Jonathan Haidt: The Case Against Social Media | Lex Fridman Podcast #291
f0un-l1L8Zw • 2022-06-04
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Kind: captions Language: en the following is a conversation with jonathan height social psychologist at nyu and critic of the negative effects of social media on the human mind and human civilization he gives a respectful but hard hitting response to my conversation with mark zuckerberg and together him and i try to figure out how we can do better how we can lessen the amount of depression and division in the world he has brilliantly discussed these topics in his writing including in his book the coddling of the american mind and in his recent long article in the atlantic titled why the past 10 years of american life have been uniquely stupid when teddy roosevelt said in his famous speech that it is not the critical counts he has not yet read the brilliant writing of jonathan height i disagree with john on some of the details of his analysis and ideas but both his criticism and our disagreement is essential if we are to build better and better technologies that connect us social media has both the power to destroy our society and to help it flourish it's up to us to figure out how we take the letter path this is the lex friedman podcast to support it please check out our sponsors in the description and now to your friends here's jonathan height so you've been thinking about the human mind for quite a long time you wrote the happiness hypothesis the righteous mind the coddling of the american mind and today you're thinking you're writing a lot about social media and about democracy so perhaps so if it's okay let's go through the thread that connects all of that work how do we get from the very beginning to today with the the good the bad and the ugly of social media so i'm a social psychologist which means i study how we think about other people and how people affect our thinking and in graduate school at the university of pennsylvania i picked the topic of moral psychology and i studied how morality varied across countries i studied in brazil and india and in the 90s i began this was like i got my phd in 1992 and in that decade was really when the american culture war kind of really began to blow up and i began to notice that left and right in this country were becoming like separate countries and you could use the tools of cultural psychology to study this split this moral battle between left and right so i started doing that um and i began growing alarmed in the in the early 2000s about how bad polarization was getting and i began studying um the causes of polarization you know bringing moral psychology to bear on our political problems and i was originally going to write a book to basically help the democrats stop screwing up because i could see that some of my my research showed people on the right understand people on the left they know what they think you can't grow up in america without knowing what progressives think but here i grew up generally on the left and i had no idea what conservatives thought until i went and sought it out and started reading conservative things like national review so originally i wanted to actually help the democrats to understand moral psychology so they could stop losing to george w bush and i got a contract to write the righteous mind and once i started writing i committed to understanding conservatives by reading the best writings not the worst and i discovered you know what you don't understand anything until you look from multiple perspectives and i discovered there are a lot of great social science ideas in the conservative intellectual tradition and so and i also began to see you know what america's actually in real trouble and this is like two thousand eight two thousand like things are really we're coming apart here so i began to really focus my research on helping left and right understand each other and helping our democratic institutions to work better okay so all this is before i had any interest in social media you know i was on twitter i guess like 2009 and you know not much didn't think about it much and then so i'm going along as a social psychologist studying this and then everything seems to kind of blow up in 2014-2015 at universities and that's when greg lucianov came to me in may of 2014 and said john weird stuff is happening students are freaking out about a speaker coming to campus that they don't have to go see and they're saying it's dangerous it's violence like what is going on and so anyway greg's ideas about how we were teaching students to think in distorted ways that led us to write the coding the american mind which wasn't primarily about social media either it was about you know this sort of a rise of of depression anxiety but after that things got so much worse everywhere and that's when i began to think like whoa something systemically has changed something has changed about the fabric of the social universe and so ever since then i've been focused on social media so we're going to try to sneak up to the problems and the solutions at hand from different directions i have a lot of questions whether it's fundamentally the nature of social media that's the problem it's the decisions of various human beings that lead the social media companies that's the problem is there still some component that's highlighted in the cuddling of the american mind that's the individual psychology at play or the the way parenting and education works to make uh sort of emphasize anti-fragility of the human mind uh as it interacts with the social media platforms and the other humans through the social so all that beautiful message that should take us an hour or two to to cover or maybe a couple of years yes but so let's start if it's okay uh you said you wanted to challenge some of the things that mark zuckerberg has said in a conversation with me uh what are some of the ideas he expressed that you disagree with okay there are two major areas that i study uh one is what is happening with teen mental health it fell off a cliff in 2013 it was very sudden um and then the other is what is happening to our democratic and epistemic institutions that means knowledge