Chris Mason: Space Travel, Colonization, and Long-Term Survival in Space | Lex Fridman Podcast #283
1C2tPFCGL1U • 2022-05-08
Transcript preview
Open
Kind: captions Language: en would that make you sad to die in mars looking back at the planet you were born on no i think it would be actually in some ways it may be the best way to die knowing that you're in the first wave of people expanding the reach into the stars it'd be an honor the following is a conversation with chris mason professor of genomics physiology and biophysics at cornell he and colleagues do some of their research out in space experiments on space missions that seek to discern the molecular basis of changes in the human body during long-term human space travel on this topic he also wrote an epic book titled the next 500 years engineering life to reach new worlds that boldly looks at what it takes to colonize space far beyond our planet and even journey out towards livable worlds beyond our solar system this is the lex friedman podcast to support it please check out our sponsors in the description and now dear friends here's chris mason you wrote a book called the next 500 years engineering life to reach new worlds and you dedicated to quote to all humans and any extinction aware sentience how fundamental is awareness of death and extinction to the human condition i think this is actually one of the most human specific traits and features that we have it's actually maybe one of the few things that we only we have and no one else has so it sounds scary sounds like what people often don't like to think about their death except now and again or at funerals or to recognize their mortality but if you do it at a species-wide level it's something that is actually an exemplary human-specific trait that you're exhibiting you think about something that is the loss of not just your life or your family or everyone you see but everyone like you and that is i dedicate it because i think we might not be the last sentients to have this awareness i'm actually hoping we'll just be the first but as far as we know we're the only and i think this is the part of the moral thrust for the book is that we're the only ones that have this awareness that gives us a duty that only we can exercise so far so we definitely contemplate our own mortality at the individual level it is true when you wrote it it it was really powerful to realize for me that we do contemplate our extinction and that that is a creative force so the at the individual level contemplating your own death is a creative force yes like i have a deadline yes but the contemplating the extinction of the whole species i suppose that stretches through human history that's many of the sort of uh subtext of religious ideas is that like if we screw this up it's gonna be over forever and revelation and every religious text has some view of either the birth or the death of the world as they know it but it was very abstract it was uh fiction almost in some cases complete fiction of what you hope or think might happen but it's become much more quantified and much more real i think in the past well several hundred years and especially in the past few decades where we can see you know a sense of responsibility and a planetary scale so when we think about like say terraforming mars that would just be the second planet we've engineered at a planetary scale we're already doing it for this one just not that well well yeah that's right so we're like a bunch of ants uh extinction aware sentience ants that are busy trying to terraform this planet to make it uh habitable so we can flourish and then you say that it's our duty to expand beyond earth to expand to other planets to uh to find a a good backup off-site backup solution why the word duty it's an interesting word duty is something that usually puts people to sleep i'll say that's how duty you know it's duty is a bit like death people don't often like to really think what you wake up in the morning what is what was my duty today most people there are some people who think about every day people in active military service wake up it's a very concrete sense of duty to country sometimes you can think about it though in terms of family you feel a duty towards your spouse your kids your parents you feel a real duty to them because you want them to to flourish and to be safe so we do have this sense of duty but you don't you know very much like death you don't think about it actively usually it's something that just becomes embedded in your day-to-day existence but i think about duty because this is people think about duties for themselves but there has never been a real overarching duty that we all feel as a species for each other and for generations that haven't yet been born and i think i want people to have a sense of the same love and compassion and you know fighting even to the tooth and nail with the way you protect your family the way you'd fight for a country for example to feel the same way towards the rarity and preciousness of life and feel that sense of duty towards particularly extinction aware life which is just us so far this ability that we have this awareness of not only our our own frailty which of course is often talked about and climate change and people think about pandemics but other species that we sometimes cause extinction but very soon will be even species like the woolly mammoth colossals or recent startups that's doing that on their advisory report and it's it might happen in three or four years so it's the interesting point in history where we can actually think about preventing death at a species-wide level and even resurrecting things that we have killed or that have gone away which brings its own series of questions of just as when you delete something from an ecosystem adding something can be completely catastrophic and so there are no real guidelines yet on how to do that but the technology now exists which is pretty extraordinary yeah i just been working on uh backup and restoring uh databases quite a bit recently and uh you can do quite a lot of damage when you restore them properly when we bring back the madness it might be uh you have to be careful bringing that back yes like the best