistry physics obviously there's a peace prize there's a prize in economics et cetera et cetera and literature and these prizes are supposed to award those people for whom made the greatest impact not only in their field but on all of humanity in other words a physics discovery that not only you know satisfied the curiosity of nerds like me but actually had some some tangible benefit for all of humanity so the first person to win the nobel prize is the guy who came up with the x-ray machine who discovered the uh you know the bones could be cracked you could see teeth it cured people and within a couple of months it was used all over the world after its invention he was william rengen he won the nobel prize for that alfred nobel was the inventor of dynamite so he made uh probably he was thought of he had 355 patents one of which was dynamite and he was kind of like the steve jobs or elon musk of the 1800s and after he had no wife no kids and when he died he endowed all of his fortune which was a massive amount of money to this prize to not only scientific discoveries but scientific discoveries that changed the world and made humanity better so ultimate kind of impact on on the world and so it's very intoxicating not only will you be kind of a hero among nerds in in my career and you'll be as world famous and as an idol as anybody can be in science you know besides neil degrasse tyson there's only one of him but you know for most scientists this is the ultimate goal this is the promised land that you aspire to get into and uh i didn't mention about my father my father was an eminent mathematician who became a scientist and we were pretty competitive i don't know are you doing a public school if your dad is like a super high level mathematician very good question so my parents got divorced and he basically gave us up for adoption so i was adopted by my my mother my biological mother and my stepfather some heavy [ __ ] yeah it was it was really heavy and growing up how old are you when this happened so they were separated when i was three and then divorced when i was seven and i have an older brother and he was also abandoned by my father so my father moved out moved to the west coast and you know i didn't see him for 15 years i just did another interview today on the boy crisis have you heard of this i've heard of it of course who is so interesting warren farrell uh okay finish the story and then i want to come back to what how that would have set you up so yeah so i didn't have uh this you know i didn't have my biological father in the picture so he's in he moved to the west coast he went to l.a okay and uh and you know he's a mathematician i know he's a mathematician i knew he was a professor and you're struggling in public school in math public school math getting a little bit angry and then i was like um you know i wanted to and then i was applying to colleges and i was like he taught at cornell he was one of the youngest tenured full professors of math at corn are you guys still in contact uh he unfortunately passed away i mean at that at that time no no no i i had a chip on my i didn't want to talk to him really anything to do with us so don't he like it you know abandoned me and i always felt for me tom you know i was seven you know and this is crazy to think like this but as a seven-year-old is the way you think how how could you abandon kevin my older brother he's ten he can do stuff with you you guys used to go fishing like i don't remember doing much with him i think he taught me how to ride a bicycle uh but that was basically all but you know there's an exponential growth in connections in the neurons in the brain between a boy and his father especially i have sons and and and uh brothers and there's a huge connection that takes place from seven to ten so i was like how the hell i was pissed off at him i didn't want to talk to him in fact he was a professor cornell famous world famous professor and i applied to cornell and i never once mentioned and we had different last names i never once mentioned that he my father taught there and i didn't get in consequently i didn't get in twice the corner i was rejected twice by cornell but it's okay did you ever consider giving no i never wanted to owe him anything but you wanted to go to the school that he taught at because it was a great school and because it had carl sagan it was that really it i mean that's like that's it wasn't the only place i applied no for sure you know what i'm saying was was the fact that your dad was there part of the reason did you want to show him that you could hang it was more my mom went there my mom is a brilliant woman who's uh who's got the other side of the brain i always forget which is left or which is right which probably means i'm either left or right uh so my mom was is this wonderful gracious thank god she's still here and living and she's so brilliant and worldly and erudite she doesn't know anything about math physics science or whatever and um and so she spoke so incredibly about the scholastic environment of what ithaca was like in cornell that it really made this you know it was very romantic the notion of going there and being in the cold and the gorges and just like in the ivy league um you know is the one that school that i knew best by proxy uh and so it just it felt like it was interesting but no it wasn't to prove that wasn't to prove to him i'm going to get to where i was trying to run up him in about two seconds so i he was a famous mathematician won a bunch of math prizes never one there is no nobel prize in math isn't there like a field field yeah very good so he won a prize that's kind of like two or three levels down from that eminent mathematician but later in his life he abandoned mathematics too and went into physics now he's playing in my turf again you're already a physicist at this point i'm now in graduate school in 1993 brown university finally made the ivy league um and i went to brown and i started to do i was living with a roommate who is a guy from a foreign student tomas and he um he had been abandoned by his father too but they had a reproach they had gotten back together and he said it made him so much more psychologically healthy as i talk about in the book he said brian you're carrying all this baggage but the reason baggage has handles so you can put it down and he was like you're so full of anger at your dad that you don't even remember i didn't remember what he looked like it was unbelievable i i grew up i felt like i grew up without a father but i didn't need him you know i've gotten into a pretty good schools and i've done pretty well um and and nothing no thanks to him people nowadays even say oh you're only good at math because you're down it's like i'm good at math despite my dad you know like i worked hard as freaking hell to learn the math to learn the physics it never came easy to me and i i like to think of because of that that struggle that can relate to people that may not be so proficient in math or scientific thinking or reasoning so when i got to grad school i looked up my father's old papers i saw he was getting into physics and i was like all right well this is interesting this is like a sign and then one thing led to another and it turned out both my grandmothers at the time were still alive and long since passed away but they were kind of fr they had friends of friends in common they didn't talk to each other either after the divorce i never saw my grandmother my father's mother never saw her again in my life it's crazy you can almost see how the father would abandon the kid because you know he hates the mother it feels like the kid's poisoned against him i mean i hope to never know anything like this but how can a grandmother you know that abandoned her grandson it was very strange to me but anyway she was living not far away from my other grandmother i was blessedly in love with and i love my and she loved me my mother's mother and they lived a couple miles away from each other in south florida as many jewish grandmothers like to live and through what i call the yenta net you know they communicate via their friends over you know at the deli uh they found out that you know i was going to graduate school at brown and i had some questions about you know what my father was up to how his health was because he had this uh he had you know had some health issues as a kid and i was like well i'd like to know about my own health issues and um one thing led to another and the two grandmothers passed on my phone number to my father and uh and he started he called me one day and this just like ignited this thing in me both the kind of like curiosity we talked for five hours uh you know good conversation very good yeah of course there were some recriminations and and and issues with my mother who i'm fiercely defend to the death sure but it brought out a little competitive streak in me that i could do what he never did in physics at least win a nobel prize and that year 1993 two men halson taylor won the nobel prize in physics for discovering what are called gravitational waves the shaking up of the fabric of space-time due to the massive objects in motion around one another called binary pulsars and this guy um hulse who won it he was the same age i was at the time in other words he was a graduate student at princeton when he did the work that 20 years later would earn him a nobel prize i was like if he can do it i can do it and so i set off on a quest to really do as much as i could to win a nobel prize partially for the venal you know getting credit and being an idol of physics but also to why not my dad and i'm not proud of either one of those motivations no but this is so interesting because you're being so honest it's [ __ ] incredible yeah keep going yeah you have my raptors so we you know would engage in these mass you know just mega conversations all night you and dad me and my dad finally my brother got reunited with him i flew out here to meet him i'd never been to la i'd never had any interest in california whatsoever he's been proud new yorker living in east coast i didn't care um came out here and it was just like i saw him like walking towards me and i was like that guy i didn't know what he looked like remember i hadn't seen him since i was seven until i was 22. i'm like that guy's walking like kevin my older brother they were like two like twins and he looks like my brother my brother looks like and i was just like i was floored because you know i i know obviously i knew about genetics and stuff but like and i'd like to think there's not so much investiture and blood and like i could be an adopted parent or whatever but but anyway and and oh it matters statistically i will just tell you huge nurture and there's a huge nature it's like you need both right um and so we got together and we just could not stop talking about physics it was like he he used to joke as a mathematician he was never interested in kids he