generating like the universities journalism so so my main areas of research where i'm collecting the empirical research and trying to make sense of it is what's happened to mental health and what's the evidence that social media is a contributor and then the other areas what's happening to democracies not just america and what's the evidence that social media is a contributor to the dysfunction so well i'm sure we'll get to that because that's what the atlantic article is about but if we focus first on what's happened to teen mental health so before i read the quotes from mark i i'd like to just give the overview um uh and it is this there's a lot of data tracking adolescents there's self-reports of how depressed anxious lonely there's data on hospital admissions for self-harm there's data on suicide and all of these things they bounce around somewhat um but they're relatively level in the early 2000s and then all of a sudden around you know around 2010 to 2013 depending on which statistic you're looking at all of a sudden they begin to shoot upwards um more so for girls in some cases but on the whole it's like up for both sexes it's just that boys have lower levels of anxiety and depression so the curve is not quite as dramatic but what we see is not small increase it's not like oh 10 20 no the increases are between 50 and 150 um depending on which group you're looking at um you know suicide for pre-teen girls think thankfully it's not very common um but it's two to three times more common now or by 2015 it had doubled between 2010 and 2015 it doubled so something is going radically wrong in the world of american preteens and what we so as i've been studying it i found first of all it's not just america it's identical in canada and the uk um australia new zealand are very similar they're just after a little delay so whatever we're looking for here but but yet it's not it's not as clear uh in the germanic countries it's in continental europe it's a little different and we can get into that when we talk about childhood but something's happening in many countries um that and it started right around 2012 2013 it wasn't gradual um it hit girls hardest and it hit pre-teen girls the hardest so what could it be nobody has come up with another explanation nobody it wasn't the financial crisis that wouldn't have hit pre-teen girls the hardest um there is no other explanation the complexity here and the data is of course as everyone knows correlation doesn't prove causation the fact that television viewing was going up in the 50s and 60 in the 60s and 70s doesn't mean that that was the cause of the crime so what i've done and this has worked with gene twenge uh who wrote the book igen is um because i was challenged you know when i when greg and i put out the book the the coddling of the american mind some researchers challenged us and said oh you don't know what you're talking about you know the correlations between social media use and and mental health they exist but they're tiny it's it's you know like a correlation coefficient of 0.03 or you know a beta of 0.05 you know tiny little things and one famous article said it's no bigger than the correlation of mental bad mental health and eating potatoes which exists but it's like it's so tiny it's zero essentially and that that claim that social media is no more harmful than eating potatoes or wearing eye glasses it was a very catchy claim and it's caught on and i keep hearing that um but let me unpack why that's not true and then we'll get to what mark said because what mark basically said here actually i'll read it by the way just to pause real quick uh is you you implied but just make it explicit that the best explanation we have now as you're proposing is that a very particular aspect of social media is there is a cause which is not just social media but the the like button and the retweet a certain mechanism of virality that that was invented or perhaps yeah some aspect of social media is the cause good idea let's be clear connecting people is good i mean overall the more you connect people the better giving people the telephone was an amazing step forward giving them free telephone you know free long distance is even better videos i mean so connecting people is good i'm not a luddite um and social media at least the idea of users posting things like that happens on linkedin and it's great it can serve all kinds of needs what i'm talking about here is not the internet it's not technology it's not smartphones and it's not even all social media it's a particular business model in which people are incentivized to create content and that content is what brings other people on and the people on there are the product which is sold to advertisers it's that particular business model which facebook pioneered which seems to be incredibly harmful for teenagers especially for young girls 10 to 14 years old is where they're most vulnerable and it seems to be particularly harmful for democratic institutions because it leads to all kinds of anger conflict and the destruction of any shared narrative so that's what we're talking about we're talking about facebook twitter i don't have any data on tick tock i suspect it's going to end up being having a lot of really bad effects uh because the teens are on it so much and to be really clear since we're doing the nuance now in this section lots of good stuff happens you know a lot of there's a lot of funny things on on twitter i use twitter because it's an amazing way to put out news to put out when i write something you know you know you and i you know use it to to promote things we we learn things quickly um well this could be now this is harder to measure and we'll probably i'll try to mention it because so much of our conversation will be about rigorous criticism i'll try to sometimes mention what are the possible positive effects of social media in different ways so for example in the way i've been using twitter not the promotion or any of that kind of stuff it makes me feel less lonely to connect with people to make me smile a little bit of humor here and there it and that at scale is a very interesting effect being connected across the globe especially during times of covert and so