of science the best of engineering is both dangerous and exciting and that's why you have to have the best people but also the most morally grounded people yes pushing us forward yeah but on the point of duty there's a kind of sense that there's something special to humanity to human beings that we want to preserve and if that that little flame whatever that is dies that will be a real shame for the universe what is that what is special about human beings what is special about the human condition that we want to preserve that's why do we matter there are some people who think we don't there are some people say well humans take take it or leave it they think they're misanthropes so the book is on the one sense a call to misanthropes to hopefully shake them out of their slumber but there's some people the words and throw me just people that uh dislike humanity there they're just again they're all just they're called nihilist donnie that's a shout out for big lebowski they're like nothing matters and why does any they can and they just apply it more particularly to humans but there are endless reasons i think to cherish and celebrate what humans have done at the same time many things we've done awfully and genocide and and you know nuclear weapons testing on unsuspecting citizens of remote islands definitely things we've done bad but the poetry the music the uh engineering feats the you know getting to the moon and eventually already rovers on mars these extraordinary feats that humans have already accomplished interested really a sense of beauty i think is something that is uh you know you can't ask ants or cockroaches about their favorite paintings or maybe if you could uh it would be very different from ours but in either case there's a unique perspective that we carry and i think so that that's something even just the old age-old question in biology i'm a geneticist so this comes up a lot of what makes humans unique and so is it bipedalism is it our intelligence is it tool making is it language all those things i just listed other species have some degree of those those traits so it's a question of degree not of type of trait that defines you know humans a little bit but i think for the extinction awareness that is a uniquely human trait that is to our knowledge no other species or entity or ai or sentience that carries that awareness of the frailty of life of our own life but all life and maybe it is that awareness the frailty of life that allows us to be so urgently creative create beauty create innovation it just seems like if you just measure humans are able to create some sort of subjectively beautiful things and i see science that way i see engineering that way and ants are less efficient at that they also create beautiful things but less uh aggressively less innovation less building like standing on the shoulders of giants building on top of each other over and over and over where you're getting like these like uh hierarchical systems where you greater and greater levels of abstraction then you use ideas to communicate those ideas and you share those ideas and all of a sudden you have the rockets going on into space yeah which ants have been building the same structures for millions and millions of years with no real change and so that is the key differentiator yet yeah that's right we've got an experiment going right now and maybe it'll uh change but well yeah we will bring up some extreme uh organisms another thing you're uh interested in okay one interesting thing that comes up much later in your book is something i also haven't thought of and it's quite inspiring which is the heat death in the universe is something worth fighting against like that's also an engineering problem yes you know you kind of uh the i mean you seriously look at the next 500 years and that's such a beautiful thing you know seriously we'll talk about like the uncertainty involved with that and all the different trajectories but to to seriously look at that and then to seriously look at like what happens when the sun runs out what happens when the uh the universe comes to an end like we have an opportunity and a kind of duty like you said to fight against that and that was so inspiring to me to think wait maybe we'll actually that's a worthy thing to think about maybe we can prevent it actually right the come up with the best known understanding current of how things end the you know we have we kind of are building an intuition and data and models of the way the universe is the way it started the way it's going to end so our best model of the end let's start thinking about how that could be prevented how that could be avoided how that could be channeled and misdirected and you can pivot it somehow um that's really inspiring that's really powerful i never really thought about i thought that you know eventually all things end and that was the kind of melancholic notion behind all of it you know none of this matters in a way just uh to me that's also inspiring and to enjoy the moment to really live in the moment you know that because that is truly where beauty exists is in the moment but there is a long lasting aspect to beauty that is part of the engineering ethic which is like tell me what the problem is and we're going to solve it so what do you think about that the the long scale beyond 500 years is do humans have a chance absolutely i think we have the the best chance of any species and actually the best chance that humanity's ever had so i think a lot of people fear that we could that we can or will kill ourselves actually my favorite question i asked to ask at the end of every interview for every potential graduate student medical student faculty whoever i'm interviewing for whatever reason yes the last question is well how long do you think that humans or our evolutionary derivatives will last and the answers are shockingly wide ranging some people say i think we've only got 100 years left or some people say billions some people say as long as the universe lasts but to the person who once said as a medical student applicant who said i think we've only got 100 juice left and i was like really for all of humanity everything will be gone in 100 years and he said