probably had kids to please my mother and make her happy and then they end up getting divorced so it wasn't like it was permanent uh he was like but he used to joke like when my brother's kids were born my older brother's my nephews he would say well tell me when they learn algebra you know then we can talk he's joking but but he was just this pure intellect super smart you know i always uh feel like he had that that purity of a quest to understand the mathematical nature of the universe and i wanted to do the same in terms of physics so i came up with an experiment called bicep it's a tortured acronym that stands for background imager of cosmic extragalactic polarization and it's kind of a play on words because the signal that we're looking for is kind of this twisting curling pattern in outer space of these ancient photons that come to us as relics traveling through time from the epoch of the big bang itself they're the oldest light in the universe and taking that um to its extrapolation i realized that we could discover what ignited the big bang in other words we know the explosion took place imagine you come to a crime scene there's some big explosion or firecracker goes off you see all the shrapnel what ignite who ignited it is it god was it some force of nature quantum field to fluctuate who knows i wanted to find out what that was more than that if i did because everybody liked the guy hulse who won the nobel prize for the work he did as a graduate student to these two guys in new jersey penzias and wilson who discovered the cmb the cosmic microwave they all won nobel prizes it was like showering nobel prizes from the sky so what better way to increase the odds to do what my father never could have done and also answer this fundamental question of what caused the universe to begin it was really intoxicating and before i could do that i had to get fired i had to get fired from stanford university so in academia you you actually had to get fired i got fired well if i hadn't been fired i wouldn't be talking to you today let me explain how so i went to brown prestigious university and after you get your graduate degree it's kind of like um you know you don't go from double a baseball to the majors you have to play in triple a right right um as i understand uh of course coming from the padres hometown it's a little hard to know like what makes the best baseball but anyway uh so there's a there's an equivalent step to single a double a and aaa before you get to become a professor call that the major leagues so undergraduate is like single a graduate schools double a you get your phd then you have to show you're capable of independent research when you're in graduate school it's like your employees you still have to tell them what to do right but what you really want to do i think as a leader and i've heard you talk about this elsewhere you don't want to be concerned with just like leading people and creating a lot of followers you seem to me sir to want to create a lot of leaders and doing that in academia means you have to prove that you're independent and capable of leading a research campaign on your own not telling doing what your phd advisor told you to do and certainly not doing homework problems like you had to do for undergraduate that's called a post-doctoral scholar i got a job working for a new brand new professor at stanford university one of the most prestigious universities on the planet it was my dream job moving out to california could be close to my dad moving from providence to um to out to the west coast at least and he had actually been a graduate a post a postdoc himself so to speak at stanford in the math department in the 1960s so i was kind of following his footsteps thought of making prep and uh and i got out to stanford but i was being paid to work on a completely different telescope project that my p that my postdoctoral employer she wanted me to work on this and she had every right to you know demand that i work on it but i couldn't get this out of my mind that working for her maybe she would win a nobel prize i wasn't going to win it that wasn't going to satisfy a my curiosity of understanding how the universe began she worked on galaxies and clusters and stuff but really cool stuff but not the origin of time space matter theology philosophy that i was most consumed with um and uh and so i started to just couldn't stop i could not stop hypothesizing thinking up writing down the equations for this experiment that could take me to stockholm sweden someday and she got really freaking pissed off at me and she had every right to do and she fired me one day she said it's not my job you know to like have your dreams come true you know you have to work for me and she's totally right like if my post docs now i post they're doing this like guys they might be listening you know they don't get any crazy ideas from your your mentor now and she said you're fired but she did me a huge solid favor and she got me an interview with a man here in pasadena his name is andrew lang and he was her postdoctoral mentor one of the most eminent scientists in the last 50 years in this field of experimental cosmology which is what i do building telescopes to observe the universe and he had just discovered along with colleagues and and competitors around the world that the universe is flat the universe is flat not like the table is flat and what it means to be flat has a very precise definition in in physics and it's not that hard to uh to to um to explain so let me i'll try to explain it and if i make a mistake you just let me know if you make a mistake because i'll know you'll if you're confusing i will ask questions okay but i have a feeling i will not know if you make a mistake this guy named euclid who lived about 2400 years ago and he came up with all these postulates for geometry it's probably the bane of many kids listening out there these postulates to describe the properties of of lines and angles and so forth and one of his postulates is if you draw a triangle and you count and you measure the angles of each of those three angles and you add them together you sum them up they'll always add up to 180 degrees which is true on any flat surface you draw it on that'll be true however on a sphere we can go from here in la go all the way around the equator go around to bangkok thailand and uh that's exactly 180 degrees around on the earth's surface then we go up to the north pole and then we come back down to la that triangle is has basically two 180 degree and in other words its angle sum up to 360 degrees or more and so it's not true unless you're on a flat surface now it could be our universe even though the earth is curved that the universe is flat in the following way could be proved take three any three triangle points in the universe three stars three galaxies or three blobs of the cosmic microwave background measure their angles and if they add up to 180 degrees the spatial plane in which those three objects lie is a flat plane so that is what it meant and he measured this uh this this value that they summed up to 180 degrees along with colleagues and competitors and andrew lang and his team measure this experiment called boomerang which was launched it flew around the antarctic continent about 20 years ago now and it was a shoe-in for a nobel prize and i just thought if anybody could appreciate these big ideas to go back even further in time to when those when the universe itself came to be not just when the universe adopted the curvature that we measure a tab um it was him it was andrew and he believed in me hired me on the spot i gave a job talk he offered me a job moved down there and he he was like like a steve jobs or elon musk super charismatic except he was he was a sweet individual like i've heard about elon you know no offense he's a genius wonderful guy but he's not the easiest guy in the world to work for okay that that he you know doesn't suffer fools lightly andrew lang didn't either but he would also engage in much more of a personable relationship offering me fatherly advice you know when should i get married i mean it wasn't things that like normal bosses would but he was kind of adopting that father figure role that i had missed as as a scientist because my father himself wasn't there and so taking on learning from him developing the tools skills and tactics to lead a successful scientific experiment and he believed in this idea that would become bicep we proposed it to the president of caltech who is named david baltimore winner of the nobel prize in medicine and he wrote us a million dollar check to start building that experiment in 2001. so we started building it and we couldn't keep it here in la or san diego we had to take it to the south pole antarctica and the south pole is a desert most people don't think about it like that it's one of the driest places on earth it's drier than the sahara desert and it's incredible it's drier than los angeles the mojave desert it's much much dry because it's so cold you grew up i don't know if you grew up in a cold climate ever but on the east coast where i grew up oftentimes we'd get pissed off because on a snow day sometimes the weather be so cold it's too cold to snow all the i all the water vapor that could precipitate us snow condenses and basically comes out as frost so it wouldn't snow um so the south pole is like that but it's a whole continent so imagine um imagine a it's a continent so it's made of rocks and and and and rocky material unlike the north pole where santa lives that is uh that is pure ocean underneath it and there's 9 000 feet of ice over the years of precipitation out over tens of thousands of eons and it's built so it's 9000 feet above sea level it's incredibly cold incredibly dry incredibly high very windless perfect place for astronomy it turns out the sun is down half of the year the sun comes up on september 21st and it goes down on march 21st and that's it it doesn't go that's one day one day per year so we want people to work there we say we'll pay you 75 grand you just have to work for one night that's all we want you to do nice and they'd be surprised how many guys do it uh and so we built this telescope built it here in pasadena and then san diego assembled it shipped it to the south pole assembled it took data for years with it um and realized we had to upgrade it and make it better and we like an iphone you're actually down there yourself yeah i've been there twice for how long it's like uh about a month total jesus yeah not that not the winter over you know with the family and teaching responsibilities but um it's like the planet hoth i mean it's it's flat frozen white the buildings have to be built up on stilts do you have to have like a surge in there in case something goes wrong no you at worst you have to get if your appendix is the slightest hint of inflammation they take it out or you can't go if you have a wisdom tooth problem they take it out