Jeff Hawkins: The Thousand Brains Theory of Intelligence | Lex Fridman Podcast #208
Z1KwkpTUbkg • 2021-08-08
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Kind: captions Language: en the following is a conversation with jeff hawkins a neuroscientist seeking to understand the structure function and origin of intelligence in the human brain he previously wrote the seminal book on the subject titled on intelligence and recently a new book called a thousand brains which presents a new theory of intelligence that richard dawkins for example has been raving about calling the book quote brilliant and exhilarating i can't read those two words and not think of him saying it in his british accent quick mention of our sponsors codecademy bio optimizers expressvpn a-sleep and blinkist check them out in the description to support this podcast as a side note let me say that one small but powerful idea that jeff hawkins mentions in his new book is that if human civilization were to destroy itself all of knowledge all our creations will go with us he proposes that we should think about how to save that knowledge in a way that long outlives us whether that's on earth in orbit around earth or in deep space and then to send messages that advertise this backup of human knowledge to other intelligent alien civilizations the main message of this advertisement is not that we are here but that we were once here this little difference somehow was deeply humbling to me that we may with some non-zero likelihood destroy ourselves and that an alien civilization thousands or millions of years from now may come across this knowledge store and they would only with some low probability even notice it not to mention be able to interpret it and the deeper question here for me is what information in all of human knowledge is even essential does wikipedia capture it or not at all this thought experiment forces me to wonder what are the things we've accomplished and are hoping to still accomplish that will outlive us is it things like complex buildings bridges cars rockets is it ideas like science physics and mathematics is it music and art is it computers computational systems or even artificial intelligence systems i personally can't imagine that aliens wouldn't already have all of these things in fact much more and much better to me the only unique thing we may have is consciousness itself and the actual subjective experience of suffering of happiness of hatred of love if we can record these experiences in the highest resolution directly from the human brain such that aliens will be able to replay them that is what we should store and send as a message not wikipedia but the extremes of conscious experiences the most important of which of course is love this is the lex friedman podcast and here is my conversation with jeff hawkins we previously talked over two years ago do you think there's still neurons in your brain that uh remember that conversation that uh remember me and got excited like there's a lex neuron in your brain that just like finally has a purpose i do remember our conversation or i have some memories of it and i formed additional memories of you in the meantime um i wouldn't say there's a neuron or a neurons in my brain that know you there are synapses in my brain that have formed that reflect my knowledge of you and the model i have of you in the world and whether the exact same synapses were formed two years ago it's hard to say because these things come and go all the time but we know from one thing to know about brains is that when you think of things you often erase the memory and rewrite it again so yes but i have a memory of you and i have that's instantiated in synapses there's a simpler way to think about it like so you have we have a model of the world in your head and that model is continually being updated i updated this morning you offered me this water you said it was from the refrigerator i remember these things and so we and so the model includes where we live the places we know the words the objects in the world it's a monstrous model and it's constantly being updated and people are just part of that model so we're animals or other physical objects so our events we've done so um it's there's no special in my mind special place for the memories of humans i mean obviously i know you know i know a lot about my wife um but and friends uh and so on but it's not like a special place for humans over here but we model everything and we model other people's behaviors too so if i said you're a copy of your mind in my mind it's just because i know how humans i've learned how humans behave and um and i've learned some things about you and that's part of my world model well i just also mean the collective intelligence of the human species i wonder if there's something fundamental to the brain that enables that so modeling other humans with their ideas you're actually jumping into a lot of big topics like collective intelligence is a separate topic that a lot of people like to talk about we can talk about that uh but um and so that's interesting like you know we're not just individuals we live in society and so on but from our research point of view and so again let's just talk we study the neocortex it's a sheet of neural tissue it's about 75 of your brain it runs on this very repetitive algorithm it's a very repetitive circuit and so you can apply that algorithm to lots of different problems but it's all underneath it's the same thing we're just building this model so from our point of view we wouldn't look for these special circuit someplace buried in your brain that might be related to other you know understanding of the humans it's more like you know how do we build a model of anything how do we understand anything in the world and humans are just another part of the things we understand so there's nothing uh there's nothing to the brain that knows the emergent phenomena of collecting the intelligence well i certainly know about that i've heard the terms i've read no but that's right right well okay right as an idea well i think we have language which is is sort of built into our brains and that's a key part of collective intelligence so there are some you know