yes and i said well well sweet jesus man why go to med school why would he why not go sell bananas on the beach and then he said i really want to make the last you know few hundred years count really matter and i said oh well that's actually kind of sort of hopeful in a really dark way but i i think we've never been better situated to actually last for the long term we have even though we've also never been at the greater risk of being able to destroy ourselves ever since really the first nuclear test when they uh tony orb has a great book about this called the precipice where the precipice for humanity is at one point we made technologies that we weren't sure whether or not they would destroy the earth or the entire universe so the math was incomplete and there was too much air but they tested the bomb anyway but it's an extraordinary place as a species to think we now have something in our hands that may destroy the earth and possibly a chain reaction that destroys the whole universe let's try it anyway as a as a stage that we're at as a species but with that power comes an ability to get to other planets to survive long term and when you think about the heat depth that just becomes that's a an ad infinitum question if you keep thinking well we survive we go to the next sun and then you go to the next sun eventually the question will be well if you just keep doing that forever at some point the universe either continues to expand or it could collapse back in itself and the heat death is more likely at this point where it just keeps expanding expanding everything it's too far away but even in that case i think if we had a fundamental knowledge of physics and space time that you could try and restructure quite literally the shape of the universe to prevent it i think we would i think we would want to survive i think you know unless we had done the math and we think that there's a greater chance that the next universe would form and make more life maybe we would but even then i think humans have always wanted to survive and and you could argue maybe should survive because and are able to engineer systems that example survive yeah yeah and always have yeah so what is this though the tsar bomb yeah the hydrogen yeah there's there's nothing more terrifying and somehow inspiring than watching the mushroom cloud of a nuclear explosion it's like humans are capable of this they're capable of leveraging the power of nature to completely obliterate everything and and to create propulsion i mean most the voyager spacecraft are nuclear powered because it's still in many ways the most efficient way to get a tiny amount of physical material and make power out of it you know so they're still slowly drifting they're past the heliosphere they're out in now into interstellar space and they're nuclear powered so it's like any tool or technology it's a it's a tool or a weapon depending on how you hold it are we alone in the universe chris mason what do you think so the presumption that you've just mentioned is let's just focus on our thing yeah for now for now well i think we as far as we know with no other sentient life on the universe that we've found yet and and i think there's probably bacterial life out there just because we found it everywhere we've looked on earth it is and there's you know halophilic organisms that can survive in extreme salts there are psychrophiles that in extreme cold there's you know basically organisms can survive in really almost any possible environment you can adapt and find a way to live but as far as we know we're the only sentient ones and i think this is the famous the drake equation or you know how many where is everyone is that what enrico fermi said is the why haven't we heard from anyone there are these other life forms i actually think the question is wrong to phrase it that way because the unit the earth has only been here for 4.5 billion years and we and you know life maybe only for a few billion of those years complex life only for several hundred years 100 million years of life we've actually had you know in humans only the past few million years since our last common ancestor so it's not that much time but if you think even further back the universe hasn't had that much time itself to cool and create atoms and have them spread around the the universe right so the current estimates 13.8 billion years of just the whole universe but it spent the first five or six of those billion years really just like cooling and making enough of the stars to then make the atoms that would come from supernovas so i actually think we might be the first or sit one of the very few or one of the early life forms but the universe itself hasn't had that much time to make life in the integra and a galactic and universal time frame you needed billions of years for the elements to be created and then distributed and we're only really in the i think the last few billion years where i think even life could have been made so i think the question of wherever is everyone is the wrong question i think the question is i think we are the first ones at the party let's set up the liquor let's set up the food we i just think we're the first ones at the party of life but more people are coming one of the early attendees to the party yeah or maybe the for as far as we know the first but maybe we'll get into the local pocket of the universe um because the parties then expand and you it overflows and then there's a mosh pit and then you know you bump into the other galaxy uh i think it's i think the question should be we know when else is everyone getting here instead of where is everyone i think i think we've just started on the genesis of life in the universe yeah so not not worry have they or not more about when and who and how do we set up the party right and then how do we help them i think it's an interesting other moral question is do we you know the a lot of star trek episodes you the prime directive is you do not interfere with another planet if you could pass by a planet i think it's time to also revisit that because what if what if you go by a planet and we think that with as far as we can tell with enough certainty that they would never be able to leave their