before you even go there and sometimes they say after they take it out you can't go because we're afraid it's not the cert you know of an infection so it is there's no doctor there there's a doctor there during the winter but not during the summer when i go and uh it's the most one of the most remote places on earth right now which is the end of the winter season um down there beginning to go on the summer there could be 40 people in the whole station and those are the only 40 people within a 700 mile radius you see john carpenter's the thing uh i have i've said they not only have i seen it they watch that as the last plane leaves they watch that and in the middle it'll be so fun in the middle of winter they watch um uh what's the jack nicholson movie with the one place oh the shining the shining yeah they're like good so they have kind of a macabre sense of humor so built this experiment took it down there realized it's not quite powerful enough we gotta upgrade it like iphone one to iphone two it gets twice as more powerful chips are better more sensitive cameras better and we're building cameras right so we're making it better and better deploy that one in 2009 2010 come back get a phone call and i had you know been in communication with andrew for a while and uh but i hadn't talked to him in like a month and he took on all these extra responsibilities he's dealing with uh with a divorce and um and i we got a phone call um i was at a scientific meeting with his phd advisor at uc berkeley we had a meeting up there and he just turned he's like andrew's dead he's 47 years old whoa he had taken his own life oh god this is a man handsome tall young vibrant three kids at the premier place on earth shoe in for the nobel prize he was like a father figure to me why do you kill himself we don't know he left a note we don't know we don't know we have no idea and the tragic thing is not look winning nobel prize winner ended up his wife won the nobel prize for a different in chemistry she's a professor at caltech this is like royalty but we i don't think it had anything to do with that i think what it had to do with was um you know he had some demons and the thing that hurt me the most tom and this is veno and stupid of me but like god damn it why didn't you freaking pick up the phone i would have done anything for him he would have done anything for me i'm sure if i had called him up threatening to potentially inflict harm upon myself he would have like raced down to san diego that was the relationship we had and that i had no idea that he was wrestling with whatever he was wrestling with and um yeah a couple years ago i drove by and he was in a hotel here he took his life and i went to the hotel i just sat outside and cried i was like why didn't you when i you know it's irrational like who the hell am i he's got kids like nobody right but still like we always react with a personal lens on us and then then fast forward four more years later we come to this announcement that we actually discovered the spark that ignited the big bang the signal called inflation these waves of gravity permeating the entire universe that he had seen in me and our other team members that we could do and we did it he wasn't there to see it now this is in 2014 we make this discovery it's on the front page of the new york times it's on the front it's on cnn it's on you know any newspaper any was round the world headlines scientists discover the smoking gun behind the big bang what caused it to ignite and i wasn't there i wasn't there at the press conferences held at harvard university because after andrew died he was my kind of protector he was like my don and and the other guys in the in the team they wanted credit and they had done a tremendous amount of work and they didn't feel like i fit in especially since i kind of started another project with team members at uc berkeley and become collaborators and friends as well and they didn't want me at this press conference and so i didn't get a ticket and it turned out to be one of the best things that happened to me too again like getting fired see that's the thing tom i once did a google search you know you could do these engram searches and search on the popularity of a phrase you can search on impact theory and see and you'll see it'll be zero and then all of a sudden when you start it like uh 2015 and 2016 it'll go like that search pulitzer prize search nobel prize search whatever you want and in this context i once did a search i said take the words it was the best thing that ever happened to me and tell me what were the words that hap that were just said the sentence before that sentence it's always i got fired i lost my job um the forklift somebody needed to use a forklift uh i was the only one who could do it right um and uh and it seemed catastrophic but that's what that's where the magic lies in life when you think it's gonna be really bad because that's the entropic flip how did this become good though so we were eventually proven wrong that we hadn't discovered it that we weren't going to win a nobel prize like everybody said including the new york times including the washington post everybody saying that we not only discovered the origin of our universe but concomitant with that is something called the multiverse which is a fascinating corollary to the uh the theory of how our universe came to be and it's not too dissimilar to the notion that as you know there's uh seven other planets in our solar system since pluto got demoted by neil degrasse tyson and others so there's only seven other planets but we know there's literally a hundred billion suns just like our sun stars in our galaxy there's not only that there's a hundred billion galaxies or more in the observable universe so if there's many planets if there's many people if there's many solar systems if there's many galaxies why can't there be many universes and that concept is called the multiverse which literally says there could be an infinite number of other universes that exist in what's called the multiverse and that was a direct corollary a direct implication of the announcement that we made on this day in 2014. people said goodbye universe hello multiverse you know inflation this sparked and ignited the big bang hello nobel prizes and so yes you said in the beginning like i was like and almost almost ran for the nobel prize because people noted that i had created the experiment that eventually morphed into the second experiment along with andrew and others and uh that if the committee does their homework they'll see the contributions that brian keating played now it turns out in science using the scientific method there should be a little bit of add-on where you check to see am i fooling myself fooling yourself in science means that you're a victim of confirmation bias you have a hypothesis you're going to drill into it nothing can dissuade you no disconfirming evidence can prove you wrong no confirming evidence will not be included in your list of things of proving why you're right it comes up all the time and people that believe in the flat earth or believe in ufos or believe in things that are actually true um so it's a hell of a drug you know it's might even rival for scientists dopamine for lay people uh and so we were so convinced that the signal we saw was the very signal we sought the one that i sought to win the nobel prize that my father hadn't won that we almost didn't consider the alternatives we did it turns out we did consider the alternatives but we had enough kind of a feeling to rule them out so we didn't allow the full brunt of the scientific method to play out and instead we didn't have the paper peer-reviewed so we submitted it and the media knew about it and there was a press conference and i was not at that press conference and to me i wouldn't have attended most likely i mean i felt like left out at the time and that's when i came up with the idea for the name of this book because i knew one of two things was going to happen i was going to be you know kind of vindicated that we weren't really fully correct that we had observed an imposter syndrome signal which in this case is called dust there's dust in the universe just like micrometeorites that pervade the cosmos and they can align and make in the magnetic field of the milky way reproduce the signal exactly mimicking what we saw and so that was right so we wouldn't win the nobel prize because we were wrong that was one possibility or we would win the nobel prize because we were right we just need to be confirmed by somebody else but i wasn't going to win it so hence the title losing the nobel prize it also has to do with the fact that their aspects of the nobel prize i believe need to be jettisoned and we need to lose those aspects so it's kind of a double entendre as the french would say um and in that whole event figuring out that i wasn't at the press conference i didn't get the limelight so i didn't have to eat as much crow perhaps as i should have and it always resonates a little bit sourly with me just in the following sense to this day i meet fellow scientists or people and say oh you were part of that team that discovered the origin of the big bang in other words they don't know that we retracted that yeah and why is that because the claim comes on page one of the tuesday edition of the new york times the science times and the retraction c17 section page 12 column 4 on the saturday edition that nobody reads and that's a big problem in science and one of my goals in science is to make sure if you have a pr budget that you reserve a little bit as a put just in case your theory has to be retracted your experimental data has to be retracted and this has happened not only to us we didn't make a blunder we actually measured exquisitely accurate the signal and the experiment continues to this day so it's not a failure it's not an error and it's an error interpretation and overreach that wasn't wrong so to my mind we should be careful as scientists to not communicate to the public that we are infallible i think that's and that's kind of a big lesson in my second book that again humanizes these otherworldly intellectual titans these nine nobel prize winners into the impossible yep tell why why that title so the podcast that i run at uc san diego is part of the arthur c clarke center for human imagination and we are affiliated with arthur c clarke the late arthur c clark who conceived of the first geosynchronous satellites he had ideas for ipads and silver urge 2001 a space odyssey he has extremely large contributions to both arts and science science fiction science fact hard science and we wanted to kind of bring together a center that would that would kind of emulate him that would have the two hemispheres of the brain and not have this secondary division between the two and so we created the center the arthur c clarke foundation that he had no children i think no no next of kin so to speak so we