prior assumptions about the world we're going to live in when we're born we're not just a blank slate um and so you know did we evolve to take advantage of those situations yes but again we study only part of the brain the neocortex there's other parts of the brain are very much involved in societal interactions and human emotions and um and how we interact and even societal um issues about you know how we are how we interact with other people when we support them when we're greedy and things like that i mean certainly the brain is a great place where to study intelligence i wonder if it's the fundamental uh atom of intelligence well i would say it's it's it's absolutely an essential component even if you believe in collective intelligence as um hey that's where it's all happening that's what we need to study which i don't believe that by the way i think it's really important but i don't think that is the thing um but even if you do believe that then you have to understand how the brain works in doing that um it's you know it's more like we are intelligent and we are intelligent individuals and together we are much more magnified our intelligence we can do things that we couldn't do individually but even as individuals we're pretty damn smart and we can model things and understand the world and interact with it so um to me if you're going to start some place you need to start with the brain then you could say well how do brains interact with each other and what is the nature of language and how do we share models that i've learned something about the world how do i share it with you which is really what you know sort of communal intelligence is i know something you know something we've had different experiences in the world i've learned something about brains maybe i can impart that to you you've learned something about you know whatever physics and you can part that to me but it also comes down to even just the epistemological question of well what is knowledge and how do you represent it in the brain right and it's not that's where it's going to reside right or in our writings it's obvious that human collaboration human interaction is how we build societies right but some of the things you talk about and work on some of those elements of what makes up an intelligent entity is there with a single person oh absolutely i mean it'd be we can't deny that the brain is the core element here in in uh at least i can't i think it's obvious the brain is the core element in all theories of intelligence uh it's where knowledge is represented it's where knowledge is created we interact we share we build upon each other's work but uh without a brain you'd have nothing you know there would be no intelligence without brains and so um so that's where we start i got into this field because i just was curious as to who i am you know how you know how do i think what's going on in my head when i'm what i'm thinking what does it mean to know something you know i can ask what it means for me to know something independent of how i learned it from you or from someone else or from society so what does it mean for me to know that i have a model of you in my head what does it mean to know i know what this microphone does and how it works physically even though i can't see it right now how do i know that what does it mean how the neurons do that at the fundamental level of neurons and synapses and so on those are really fascinating questions and uh i'm happy to be just happy to understand those if i could so in your um in your new book you talk about our brain our mind as being made up of many brains uh so the book is called the thousand brains a thousand brain theory of intelligence what is the key idea of this book uh the book has three sections and it has sort of maybe three big ideas so the first section is all about what we've learned about the neurocortex and that's the thousand brains theory just did we complete the picture the second section is all about ai and the third section is about the future of humanity so the thousand brains theory the the big idea there if i had to summarize into one big idea is that we think of the the brain the neocortex is learning this model of the world but what we learned is actually there's tens of thousands of independent modeling systems going on and so each what we call a column in the cortex is about 150 000 of them is a complete modeling system so it's a collective intelligence in your head in some sense so the thousand brains theory says well where do i have knowledge about you know this coffee cup where is the model of this cell phone it's not in one place it's in thousands of separate models that are complementary and they communicate with each other through voting so this idea that we have we feel like we're one person you know that's our experience we can explain that but reality there's lots of these like almost like little brands like but they're they're sophisticated modeling systems about 150 000 of them in each of the human brain and that's a totally different way of thinking about how the neural cortex is structured than we or anyone else thought of even just five years ago so you mentioned you started this journey and just looking in the mirror trying to understand who you are so if you have many brains who are you then so it's interesting we have a singular perception right you know we think oh i'm just here i'm looking at you but it's it's composed of all these things like there's sounds and there's and there's uh this vision and there's touch and all kinds of inputs yeah we have the singular perception and what the thousand brain theory says we have these models that are visual models we have a lot of models of auditory models models of toxin models and so on but they vote and so um they send in the cortex you can think about these columns as that like little grains of rice 150 000 stacked next to each other and each one is its own little modeling system but they have these long-range connections that go between them and we call those voting connections or voting neurons um and so the different columns try to reach the consensus like what am i looking at okay you know each one has some ambiguity but they come to a consensus oh