on it's very difficult to measure that so we kind of have to consider that and be honest that there is a trade-off uh we have to be honest about the positive and the negative and sometimes we're not sufficiently positive or in a rigorous scientific way about the uh we're not rigorous in a scientific way about the negative and that's what we're trying to do here um and so that brings us to the mark zuckerberg okay but wait let me just pick up on the issue of trade-offs because um people might think like well like how much of this do we need if we have too much it's bad no that's a one-dimensional conceptualization this is a multi-dimensional issue and a lot of people seem to think like oh what we have done without social media and covered like we would have been sitting there alone in our homes yeah if all we had was uh you know texting telephone zoom skype multiplayer video games whatsapp um all sorts of ways of communicating with each other oh and there's blogs and the rest of the internet yeah we would have been fine did we really need the hyper-viral platforms of facebook and twitter now those did help certain things get out faster and that did help science twitter sometimes but it also led to huge explosions of misinformation and the polarization of our politics to such an extent that a third of the country you know didn't believe what the medical establishment was saying and we'll get into this the medical establishment sometimes was playing political games that made them less credible yeah so on net it's not clear to me if you've got the internet smartphones blogs all of the you know all of that stuff it's not clear to me that adding in this particular business model of facebook twitter tick tock that that that that really adds a lot more and one interesting one we'll also talk about is youtube i think it's easier to talk about twitter and facebook youtube is another complex piece that's very hard to because youtube has many things it's a content platform but also has a recommendation system that's let's let's focus our discussion on perhaps twitter and facebook but you do in uh in this large document that you're putting together uh on social media uh called social media and political dysfunction collaborative review with the chris bale that includes i believe papers on youtube as well it does but yeah again just to finish up with the nuance yeah um uh youtube is really complicated because i can't imagine life without youtube it's incredibly useful it does a lot of good things um it also obviously helps to radicalize terrorist groups and and murderers so um i you know i think about youtube the way i think about the internet in general and i don't know enough to really comment on youtube so i have been focused um and it's also interesting one thing we know is teen social life change radically between about 2010 and 2012. before 2010 they weren't mostly on every day because they didn't have smartphones yet by 2012 to 14 that's the area in which they almost all get smart phones and they become daily users of the girl so the girls go to instagram and tumblr they go to the visual ones the boys go to youtube and video games those don't seem to be as harmful to mental health or even harmful at all it's really um tumblr instagram particularly that seem to really have done in girls mental health um so now okay so let's look at the quote from from mark zuckerberg so uh at uh at 64 uh minutes and 31 seconds on the video i did i'm coded this guy this is the this is excellent this is the very helpful youtube transcript youtube's an amazing program um you ask him about francis haugen you give him a chance to respond uh and here's the key thing um uh so he talks about what francis haugen said he said no but that's mischaracterized actually on most measures the kids are doing better when they're on instagram it's just on one out of the 18. and then he says um i think an accurate characterization would have been the kids using instagram uh or not kids but teens is generally positive for their mental health that's his claim that youtube that uh instagram is overall taken as a whole instagram is positive for their mental health that's what he says okay now is it really is it really uh so first just a simple okay now here what i'd like to do is turn my attention to another document that we'll make available so i was invited to give testimony before a senate subcommittee two weeks ago where they were considering the platform accountability act should we force the platforms to actually tell us what our kids are doing like we have no idea other than self-report we have no idea you know they're the only ones who know like the kid does this and then over the next hours the kids depressed are happy we can't know that but but facebook knows it um so should they be compelled to uh to reveal the data we need that so you raise just uh uh to give people a little bit of context in this document is brilliantly structured with questions studies that indicate that the answer to a question is yes indicate that the answer to question is no and then mix results and questions include things like does social media make people more angry or effectively polarized right that's the one that we're going to get to that's the one for democracy yes that's democracy so i've got three different google docs here because i found this is an amazing way and thank god for google docs it's an amazing way to organize the research literature and it's a collaborative review meaning that so on this one gene twenge and i put up the first draft and we say please you know comment add studies tell us what we missed and it evolves in real time in any direction the yes or the oh yeah we specifically encourage because i look my the center of my research is that our gut feelings drive our reasoning that's that was my dissertation that was my early research and so if gene twenge and i are committed to but we're going to obviously preferentially believe that these platforms are bad for kids because we said so in our books so we have confirmation bias and i'm a devotee of john stuart mill the only cure for confirmation bias is other people who have a different confirmation bias so these documents evolve because critics