have access to this name and i decided because of all the great intellects that come through from kim stanley robinson david brynn uh we have richard dreyfuss all these great intellects that come through including nine nobel prize winners that would come through in one way or another that it would be a real shame were i not to preserve conversations like you and i are having but for everybody to learn from these laureates at scale so not just for me to benefit from their lecture but to record it and then put it on the internet so i started doing that and i thought uh with a colleague patrick coleman at who runs the clark center we came up with a name it had to be one of clark's famous quips and he had many one of the most famous ones i open every show with any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic he had another saying which kind of resonated with richard feynman he said for every expert there's an equal and opposite expert and then a third one which is um the only way to discover the limits of the possible is to go beyond them into the impossible now that's very poetic but back it up for me how do we actually go beyond the possible into the impossible what does that mean so there will be things that will be said of you as a scientist that you cannot do that einstein failed at that he died trying to come up with a one inch long equation the god equation as michio kaku calls it the string theorist who are you to come up with this it's impossible um but it's actually oftentimes people short the human intellect and what we're capable of doing i mean if you just look back in history and go like on the savannah like your conversation with richard dawkins he's thinking about if you looked at these primates on the savannah in africa there is no way you could predict that someday they'd be zipping around interplanetary you know as an interplanetary species there's just no logical so what would you have said those are impossible that's impossible but what would you be you'd be incredibly wrong but you'd also be doing child abuse i think of his child abuse which is why child abuse because you you were telling a kid that he or she can't do something because it's never been done before all right my friends let's talk about blue blocks blue blocker glasses have been a game changer in my life if you're someone like me who is sensitive to artificial lighting and extra sensitive to artificial blue light from a cell phone or a computer screen then you need to try blue blocker lenses they are going to improve your sleep blue blocks is all about science quality and style their products are made under optics laboratory conditions in australia and come in prescription non-prescription and readers blue blocks is offering a special discount exclusive for impact theory listeners go to blueblocks.com forward slash impact theory for 15 off your order or use discount code impact theory at checkout once again that's blue blocks which is b l u b l o x dot com forward slash impact theory for 15 off your order or use the discount code impact theory at checkout all right my friends give these a shot i use them all the time take care and be legendary do you know moran's surf by any chance it sounds familiar but no interesting guy had him on the show really really early and that was sort of his punch line he had been doing this dream recording basically trying to record areas of the brain and and much like you were saying they it got picked up by the news and somebody called him and um asked him if you know given the brain signals you're picking up on could you end up recording somebody's dreams and he was like yeah i guess actually you could and so it becomes this huge story he starts panicking he was like no they they like woke me up i wasn't thinking clearly of course you can't record people's dreams and it's not possible and then like a year later this japanese researcher because moran had said that and he didn't see that moran has been desperately trying to retract this statement goes and actually starts an experiment to actually record people's dreams and like ends up showing that it probably on a long enough timeline is going to be possible right and so moran said the punch line wasn't that i was right when i said that you couldn't record dreams it was that you can't ever say that something can or can't be done until because you're just going to stop somebody from even trying exactly and i thought that was really interesting to your point about child abuse that saying that it's impossible is the wrong statement because you never know that's right you have something called the banister effect named after roger bannister i know it well yeah the first person so that was thought to be impossible now i looked it up one of my kids is like super fast and i looked up and it must be an error it's like how what's the fastest you know that some kid can run a race in in junior high school whatever and it's like five minutes and i was like that's insane because like 100 years ago that was like olympic caliber you know race but that was thought to be impossible once somebody does something or you ever play video games your sister or somebody around here you got a lot of video games right um they get a high score they kill the big boss and levels ah that's like impo and then you do it literally the thing that you couldn't do for weeks now you do it the next day so things are only impossible until they're not impossible right and so to short the human that's why i don't like this this this saying follow the science you know science is supposed to be about questioning authority and now we're in this lane where you have to follow authority i think almost nothing could be less scientific than saying like oh because this particular person like feynman would say something that i'm not going to question it of course he has to be wrong just as newton was wrong just as galileo was wrong many times by the way einstein i was having a debate with my friend stephan alexander as an author and the president national society of black physicist and a professor at brown university where i went to you know he and i were grad students together and and i was showing he's like you know that man freaking einstein i know you love him but he had he was wrong more than he was right and he's like what are you talking about that guy i was just like here are like seven different ways that he was wrong and and he was right when it counts and he goes yeah but because of relativity he gets a pass and i was like i gotta give it to you and i was i always joke you know like it's too bad he made those seven mistakes because otherwise he could have had a good career you know he could have been known as somebody uh but but in reality he's definitely wrong about he's wrong about seven major things he's called his biggest blunder even and if you think about that if you teach kids that einstein is an infallible uh you know omnipotent genius no kid einstein himself wouldn't have said i am an einstein and so we shortchange the potentiality for young people to enter into science when we say that something is solved everyone agrees and there's no no room for progress so i think of that and the into the impossible kind of mantra as a way to inspire people to think about it maybe not possible but but you won't know until you really give it a true try and and give it all you can leave it all out there on the floor and i think that there's that's the that's the that's the thing that only curiosity can sustain that kind of a quest multi-decade long quest as it did for einstein try and fail to come up with the theory of everything but that's beautiful in a way look i know you're not i don't know no you're not super religious maybe like but look at the essence of like moses you know the founder of of judea like the the key lesson is he does not get into the promised land we all have our promised lands we all have things that we aspire to that we want to do but he never stopped asking god please let me in even fly me over it like let me see it from a mountain and then we don't even know where he was buried because that great man we don't want to have it as a place of worship because he was just a man he wasn't a god himself and i look at that and i say like you know the nobel prize for me became an idol it became a promised land even if i get into it like the characters the real people but i you know i can think of this character in into the impossible they have all won the nobel prize but seven out of the nine tell me that they have the imposter syndrome in these interviews and i'm like what are you talking about in fact barry barish who won the nobel prize for just a little thing of detecting two ginormous black holes colliding together near the speed of light a billion years ago in a galaxy we don't even know exists anymore he discovered those with his teammates on the ligo experiment the laser interferometric gravitational wave observatory and um and he said when you win a nobel prize which i'll probably never know now uh you win a nobel prize you go to stockholm you meet the king you have a reindeer sandwich with the king and then you bend down and he puts a gilded graven image of alfred nobel around your neck and then they say oh you win a million dollars too or some fraction of a million dollars with the with the people that you want it you have to sign this book and the book has all the people that have ever won the nobel prize in physics and he's a curious guy so he opens it up he turns who won it last year two years ago five years oh there's fineman there's fine wow there's oh there's marie curie that's pretty there's einstein and he said i'm not worthy i'm an imposter and i said how do you feel that now after winning the nobel prize he goes i can't live up to what he did i said barry i have to tell you something albert einstein had the imposter syndrome he's like what are you talking about he said that isaac newton did more not only for physics but for western civilization than any person before or since meaning even including einstein himself i remember hearing a quote i don't know if it's apocryphal but where somebody said to einstein what's it like to be the smartest man alive and he said i don't know you have to ask nikola tesla i always found that interesting you know to your point about um the [Music] the imposter syndrome but there's also something more that you discount the thing that you're good at because it um like i'll take speaking so my wife decided to start speaking and so she when she did her her only ted talk thus far but when she went to do a ted talk she you know had me like coaching her and so i'm training her all this stuff and for her it was a magic trick it was a sufficiently advanced technology my understanding of speaking that to her it seemed magical whereas to me it's so self-evident as to be not impressive yeah and so it's really interesting how when you have so i think all of us have something where