there's a water bottle i'm looking at um we are only consciously able to perceive the voting we're not able to perceive anything that goes on under the hood so the voting is what we're we're aware of the results of the vote yeah the velocity well it's it's you can imagine it this way we were just talking about eye movements a moment ago so as i'm looking at something my eyes are moving about three times a second and with each movement a completely new input is coming into the brain it's not repetitive it's not shifting it around it's completely new i'm totally unaware of it i can't perceive it but yet if i looked at the neurons in your brain they're going on and off i don't know but the voting neurons are not the voting neurons are saying you know we all agree even though i'm looking at different parts of this is a water bottle right now and that's not changing and it's in some position and and pose relative to me so i have this perception of the water bottle about two feet away from me at a certain pose to me um that is not changing that's the only part i'm aware of i can't be aware of the fact that the inputs from the eyes are moving and changing and all this others happening so these long range connections are the part we can be conscious of the individual activity in each column is doesn't go anywhere else it doesn't get shared anywhere else it doesn't there's no way to extract it and talk about it or extract it and even remember it to say oh yes i can recall that um so but these long-range connections are the things that are accessible to language and to our you know it's like the hippocampus or our memories you know our short-term memory systems and so on so we're not aware of 95 or maybe it's even 98 of what's going on in your brain we're only aware of this sort of stable somewhat stable voting outcome of all these things that are going on underneath the hood so what would you say is the basic element in the thousand brains theory of intelligence of intelligence like what's the atom of intelligence when you think about it is it the individual brains and then what is a brain well let's let's can we just talk about what intelligence is first and then and then we can talk about the elements are so in my in my book intelligence is the ability to learn a model of the world so to build internal to your head a model that represents the structure of everything you know to know what this is a table and that's a coffee cup and this is a gooseneck lamp and all this to know these things i have to have a model in my head i just don't look at them and go what is that i already have internal representations of these things in my head and i had to learn them i wasn't born of any of that knowledge you were you know we have some lights in the room here i you know that's not part of my evolutionary heritage right it's not in my genes so um we have this incredible model and the model includes not only what things look like and feel like but where they are relative to each other and how they behave i've never picked up this water bottle before but i know that if i took my hand on that blue thing and i turn it it'll probably make a funny little sound as the little plastic things detach and then it'll rotate and it'll look a certain way it'll come off how do i know that right because i have this model in my head so the essence of intelligence as our ability to learn a model and the more sophisticated our model is the smarter we are not that there is a single intelligence because you can know about you know a lot about things that i don't know and i know about things you don't know and we can both be very smart but we both learn the model of the world through interacting with it so that is the essence of intelligence then we can ask ourselves what are the mechanisms in the brain that allow us to do that and what are the mechanisms of learning not just the neural mechanisms what is the general process but how we learn a model so that was a big insight for us it's like what are the what is the actual things that how do you learn this stuff it turns out you have to learn it through movement um you can't learn it just by that's how we learn we learn through movement we learn um so you build up this model by observing things and touching them and moving them and walking around the world and so on so either you move or the thing moves somehow yeah you obviously can learn things just by reading a book something like that but think about if i were to say oh here's a new house yeah i want you to learn you know what do you do you have to walk you have to walk from room to the room you have to open the doors look around see what's on the left what's on the right as you do this you're building a model in your head it's just that's what you're doing you can't just sit there and say i'm going gonna grock the house no you know or you could you don't even want to sit there and read some description of it right yeah you literally physically interactive the same with like a smartphone if i want to learn a new app i touch it and i move things around i see what happens when i when i do things with it so that's the basic way we learn in the world and by the way when you say model you mean something that can be used for prediction in the future it's it's used for prediction and for behavior and planning right um and does a pretty good job in doing so yeah here's the way to think about the model a lot of people get hung up on this so um you can imagine an architect making a model of a house right so there's a physical model that's small and why do they do that well we do that because you can imagine what it would look like from different angles you could say okay look at them here look in there and you can also say well how how far to get from from the garage to the to the swimming pool or something like that right you can imagine looking at this you can say what would be the view from this location so we built these physical models to let you imagine the future and imagine that behaviors now we can take that same model and put it in a computer so we now today they'll build models of houses and a computer and they and they do that using a set of um we'll come back to this term in a moment reference