then say no you missed this or they say you don't know what you're talking about said great say so tell us um so i put together this document and i'm gonna i'm gonna put links to everything on my website if users if you're sorry if listeners viewers go to jonathanheight.com socialmedia it's a new page i just created i'll put everything together in one place there and we'll put those in the show notes like links to this document and and other things like it though that's right exactly right so yeah so the thing i want to call attention now is this document this document here with the title teen mental health is plummeting and social media is a major contributing cause um so ben sasse and chris coons are on the judiciary committee they had a subcommittee hearing on uh nate priscilli's bill uh platform accountability transparency act so they asked me to testify on what do we know what's going on with teen mental health and so what i did was i put together everything i know with plenty of graphs to make these points that first what do we know about the crisis well uh that the crisis is specific to mood disorders not everything else it's it's not just self-report it's also behavioral data because suicide and self-harm go skyrocketing after 2010. um the increases are very large and the crisis is gendered and it's hit many countries so i go through the data on that so we have a pretty clear characterization and nobody's disputed me on this on this part so can we just pause real quick just so for people who are not aware so self-report just how you kind of collect data on this kind of thing sure you have a self-reported survey you ask people uh how yeah how anxious are you these days yeah how many hours a week do you social media that kind of stuff and then you do it's maybe you can collect large amounts of data that way because you can ask a large number of people that kind of question and but then there's uh i forget the term you use but more uh so non-self-report data behavioral data behavioral data that's right where you actually have self-harm and uh suicide numbers exactly so there are a lot of graphs like this so this is from the national survey on drug use and health so the so the federal government and also pew and gallup there are a lot of organizations that have been collecting survey data for decades so this is a gold mine and what you see on these graphs over and over again is relatively straight lines up until around 2010 or 2012. and on the x-axis we have time years going from 2004 to 2020 on the y-axis is the percent of u.s teens who had a major depression in the last year that's right so when this data started coming out around so gene twang's book igen 2017 a lot of people say oh she you know she doesn't know what she's talking about this is just self-report like gen z they're just really comfortable talking about this this is a good thing this isn't a real epidemic and literally the day before my book with greg was published the day before there was a psychiatrist in new york times who had an op-ed saying relax cell phones smartphones are not ruining your kid's brain and he said it's just self-report it's just that they're they're they're giving higher rates there's more diagnosis but underlying there's no change no because these gra these it's theoretically possible but all we have to do is look at the hospitalization data for self-harm and suicide and we see the exact same trends we see also a very sudden big rise um around between 2009 and 2012 you have an elbow and then it goes up up up so that is not self-report those are actual kids admitted to hospitals for cutting themselves so we have a catastrophe and this was all true before kovid covet made things worse but we have to realize um you know covet's going away kids are back in school or back in school but we're not going to go back to where we were because this problem is not caused by covid what is it caused by um well uh just again to just go through the point then i'll stop i i just feel like i'm i just really don't want to get out the data to show that market is wrong so first point correlational studies consistently show a link they almost all do but it's not big equivalent to a correlation coefficient around point one typically um that's the first point the second point um is that um this the correlation is actually much larger than for eating potatoes so that famous line wasn't about social media use that was about digital media use that included watching netflix doing homework on everything and so what they did is they they looked at all screen use and then they said this is correlated with self-reports of depression anxiety at like you know 0.03 it's tiny and well but they said that clearly in the paper but the media has reported as social media is 0.03 or tiny and that's just not true what i found digging into it you don't know this until you look at the there's more than 100 studies in the google doc once you dig in what you see is okay you see a tiny correlation what happens if we zoom in on just social media it always gets bigger often a lot bigger two or three times bigger what happens if we zoom in on girls and social media it always gets bigger often a lot bigger and so what i think we can conclude in fact what one of the authors of the potato studies herself concludes amy orban says i think i have a quote from here she reviewed a lot of studies and she herself said that quote the associations between social media use and well-being therefore range from about r equals 0.15 to r equals 0.10 um so that's the range we're talking about and that's for boys and girls together um and a lot of research including hers and mine show that girls it's higher so for girls we're talking about correlations around point one five to point two i believe gene twangy and i found it's about point two or 0.22 now this might sound like an arcane social science debate but people have to understand public health correlations are almost never above 0.2 so the correlation of childhood exposure to lead and adult iq very serious problem that's 0.09 like the world's messy and our measurements are messy and so if you find a consistent correlation of 0.15 like you would never let your kid do that thing that