we get disproportionate returns right so um i've put an inhuman amount of energy and effort getting good at speaking so it is not something that just came naturally but it is something to which i have always if i put an hour of energy into speaking i get a 1.3 x let's say right and somebody else might get a 0.6 x and so now the differential between me putting an hour of energy into it and then putting an hour of energy you can see how it would be very frustrating very quickly absolutely but it doesn't feel like um it's hard to be impressed by the things that you get that disproportionate return on so i can see how yeah everybody begins a discount there something called a curse of knowledge which is like you maybe have experience with professors or teachers like they're so erudite they're so intelligent they're so smart that they forget what it was like not to know and therefore they can't communicate the end levels between you and them to get you to level n plus one where you're at like that's all you need from a teacher i think of teachers as hacks like they let you hack on and get up and i want to just resonate with something because something i use to prepare for this interview is something that i learned from neil degrasse tyson um in an episode of into the impossible on my youtube channel where he actually semi-hinted that my question was almost racist and i actually said the episode's called neil degrasse tyson plays the race card i'm brian cutie and what it was was i said to him um you know when he was a kid he was a great athlete and he went to bronx science you know best high school in the world uh anything but especially in science and um he was also pretty big and good as an athlete six two six threes a couple you know 1800 and he took it seriously and they wanted him to wrestle and they were like apply to college on a wrestling scholarship he's like i don't want to do that and i want to do it you know intellectually and i said to him like where did you get that from because he wasn't like saying like the courage to make that decision like i probably would have just taken yeah i'll get into harvard any way i can you know a cornell right um i would have done it he didn't want to do that and i said what gave you that strength was it something that you're born with some some pretty natural gift that you have that gave you the confidence to say no to the trope of african-american let's just put them into sports and he said i'm now going to mention the race card to you because you see somebody who's eloquent and gifted and as a black man and you say oh it must be a gift implying that he didn't have to work on it i actually disagree with him and i push back on him but then he said um you see me when i go on colbert report or whatever the late show and you see me and you look like it's so easy and i'm having this great conversation it's flowing back and forth and you think that's just a gift because i'm a black man and you think i might have the gifted gab and he said no no no no you're wrong what it comes from is i am a scholar of whatever craft i'm doing in that case is public speaking i watch every episode of jon stewart or colbert for the last two months before i go on every time and i time the amount of space between the questions and the pause and response i time what are the uh levels of kind of jokes to you know per unit time that i can lay in how much deep science can i lay in and then and then he says i have to go back four days because it's not five and it's not three i go back four days and i look at the news cycle and stephen's gonna ask me something in that three days but not five days so i don't waste my time go back 10 months ago or yesterday he's going to ask me what happened last three days so he's a scholar of that one niche and so he gets this disproportionate return now i look at that i'm like oh i'm going but now i took that i used it i said tom asked certain questions he he will talk for you talk by the way for an average of 3.5 minutes per question uh which i love uh so i know that i'm gonna shut up because he's gonna ask these questions so great to hear and learn from you uh and but he's also gonna let me ramble on too um and i wanna you know tie things into the past episodes because i want to go back to your first episode this guy moran because maybe no one will watch it it's too long a tale but you had on uh richard dawkins recently i was just or andrew huberman or uh you have uh you know just amazing guests and you know so i i benefit from even though it's kind of like leveling on me but it's so evident that someone it's hard to teach that like he gave me a recipe but there's still some secret sauce that he has i don't i don't think it's an insult to say someone's gifted in something but you might be gifted in public speaking and how do you convey a gift to somebody else like lisa might not be so easy it's interesting so i think that it's probably misleading the only person i know who just claims straight up like this is a gift is bo jackson bo jackson was like i never had to work for it like i mean he just owns it wow and was obscenely gifted yeah but most people even somebody like lionel messi who's just known for being completely talented he says you know look i've had to work my ass off so i think that it is a one-two punch of you get that disproportionate return but it's kind of like steroids you can take steroids and not add any muscle at all you still have to go work your face off in the gym so i think it you know it it is that double thing and it is a little like if somebody were to say well it's easy for you tom because you're naturally gifted at speaking it's like no i get a disproportionate return but i've had to put an insane like starting at age 12 or 13. i started practicing in front of the mirror modulating my voice looking at my facial expressions you know practicing practicing at the time i thought i was going to be a stand-up comic so it was like you you end up having to still put an inhuman amount of time and energy into something but yes i do think it matters if people identify the thing that they get the disproportionate returns and if you love that and can also leverage that now i believe you also have to work on your weaknesses if your goals demand it but yeah it's um i don't know a lot of people that are just gifted but i see like if you lost you know god forbid you lost whatever you i mean just the fact that you've had multiple you know bites at this app different apples you know if you lost it i heard maybe it was gary vaynerchuk on um uh your show or um maybe it was uh jordan harbinger show but he's like like sometimes i wish i could lose it all you know just to do it again and i'm like in science you kind of feel that way too for one reason is there are 500 companies in the fortune 500 right there's only one company if you like that wins the nobel prize there's only one experiment every year there's more people on the space station than i've won the nobel prize in the last couple of years like right now it's insane uh so it's like a monopoly and it's very hard and but a lot of these guys once they win the nobel prize they do something totally different pivoting as the kids say right they want to do something else why because they don't get the same dopamine hit like once you win it like you've basically come as far as you can go in that specific sub discipline and now you want to do something because you've got this you know 8 000 horsepower brain and and you don't want your career to be over and so they pivot in something else now sometimes they take these flights of fancy and they don't do anything it's kind of crazy someone goes off the deep end become eugenicist or racist or whatever i mean this has happened yeah they invented the transistor uh became like a real eugenicist who came up with the idea that we should actually encourage blacks not to reproduce and he contributed to what's called the nobel prize sperm bank the repositories yeah this guy's but is that a one-off just that guy are you saying there's something about the mega maniacal nature of winning something like that there could be i mean you look at you know where do you go from here and i actually had this astronaut chris hadfield on my show a couple a couple of months ago he's the guy who's like playing major tom's a junkie in the space station canadian restaurant and i asked them i'm like are you you know familiar with the hedonic treadmill like once you make this achievement um you know being an astronaut living on the space state like where do you go from there and he had you know author and he wrote a fiction book he's written two non-fiction books a kid's book now he's written a murder mystery so like but it's clear like there he's wired in this way that he cannot stop doing achievement and a lot of these people in this book are like that too and sometimes they think that because they've won it now everyone should listen to them and and really pay heed to some of their loony notions um the co-discoverer of the double helix uh james watson said like really negative things about women and minorities and and yet he still has his nobel prize the one award that never gets retracted harvey weinstein had his membership in the uh in the academy awards whatever retracted rescinded many prizes have been taken away not the nobel prize they never take it away and why maybe because it's the most prestigious idol on earth but it only is that for now if it continues to maintain some sense of integrity and i hope it will and part of the goal of into the impossible was to bring out the human side of these lawyers and show they do i mean they suffer from some of the things that you and i suffer from except they can crush it they can crush the imposter syndrome to really unlock you know for on a sustainable basis and what is that key like how do you step into the impossible how do you get past imposter syndrome how do you believe that yes you can do it like what's that key for really getting into something that's grand i think it has to be a balance it can't be only that you are defined by what you do in the laboratory or on a chalkboard or whatever you have to have some scaffolding some superstructure outside of your business outside of your your what your career is outside of science in a sense all of them had very very um deep gratitude for father figures in their lives for people that were mentors to them and for them to be mentors and i point out in the book in the russian language the word for scientist is one who was taught in other words you are if you're taught you're a scientist and it kind of harkens back to the scientific method we start like kids are natural scientists you see them doing stuff they make up concoction they blow up stuff you know they're curious what happens they test the limits of their parents you know doing crazy crap um so they're testing they're doing hypothetical refining and then they become like you know hairless