frames but eventually you assign a reference frame for the house and you assign different things for the house in different locations and then the computer can generate an image and say okay this is what it looks like in this direction the brain is doing something remarkably similar to this surprising um it's using reference frames it's building these it's similar to a model in a computer which has the same benefits of building a physical model it allows me to say what would this thing look like if it was in this orientation what would likely happen if i push this button i've never pushed this button before or how would i accomplish something i want to i want to um convey a new idea i've learned how would i do that i can imagine in my head well i could talk about it i could write a book i could do some podcasts i could um you know maybe tell my neighbor you know and i can imagine the outcomes of all these things before i do any of them that's what the model lets you do it let's just plan the future and imagine the consequences of our actions prediction you asked about prediction prediction is not the goal of the model prediction is an inherent property of it and it's how the model corrects itself so prediction is fundamental to intelligence it's fundamental to building a model and the model's intelligent and let me go back and be very precise about this prediction you can think of prediction two ways one is like hey what would happen if i did this that's the type of prediction um that's a key part of intelligence but using predictions like oh what's this this is this water bottle gonna feel like when i pick it up you know and that doesn't seem very intelligent but the way to think one way to think about intelligence prediction is it's a way for us to learn where our model is wrong so if i picked up this water bottle and it felt hot i'd be very surprised or if i picked up was very light it would be very i'd be surprised or if i turned this top and it didn't i had to turn the other way i'd be surprised and so almost might have a prediction like okay i'm gonna do it i'll drink some water i'm okay okay do this there it is i feel opening right what if i had to turn it the other way or what if it it split in two then i say oh my gosh i i misunderstood this i didn't have the right model of this thing my attention would be drawn to i'll be looking at it going well how the hell did that happen you know why did it open up that way and i would update my model by doing it just by looking at it and playing around with that update and say this is a new type of water bottle but you so you're talking about sort of uh complicated things like a water bottle but this also applies for just basic vision just like seeing things it's almost like a precondition of just perceiving the world is predicting it's just everything that you see is first passed through your prediction everything you see and feel in fact this this is the insight i had uh back in the late 80s uh and excuse me early 80s and um another people reach the same idea is that every sensory input you get not just vision but touch and hearing you have an expectation about it and um a prediction sometimes you can pick very accurately sometimes you can't i can't predict what next word is going to come out of your mouth but as you start talking about better and better predictions and if you talk about some topics i'd be very surprised so i have this sort of background prediction that's going on all the time for all my senses again the way i think about that is this is how we learn it's it's more about how we learn it's the test of our understanding our predictions are our test did is this really a water bottle if it is i shouldn't see you know a little finger sticking out the side and if i saw a little finger stick and i was like what the hell is going on you know that's not normal um i mean that's fascinating that just let me linger on this for a second i it really honestly feels that prediction is fundamental to everything uh to the way our mind operates to intelligence so like it's just a different way to see intelligence which is like everything starts at prediction and prediction requires a model you can't predict something unless you have a model of it right but the action is prediction it's like the the thing the model does is prediction and but it also yeah and you but you can then extend it to things like uh what would happen if i took this today i went and did this what would be like that or how you can extend predictions like oh i want to get a promotion at work um what action should i take and you can say if i did this i predict what might happen if i spoke to someone i predict what might happen so it's not just low level predictions yeah it's all prediction it's all predictions like this black box so you can ask basically any question low level or highlight so we start off with that observation it's all it's like this non-stop prediction and i write about this in the book about and then we ask how do neurons actually make predictions physically like what does the neuron do when it makes a prediction and um what the neural tissue does when it makes predictions and then we ask what are the mechanisms by how we build a model that allows you to make prediction so we started with prediction as sort of the fundamental research agenda if in some sense like and say well we understand how the brain makes predictions we'll understand how it builds these models and how it learns and that's core of intelligence so it was like it was the key that got us in the door to say that is our research agenda understand predictions so in this whole process where does intelligence originate would you say so it if we look at things that are much less intelligent to humans and you start to build up a human the process of evolution where is this magic thing that uh has a prediction model or a model that's able to predict that starts to look a lot more like intelligence is there a place where richard dawkins wrote an introduction to your uh to your book an excellent introduction i mean it puts a lot of things into context and it's funny just looking at parallels for your book and darwin's origin of species so darwin wrote about the origin