David Fravor: UFOs, Aliens, Fighter Jets, and Aerospace Engineering | Lex Fridman Podcast #122
aB8zcAttP1E • 2020-09-08
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Kind: captions Language: en the following is a conversation with commander david fravor who was a navy pilot for 18 years and commander of the strike fighter squadron also known as the black aces a squadron of 12 airplanes consisting of several hundred people he's also famously one of the people who with his own eyes saw and chased a ufo an identified flying object in 2004 that is referred to as the tic tac and the incident more formally referred to as the uss nimitz ufo incident his story corroborated by several other pilots from my perspective as a curious scientist and an open-minded human being is the most credible sighting of a ufo in history at least that i'm aware of he's a humble fascinating and fun human being to talk to i put out a call for questions on reddit and many other places and tried to ask as many of the questions that people posted as i could and overall i really enjoyed this conversation and i'm sure if the world wants us to and if there's more questions to be had we'll talk on this podcast again quick summary of the sponsors athletic greens expressvpn and better help please check out the sponsors in the description to get a discount and to support this podcast as a side note let me say that the world of ufos and uaps unidentified aerial phenomena and aliens in general is foreign to me because of the high ratio of outlandish conspiracy theorists to actual hard evidence i'm a scientist first and foremost but an open-minded one often looking and thinking outside the box i'm often disheartened by the closed-mindedness of the scientific community and in equal part i'm disheartened by the lack of rigor and basic scientific inquiry and study on the part of the conspiracy theorists i believe there's a line somewhere between the two extremes that more inquisitive minds should walk i think we humans know very little about our world what's up there among the stars and the nature of reality and the nature of our very own minds the path to understanding can only be walked humbly the very idea that there is a possibility that david witnessed a piece of technology whether human made or alien made that moved in the way it did should be inspiring to every scientist and engineer on this earth there may be propulsion and energy systems yet to be discovered that once understood and mastered will put distant galaxies within reach of us human beings paradigm shifts in science and leaps and understanding can only happen i think if we open our eyes and allow ourselves to dream to think from first principles and remove the constraints and innovation placed on us by the scientific conventions and assumptions of prior generations if you enjoy this thing subscribe on youtube review the five stars on apple podcast follow on spotify support on patreon or connect with me on twitter at lex friedman as usual i'll do a few minutes of ads now and no ads in the middle more and more i'm trying to make these ad reads unique and interesting and less adzy more personal but i give you timestamps so you can skip but still please do check out the sponsors by clicking the links in the description it is honestly the best way to support this podcast this show is brought to you by athletic greens the all-in-one daily drink to support health and performance i drink it every day to make sure i'm not missing any of the nutrition i need now let me take a hard left turn and talk about fasting i fast often sometimes intermittent fasting of 16 hours and then an eight hour eating period of two meals sometimes 24 hours that's one dinner to the next i've been even considering doing a 48 or 72 hour fast that some people i look up to have done people who have done it tell me that outside of weight loss and the different health benefits it's a chance to meditate on the finiteness of life not eating somehow is a reminder that we're immortal that every day is precious i certainly experienced this with the 24-hour fast and i think it goes even deeper for the 48 72 and even week-long fasts anyway i always break my fast with athletic greens it's delicious refreshing just makes me feel good so go to athleticgreens.com lex to claim a special offer a free vitamin d for a year again go to uh threaded greens.com lex to get free stuff and to support this podcast this show is also sponsored by expressvpn get it at expressvpn.comspod to get a discount you probably know there's a show called the office that i fell in love with first with the british version with ricky gervais and then the american version with steve carell expressvpn lets you pretend your location is somewhere else choosing from nearly 100 different countries and then watch one of the nine totally different other versions of the office and other countries also it protects you when you do shady things on the internet that you shouldn't be doing like checking the website of this very podcast that for some reason was not available in russia for a long time not sure if it still is but if it isn't you can use expressvpn to access it i think of expressvpn like a pirate ship and regular vpn free life as a boring cruise from one place to another with no excitement in between choose wisely my friends again get it on any device at expressvpn.com flexbod to get an extra three months free and to support this podcast this show is sponsored by betterhelp spelled h-e-l-p help like you would try to spell if you were on a deserted island and trying to get an airplane to notice you check it out at betterhelp.com lex they figure out what you need and match you with a licensed professional therapist in under 48 hours you can communicate by text anytime and schedule weekly audio and video sessions now hard left turn let me talk about desert islands whatever you think of it i love the movie castaway with tom hanks and the idea of spending time on an island alone with potentially no hope the natural question is if i could what would i bring to this island the answer is complicated but let me pick one thing the first thing that popped into my crazy mind which is the introduction to algorithms book