actually is dangerous and it can explain when you multiply it over tens of millions of kids spending you know years of their lives you actually can explain the mental health epidemic just from social media use well and then there's questions by the way uh this is really good to learn because i quit potatoes and it had no [Laughter] uh and it's a russian that was a big sacrifice um they're quite literal actually because i'm mostly eating keto these days but that's that's that's funny that they're actually literally called the potato studies okay uh but given this and there's a lot of fascinating data here there's also a discussion of how to how to fix it what are the aspects that if fixed would start to reverse some of these trends so if we just linger on the sort of the mark zuckerberg statements so first of all do you think mark is aware of some of these studies so if we if you put yourself in the shoes of mark zuckerberg and the executives that facebook and twitter how can you try to understand the studies like the google docs you put together to try to make decisions that fix things is is is there a stable science now that you can start to investigate and and also maybe uh if you can comment on the depth of data that's available because ultimately this is something you argue that the data should be more transparent should be provided but currently if it's not all you have is maybe some leaks of internal data that's right and we could talk about the potential you have to be very sort of objective about the potential bias in those kinds of leaks you want to it would be nice to have a non-leak data like like yeah it'd be nice to be able to actually have academic researchers able to access in de-individuated de-identified form um the actual data on what kids are doing and how their mood changes and and you know when people commit suicide what was happening before and it'd be great to know that we have no idea so what how do we begin to fix social media would you say okay so here's the most important thing to understand in the social sciences you know we say is social media harmful to kids that's a broad question you can't answer that directly you have to have much more specific questions you have to operationalize it and have a theory of how it's harming kids and so almost all of the research is done on what's called the dose response model that is everybody including the researchers are thinking about this like let's they treated this like sugar you know because the data usually shows a little bit of social media uses and correlated with harm but a lot is so you know think of it like sugar and if kids have a lot of sugar then it's bad so how much is okay um but social media is not like sugar at all it's not a dose response thing it's a complete rewiring of childhood so we evolved as a species in which kids play in mixed age groups they learn the skills of adulthood they're always playing and working and learning and doing errands that's normal childhood that's how you develop your brain that's you become a mature adult until the 1990s in the 1990s we dropped all that we said it's too dangerous if we let you outside you'll be kidnapped so we completely we began rewiring childhood in the 90s before social media and that's a big part of the story i'm a big fan of leonardo skinnezy who wrote the book free range kids if there are any parents listening to this please buy lenora's book free range kids and then go to letgrow.org it's a nonprofit that lenora and i started with peter gray and daniel shukman to help change the laws and the norms around letting kids out to play they need free play so that's the the big picture they need free play and we started stopping that in the 90s that we reduced it and then gen z kids born in 1996 they're the first people in history to get on social media before puberty millennials didn't get it until they were in college but gen z they get it because you can lie you just lie about your age they so they really begin to get on around 2009-2010 and boom two years later they're depressed it's not because they ate too much sugar necessarily it's because even normal social interactions that kids had in the early 2000s largely well they decline because now everything's through the phone and that's what i'm trying to get across that it's not just a dose response thing it's imagine imagine one middle school where everyone has an instagram account and it's constant drama everyone's constantly checking and posting and worrying and imagine going through puberty that way versus imagine there was a policy no phones in school you have to check them in a locker no one can have an instagram account all the parents are on board parents only let their kids have instagram because the kid says everyone else has it we're and that's we're stuck in a social dilemma we're stuck in a trap so what's the solution keep kids off until they're done with puberty there's a new study actually by amy orban and andy schabilski showing that the damage is greatest for girls between 11 and 13. so there is no way to make it safe for pre-teens or even 13 14 year olds we've gotta kids should simply not be allowed on these business models where you're the product they should not be allowed until you're 16. we need to raise the agent and force it that's the biggest thing so i think that's a really powerful solution but it's a it makes me wonder if there's other solutions like controlling the virality of bullying so sort of if there's a way that's more productive to childhood to use social media so of course one thing is putting your phone down but first of all from the perspective of social media companies i it might be difficult to convince them to do so uh and also for me as an adult who grew up without social media it's so social media is a source of joy so i wonder if it's possible to design the mechanisms both the challenge the ad driven model but actually just technically the recommender system and how viral how virality works on these platforms if it's possible to design a platform that leads to growth anti-fragility but does not lead to depression self-harm and suicide that like finding that balance and making that is the objective function not not engagement