planet and then the sun eventually would engulf that planet wherever that planet might be in some solar system but if we had a way to help them their culture their science their technology everything about a different species to survive would we not interview interfere i think that would actually be wrong to say well we can save this this life here and we decide not to we decide after millions and billions of years past and we know the sign will engulf that planet like what will happen with our planet and we don't interfere that's you know watching a train hit someone on the tracks and not moving the train so i mean in terms of the effort of humans becoming multi-planetary species in terms of priorities how much would you allocate to trying to make contact with aliens and getting their help and if we look at the next 500 beyond years and just versus option number two really just focusing on setting up the party on our own engineering our on our own um the genome the biology of humanity the ai collaborating with humans just all the engineering challenges and opportunities that we're um we're exploring i'm focused in my lab of course a lot on the engineering of genomes the monitoring of astronauts during long missions uh you know reaching out to other aliens we've been doing reach out to aliens since the first radio waves been broadcast so we're doing some of it but to do them really made it sound like your lab is mostly focused on biology but you also reach out occasionally occasionally when they visit they have they bring their whiskey you know we have a drink but the uh i think we we can do we've been broadcasting into space for you know at this point almost a century getting close to and you know so but it's not been structured so i think it's very cheap and easy to send out structured messages um like what carl sagan wrote about in contact doing prime numbers and sending those out to indicate intelligence uh so there's things we can do that i think are very cheap and very easy so we should do some of that we can walk and chew gum at the same time this is one of the biggest critiques people often say of space research and even space flight in general is too expensive shouldn't we solve poverty shouldn't we cure diseases and the answer is always as it always has been is that you can walk and chew gum at the same time you can pass the civil rights act and go to the moon in the same decade you can improve and and get rid of structural inequality while getting to the moon and mars in this decade so i think i think we can do both yeah and they kind of help each other there's sometimes criticism of like ridiculous science like studying penguins or something or studying the patterns of birds or fish and so on some congressman stands up and says this is a waste of taxpayer dollars and then but someone says oh but we and for example crispr was pure research for 25 years now it's a household word and students are editing genomes in high school but it was just pure research on weird bacteria living actually in salt uh hyper saline lakes and rivers for decades and then eventually became a massive therapeutic which is like a curing of diseases in this past year and there's stuff that you discover as part of the research that you didn't anticipate they have nothing to do with the actual research like uh oceanography uh is one of the interesting things about that whole field is that it's a huge amount of data and neuroscience too actually so you could discover computer science things like machine learning things or even data storage manipulation distributed compute things by having to forcing yourself to get something done about on the oceanography side that's how you invent the internet and and and all those kinds of things so to me aliens looking for aliens out there in the universe is a motivator that just inspires inspires everybody young people old people scientists artists engineers entrepreneurs everybody the somehow the that line between fear and beauty because we're aliens are like perfectly merged basically because this we don't know i mean for you let's start talking about primitive alien life are you excited by it or are you terrified i want to make a lotion out of it i think it'd be great if it's alien life assuming it's safe but i'm very excited it doesn't have to be you just said a half sentence presuming it's safe that's the fundamental question so if you could yes presuming it's safe so i think you know we have this uh we're this beginning of some planetary protection is happening now is we're going to send we're bringing rocks back from mars in 2033 if all goes according to plan but there's always a danger what if you bring this back what if it's alive what if it will kill all of humanity or michael creighton wrote a book the andromeda strain about this very idea and we could but it hopefully won't and the only way you can you know really gauge that is the same way we do with any infectious agent here on earth right if it's a new pathogen a new organism you do it slowly carefully you often do it with levels of containment so you know and it's gonna be probably have to be where some pioneers go and would be for example on mars there might be other organisms there that only get activated once there's an ambient temperature and more humidity then suddenly the first settlers and mars are encountering a strange new fungus or something that's not even like a fungus because it might be a different clade of life a different branch of life and could be very dangerous or it could be very inert i mean most of life on earth on earth is not really dangerous or harmful let me go back down this most of life on earth is neither harmful nor beneficial to you it's just they're making its own way in the universe just trying to survive it's when you know it's inside of you and replicating yourselves and destroying your cells like a virus like like like covid xrcv2 that it becomes a big problem of course but it's you know just doesn't really have agency it's just trying to get by and so for example most the bacteria on the table on your skin in the subway are pretty inert they're just you know people hanging around for the ride and actually just because we're talking