apes that actually behave properly hopefully in this case having you know a passionate level of curiosity but also being able to collaborate to work with other people to listen to your critics but not so much that it goes to your heart and listen to your your your complimenters but don't let it go to your head like you get to this level and you might have objective metrics you could be a billionaire you could win a nobel prize you have these objective measures very tempting then to let that be your definition so therefore you must define yourself by activities and people and your network outside so they all have broad networks and i don't just mean like you know social networks or whatever but they broad interest they're into you know like hobbies scuba diving and you know flying planes or you know doing cool crap and and it keeps them diverse and thinking about stuff from art music you know archaeology things like that to me that's kind of the notion that speaks to me that you can't just only do what you do you must also have something that you're doing it for there's a scientist robert wilson who said something when he was asked about um why should we build these particle accelerators that cost billions of dollars you know shouldn't we use that to build up you know the military and keep this is during the you know the cold war and he's like well the military is great because it defends the country but when we do science like this it makes the country worth defending and i think doing what one of my laureates in the book said um sheldon glashau who's the inspiration for young sheldon and big bank there uh he said there's a power and useless ideas and it's kind of like you talked about once like the blank space on your calendar like you should have blank space in your calendar because it's in those interstices that creativity comes out and it's no no secret you know part of that's why you get ideas in the shower and you're thinking about stuff all the time you need that blank space and sometimes those hobbies and that's blank space from your from thinking about grand unified field theories and you need that in order to then pour that energy into these things it's not going to make a faster internet connection it's not going to build a more efficient you know solar panel or it's it's it's useless in that way but sometimes we think of science in the wrong way we think of science as so valuable we want our kids to do stem right why because it makes technology but science can be much more than that you know i always say like what the value of science that doesn't produce some widget that does something better what's the use of a baby babies don't do anything you know they they come into your house they poop on your your floor yeah they don't carry your genetics into the future and that's nature's trick so i get it that one is all right all right let me push back so people talk about carrying genetics and stuff into the future um so we talked when you're on my show about kids and you were very candid honest authentic about that and i really love it and i don't want to recapitulate that i want people to watch the interview on my channel into the impossible but um but you said you want to have this impact you want to go to your death bed and on your deathbed not have to say i regret the choice of not having kids because it would have precluded me from doing the impact in my business in my work with my wife with my network um that would have done it now i think that's that's admirable and i've been thinking about that ruminating on that since we spoke in october i actually have not stopped thinking about that because i'm like there's something about tom saying that's resonant with me but i want to work through it and first of all i started thinking about this teleportation into the future like are kids the only way to do it like you said it and you don't have kids it's very impressive that you say that i'm always a little bit reluctant i have kids i don't like to talk about you know the kids personal stuff but um i have kids and i think about them as little little robots and little not in a good way they're going to be able to do stuff on their own they'll be independent for the first you know 18 years of life they're almost right they can't sustain themselves unlike every other animal on earth it's not interesting even though we share 99 of our chromosomes with apes the apes are free at age one you know they go off to college or whatever they do right our kids 18 like and even then they're not even that they're not ready right um so i started thinking like is that the only way because i get a little self-conscious like you maybe i have a friend she couldn't have kids like i don't want to say the only way to transmit your your genetics into the future is if she has kids because that's offensive right it's not fair to her she couldn't have kids why is it offensive if it's true if you can't do it right now look i feel bad if somebody wants kids and can have kids but that doesn't mean that it isn't true and so genetically the only way to get your genetics into the future is to get your genetics into the future if you see what i'm saying okay so it i guess theoretically it could be donating eggs or sperm or whatever and something in the future will happen that's one way but my thing is that kids are ready-made fulfillment and i think fulfillment is the ultimate aim i think that i have chosen a much harder path to fulfill it maybe a better way to say it a much more dangerous path to fulfillment because it may not yeah may not be harder because being a parent truly i wish i knew who said this but i heard a quote that the only impossible job is raising children that strikes me as abundantly true and i have started thanking people for having kids because somebody needs to do it i'm super grateful um you need fulfillment i have chosen a more dangerous path where i'm trying to build something that will outlast myself and it's incredibly rewarding but it's also very high risk so i don't get why it would be offensive to say something is true even though my heart breaks for somebody that wants to so strictly speaking um i actually don't as i said before there's nature there's nurture i don't put as much weight on on nature as you might think even as a scientist i don't particularly think like imagine you know i have kids again if somebody came to me and said actually you know your your second kid he's not yours he happens to look just like me but anyway um he's not your kid all right if i don't care you're not going to transmit my genetics so i don't of course not similarly you know if there was someone who was your kid and he does something despicable as a murderer those horrible you're gonna be like yeah he's my genetics though into the future no but instead what is important is teleporting into the future your ideological values not your biological values and this i don't think it's the only thing that matters i think it's the only thing but i'm with you and by the way also she can adopt like it's but you know it's again it's much more i'm much more of a values and behaviorist type personality where i think that that is your actions are much more valuable which is why you know i do certain things religiously and so forth like i don't necessarily believe in an and certain thing like richard dawkins and i both don't believe that god is some guy with a white beard you know we also we have a very radical difference of opinion in other ways but thinking about what is meaning of life and if you don't have kids can you have the same meaning in life and i started to think about what what is what should you do in life and i came up with an analogy from physics because that's basically my you know i don't have claws i don't have sharp teeth i've got a brain and i try to work on stuff through ideas i try to think about that i said well um tom right now could i double your happiness could i make you twice 10 times as happy right now without drugs i don't think drugs would make you happy for more than i think they make you much less happy now now we have to define happiness so because i think of happiness as something so transitory uh yes i think you probably could if you put me on mdma i think for the next couple of hours i would be ten times happier especially if you let me be around my wife oh my god i have fantasized about doing mdma with my wife i think it would be insane sex toys it makes sex more fun i'm like you're doing it wrong like it's pretty fun right you know you remember you brought it up yeah but now i will say so i don't do drugs i've never done a drug in my life okay so now i have something for you smoke weed and then have sex report back dude so first of all i am not a proponent of drugs i think people should avoid them like they are bad news but if you're going to try something once smoking weed and having sex it's a totally different sport it's unreal can you be happy is it possible for you to be hurt not you anybody well that's the question yes i totally believe in happiness i think happiness is amazing i think you can get happiness from a bowl of ice cream i'm i'll this is not universally defined but i have found that using happiness is the word to describe very momentary very transient happiness is very useful and there are many things that make me give me momentary happiness then there is joy which is joy is a deeper more resilient form of happiness which has to do with like contributing to other people and doing things where you feel like you're yeah you're progressing and elevating other people and then there's the ultimate one for me which is fulfillment which is a positive state of mind without being sort of that questy dopamine-y kind of thing that we think of with like ice cream or sex happiness but yes i believe in those and think that people should optimize around fulfillment and joy personally have you ever heard that like uh inuits or eskimo people have like 80 words for snow yes so judaism has like men or hebrew has many words for like intelligence and has many and has many words for happiness there's kind of happiness like like you said there's simcha there's reena there's like laughter kind of happiness then there's there's like bittersweet happiness like you can be happy because you fail but preach man some of that [ __ ] is the juice but what you said is so interesting i claim that you can continue to become happy but you cannot be happy in other words do you meditate right you can't stay happy with that like would i be understanding you if i said that i say happiness is like an unstable equilibrium it's something that which small perturbations around where you are can make you only less happy or more happy in other words you can meditate right you meditate so when you're meditating like you don't win meditating right but you you get to a place of more and more equanimity and then it ends already but imagine like if you could continue meditating