yeah or i don't think i don't think that can be done for kids so i am very reluctant to tell adults what to do i have a lot of libertarian friends and i would lose their friendship if i started saying oh it's bad for adults and we should stop adults from using it yeah but by the same token i'm very reluctant to have facebook and instagram tell my kids what to do without me even knowing or without me having any ability to control it right as a parent it's very hard to stop your kid i have stopped my kids from getting on instagram um and that's caused some difficulties but um but they also have thanked me because they see that it's stupid they see that what the kids are really on it what they post they see that the culture of it is is stupid as they say so um i don't think there's a way to make it healthy for kids i think there's one thing which is healthy for kids which is free play we already robbed them of most of it in the 90s the more time they spend on their devices the less they have free play video games is a kind of play i'm not saying that these things are all bad but you know 12 hours of video game play means you don't get any physical play um so and ultimately physical play is the way uh to to develop physical to fragility and especially social skills kids need huge amounts of conflict with no adult to meet to supervise or mediate and that's what we robbed them of so anyway that we should move on because i you know i get really into the evidence here because i think the story is actually quite clear now there was a lot of ambiguity there are conflicting studies but when you look at it all together the correlational studies are pretty clear and the effect sizes are coming in around 0.1 to 0.15 whether you call that a correlation coefficient or a beta it's all in the standardized beta it's all in that sort of sort of range there's also experimental evidence we collect uh true experiments with random assignment and they mostly show an effect and there's um eyewitness testimony you know with the kids themselves you talk to girls and you pull them do you think overall instagram is good for your mental health or bad for you're not going to find a group saying oh it's wonderful oh yeah yeah mark you're right it's mostly good no the girls themselves say this is the major reason and i've got studies in the google doc where there's been surveys what do you think is causing the is causing depression anxiety and the number one thing they say is social media so there's multiple strands of evidence do you think the recommendation is as a parent that teens should not use instagram yes twitter yes that's ultimately maybe in the long term that there's no way there's no way to make it safe there it's unsafe at any speed look i mean it might be very difficult to make it safe and in the short term while we don't know how to make it safe put down the phone well now hold on a second play with other kids via a platform like roblox or multiplayer video games that's great i have no beef with that you focus on bullying before that's one of five or seven different avenues of harm the main one i think which does in the girls is not being bullied um it's living a life where you're thinking all the time about posting because once a girl starts posting so it's bad enough that they're scrolling through and this is everyone comments on this you're scrolling through and everyone's life looks better than yours because it's fake and all that you see are the ones the algorithm picked that were the night anyway so the scrolling i think is bad for the girls but i'm beginning to see i can't prove this but i'm beginning to see from talking to girls from seeing how it's used is once you start posting that takes over your mind and now you're basically you're no longer present because even if you're only spending five or six hours a day on instagram you're always thinking about it and when you're in class you're thinking about who how are people responding to the post that i made between period you know between classes um i mean i do it you know i tried to stay off twitter for a while but now i've got this big article i'm i'm tweeting about it and i can't help it like i check you know 20 times a day i'll check like what are people saying what are people saying this is terrible and i'm a you know 58 year old man imagine being a 12 year old girl going through puberty you're self-conscious about how you look and i see some young women i see some professional young women women in their 20s and 30s who are putting up sexy photos of themselves like and this is so sad so sad don't be doing this yeah see i the the thing where i disagree a little bit is i agree with you in in the short term but in the long term i feel it's the responsibility of social media not in some kind of ethical way not just in an ethical way but it'll actually be good for the product for the company to maximize the long-term happiness and well-being of the person so not just engagement so consider but the person is not the customer so the thing is not to make them happy it's to keep them on that's the way it is currently right that driven if we can get a business model as you're saying i'd be all for it and and i think that's the way to make much more money so like a subscription model where the money comes from paying it's it's not that would work wouldn't it that would help so subscription definitely would help but i'm not sure it's so much i mean a lot of people say it's about the source of money but i just think it's about the fundamental mission of the product if you want people to really love a thing i think that thing should uh maximize your long-term well-being in theory in morality land it should i don't think it's just more than land i think in business land too but that's maybe a discussion for another day we're we're studying the reality of the way things currently are and they are as they are as the studies are highlighting so let us go then in from the land of mental health for young people to the land of democracy by the way in these big umbrella areas is there a connection is there a correlation between the mental health of a human mind and the division of our political discipline oh yes oh yes so our brains are