also called clrs for the first letters of the last name of its four authors i find algorithms beautiful like a little toolbox for a simple world inside computers when the real world outside is an impossible chaotic mess i would love pondering the puzzles in that book for months far away from human civilization anyway check out betterhelp betterhelp.comlex to get a discount and to support this podcast and now finally here's my conversation with david fraver you're a graduate of the navy fighter weapons school yeah i am better known as top gun so yeah let me let me ask the most ridiculous question how realistic is the movie top gun so it's funny we used to joke and a friend of mine who was a top cut instructor uh said this there's two things in the in the original top gun that are true that are very realistic one there is a place called top gun and number two is they do fly airplanes there other than that uh you know i went through in 97 uh class 497 and there's actually a log of every single person that's went through kind of like seal training you know there's a list so people because there's a lot of posers out there i was a navy seal no you weren't well i went to top gun you could actually go to top gun and matter of fact just to get a top gun patch the real patch uh you have to have gone there so a lot of the patches you see running around are not real there's the real ones are controlled the people that make them uh honor that and when you go in they look up your name if you want to get one they look up your name you just tell them they go okay here and i'll sell them to you if you are not on the list you ain't get no patch because it is it's it's it's a pretty big deal to go through but it's for me uh probably the best experiences of flying uh because everyone there is extremely competent it's it's very very challenging but it's what we all signed up to do so it's uh it's just the entire group that is when you want to be that you know that level uh you know where you go everyone really cares and everyone really wants to be good is it competitive like what was it in the movie or no it's when you go through it's you know it's if anything it's more of the students you know and then there's the instructor side and the instructor sides are really you know they're guys that you know they just chose to stay up and fallon and it's extremely uh difficult job uh because they have they have a very small tolerance for um not being good so they're briefs the guys when they give a lecture so let's just say there's a fighter employment lecture which is one of the hardest ones it takes about two days to give the fighter employment lecture um the guy who gives the lecture goes through multiple what they call a murder boards where he's scrutinized by his peers and he practices by the time they actually stand in front of a class they pretty much have their 250 powerpoint slides memorized and they don't even turn around they just click and they know them in order and they repeat the same thing over it's and it's standardized so they are extremely extremely standardized when you go through school and there's a reason for that because what they're doing is they're training so when you come out a top gun you're called a strike fighter weapons and tactics instructor okay so your sfti when you come out of that your job is to go usually to one of the weapons schools on the east or west coast and train the fleet squadrons and then you visit the squadrons and train and do upgrade rides and all that so there's a there's a reason that they are extremely particular when you go through the course it's it is literally one of the best things and it's not it's not a rank based thing because think oh navy you can come in as a you know like a an o4 lieutenant commander the lieutenants the hierarchy or at least to be i don't know how it is exactly today but i imagine it's the same the hierarchy is actually based on seniority at the school not necessarily ranked so when the the tactical decisions are made which are based on fact and and trying things out in the fallon ranges uh they set this the top x number of folks that have been there seniority wise is and i mean time wise uh are the ones that actually make the decision and when the door you may not agree but when the door opens and everyone comes out from the staff they all speak the same language it's and it has to be that way which is why the school has been so effective since it was founded so it's just a it's an incredible group of individuals so there's a bar of excellence that uh that the instructors demand well very much so and they're held to it so it's not a hey i'm now an instructor so i can do what i want there is a standard and they have to live up to that standard they have to and i mean every moment of every day uh so if they go someplace if they go from fallon and they come down and do they're called site visits where they come down and they'll come to la moore california which is where the west coast fighter wing is at for the navy and they go around and start flying sorties with the fleet squadrons to kind of pass on some of that knowledge that's that same high level of standard it's they can't just drop your guard because you wear the top gun patch and people know that and they wear light blue shirts so it's pretty easy to identify them when they're out there and you know and then everyone else who's been through the school including them have the patch on their sleeve so there's a standard that's expected when you come out of there so you're a navy pilot for 18 years yes can you briefly tell the story of your career as a pilot yeah um so you know first i was in i was enlisted i was a marine and then the marines actually sent me recommended me to go to the naval academy uh so it's always better to be lucky than good but i got to go to naval academy and i finished and i've had that dream to fly so when i got selected they've always dreamed of flying yeah since 1969 when i watched neil armstrong walk on the moon um i was at that point i asked my mom i remember watching it i was i was just prior to being five and i said wow yeah it's so cool mom and she said well you know they were all pilots and uh then at that point it was