whatever that means like the kind of not it's not dopamine it's some deep sense of equanimity where you're just like well it's literally a different brain waves it's a different brain and it is in parallel to drugs so that's the only type of drug i do is until you're on eating you know whatever but so in other words you can progress and it might be this jagged kind of you're climbing this mountain you're getting to the top but then um you get a phone call and uh mary mods you know has been hacked and like in other words my point is that it would be very hard for bringing up merry mods by the way that's nice that's nice i did not ask for that i just want the record to but imagine i said to you uh merry mods doubled like would you be twice as happy um i'd be i'd be happy what about your two houses can you use two houses no what about i bought you two jets that would make me deeply uncomfortable like you bought me two houses oh what's happening right so in other words most people say yeah if i won the lottery i'd be much more i'm not denying it would make you happier if you won the lottery even temporarily yeah on a treadmill right it would make you hedonically treadmill satisfaction but now let me ask you and this you don't have to it's a little different but i can make your life 10x worse in a nanosecond right i mean a theoretical like a meteorite or whatever right for people i don't even want to say it me thinking about it like brings tears death of a child thinking about kids dude that's one of the reasons i don't know yes i know you said that [ __ ] okay so the point is this goes back to entropy what is entropy entropy is chaos randomness disorder but what it really is is there's more states for an egg to be broken than there is for an egg to be whole right there's more states where you put coffee and cream together where it's mixed together then when you eventually the laws of physics don't prevent it from being half coffee and half cream forever right but there's many more infinite number almost more states where they're mixed together so life tends to more entropy which means more availability of possibility so therefore when you get to a peak the only way down as they say the only way you know off of the peak is down so there's 10x 1000x more ways to make your life infinitely worse than to make it infinitely better i don't even think you can make it i haven't told this many times but jim simons who's the man who funds my experiment he's like a hero to me he's a mentor to me he's an incredible soul he's one of the richest man in the world um gulfstream yacht everything um and he's a brilliant scientist as well um and people say oh he's got is so great i did anything to be jim simons oh yeah jim lost two adult sons in different accidents oh god and and we named our telescopes after his sons uh he is and and he he has this he's just like almost like a buddha you know there's something about him and his wife marilyn um and they're just they're just like angels on earth and the older i get i don't like get angry at the bad people on earth the devils that there are plentiful on earth they're multitudes that you meet those angels and they're just like they just give you faith in the world but anyway so would you trade no you wouldn't trade with him so shut the f up you wouldn't trade in a second so don't ask about that now i started to think though tom i said so that's something very valuable because i have a lot invested in my kids more than anything and my wife and you have it with your wife i said do those things this is my meaning of life okay i'm going to lay on it do those things that which if taken away from you would devastate you maximize the number of things the connections the businesses the brands whatever the connections that if it were taken away from you like yeah you could build another business you would be pretty devastated but you could do it but like your relationship with your wife no no i'm not saying get married multiple times and that could be that's a really interesting statement it's really interesting statement that's making me strangely emotional yeah i feel that way and it's because of you i came up with this kind of analogy to think about it like that in other words it's a horrible way it is hard it's beautiful at the same time do that which you would be devastated if it got taken away god damn i do sometimes think i'm i'm tortured by my decision not to have kids it's really fascinating and when i think about entry i wouldn't have used these words but because you're priming me with it yeah when i think about kids entropy creeps into the scenario there are so many more ways for it to go wrong than there are for it to go right that uh because i love my life so much that i just can't bring myself but you know what really worries me part of my brain was betting on the fact that i would be an uncle really and it's not come true like my entire [ __ ] family both sides my side my wife's side no one has children so i'm just like you are the like having tom is your uncle dude i would be such a good uncle i'm heartbroken that my name is tom so i would be uncle tom that's [ __ ] terrible but you know something that's come up and it really makes me feel real antipathy towards my fellow scientists there's a crisis of like you said something beautiful you said like i'm so glad that people have kids like and i know that's genuine there are people that think of kids as like a plague you may know this that there's this whole movement of not reproducing kids especially that's so simple it's incredibly jaded and i think that's one of the worst qualities you see in a kid and and by the way like i look at you tom and i see i see this potential this this this jt11 engine that's f18 super hornet quality planes okay so i don't know if i'm being complimented right now 11 engine has uh 18 000 pounds of thrust that's used on s18 strike hornet and you know putting it out there and i'm like you know tom there there are kids out there i think about i have kids i think about adopting kids when i hear about like um the guy dave thomas he founded wendy's he was adopted and because he was adopted out of foster care he was able to change the lives of millions of people because he came a billionaire he was able to not only have like foster kids but to have like foster care siblings it's wrenching like if i didn't have my brother i was adopted by my stepfather if he went to like a different like he went to live i wouldn't i don't know where i'd be tom i think about that with like a dot like i sometimes think about adoption my wife wants to kill me what i think because it's like low much lower you know and i don't want it to be like oh it's like getting a pup no it's the hardest thing but it's also like when you get that when you have that sense and it's not by the way the beginning years are pretty frustrating and not like yeah the first time they hold your hand when they come out of the mother that's awesome that is unlike any that's like making contact with the species on another planet times a billion and their whole hand tom fills up one knuckle oh it's bananas and you're the first human being they've ever touched now for the next six months they're barfing peeing puking they don't speak english they're crapping on the floor and the father can almost do nothing right you know like but when you're influencing people connecting people that's the only form of time of time travel and teleportation people are so freaking greedy people want to teleport and bring their body with them and you can't do that you can't go into the future as far as we know right now can't go into the past but you can take your values into the future so i think you are doing that here's something interesting and and i'm literally forgetting that there are people watching this and i'm just going to [ __ ] this fascinating but nature plays games that are incredibly subtle and i don't think we fully maybe it is only the poets among us that can fully articulate it but i know because i because i'm a human and so i've been on both sides of this equation because i have a brain like everybody else i can predict this and because i big brother for so long i know what it means to to look at an external instantiation of this thing that you love and it it you mentioned earlier those feelings of it's a happiness but it's tinged with something bittersweet and for me those might be my favorite emotions that melancholy the the knowing that they won't be young forever and that you know they they go beyond you into the world in a way that is joyful and sad all at the same time and so vulnerable and so vulnerable and [ __ ] just terrifying it is that that's a gift the fact that it is sad and joyful like i mean just the the i've had a very good life so let me say i'm coming from the perspective of somebody who despite it not being perfect like you know loving parents and all that um it uh it's just a wild ride that we're on that you ultimately lose everything and yet while it's here it's [ __ ] beautiful and you can make of it what you will and i don't know there's something about the the ride as it were and i'm not because i am not a poet i'm not able to capture this subtle thing that nature does when you were describing the baby's hand like wrapping around yours like that didn't need to be a poetic moment but nature has made it so that it is and that people are just flummoxed right by that moment and there's nothing wrong with it there's nothing wrong with be told in society just to like take care of yourself and go for yourself and do for and and but we're almost told that it's selfish to do things like for global warming there's a mathematician and he put out like one of the best things he listed all the things you can do to reduce your carbon footprint don't eat meat fine like i could cut down a number you know of burgers i eat i could probably do that for health reasons too and like many things just double edged sword you know reducing climate change impacts of greenhouse gases probably helps with asthma and helps with you know other you know childhood mortality so we went through this whole list of things don't eat meat don't travel on airplanes don't do this don't have a car live in a city and a lot and all these were reduced by like 10 metric tons per year per family and the last one was 9 000 tons um consider a smaller family i was like [ __ ] you how dare you tell me that again it's the same thing it's like oh yeah what if einstein's parents did the same thing what if back then by the way in the 1800s 1900s they had their own versions of like climate change or like you know what the number one problem was on wall street in 1909 or something like that literally before the depression it was there was too much horse crap let me say something to this what if it's true and so my thing is like one i think there are second and third order and fifth order and six order consequences that people are not thinking about