so much trash about viruses most viruses are don't bother humans they're phages almost all the vast majority of viruses are phages there's this this battle in the biology that is really dorky is that bacteria think that they're the most you know people study bacteria think the bacteria are the most important because there's trillions and trillions of them they run a lot of our own biology in our body that but then people who study phages they say well there's 10 times more phages than the bacteria which can attack the bacteria and destroy them as well so phage people think that they run the world but we need them both uh what do you think about viruses all right so because you said alien organisms wouldn't we encounter something like bacteria something like viruses as the first alien life form are they first of all are viruses alive or not so by the book definition if you pick up a biology textbook they'd say technically no because they don't have the ability to self-replicate independently but i would think if you restructure how you view what life is it's just autonomously aggregating and replicating of information uh for example ai at some point what if there's an ai platform that we could consider alive like at what point would you allow it to say it's alive and i think we have the same definitional challenge there is that if it can continually propagate instructions for its own existence then it is a version of living i think you know viruses don't get that category because they can't do it on their own but they are a version of life i'd say but probably not alive well they are expressing themselves and doing so on occasion quite powerfully in human civilization so um like you said at which point our ai systems allowed to say we're life we we are allowed humans must allow them and the viruses didn't ask for permission to express themselves to humans they just kind of they just kind of did yeah we didn't have to allow them are they overall though exciting or terrifying to you as somebody who has studied viruses well whenever given two options there's always two more you could do both or neither so here i'll say they're both uh terrifying and exciting i think to me more exciting than terrifying i think if i had to make that sandwich and how many layers are you know meat versus cheese there's a lot more cheese of excitement and meat isn't it well i love both so it's a hell of a delicious sandwich you quote president dwight d eisenhower in your book quote plans are useless but planning is essential and you provide a thought experiment called entropy goggles can you describe this thought experiment happily i i do this almost every day somewhere when i'm sitting in a given room i will uh well a quick comment about that quote actually for all the nasa planning meetings for the twin study and other missions that was often the quote that goes put up on the wall before we'd sit down for the day to plan the mission it was that quote which is useless which i thought was hilarious for a official nasa meeting but it was because you need to have a plan but you have to know that plan might change and so i think uh that's just a quick the context for that quite craig kundra who's a leader at nasa's headquarters now i would always put that first slide up and i'm like hmm this meeting is either going to go really well or really bad i don't know what's about to happen but but it's a inspiring quote because it's very true in any case the entropy goggles is a thought experiment i detail in in my book which is if you just sit in a room any room wherever you are and and imagine what it will look like in 10 years 100 years 500 years or even thousands of years it is a wonderfully terrifying and exciting exercise against definitely both because he realized the transience of everything that you think of what might survive almost everything that you're looking at will probably not be there in hundreds of years uh it will be you know it fairly degraded or it might be changed altered completely different moved it is just it's that trait though of humans to just sit there and project into the future it's easily you know really seamlessly with whatever you're doing and previously is is powerful because it shows the you know what can change and what should change in some cases but also that you know left to you know its own devices the universe would entropy would come take over and really things would decay things would be destroyed but the only thing really preventing i think some of the entropy is is humans these sort of sentient creatures that are aware of extinction like ourselves is really one of the only forces in the universe that's counteracting the second law of thermodynamics this entropy that's always increasing technically we're actually still increasing it because we emit heat and we never have perfect capture of all of energy but were the only things really actively and consciously uh you know resisting it really you could say life in general does this like ants do this when they build their big homes they're rearranging the universe to make a nice place for themselves and they're you know counteracting entropy but we could actually do it in a way that would be at a large scale and for long term so the entropy goggles is just a way to realize how transient everything is and just imagine everything that will decay or change in the room around you so anyone listening if they're listening on a train or they're driving in their car whether someone is listening right now looking around everything can and will change and so you that but then at first it's terrifying to see that oh my gosh everything will decay and go away but then i think it's actually liberating i think wait i can affect this chain i can prevent it or i can affect it or i can improve the change that may occur all by itself say naturally um and so i think it is but is it that awareness again of like you know the frailty of life the ever uh insistence an increase in entropy that you can address though and actually i say the same thing to first-year medical students i teach them genetics i say i point early in the course i say here's all these charts of how the human body decays over time it just and i call