of species so what is the origin of intelligence well we have a theory about it and it's just that it's a theory theory goes as follows as soon as living things started to move they're not just floating in sea they're not just a plant you know grounded some place as soon as they started the move there was an advantage to moving intelligently to moving in certain ways and there's some very simple things you can do you know bacteria or single cell organisms can move towards a source of gradient of food or something like that but an animal that might know where it is and know where it's been and how to get back to that place or an animal that might say oh there was a source of food someplace how do i get to it or there was a danger how do i get to there was a mate how do i get to them um there was a big evolution advantage to that so early on there was a pressure to start understanding your environment like where am i and where have i been and what happened in those different places so we still have this neural mechanism in our brains um it's in in the in the mammals it's in the hippocampus and internal cortex these are older parts of the brain um and these are very well studied um we build a map of the of our environment so these neurons in these parts of the brain know where i am in this room and where the door was and things like that so a lot of other mammals have this all mammals have this right and almost any any animal that knows where it is and get around must have some mapping system must have some way of saying i've learned a map of my environment i have hummingbirds in my backyard and they and they go the same places all the time they have to they must know where they are they just know where they are when they're they're not just randomly flying around they know they know particular flowers they come back to so we all have this and it turns out it's very tricky to get neurons to do this to build a map of an environment it's just and so we now know there's this these famous studies that's still very active about place cells and grid cells and these other types of cells in the older parts of the brain and how they build these maps of the world it's really clever it's obviously been under a lot of evolutionary pressure over a long period of time to get good at this so animals not know where they are what we think has happened uh and there's a lot of evidence to digest this is that that mechanism we learn to map like a space is was repackaged the same type of neurons was repackaged into a more compact form and that became the cortical column and it was it was in some sense genericized if that's a word it was turned into a very specific thing about learning maps of environments to learning maps of anything learning a model of anything not just your space but coffee cups and so on and it got sort of repackaged into a more compact version a more universal version and then replicate it so the reason we're so flexible is we have a very generic version of this mapping algorithm and we have 150 000 copies of it sounds a lot like the progress of deep learning how so uh so take neural networks that seem to work well for a specific task compress them and multiply it by a lot and then you just stack them on top of it it's like the story of transformers and uh yeah but interesting networks they end up you're replicating an element but you still need the entire network to do anything right here what what's going on each individual element is a complete learning system this is why i can take a human brain cut it in half and it still works it's it's pretty amazing it's fundamentally distributed it's fundamentally distributed complete modeling systems so but that's that's our story we like to tell i i i would guess it's it's likely largely right um but you know it's there's a lot of evidence supporting that story this evolutionary story the thing which brought me to this idea is that the human brain got big very quickly so that that led to the proposal a long time ago that well there's this common element just instead of creating new things it just replicated something we also are extremely flexible we can learn things that we had no history about right and so that tells it that the learning algorithm is very generic it's very kind of universal because it's it doesn't assume any prior knowledge about what it's learning and so you combine those things together and you say okay well how did that come about where did that universal algorithm come from it had to come from something that wasn't universal it came from something that was more specific and so anyway this led to our hypothesis that you would find grid cells and place cell equivalents in the neocortex and when we first published our first papers on this theory we didn't know of evidence for that it turns out there was some but we didn't know about it uh and since then um so then we became aware of evidence for grid cells in parts of the neural cortex and then now there's been new evidence coming out there's some interesting papers that came out just january of this year so our one of our predictions was if this evolutionary hypothesis is correct we would see grid cell place cell equivalents cells that work like them through every column in the near cortex and that's starting to be seen what does it mean that uh why is it important that they're present because it tells us well we're asking about the evolutionary origin of intelligence right so our theory is that these columns in the cortex are working on the same principles they're modeling systems and it's hard to imagine how neurons do this and so we said hey it's really hard to imagine how neurons could learn these models of things we can talk about the details of that if you want but let's um but there's this other part of the brain we know that learns models of environments so could that mechanism to learn to model this room be used to learn a model the water bottle is it the same mechanism so we said it's much more likely the brain is using the same mechanism which case it would have these equivalent cell types so it's basically the whole theory is built on the idea that um these columns have reference frames and they're learning these models and these