like i'm gonna be a pilot and if you knew me growing up because i was a little bit of a delinquent um people are just like yeah right i used to joke i'm gonna fly i'm gonna fly jets and i'm gonna drop bombs then and if people that knew me was a kid they'd be like yeah and they'd be like not a chance and then when i did i actually had a funny story and i'll get to it and i'll finish my career but i was at my cousin's wedding and uh we all grew up in the same neighborhood uh we kind of that italian side of the family that's how we grew up so it was my house right down the street is my cousin chad and right around the corner with my cousin ray and my aunts and uncles and stuff the guy two doors down from my and i was a paper boy in the neighborhoods they all knew me and uh i went to my cousin's wedding and he and mr race looks at me and he says david fravor i go mr race how are you doing you guys you fly jets top gun and all that i go yes sir i guess i figured he'd be in jail by now um it was kind of a to me it was a little bit of a badge of honor going on you know i kind of overcame that but uh what do you attribute that to so you i've heard you before and just now i'll say that uh it's better be it's better to be lucky than good and you you talk modestly about uh about just being lucky but if you were to describe your trajectory maybe in a way of advice like retrospectively uh how did you pull it off to be like to be truly a special person the easiest way is one never never take no don't let anyone put you down and say you can't do it or those i mean i knew i knew what i was capable of inside you know and if i really believe if you want something and you want to do something then you you can achieve it not in all cases like if i loved basketball and i really wanted to be in the nba there's a realism that says i'm five foot eight and i got like a really short vertical leap but i'm really not that good at basketball it's probably not ever going to happen no matter how hard i try and practice it's just the way it is or for me to be in the nfl i'm not fast you know i'm not that big it's just physically i'm incapable of doing that um but there's things that don't really tie to a true physical ability as far as size and strength but it's it's mental uh and i'm not saying you have to be a genius and super smart to be a fighter pilot matter of fact you don't it really comes down to the ability to think very quickly uh 80 solution is typically good enough because if you overthink it you're you're behind and then in an air-to-air fight that's what happens people try and overthink it and before you know it because it's happening so fast you don't have you can't get to the nth degree you know six decimal places eighty percent solution is good enough you build up a really strong gut for the solution just yeah i'm a big believer in 80 percent solution i love that if you get 80 percent you can go and then you can always adjust which is exactly what like if you're fighting in bfm the 80 solution is it's like a chess game but it's a really really fast chess game where you go i'm doing this and then i know that if i do a maneuver if he's going to counter it correctly he should do a if he doesn't do a he does some degree less like b c d and then i know how bad his his error is and then i capitalize so my might i don't have to be perfect you know i have to go i need to go to 47 degrees nose high if i just kind of get above 40 then i'm good and i can watch how he reacts and then i can adjust for that and you and you continually work that problem and you chip away because if you start neutral you're just basically chipping away and gaining advantage advantage advantage till eventually you know and if you're really you know fighting you know just guns only rear quarter where you got to get behind the guy kind of world war ii dogfighting type stuff um then it's it's literally it's a it's a very very fast chess game that happens at you know 400 knots 300 knots depends so to get to be one of the rare individuals that uh are able to do that he just had the dream and didn't take no for an answer well you know you know part of it is family you know uh my dad was uh i used to call him a fire ready aim guy you know he'd smack me and then ask me what i did wrong yeah good parenting um back then you know i i joke and and people look because you know at times it was kind of tough you know because he can be pretty demanding but on the other side you know i probably needed to be reined in a little bit at times uh but then everyone else my family you know my mom was really awesome when i was a kid uh my uh my grandfather who is a big big part of it my mom's dad uh who he taught me a lot and you have a question there that we'll talk about uh about him but uh huge huge influence very very positive and a lot of the stuff that i do today and decisions are based on things that he taught me um and uh you know and i figured you know it was the first funeral i ever went to and it was uh it was about three miles long and church was overfilling and people were out he was a beer delivery guy dead serious and you go there someone asked who died the pope um so a lot of people love them so back to back to my career yeah the first question because i'm getting down on rabbit hole uh no i when i was at the i was gonna i was gonna stay in the marines i really wanted to go man i love the core i think it's uh of all services it's that one everything is in a ball and they're very very professional and it was a great great organization to join uh but i went out to the nimitz on my uh freshman cruise after your freshman year at the naval academy you go out on a ship and you you're an enlisted person you get to experience that half when i already was enlisted so it's fine with me because it comes up a lot would you mind saying what the nimitz is what a ship is like yeah so nimitz is uh an aircraft carrier so it's uh four and a half acres of sovereign u.s territory that floats around the u.s oceans does it have weapons on it uh the air wing is really the weapons it does have defensive weapons but for the most part it's a giant moving airport is what it is so i was out there watching the airplanes land and take off and i'm