it the inexorable march towards molecular oblivion which the students often find they kind of laugh at ah because on all the charts they're 22 years old but older people do not laugh as much of the thought of molecular oblivion but we're all marching towards it to a large degree so this is both a great thought experiment for the environment around you so just looking at all the objects around you that they will dissipate it will disappear with time but then it's also the thing you mentioned which is how can i affect any of the world like uh you're one little creature and it's like uh your life is kind of you get dropped into this ocean and you make a little splash and how do i make it so the splash lasts for uh a little bit longer because it ultimately will uh i mean i suppose the wave will continue indefinitely but it'd be such a small impact it's almost undetectable and so how do i have that impact at all on so many levels i get to experience this as a human like um i recently had had my cold storage uh hacked to where it was locked essentially it wasn't hacked it was locked and so you get to lose all your data so for example if you lose all your data if you lose all your online presence your social media your emails if you like think of all the things you could lose in a fire there's been a lot of fires in the united states if you lose your home yeah it makes you realize wait a minute this is exactly a nice simulation of what will happen anyway yeah eventually uh and that eventually comes pretty quickly and so you it allows you to focus on you know how can i actually affect so what matters what lasts um and what brings me joy i suppose that the ultimate answer is nothing lasts you have to focus on the things in the moment that bring you joy and that have a positive impact on those around you that focusing on something that's long lasting is perhaps i don't know it's it's complicated right because like well it used to be foolhardy to say i want to think legacy is often what people think of as they approach the end of their life what is my legacy what have i done even younger in life but it used to be really foolhardy to say i could affect something that would learn people would build the building architecture i put my name on this building and there i have some sense of immortality but that's a it's a fleeting dream it's not you can't uh we're reaching mortality uh and if you could it would be resource you know taxing on everyone else if you really were but i think it's it's okay i mean the books for the next 500 years but i presume i'll be dead for the vast majority of that time and i i but that is that is actually the liberating state of mortality is you know that you don't have forever so it means what can you do that is the most impactful but you can build things that you said i want to pass this on to the next generation again the most obvious thing we do with this is if people have kids but they don't think of this as a as an intergenerational responsibility to think of it as well i was at the bar one night and i met this hot girl and then things happen or sometimes it's more planned than that but the the there's no overarching sense of weight i could have something that three or four generations from now well that someone will receive this gift that was planned for them long before they were born or gestating and i think we have that capacity and that that can be a version of legacy but it's even okay if if no one knows exactly who started it but that the benefit was was wrought by people you know again hundreds or even thousands of years after you start got it started so i think this is again something that is um only really people that are economically secure can even begin to do this or you can say you know think of maslow's hierarchy of needs where you need to satisfy your physical needs all your structural needs and have shelter and so you know i'm sitting from a position of great privilege to be able to pontificate about what i hope i could do for things for people that come 200 years from now but nonetheless more and more people can do that humanity's never been in a better state quantifiably to be able to start to think about these intergenerational responsibilities yeah this is a interesting balance because like it seems that if you let the ego flare up a little bit that's good for productivity yeah like saying i can somehow achieve immortality if what i do is going to be pretty good but then that's actually being kind of dishonest with yourself because it won't in the long arc of history won't matter right in terms of your own ego but it will have a small piece to play in a larger puzzle and help people yeah people many generations from now and that they said there are all these people who were looking after me before i was ever born i think um it's because it's a bit of just uh even just know what if when you go to a campsite there's a camping rule that you always leave the campsite better than you found it so if if the fire pit was somewhat damaged and you got there you fix it if there was no wood you leave a few bits of logs for the next person who comes and this ethos is something that uh just picked up from camping and so i think if we did that as people the world would be a better place and the world coming ahead would also be that said with these entropy glasses how can you uh see through the fog 500 years is a long time first of all why 500 years most people this is so refreshing because most colleagues and friends i talk to are don't have the guts to think even like 10 years out they start doing wishy-washy kind of statements about well you don't know but it's so refreshing to say all right i know there's so many trajectories that this world can take but i'm going to pick a few and and think through them and think what it's the well it's the quote right plans are useless but planning is essential so what why 500 years so 500 was a little bit of what i felt like i could see clearly through the entropy goggles i i feel like i can't i can't just the contradiction in terms right i can see i mean for example you said chris what's going to happen in a million years well i'll start to describe you know what happens to the the moon