these grid cells create these reference frames so it's it's basically the major in some sense the major predictive part of this theory is that we will find these equivalent mechanisms in each column in the near cortex which tells us that's that that that's what they're doing they're learning these sensory motor models of the world so just we're pretty confident that would happen but now we're seeing the evidence so the evolutionary process nature does a lot of copy and paste and see what happens yeah yeah there's no direction to it but but um it just found out like hey if i took this these elements and and made more of them what happens and let's hook them up to the eyes and let's look up the ears and and um and that seems to work pretty well yeah like for us again just to take a quick step back to our conversation of collective intelligence do you sometimes see that as just another copy and paste aspect is copying pasting these uh brains and humans and making a lot of them and then creating uh social structures that then almost operates as a single brain uh i wouldn't have said it but you said it sounded pretty good so to you the brain is fundamental is uh is like uh is its own thing right i mean our goal is to understand how the neural cortex works we can argue how essential that is to understand a human brain because it's not the entire human brain you can argue how essential that is to understanding human intelligence you can argue how essential it is to um to uh you know a sort of communal intelligence um i i'm not i didn't our goal was to understand the neocortex yeah so what is the neural cortex and where does it fit in um the various aspects of what the brain does like how important is it to you well obviously again we i mentioned again in the beginning it's it's it's about 70 to 75 of the volume of a human brain so it's you know it dominates our brain in terms of size not in terms of number of neurons but in terms of size size isn't everything jeff i know but it's it's nothing it's nothing it's not that we know that all high-level vision hearing and touch happens in the air context we know that all language occurs and is understood in the neurocortex whether that's spoken language written language sign language with language of mathematics language of physics music math you know we know that all high-level planning and thinking occurs in the new york cortex if i were to say you know what part of your brain designed a computer and understands programming and and creates music it's all the neural cortex so then that's kind of undeniable fact uh if but then there's other parts of our brain are important too right our emotional states uh our body regulating our body um so the way i like to look at it is you know could you can you understand the neocortex about the rest of the brain and some people say you can't and i think absolutely you can it's not that they're not interacting but you can understand them can you understand the neocortex without understanding the emotions of fear yes you can you can understand how the system works it's just a modeling system i make the analogy in the book that it's it's like a map of the world and how that map is used depends on who's using it so how our map of our world in our neocortex how we how we manifest as a human depends on the rest of our brain what are our motivations you know what are my desires am i a nice guy or not a nice guy am i a cheater or a you know or not a cheater um uh you know how important different things are in my life so um so but the new projects can be understood on its own um and and i say that as a neuroscientist i know there's all these interactions and i want to say i don't know them and we don't think about them but from a layperson's point of view you can say it's a modeling system i don't tend to think too much about the communal aspect of intelligence which you brought a number of times already um so that's not really been my concern i just wonder if there's a continuum from the origin of the universe like this com pockets of complexities that form yeah living organisms i wonder if if we're just if you look at humans we feel like we're at the top but i wonder if there's like just where everybody probably every living type pocket of complexity is probably thinks they're the uh pardon the french they're the yeah they're they're they're at the top of the parent well if they're thinking um well then then what is thinking what the all right in this sense the whole point is in their sense of the world they their sense is that they're at the top of it i think what is it turtle but you're you're you're bringing up you know the the problems of complexity and complexity theory are you know it's a huge interesting problem in science um and you know i think we've made surprisingly little progress in understanding complex systems right in general um and so you know the santa fe institute was founded to to study this and and even the scientists there will say it's really hard we haven't really been able to figure out exactly you know that science isn't really congealed yet we're still trying to figure out the basic elements of that science uh what you know where does complexity come from and what is it and how you define it whether it's dna creating bodies or phenotypes or if it's individuals creating societies or ants and you know markets and so on it's it's a very complex thing i'm not a complexity theorist person right um and i i think they ask well the brain itself is a complex system so can we understand that um i think we've made a lot of progress understanding how the brain works so but i haven't brought it out to like oh well where are we on the complexity spectrum you know it's like um that's a great question i'd prefer for that answer to be we're not special it seems like if we're honest most likely we're not special so if there is a spectrum we're probably not in some kind of significant place there's one thing we could say that we are special and and again only here on earth i'm not saying i'm bad is that if we think about knowledge what we know um we clearly human brains have um the only brains that have a certain types of knowledge we're the only brains on on this earth to understand