like oh and the squadrons that were out there one of the squadrons was a vf-41 and a 14 squadron vf-84 an f-14 squadron and then a couple of a6 squadrons and we actually ended up part pairing up and hanging out with some of the a6 pilots and bn's so it was really a neat experience and i said i want to do that and the way to do it was to not to to go in the navy because there are marine squadrons that go out to the aircraft carriers but most of them are land-based you know to support the marines because they're that that unit that whole unit you know the marine corps is that one service has it all and so when i graduated and i got to uh you know i worked hard through primary and that's where you know i knew missy uh we were actually went through together missy cummings uh we went through primary together and then uh i went to kings we all selected the same time i went to kingsville there was another guy scott wiedemeyer uh the three of us so i went to kingsville scott went to beeville and missy went to meridian so the three of us that we had all went through we got we selected out of primary together we all ended up going jets and that's that's how besides from school i knew her at school too the long story i got done uh got winged it took me two years to the day from the time i graduated the naval academy until i got my wings and uh through some luck i ended up getting asics's on the west coast which is a side-by-side bomber so it's a pilot on the left seat and the bombardier navigators on the right seat it was built in the 60s it is all weather and it flies low at night it's got a terrain mapping radar how many i guess is that a good term to use fighter jets as a broad category for for the public yeah that's probably how many fighter jets are side by side like that that was uh in the navy that was the only one the air force the f-111 was a side-by-side but the navy it was the a6 and then there's the ea6b which is a derivative of that and now that those are all gone the a6b's just went away a few years ago and now the e18g growler is the replacement for the a6b there was never a replacement for the a6 that i flew it really became the f-18 which the a6 could go quite a bit further distance wise by fuel than the hornet and uh the horn is the f-18 yeah is there usually two people in the plane but they're usually like in front and behind in a the modern two-seaters yes uh but most of the tactical airplanes in the world today are single seat so you can see just one person one person with the exception of i'll probably someone will yell at me but really with the exception of the f-15e strike eagle and the f-18f super hornet which is the f is a two-seater and the g is also a two-seater but it's more of an electronic attack by say full-up fighter bomber so most of the time that you've flown in your like i said 18-year career is was it two-seater i was about half and half so i started off an a6 was a two-seater then i went to single-seat f-18s and i flew those all the way up until 2000 and let me think 2001 to the end of 2001 and then i shifted over and started flying the super hornets and i've flown both of those the ease and the s but i deployed when i had command of vfa41 i had the two seat they were f squadron so you eventually ended up commanding the the strike fighter squadron i love the the name the black aces what uh is there some parts of that journey that are amazing parts of it that are tough that kind of stand out to me it was one it was a huge honor uh and i got to serve with uh you know i got pulled up because the the guy who the the people that are exos because we fleet up you go from the number two guy to the number one guy so the exo becomes the ceo so the executive officer becomes the commanding officer so i had worked with uh now soon to be vice admiral weitzel uh was the he was commander whitefield at the time was the exo and he really wanted because he knew there was a little bit of a problem when the super hornets came into lamore lamore had been a single seat fighter community since the forever and now all of a sudden you've got the f-18f coming in which has the weapon systems operators in the back that are not pilots they're weapon systems operators and there's a difference and kenny is a weapon systems operator and uh kenny knew because of my a6 background that i have a switch that i can go one seat 2c1 c2c because when you fly 2c there's a lot of stuff that the pilot will offload and take the advantage of the weapon systems operator and it's not that one plus one equals two in that environment because it really there's a huge amount of capabilities that the single seat has and the autonomy that comes for the ability to make decisions quickly and how well the airplane flies but it does it does equal more than one and i would say that one plus one with two people as well as a minimum of 1.5 because you've got an extra head you've got extra eyes you've got someone that can monitor systems the airplanes can do two things at once i mean there's an incredible amount of capability that we add when we do that can we just pause on that just for me from like a human factors perspective and also an ai perspective what's how difficult uh so there's like when there's two people there's also a third person that's the ai part there's some level of automation like autopilot maybe that's correct maybe you can kind of talk about the psychology of like you said making decisions really quick how do you deal with another brain working with you and then also the automation is there interesting interplay that you get to learn and also as that change throughout your career i imagine it got gotten better in terms of the automation or perhaps not well i can tell you so that let's say there's a bunch of stars this is no this is this is good this is good and this is i'm enjoying this because now we actually get to talk about something other than a tic tac so um so let's start with the a6 the a6 was really an analog airplane that was built in the 60s all right and there's been studies done on the crew coordination which is the interaction between the pilot and the bombardier navigator so we would fly low at night in the mountains so i was stationed up in whidbey island