will be farther away because it moves several inches away every year and so then eventually you can't have a full lunar eclipse after a while i think about structures of the continental change and things will move i could describe some things but it starts to become so vague it's just not a useful exercise i think if it's too far out if it's too soon that's not that much different from what people just do with the news and say i think that's what the economy might look like over the next year or two years economists are notoriously not held accountable when they have really bad predictions you can make really awful predictions no one seems to care you can just make another one next week so too short is i think not necessarily as helpful but 500 i actually when i was first working on the book and thinking about type i thought well do i do a thousand or two i kept thinking about the main idea was if i were to pick this up 500 years from now what would it look like i changed the number if i pick up a thousand years from now or a hundred and i kept trying to think of what are some time frames where really large-scale changes have happened and so in some sense you could argue that humans been mostly the same for about three or four thousand years and the best example is this you looked at some of the homer's poems or the greek tragedies uh and oedipus for example like humans are really almost identic we're still petty and people you know have affairs and people do things they shouldn't and people it's it's just saying that all those things like it's bad that's just me like you read that it's astounding and in some sense soothing that the greek tragedies of 2 300 years ago are very relatable to what happens in like in every high school right so like you know people that's why you read them in high school like oh that's really a clear part of the human condition so in that sense some things are really permanent but i want to think of a few reasons i chose 500 is that it's a time frame where i could foresee clear development of some biotechnology that will get us to a new place including missions to mars that are planned that will be there and that we'd start to have settlements there on the moon and mars and i could see also that by that time i think we would have enough knowledge of biology and technology and space medicine to start to prepare for an interstellar mission to actually send people on a craft that would have what's called a generation ship people live and die on the same spacecraft on the way towards a destination but i think we need that much time to actually perfect the technology and to learn enough about physiology to be able to make it for that distance and the book is kind of focused on the human story this is a specific slice of the possible futures yes there could be sort of ai systems there could be other technologies that kind of build up the world so much of the world might be lived in virtual reality so you're not touching any of that you're sticking to biology we're not you're you're touching a little bit but focused on what the cells that make up the human body how do they change how do we design technologies to repair them and how do we uh protect them and as they travel out into the cosmos absolutely and it's something that is part of the duty if your duty is to keep life safe you have to consider all means to do so and and engineering life to save itself is definitely on that list and you know i think we can imagine in that time frame 500 years that we would you know there there will be ai that's continually advancing and i actually say that i'm matter agnostic towards cognition so if your matter is carbon atoms and cells and tissues and you have cognition bravo good for you if you're if you're silicon based and you're in chips and you're an ai that's all virtual but we reached a state of you know well beyond the touring test and really clearly intelligent congratulations to you too so i feel like this sense of duty is is applicable regardless of what the state of matter your cognition is based in so i would imagine that ai platforms that are really intelligent might also get a sense of this duty or i hope they would i wrote the book for them too they can carry that flame of whatever makes humans special so but why nevertheless is so much of your focus on this human meat vehicle do you think is it it's essential it doesn't have to be me no it definitely does not it could be i'm hoping that the ai platforms that we've built or that would become that would start to build themselves would also carry the sense of duty because at that point they would be life and so whichever means that life whatever form life takes it should have this duty i think will it have the lessons of genetics genomics dna and rna and proteins and the squishy stuff that makes us uh human are those lessons a temporary thing that will discard or will those lessons be carried forward i mean like if the machines completely take over let's say and it's all uh not necessarily completely take over but either completely take over or merge with humans in some interesting way where we as opposed to figuring out how to repair cells and protect cells we start having some cyborg cells we could i think we will they'll definitely be a blending and blending's already happened there's prosthetic limbs there's cybernetic limbs there's you know uh neural link you know progress being made to blend biology and cybernetics and machines for sure but i think the you know in the long term you know we'll see that they are are fairly the biology be useful because it's it's a it's a it's a manufacturing system all of life is a way to create copies of things or to replicate information including storage of information actually hard drives are probably one of the worst ways for long-term storage dna might end up being the best way to have you know millennia or you know even longest scale storage where you want something that has redundancy that's built in and it can store and can be put at really cool temperatures and survive in cosmic rays or so i think it dna might be the best hard drive of the future potentially this is really interesting okay what is dna what is rna and what are genes