structured to be uh really good at approach and avoid so we have circuits the front left circle isn't over simplification but there's some truth to it there's what's called the behavioral activation system front left cortex it's all about approach opportunity you know kid in a candy store and then the front right cortex has circuits specialized for withdrawal fear threat and of course students you know i'm a college professor and most of us think about our college days like you know yeah we were anxious at times but it was fun and it was like i can take all these courses i can do all these clubs all these people now imagine if in 2013 all of a sudden students are coming in with their front right cortex hyper-activated everything's a threat uh everything is dangerous there's not enough to go around so the front right cortex puts us into what's called defend mode as opposed to discover mode now let's move up to adults imagine a large diverse secular liberal democracy in which people are most of the time in discover mode and you know we have a problem let's think how to solve it and this is what de tocqueville said about americans like there's a problem we get together we figure out how to solve it and he said whereas in england and france people would wait for the king to do it but here like let you know the role person do it that's the can do mindset that's front left cortex discover mode if you have a national shift of people spending more time in defend mode now you so everything that comes up whatever anyone says you're not looking like oh is there something good about you thinking you know how is this dangerous how is this a threat how is this violence how can i attack this how can i you know so so if you imagine you know god up there with a little lever like okay let's let's push everyone over into you know more into discover mode and it's like joy breaks out age of aquarius all right let's shift them back into let's put everyone in defend mode and i can't think of a better way to put people in defend mode than to have them spend some time on partisan or political twitter where it's just a stream of horror stories including videos about how horrible the other side is and it's not just that they're bad people it's that if they win this election then we lose our country or then it's catastrophe so twitter and again we're not saying all of twitter you know most people aren't on twitter and people that are mostly not talking about politics but the ones that are on talking about politics are flooding us with stuff all the journalists see it all the major mainstream media is hugely influenced by twitter so if we put everyone if there's more sort of anxiety sense of threat this colors everything and then you're not you know the great thing about about a democracy and especially a you know or a legislature that has some diversity in it is that the art of politics is that you can grow the pie and then divide it you don't just fight zero sum you you find ways that we can all get sixty percent of what we want uh and that that ends when everyone's anxious and angry so let's try to start to figure out who's to blame here is it the nature of social media is it the decision of of the people at the heads of social media companies that they're making in the detailed engineering designs of the algorithm is it the users of social media that drive narratives like you mentioned journalists that want to maximize drama in order to uh uh drive clicks to their off-site uh articles is it just human nature that loves drama can't look away from an accident when you're driving by it is there is there something to be said about the reason i ask these questions is to see can we start to figure out what the solution would be uh for to to uh to alleviate to de-escalate not yet not yet let's first we have to understand um you know as as we did on the teen mental health thing okay now let's lay out what is the problem what's messing up our country and then we'll we can talk about solutions so it's all the things you said interacting in an interesting way um so human nature is tribal we evolve for intergroup conflict um we love war um we we uh the first time my buddies and i played paintball i was 29 um and we were divided into teams with strangers to shoot guns at each other and kill each other and we all afterwards it was like oh my god that was incredible like it really felt like we'd opened a room in our hearts that had never been opened but as men you know testosterone changes our brains and our bodies and activates the war stuff like we've got more stuff and that's why boys like certain team sports it's play war so that's who we are it doesn't mean we're always tribal it doesn't mean we're always wanting to fight we're also really good at making peace and cooperation and finding deals we're good at trade and exchange so you know you want your country to you want a society that has room for conflict ideally over sports like that's great that's totally it's not just harmless it's actually good um but otherwise you want cooperation to generally prevail in the society that's how you create prosperity and peace and if you're gonna have a diverse democracy you really better focus on cooperation not on tribalism and division uh and there's a wonderful book by yasha monk called the great experiment that talks about the difficulty of diversity in democracy and and and what we need to do to get this right and to get the benefits of diversity so that's human nature um now let's imagine that the technological environment makes it really easy for us to cooperate let's give everyone telephones and the postal service let's give them email like wow you know we can do all these things together with people far away it's amazing um now instead of that let's give them a technology that encourages them to fight so early facebook and twitter were generally lovely places um you know people old enough to remember like they were fun there's a lot of humor um you didn't feel like you're going to get your head blown off no matter what you said um 2007 2008 2009 it was still fun these were nice places mostly and like almost all the platforms started off as nice places um but and this is the key thing in the in