washington so you've got the cascades and incredible uh amount of time and we would get in the simulators because unlike normally people think terrain following and there's the radars the 111 the b1 has a system like this but it'll the radar can see and it'll fly it basically flies a straight line so it goes up and over mountains and back down and up and over mountains where the a6 was really manual so you do this low-level routes where you're gonna you're gonna fly in the mountains at night you're gonna be at you know 500 to 1000 feet above the ground ripping through like fog layers because you don't need to see outside you're you're literally flying a little tv screen and a radar what are you looking at most of the time so you just as a screen it's this really primitive if you look at it now what we did you'd think wow that was crazy but it was really fun so is it similar to like the flair stuff is that is no are you is it this thing is totally radar based now the airplane had a flear ball it's a target recognition and multi-sensor it's called a tram um you're looking at like basically like dots of hard objects no actually what it is is the the bombardier navigator had a radar and he was getting raw feed off of a pulse radar in front okay so it's just basically mapping the mountain so if you look at a mountain on a radar and you're coming up on it the front side is going to be it's going to give you a really bright return and on the back side it's just going to be a giant shadow because you can't see on the other side so the bomb of your navigators would do that and we they would have charts and they could shade their charts knowing that hey if we turn a little bit left here we can get in this valley we can sneak up this valley and then go around the back side of the mountain which is what the airplane would do and so and sorry to interrupt i'm going to just keep asking dumb questions i apologize but the pilot can you can you at a high level say what the pilot does versus the bomb bombardier uh so you're you're actually just control i'm flying the jet i have the throttles the stick and i have a uh it's about a probably a four inch or six inch wide by maybe four inches five inches high it looks like it's literally a crt that's how old it is a crt screen and what it would do what the radar would do is the the the bombardier navigator is looking at his radar and he's looking out about 12 and a half miles in front of the airplane so he has the range really scoped down because the radar can see a lot further he's looking at about 12 and a half miles when we're in the terrain mode where we're dodging mountains and stuff and what the pilot has is there's they're called range bins and there's eight of them so the very far range bin is the 12 and a half mile you know and the closest range been it's a thing and it'll be like between like a half a mile and or a quarter mile to three quarters of a mile the next one might be three quarters of a mile to two miles and then it just keeps going out like that so if there's a mountain for let's say we're on a flat plain and there's a mountain out in the distance at 15 miles and we we're just driving right at it so when we get to the point where it hits 12 and a half miles where the radar is going to see it on his scope my 12th my range bin for that would pop up and it would show like a big bump like a mountain and then as i got closer to it the next arrangement would pop up and show it and i could see that that bump was moving towards me and then if i turned a little bit you know to go over here i'd see the mountain go over to the right hand side and i could do that but it wasn't like a video game it was it's literally like if you think of the original ataris yeah but you build up i imagine that you start to get uh a really deep sense of like the actual three 3d environment based on that little atari's it's solid you're exactly right and you have to you have to train so there's been studies a matter of fact a lot of the basis and people probably argue with me but it's true there were studies done watching asics crews in our simulators we called it the wist the weapon systems trainer and it was not even a motion it just kind of sat there and you just you could fly these things they had terrain that they would inject into the system uh but the crew coordination so you get so my first uh my first fleet bombardier navigator who who i'll name him his name's crusado uh he's uh works at apple uh pretty high up bro mit grad i think computer engineering he's scary smart so chris could really work and matter of fact all the guys that flew us so there's another guy matt who also worked at apple who's now at sap we did our first night traps together the bond between us i mean it's one of those things that you just you're never going to forget but chris and i when we started flying together we were actually the most junior crew in the squadron uh we'd spent a lot of time training and and and chris was amazing at how he could work the system uh one because he was extremely brilliant and he was had that inquisitive mind of oh we could do all these different things and there's all these degradation modes but we spent a lot of time to see how good we could actually get because and it's you almost talk in partial so as the bn is looking at his radar scope chris would say i've got rising terrain that's just what they say showing rising terrain at 12 miles and i'd see the little bump and i'd say got it this is going to go to your question on the autonomy and how you work with two heads yes so when you first get together the interaction it's it's it's almost like you have to rehearse it you have to know and you talk in full senses the more and more we fly together chris could go i'm showing and he'd get like rising out and before he finished i'd say i've got it so you end up starting to talk in partials because i have to trust him like i mean there can be no i can have no doubt that he knows how to do his job because i'm literally looking at this little scope that's not giving me this continuous picture of that mountain moving remember the mountain's here and then it's going to pop up here and then it's going to pop up here because there's gaps in