uh what the earth is how old it is that the universe is a picture as a whole the only organisms understand dna and the origins of you know of species uh no other species on on this planet has that knowledge so if we think about i like to think about you know one of the endeavors of humanity is to understand the universe as much as we can um i think our species is further along in that undeniably um whether our theories are right or wrong we can debate but at least we have theories you know we we know that what the sun is and how it's fusion is and how what black holes are and you know we know general theory relativity and no other animal has any of this knowledge so in that sense that we're special uh are we special in terms of the the hierarchy of complexity in in the universe probably not can we look at a neuron yeah you say that prediction happens in the neuron what does that mean so neuron traditionally seen as the basic element of the the brain so we i mentioned this earlier that prediction was our research agenda yeah we said okay um how does the brain make a prediction like i i'm about to grab this water bottle and my brain is predicting what i'm going to feel um on all my parts of my fingers if i felt something really odd on any part here i notice it so my brain is predicting what it's going to feel as i grab this thing so what is that how does that manifest itself in neural tissue right we got brains made of neurons and there's chemicals and there's neurons and there's spikes and the connect you know where where is the prediction going on and one argument could be that well when i'm predicting something um a neuron must be firing in advance it's like okay this neuron represents what you're going to feel and it's firing it's sending a spike and certainly that happens to some extent but our predictions are so ubiquitous that we're making so many of them which we're totally unaware of just the vast majority we have no idea that you're doing this um that it wasn't really we were trying to figure how could this be where where is these where are these happening right and i won't walk you through the whole story unless you insist upon it but we came to the realization that most of your predictions are occurring inside individual neurons especially these the most common are in the pyramidal cells and there are there's a property of neurons we everyone knows or most people know that a neuron is a cell and it has this spike called an action potential and it sends information but we now know that there's these spikes internal to the neuron they're called dendritic spikes they travel along the branches of the neuron and they don't leave the neuron they're just internal only there's far more dendritic spikes than there are action potentials far more they're happening all the time and what we came to understand that those dendritic spikes the ones that are occurring are actually a form of prediction they're telling the neuron the neuron is saying i expect that i might become active shortly and that internal so the internal spike is a way of saying you're going to you might be generating external spikes soon i predicted you're going to become active and and we we've we've we wrote a paper in 2016 which explained and how this manifests itself in neural tissue and how it is that this all works together but the vast ma we think it's there's a lot of evidence supporting it um so we that's where we think that most of these predictions are internal that's why you can't be per their internal neuron you can't perceive them from understanding the the prediction mechanism of a single neuron do you think there's deep insights to be gained about the prediction capabilities of the mini brains within the bigger brain and the brain oh yeah yeah yeah so having a prediction side of the individual neuron is not that useful you know what so what um the way it manifests itself in neural tissue is that when a neuron a neuron emits these spikes or a very singular type event if a neuron is predicting that it's going to be active it makes it spike very a little bit sooner just a few milliseconds sooner than it would have otherwise it's like i give the analogy in the book there's like a sprinter on a on a starting blocks in a race and if someone says get ready set you get up and you're ready to go and then when your race starts you get a little bit earlier start so that it's that that ready set is like the prediction and the neuron's like ready to go quicker and what happens is when you have a whole bunch of neurons together and they're all getting these inputs the ones that are in the predictive state the ones that are anticipating to become active if they do become active they they happen sooner they disable everything else and it leads to different representations in the brain so you have to it's not isolated just to the neuron the prediction occurs within the neuron but the network behavior changes so what happens under different predictions different inputs have different representations so how i what i predict um it's going to be different under different contexts you know what my input will be is different under different context so this is this is a key level theory how this works so the theory of the thousand brains if you were to count the number of brains how would you do it the thousand main theory says that basically every cortical column in the in your neurocortex is a complete modeling system and that when i ask where do i have a model of something like a coffee cup it's not in one of those models it's in thousands of those models there's thousands of models of coffee cups that's what the thousand brains there's a voting mechanism then there's a voting mechanism which leads which is the thing you're which you're conscious of which leads to your singular perception um that's why you perceive something so that's the thousand brains theory the details how we got to that theory um are complicated it wasn't you just thought of it one day and one of those details is we had to ask how does a a model make predictions and we've talked about just these predictive neurons that's part of this theory it's like saying oh it's a detail but it was like a crack in the doors like how are we