the article in the atlantic article on babel on after babel the atlantic article by the way is why the past 10 years of american life have been uniquely stupid yeah my title in the magazine was after babel uh adapting to a world we can no longer share that's what i proposed but they they a b tested what's the title it gets the most clicks and it was why the past 10 years have been using the bible the tower of babel is is a um is a driving metaphor in the piece so what first of all what is it what's the top of babel what's what's babel what are we talking about okay so the tower babel is a story in early in genesis where the descendants of noah are spreading out and repopulating the world and they're on the plane of shinar and they say let us build us a city with a tower to make a name for ourselves lest we be scattered again and so it's a very short story there's not a lot in it but it looks like they're saying you know we don't want god to flood us again let's build a city and a tower and to reach the heavens and god is offended by the hubris of these people um acting again like gods um and he says here's the key line he says let us go down and confuse their language so that they may not understand one another so in the story he doesn't literally knock the tower over but you know many of us have seen images or you know movie drama dramatizations where a great wind comes and the tower is knocked over and the people are left wandering amid the rubble unable to talk to each other so i've been grappling i've been trying to say what the hell happened to our society beginning in 2014 what the hell is happening to universities and then it spread out from universities it hit journalism the arts and now it's all over companies um what the hell happened to us and it wasn't until i reread the babel story a couple of years ago that i thought whoa this is it this is the metaphor because you know i've been thinking about tribalism and left right battles and war and you know that's easy to think about but babel isn't like you know and god said let half of the people hate the other half no it wasn't that it's god said let us confuse their language that they none of them can understand each other ever again or at least for a while um so it's a story about fragmentation and that's what's unique about our time so so meta or facebook wrote a rebuttal um to my article they disputed what i said uh and one of their arguments was oh but you know polarization goes back way before social media and you know and it was happening in the 90s and they're right it does and i should i did say that but i should have said it more clearly with more examples but here's the new thing even though left and right we're beginning to hate each other more we weren't afraid of the person next to us we weren't afraid of each other cable tv you know fox news whatever you want to point to about increasing polarization it didn't make me afraid of my students and that was new in around 2014 2015. we started hearing getting articles you know i'm a liberal professor and my liberal students frightened me it was in vox in 2015. and that was after greg and i had turned in the draft of our of our first draft of our coddling article and surveys show over and over again students are not as afraid of their professors they're actually afraid of other students most students are lovely it's not like the whole generation has lost their minds what happens is a small number a small number are adept at using social media to destroy anyone that they think they can get credit for destroying and the bizarre thing is it's never it's rarely about what ideas you express it's usually about a word like he used this word um or this you know this was insensitive or you know i can link this word to that so it's it's a it's they don't really engage with ideas and arguments it's a real sort of gotcha um prosecutor i'm sort of like oh you know it's like a like a witch trial mindset um so so the unique thing here is there's something about social media in those years that a small number of people can sort of be catalysts for this division they can start the viral wave that leads to a division that's different than the other division we saw before it's a little different than viral wave once you get some people who can who can use social media to intimidate you get a you get a sudden phase shift you get a big change in the dynamics of groups and that's the heart of the article this isn't just another article about how social media is polarizing us and destroying democracy the heart of the article is an analysis of what makes groups smart and what makes them stupid and so because as we said earlier you know my own research is on post-hoc reasoning just postdoc justification rationalization the only cure for that is other people who don't share your biases and so if you have an academic debate as like the one i'm having with you know with these other researchers over social media you know i write something they write something i have to take account of their arguments and they have to take account of mine when the academic world works it's because it puts us together in ways that things cancel out that's what makes universities smart what makes them generators of knowledge unless we stop dissent what if we say on these topics there can be no dissent and if anyone says otherwise if any academic comes up with research that says otherwise we're going to destroy them and if any academic even tweets a study contradicting what is the official word we're going to destroy them and that was the famous case of david shore who in the days after george floyd was killed and there were protests and the question is are these protests going to be productive or they're going to backfire now most of them were peaceful but some were violent and he tweeted a study he just simply tweeted a study done by an action african-american i think sociologist at princeton omar wasau and wasa's study showed that when you look back at the 60s you see that where there were violent protests it tended to backfire peaceful protests tend to work and so he simply tweeted that study and there was a twitter mob after him this
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