the coverage on how the system was set up remember it's an analog system to where he is telling me like i can't see all the way to the left and he he's got a wider scope on the radar but my screen doesn't show that so he's telling me start a left turn how to avoid a hard turn you know and we would do that so my channel this is all happening quick very quick well you're doing we we would typically fly between 420 and 480 knots of ground 70 miles an hour uh well 427 miles a minute okay or eight months between seven and eight miles a minute is what you're flying as fast at night i mean i broke out of clouds i mean i remember him and i flying we're on it's the ir it's called an ir route uh an instrument route that's low they're all around the country there's ir344 that we used to fly which would coast in off of or you'd fly from the land you go out over the ocean turn around and then you could practice actually coming in on a coastline and we were flying and we ended up in the clouds keep in mind we're between 500 and 1000 feet in the mountains and we're in the clouds like you can't see anything and it had to turn off our red lights that flash you know they're called the anti-collision lights because it was reflecting off the clouds and it starts to bother you just gets annoying so i turned it off and we we're flying we're flying we're flying we break out of that coastal marine layer and poof we break out and it's it's a decent night and this is right by mount st helens this is kind of where we're coming in so we're coming in from the east and we're just north of mount st helens is where the route goes and you look up you know because you can kind of see the silhouette of this mountain that's right next to you but you're flying along you're just like you know you gotta trust and you can see houses you can see the lights they're above you we're literally below people's houses flying down these valleys and stuff so just incredible experience so when you take that and then you move into an f-18f so now we're into modern technology that was actually built in this century uh uh and you're flying so now you know the wizzo is behind us and we're not doing those night low levels but that same type of crew coordination that has to happen because what you're doing is you're sharing the load so most of the communications that go out of the airplane the wizzo does all the talk and he's got actually he uses the feet that's the weapon systems operator in the back of an f-18f so he's going to run well the radar kind of runs itself now but we have a situational awareness display and it's it's linked to all the other errors just like curiosity what's the situational awareness display because that term comes up a lot think of it as uh think of it as a god's eye view so if you have a the back of the super hornet has well the block twos has about an eight by ten display for the wizzos um that they can look at the pilots is smaller it's down between us it's a six by six between his legs and they're they're getting ready to redesign that boeing is but when you look it'd be like if you put your airplane and you're looking down so all the stuff like if your radar seeing bad guys out in front of you be like looking down going oh i'm right here and now there's bad guys out here and my wingman is over here and it shows everything it's just like it gives you you can look at that display and go oh okay i can see where everything's at i can see if one guy's trying to target another guy it shows you all this it's an incredible amount of knowledge that comes up for the crews to maintain uh the the overall picture of what's going on big picture sense of what's going on because it's happening so fast and this is with that autonomy piece this is the third brain so we're all looking at it and the third brain is doing fusion it's pulling stuff together going oh this is all this guy this is this guy this this guy it's sending it out through the link so all the airplanes are talking to each other through this digital network you know that we don't even see it just says that airplane says hey i'm over here and it tells us and we go oh he's right there and then we can go he's his airplane says oh i'm looking at this airplane this bad guy and it shows us oh he's he's over there and he's looking at this guy i mean it's an incredible amount of uh visual intake because your eye you can hear a lot but when you look down at stuff it's uh you know you can solve the picture really quick the third brain is doing the sensor fusion uh the integration of the different sensors and gives you a big picture view what about the control like is there and i apologize as if this is a dumb question but you know people use the high level term of autopilot how much is there let's use a loose term of ai how much automation is there how much ai is there in helping you control there um the ai piece would be more of a control loop because the digital flight controls so the airplane actually they had to make the airplane easier to fly and when i say easy it's relative because people go i could do it because i did it on flight sim it's real life is a lot different in flight sim you have no apparent fear of death you'll do things in simulator that you would never do in real life but uh the the autonomy in the airplane to allow you to manage i mean because you think about it you've got a radar that's feeding you data you've got a targeting pod that's feeding you data all that stuff is hooked to your head because you've got a joint helmet mounted queuing system on that basically maps the magnetic field in the cockpit so it can tell where your heads at looking so if i turn my head to the right the radar will actually look to the right the targeting flare will look to the right and oh by the way the backseater has a helmet on too so he can look to the left and he can do things so depending on what sensor he's controlling so if he's got control of the targeting pod and he looks left the targeting pod looks left but if i have something where i want to lock a guy up that i don't see that maybe the radar didn't see but i can get over and now point the radar you know get the because it's a it's a phase array radar now it doesn't really scan