when they talk about reducing the population yeah i know [ __ ] about this i want to be very clear i am not an expert i have no [ __ ] idea what people should do truly truly so this is merely me saying there might be a way to think through this that's more useful than another way one i just i want that person to be able to say what they think is true yeah now it might not be the right answer but i want to make sure that people can throw it out and that we can look at it yeah so for instance that we can actually find the truth but the thing that freaks me out right now you said something earlier that really resonated with me which is i loved the phrase follow the science until you just said but wait a second the whole point about science is to recognize these people are almost certainly wrong in some way and to be scientific is to challenge it all and say hey there might be a better truth here and that's actually what i love yeah so i just want to make sure that we don't lose sight of that that feels like something that we have a real tenuous grasp on right now that people they they are convinced that they know what is right and they're so convinced that they're prepared to make that like a blanket statement do what i think like even in this company i am utterly convinced that i don't know enough for people to just do what i say and so i go way the [ __ ] out of my way to make sure everyone in the company feels very comfortable challenging my ideas that's right because i don't think i'm smart enough to come to the right answer all the time by myself there's only one thing where i feel that people should literally just listen to me and do exactly what i say and that's los angeles um house design because i don't feel like if people are doing a good enough job of that i'm kidding people should be able to do everything but yeah that that to me like that level when people have that kind of certainty that scares you oh it's very dangerous you see it man and lots of different aspects people go into military things or but let me just take that um so i think it's important what you're talking about is goes by the name of epistemic humility that you don't know the right answer but the epistemologies you want to find the right answer you want to search for what is quote unquote true and you should do so with love you should have a debate and you should have the red team approach with the same common goal what is the second time you brought it up you have to say what it is the red team is an approach usually associated with the military where you've got different red team and blue team just opposing sides you're asking people to argue from the other side fight it out man just like even if they believe blue side right even your smartest people you put them on red team you say [ __ ] go after the convention here's an example a jury system some people talk about diversity oh we should have diversity let's sprinkle some diversity dust on no it's actually true the more diverse a jury is the more likely they are to come to a correct decision it's not just [ __ ] and a lot of my friends on the right or diversity is bs no actually it's been proven diver more diverse the jury is the more accurate the judgment and isn't that what we want in our jurisprudence system of course we do right so you should take that but that is kind of an adversarial notion a jury shouldn't just like be unanimous actually in the past in the sanhedrin which is the highest court in judaism that was the only court responsible for killing somebody for adult or whatever if the judges 70 judges if they came to a unanimous decision this person should be killed they would then vacate the decision the person would go free because the supposition was there has to be one member who doesn't you know told the line and has to have someone advocating for it and this is 2500 years ago it's pretty advanced anyway the red team is that it's have the best on both sides fight it out for a common goal like you ever hear a presidential debate 2020 presidential debate oh i was going to vote for biden but you know trump has such a good debate never happ nobody changes minds why because they're not debating for love they're debating to win the great thing about science tom is you never win science there's also the same as winning science you might win a nobel prize or win tenure or get into a good school but you're not winning signs because it's an infinite game it cannot be won that's what's so magical about it similarly too when we have a problem you notice a problem there will be people entrepreneurs and people like that that are often demonized people like musk or even yourself talking about um let's have a technological approach to these vexing problems the globe is changing its climate is is warming does that mean it will continue infinitely absolutely not there's only so much carbon on earth right there's only so much way that we can convert to carbon dioxide the planet by the way is going to be just freaking fine without us if we don't if we disappear i hope that god that we won't but you know i always think about this in the context of alien life like if i told you if if tomorrow i say my name shelly wright's a wonderful brilliant professor at uc san diego she's looking for technological signatures of extraterrestrial intelligence if i told you she just found some um not extraterrestrial intelligence but she found unequivocal evidence for amoebic life on uh planet uh you know uh pro cyren b how would you react and how would the world react to a discovery unequivocal positive evidence aliens exist but they're microbes for now how would you react and how would the world react i would be so stoked okay why that's so much more interesting to me so one when we were talking about looking up the moon with a telescope and you said you know there's order in the world and i thought well that's really interesting it's not at all what i find interesting about it right what i find interesting is it triggers the same thing in me that science fiction triggers it it's just expansive it's so interesting to think about that little amoeba on you know some other planet and then it makes me think you know what else is there and then i end up at star wars and i'm just like ah this is so cool and so yeah to me anything that makes my mind feel like it's expanding i find that intoxicating i think it's brilliant how would the world react how would it change it'll be a mixed bag some people are going to freak out anybody that has sort of a traditional religious bent where we're the only ones i think it might be a little hard to swallow but i also feel like i don't know we're living in a we're living through a time where it's just sort of become so pervasive in the culture that there's probably life out there that aliens are probably visiting us i mean you know it's like that's become such a popular notion that i don't think people now are just debating whether they've actually already landed and the government is covering it up right it doesn't seem as big of a thing so i think people would just sort of go on with their day and some people say like oh and connect this with the cosmos and make us feel this harmony throughout the universe and i say you know what tom i have good news for you you can take this cup take it about 15 miles to the west go out there pacific ocean scoop it up and you'll find more amoebas there than there are stars in the milky way galaxy that's crazy okay so you pick it up now does that change your notion of you know where we fit in the cosmos maybe it changes it slightly until you think what are we doing to the ocean what are we doing to you know dumping and awful economic you know and i'm an economic positivist i want to i'm a technological optimist i want to keep growing and improving as a science you know feynman once said that no scientist does not wish to live forever because he or she wants to see these cool scientific discoveries most people ask my mom she's not oh i've lived a long life you know when i'm time to go i'm going to go but most she's not you know so when i think about that then i think about well let's let's forget about imams for a second what if i told you there's this like um there are these people they're called uh they're called cambodians they live there and uh you know and they're they're infinitely complex i believe they're created in the image of god um you know infinite superior to any other creation on earth and guess what you know about six million of them were slaughtered by their own government just in the last 50 years in my lifetime you'd be like how could that possibly happen when we're thinking about we're going to cherish you know this microbe that we find on the planet pros iran b and i just think like everything about humanity like i want to turn it inwards i care more about the planet than you know i could imagine caring about on the other hand i also don't want to deny as you said in reference to something we earlier said when you say follow the science or whatever you say listen to the experts you're implicitly tacitly saying you can't do better like we're not going to find a solution to this vexing problem i think we are but to cap it at literally the oxygen mask that's going to save us namely the children saying to me as this professor did don't have kids or consider not having kids i think it's awful i think that denies the predicate of science which is that the future will be better than the past and we all see it we all live better than the richest kings and queens of europe 80 years ago not like a thousand you know it's amazing and that's large part thanks to technology and that's a large part thanks to science so for me i'm not as worried about that and i don't want to stem you know cut the seed corn and throw it away which could be the children that we won't have i think you want to sacrifice don't eat meat you know don't go to conferences in your jet whatever don't do that fine um but also look at things like nuclear power which we know in san diego we got six nuclear reactors within uh you know the city limits you know they're in nuclear submarines and aircraft carriers we've lived with those for 60 years now there's nothing wrong with it we could use that to power cities why not do it and there you go into politics and that's where i find it lesson i always joke i got into astronomy because there's no democratic constellations there's no republican comments you know it's all it's all extra extraterrestrial off of this earth for the sake of the heavens brian i have really enjoyed my time with you yet again this was so much fun uh where can people follow you uh youtube dr brian keating into the impossible podcast and twitter dr brian keating those are the main ways i love it thank you man so much for joining us a lot of fun guys speaking of things that are a lot of fun if you haven't already be sure to subscribe and until next time my friends be legendary take care peace