going to figure out how these neurons build do this you know what is going on here so we just looked at prediction as like well we know that's ubiquitous we know that every part of the cortex is making predictions therefore whatever the predictive system is it's going to be everywhere we know there's a gazillion predictions happening at once so let's see if we can start teasing apart you know ask questions about you know how could neurons be making these predictions and that sort of built up to now what we have the thousand brains theory which is complex you know it's just some i can state it simply but we just didn't think of it we had to get there step by step very it took years uh to get there and where does uh reference frames fit in so yeah okay so again a reference frame i mentioned um earlier about the you know a model of a house and i said if you're going to build a model of a house in a computer they have a reference frame and you can then reference them like cartesian coordinates like x y and z axes so i can say oh i'm going to design a house i can say well the the front door is at this location xyz and the roof is at this location xyz and so on that's a type of reference frame so it turns out for you to make a prediction and then i walk you through the thought experiment in the book where i was predicting what my finger was going to feel when i touched the coffee cup it was a ceramic coffee cup but this one will do um and what i realized is that to make a prediction with my finger's going to feel like it's just going to feel different than this which would feel different if i touch the hole or the thing on the bottom make that prediction the cortex needs to know where the finger is the tip of the finger relative to the coffee cup and exactly relative to the coffee cup and to do that i have to have a reference frame for the coffee up it has to have a way of representing the location of my finger to the coffin up and then we realize of course every part of your skin has to have a reference frame relative things to touch and then we did the same thing with vision but so the idea that a reference frame is necessary to make a prediction when you're touching something or when you're seeing something and you're moving your eyes you're moving your fingers it's just a requirement to know what to predict if i have a if i have a structure i'm going to make a prediction i have to i have to know where it is i'm looking or touching it so then we say well how do neurons make reference frames it's not obvious you know xyz coordinates don't exist in the brain it's just not the way it works so that's when we looked at the older part of the brain the hippocampus and the antorano cortex where we knew that in that part of the brain there's a reference frame for a room or reference name for environment remember i talked earlier about how you could know make a map of this room so we said oh um that they are implementing reference frames there so we knew that reference frames needed to exist in every cortical column and so that was a deductive thing we just deduced it has to go so you take the old mammalian ability to know where you are in a particular space and you start applying that to higher and higher levels yeah you first you apply it to physical like where your finger is so here's what i think about it the old part of the brain says where's my body in this room yeah the new part of the brain says where's my finger relative to this this object yeah where is the a section of my retina relative to this object like where where is i'm looking at one little corner where is that relative to this patch of my retina yeah um and then we take the same thing and apply it to concepts mathematics physics you know humanity whatever you want to think eventually you're pondering your own mortality well whatever but the point is when we think about the world when we have knowledge about the world how is that knowledge organized lex where do you where is it in your head the answer is it's in reference frames so the way i learn the structure of this water bottle where the features are relative to each other when i think about history or democracy or mathematics the same basic underlying structures happening there's reference frames for where the knowledge that you're assigning things to so in the book i go through examples like mathematics and language and politics but the evidence is very clear in the neuroscience the same mechanism that we use to model this coffee cup we're going to use to model high level thoughts your your your demise of the humanity whatever you want to think about it's interesting to think about how different are the representations of those higher dimensional concepts higher level concepts how different the representation there is in terms of reference frames versus spatial but interesting thing it's it's it's a different application but it's the exact same mechanism but isn't there some aspect to uh higher level concepts that they seem to be hierarchical like they just seem to integrate a lot of information into so is our physical objects so take this water bottle uh i'm not particular to this brand but this is a fiji water bottle and it has um a logo and i use this example in my book our company's coffee cup has a logo on it but this object is hierarchical it is it's got like a cylinder and a cap but then has this logo on it and the logo has a word the word has letters the letters of different features and so i don't have to remember i don't think about this so i said oh there's a fiji logo on this water bottle i don't have to go through and say oh what is the fiji logo it's the f and i and the j and i and there's a hibiscus flower and and uh oh it has the pest you know the stamen on it i don't have to do that i just incorporate all of that in some sort of hierarchical representation i say um you know put this logo on this water bottle yeah and and and then the logo has a word and the word has letters all hierarchical just all that stuff is big it's amazing that the brain instantly just does all that yeah the idea that there's there's water it's liquid and the idea that you can uh drink it when you're thirst
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