uh there's there's all kinds of cool stuff that uh that technology uh brings because if you just if you went back 30 years and said hey or 40 years ago and said hey we're gonna have this helmet and you're gonna be able to slew everything to your head and i don't mean a mechanical setup but i mean literally you're just gonna map magnetic resonance and go oh look and then i can i can literally slew my sensors this fast and then mash a button and transfer you know high quality coordinates from a system into a joint you know a jdam which is a joint direct attack munition that is the gps bombs that you see all the time and then let that thing fly and i'm i'm solving this problem in seconds by minutes or hey i got it we're gonna have to menstruate coordinates and you know you bring back the data and then they do all the targeting for it and then they send another group out to get it instead of all that now it's that fast so there's a okay i mean we probably don't have enough time to talk about the beautiful fusion of mines that happens when two people are flying controlling the plane but at a high level this is a really interesting question for people who don't know what they're talking about like me which is what is the difference between a human being and an ai system like what can what is the ceiling of a current ai technology for controlling the plane like how much does the human contribute uh is it possible to have automated flight for example like what is the hardest part about flying that a human does expertly that an ai system cannot in warfare situations in in flying a fighter jet lane so i would say systems are usually black and white when you write the algorithm for an ai system it's it's it's it's really it's basically you're taking thought and turning it into a giant math problem is really what you're doing right so you've got this logical math problem math problems are there's there's there's a line it says i can or i can't and it's a it's a very finite line you know but you can go up to the line where a human we all have gray areas where we go maybe yeah i'll try it um so he just can operate within that gray so if you took if you take an airplane and say and i'll just take a hornet for a while a super horn it doesn't matter any airplane and you go here is the flight performance model of the airplane so if you know an uh an em diagram is the energy so it basically says the airplane can fly as slow as this it can go as fast as this it can pull this many g's force of gravity you know so one two three four five six seven and then based on the airfoil design and everything else and how it can pull here's how it's going to fly you know because it's really physics based well if you depending on how you write the ai but typically ai you don't want the airplane to leave controlled flight right you want to maintain it so that it is flying in a controlled envelope or there are times and you can go back to world war one where people intentionally departed the airplane from controlled flight in order to obtain an advantage which is that's where the human goes can i do this i know it's outside of where i would normally go but i can do that so you can do some crazy things now especially since the flight control logic in modern airplanes with digital flight controls they're extremely forgiving so you can literally i've done things in super hornets that literally even as a pilot inside the airplane you're just like wow i cannot believe it just did that like it'll flop ends which defies most logic and i guess you know in a way you could probably program it but i still think that when you get to the edges that may or may not give you an advantage um there are things that a human can will do that ai won't and i don't think we've got to the point because how do you how do you map illogical solutions you know most ai is logical it's based on some type of premise when you write the algorithm to control it um there's bounds yeah there's this giant mess like you said the difference between the simulator and real life also gets at that somehow that there is uh somehow the the fear of death all of that beautiful mess comes into play like is there a comment you can make on commercial flight like with sully landing uh that plane famously uh versus the simulator all of those discussions is there some well it's it's very it's very similar what i was talking about earlier with the a6 so one is when you're flying with a crew uh their standardization so you gotta remember when sully flew when his first officer that's the co-pilot showed up you know first time they met and this happens all the time in the commercial world you know there's six seven thousand pilots at united airlines you know your chance of flying with the same guy all the time is slim and none we're in the navy we were crude so i had a primary and a secondary wizzo that flew with me for a while for months oh hell yeah for like all of the deployment so because you want to use you have to trust all of those things it increases the capability airplane it's not to say we can't swap out but for true effectiveness especially in very complex missions like a forward air controller we're in the air actually controlling ground assets and supporting ground troops if you're in a high threat area which is crazy busy you have to you have to be melded when you do that you have to have trained to do that job otherwise you're going to be ineffective so when you get to the commercial world and i've got tons of friends at fly commercial there is a standardization like we know that at this point i'm going to put this switch you're going to do that and everyone they know their rules captain's going to do this first officer's going to do this and they know that when the emergency breaks out so in sully's case when they take the birds and they know they've got a problem and if you've listened to the cockpit recordings of him the two of them talking you know you gotta remember they're talking to each other when you hear the full tapes but they're also talking to the air traffic controllers in the new york area and it's like we got a bird strike and the first officer already knows hey silence the alarm they silence the alarm the first officer is