yes we should because most i presume the audience knows it but some might just be first-time listeners kind of there's a person right now who's like in in brazil smoking a joint sitting on the beach and just wants to learn about dna so please please dna the dxe ribonucleic acid is the recipe for life it is what carries the instructions in almost all of your cells you have a copy of your genome it's actually the reason i became a geneticist is because the day i learned that as an embryo we started just a single cell but all the instructions there to make every single type of cell in your body i was and still am endlessly fascinated by that that is extraordinary that is to me the most beautiful thing in the entire universe that is a completely from one single embryo everything is there to make the entire body which aspect of that is most beautiful so is it that there's this information within dna that's stored efficiently and it also stores information on how to build not just what to build yeah and so from all of that is what's what's the sexiest what's the most beautiful aspect is it the entire machinery or is it just the information is there it's the fact that the machinery is the information like that they basically it becomes its own manufacturer is is what is extraordinary imagine if you if you took a one two by four and you threw it on the ground and you said i'll be back in a day and then a whole house was made when you came back i mean we would all lose our minds a lot of people would poop their pants people would have to wear adult diapers it would be a big scene yes if that happened um and then we're not we're actually getting close to that people having autonomous house building it's not quite there yet but there are people trying to make uh robots that will build entire houses but you need much more than the block of wood right right that's that's the extraordinary thing is just one one piece of wood there and say i'll just leave it there for a few days and i'll come back that's basically what embryos do okay it takes nine months a little bit longer but still that is nothing short of magic right so i think that's what i love about you know the fact that dna carries that information now the information is static so to actually read that information and to actually put into motion is where rna comes in so this ribonucleic acid so it just has one other oxygen added to it versus dna but it is the transcribed version it's like if you look at a book and you say you can have it in your hands but then you start to read it aloud it becomes the active form of the recipe for life is the rna and those rnas also then get translated to become proteins that become active forms like enzymes you think of like your hair or think of other ways you digest food there's all these you know active proteins going around that are copying your dna making rna making sure your dna is safe there's all these built-in systems to keep your cells in check and working and these are often in protein form and so genes are the really these constructs basically what are the instruction sets like how many versions of instructions do you have in your genome so the genome is the collection of all the dna of a person for humans about three billion letters of genetic code so just three billion acs g's and t's these nucleotides that are the recipe for life and that's it that is the entire instruction set to go from that one embryo up to a full human which is pretty efficient if you say it's that's actually not that that much information and in that three billion letters are snippets of the genes which are independently regulated autonomous instruction sets if you will these really active forms of of the instructions from your dna to say make a protein make this rna or turn off some other part of a cell all those instructions are there in our dna and there's about 60 000 of these genes that are in our genome so how do those all lead up to you having a personality good memory and bad memory some of the functional characteristics that we at the human level are able to interpret the the the way your face look the way you smile you're good at running or jumping whether you're good at math and all those kinds of things there's the age-old debate of nature versus nurture so like most things if given two options you can of course have both so almost every trait that we know of in humanity has mixtures of nurture and nature some of them are purely nurture so there's most people probably familiar with twin studies but twin cities are one of the best ways to gauge how much is something nurture versus nature how much of it is really ingrained and has probably less ability to change versus how much can you really train so height for example is one of the most uh obvious inheritable traits but it doesn't have one gene it probably has at least 50 or 60 genes that contribute to height so it's not like a gene for height some people think of like the gene for cystic fibrosis now that's in that case that's true there is one gene that if you have mutations you get cystic fibrosis as a disease but for other other traits they're much more complicated they can have dozens or even hundreds of genes that influence your risk and what appears but from twin studies you take monozygotic twins twins that are identical and you can clearly tell they look they have the same facial structure similar intonation similar even likes and you compare them to dizygotic twins or when you have fraternal twins you can have a male and female for example in the same uterus and those are you know dizygotic twins are two zygotes so in that case they're they share 50 of their dna but they shared the same womb and that and then what you can look at is they you know what's the difference between identical twins versus uh fraternal twins and calculate that difference for any trait and that gives you an estimate of the heritability or what's called h squared so that's what we've been doing for almost every trait in humanity for the past you know 100 years i've been trying to measure this and religion is one that's a negative control so if you separate people and see what religion they become there's no gene for religion
Resume
Categories