pulling out the book he's going through the procedures while sully's actually flying the airplane knowing that they've lost their motors and you got to think his decision process like they're trying to get him to go into an airport into new jersey and he realizes not happening we're going to put this thing and he made a decision soon enough so that he could prepare everyone on the airplane that he was going to put this thing in the hudson river and he did it flawlessly i mean every single person walked away from that wreck the only thing that didn't survive was the airplane you know and it got fished out of the hudson but um what is it about those human decisions he had to make is that something you put into words or is that just deep down some instinct that you develop as a pilot over time it's when we when you train uh you know an aviation is a self-cleaning oven so if you make bad decisions you're you know and the list is long and distinguished of those who have died by making bad decisions oh man um so when you look at what he did or the way we train because the the commercial industry and the navy and the air force for all that we have what's called we have emergency procedures that we have to know like engines on fire the first three steps you just have to know what they are right so they know the airline uh same type you know they go hey i know this is they pull the book out because the airplanes are designed they're built to have some time but there's a point where you have to make a decision and you can't second-guess it so when he decided i'm putting this in the hudson river he couldn't all of a sudden halfway through it go well maybe i can get over to that airport he he looked he made a quick assessment this is that 80 solution where you go these are not i'm you know it's like a multiple choice test when you go oh my god i don't really know the answer but i know a and d are wrong yeah gone so the jersey airport and going back to laguardia gone yeah so what's my next option well the hudson river's there and that's probably looking pretty good or what is my other one can i get a restart on the the motors and then if i can get a restart now can i take it someplace else he had to make really really fast decisions and then once they as they they go that 80 solution you realize all right i'm going into the hudson there's the 80 percent get the book out let's see if we can get an error star because if you listen to the tapes they're trying to get it air started the closer he gets to the water the more he's going i'm ditching the airplane so the original decision to this is my best option right now this is where i'm going and you start eliminating anything that could possibly change the events which they tried to do and then he gets to that last minute says we're going in the water they change the plan they secure the airplane they do exactly what they're doing and he does that basically flawless landing on the on the hudson but you got to remember every s it's every six months for commercial they go back and they do research in the airplane in the simulator where they train to the airplane being broken you just lost a motor you just lost another motor so they go through this extensive training you know and all these and it's you know you know we used to refer to it in the navy as the pain cave where you're gonna get in because you know that when you get in for your check ride in a simulator that the airplane is going to break you're going to lose hydra and it's sometimes there a problem like oh i just lost this hydraulic system but i'm having an issue on the other motor well if i shut down this motor and i've got a hydraulics you know because there's two hydraulic systems one on each motor well if i've got an issue with the left motor hydraulic system and my right motor is starting to give me indications do i want to shut the right motor down because that's going to kill my hydraulic system that's good and now i'm flying on a good motor with a bad hydraulic system and without hydraulics the airplane won't fly so they it's a really they're challenging problems that you have to think through in real time and of course the weather's never good it's always dark it's always crappy you're going to break out it i mean it's just all this stuff gets compiled on top of you and it's intended to increase the level of stress because when things happen like in sully's case we like to joke it's going to stem power you know where the functional part of your brain shuts down and you are literally on instinct like an animal well if you've trained so much that that is the instinctive reaction that you're going to have when the main part of your your your cognitive abilities start to shut down your you're running that instinct is ingrained so much into you that you know exactly what to do and that's literally how it happens so there's no how do i put it fear of death like in sully's case do you think he was at all ever thinking about the fact if his decision is wrong a lot of people are going to die you know i can't speak for him but i would say there was so much going on in the cockpit in that time his his mindset was probably i can do this i'm trained i'm going to do the procedures i've practiced this before i've done these things and you know i'm assuming that in his mindset because i never thought about when things were really bad you know if you're having problems with the airplane that you know that i was going to mort you know and and planted into the ground it was always you know maybe it's an ego thing where you think i can do this i mean so you never have you experienced fear during flight like um i mean one one way who just offline mentioning mike tyson he talked about like uh as he's uh walking up to the ring he's like he starts out basically in fear and uh yeah worried about how things are going to go i mean it's purely to put in towards his fear but as he gets closer and closer to the ring is the confidence grows and grows until the ego basically takes over to where you think there's no way anybody could uh defeat me so like that's that's his experience of overcoming fear but do you uh did you experience any
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