The Science of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena I NOVA Now
HQoKcK1hvF4 • 2021-07-23
Transcript preview
Open
Kind: captions Language: en hey everyone who out there is into aliens well this earthling sitting right here certainly is which is why in late june i was totally psyched when the pentagon released its nine page report on unidentified aerial phenomena or uap formerly known as ufos and it was invading our news cycle the report provides an assessment of over 140 ufo sightings between 2004 and this year a number of which involve navy personnel the report comes after the declassification of a few videos showing mysterious sightings and while it doesn't mention extraterrestrial links to these events it says there's too little information quote to allow for detailed trend or pattern analysis so we have to ponder have explorers from elsewhere in the universe been visiting us and what can science tell us about what we might be seeing in the sky this is nova now where we probe for answers behind the headlines join us i'm alok patel [Music] [Applause] some videos that have circulated in the news and social media show black and white images of what a pilot would see during flight clouds water but then you see some kind of blobs or tic tacs because they look like tiny candy that seem to make unusual movement patterns if truth is what you are after you don't have to do belief you can do confirm there are rigorous processes for getting there hakeem olu shayi is an astrophysicist at george mason university he's been space science education lead for nasa's science mission directorate i wanted to get his reaction to the release of that uap assessment okay so now we can apply some rigorous analysis and figure out what's going on i've completely given up on the extraterrestrial ufo flying around earth's atmosphere notion i find that to be ridiculous on a lot of levels if there's an unknown if there's a mystery oh i love it there's a problem to be solved love it but filling in the blank with my favorite bias or make-believe is not the way i approach things to fill in the blank with with what i think it is to allow the data to tell me the story but you know research is in the realm of the unknown so there's always going to be little deviations but if you take one step back you'll see that you know what we call our concordance you know all the scientists agree that doesn't mean that we all agree on a lie when i was looking at the uap i sincerely wanted to believe that this was something coming from another planet another world finally and you know i'm reading this quote right now and it says that with the conclusion that it was probably a physical object because most of them were quote registered across multiple sensors to include radar infrared electro-optical weapon seekers and visual observation so when we have that kind of physical data what makes the uap so unusual what those pilots were saying did that conform or contradict our understanding of physics yeah our approach to data is to distrust everything from the outset human perception is not reliable so what we have to do is we have to make reliable rigorous measurements from the data and every time you make a measurement there are uncertainties associated with making those measurements understand what i'm trying to figure out here you have a moving object observed from a moving object that's carrying a moving camera lots of movement that's a lot of movement you're just looking at its position relative to background stuff so it's tough to disentangle all of that and so you can have one perception of oh my god look at that acceleration speed but once you do a rigorous analysis you find that it's not as extreme as maybe you thought and so until we go down those steps it's hard to draw conclusions but there is what is likely and what's not likely of the 144 uap reports mentioned in the document only one of the unidentified aerial phenomena was identified and it was a large deflating balloon i'm over here wondering about the other if i see anything that's human-like at all i'm like it's human name something else that you know of that's doing what humans do building craft and flying around and if you're from another planet what are the chances that you're doing what humans do it's very small i'm guessing yeah for someone like me to the untrained eye it was the combination of wanting to believe and also the fact that these pilots were like i can't say their exact quote because i'll get kicked off the podcast but they were saying what the explicit is that and then you know we need the perspective of scientists like yourself to say everyone cool your jet so in your experience then what are some of the usual bodies that we're used to seeing in the skies and then normal things out there that people may mistake for uaps because we're just not trained to see that type of pattern that type of blob if you will right venus every year you know every time i'm associated with an observatory going back to the 90s when venus is the evening star people called the observatory said you see this light in the sky it's following us and people would be in a darn near or panic sometimes because they'll call from their car and so if something is sufficiently far away no matter where you go you're gonna see it and it happens year after year after year venus is the ufo you know but if you check out the unclassified intelligence document what i find interesting is that the remaining unexplained are are put in these five categories including airborne clutter birds balloons things natural atmospheric phenomena like ice crystals or usg or industry developmental programs which are classified which is you know i can see a conspiracy theory saying that foreign adversary systems like some chinese or russian something or an other bin yeah now i find it kind of implausible to think that there could be so many different possibilities for this when we should be able to just look at it and say that's what it is you would think right with all the cameras around and all we get is tic tacs and blobs right it's about being skeptical you know when we write scientific papers you need to be able to reproduce my experiment you need to have access to the same data so the data that you're getting is not your data you're getting it from somebody else but someone has to do an independent analysis and it has to be rigorous for me it remains an unknown don't be so damn trusting and don't fill in the blank but scientists can be skeptical of these uaps and still consider the possibility of there being life elsewhere in the universe do i think it's probable and likely i do absolutely and the biggest piece of evidence is how quickly we find evidence for life in earth's fossil record [Music] there is irrefutable evidence going back 3.8 billion years so as early as we can look in the fossil record for life we find it here on earth and it is the only planet we study closely so that says to me that this process gets started really quickly when the conditions are right now really quickly includes hundreds of millions of years so you know that's a different time scale of quickly but we use earth as a guide to finding life on other worlds we're going to come up with ideas like the habitable zone the habitable zone is the orbital region around a star in which an earth-like planet can have liquid water on its surface because the temperature is just right and possibly support life right which is restrictive for where life could possibly be and when we see other planets or i see a headline about proxima b and they're like hey that is an earth-like planet and it is close enough to this star to possibly have the condition to bring life and that is based on everything we have learned on our planet of how life may have originated and so what i'm gathering you're saying is that when we talk about life in the universe that's based on assumptions that we've made here about how life starts and so that's why you say it's restrictive am i correct and saying almost you just keyed in on the key distinction and that is the difference between how life exists today on earth versus how life starts today we have a web of life that depends ultimately on sunlight and animals that use oxygen chemistry for metabolism but what the astrobiologists and biologists have realized is that when life got started it was in the absence of oxygen oxygen was poisonous to this early life so now you don't need a habitable zone to get life started all you need is liquids the right thermodynamics and the right stuff available and so that can be under the ice of enceladus europa on titan's lakes enceladus and europa are icy moons of saturn and jupiter respectively and titan is another one of saturn's moons with pools of liquid methane on its surface who knows right so that's the idea there right is that life gets started in the absence of oxygen completely the opposite of what life looks like today on earth so that makes sense to me and that makes me even more convinced on my theories that there has to be extraterrestrial life somewhere oh absolutely now there's life and there's life okay so if you look at earth it's not until you get to the ediacaran period right before the cambrian explosion that you start seeing you know large multicellular life and some diversification of life the ediacaran period spans 635 million years ago to 541 million years ago a time period when the planet transitioned from microscopic organisms to a cambrian world swarming with animals so really you're talking about almost 4 billion years of setting the stage for multicellular life so what this says to me about probabilities about life in the universe is that chances are it's everywhere there's liquids now when you have the rare situation that your life is able to find more energetic pathways like life here on earth did it learn to to perform photosynthesis and it learned to utilize oxygen then that's one energetic pathway that led to us you know perhaps there are others if you find those pathways that is where a habitable zone really stands out because sunlight is energy and it's all about energy you know think about it this way if you live on venus you don't know that stars exist because the atmosphere is just so damn thick so having a surface that's bathed in sunlight that's bathed in starlight that's intense enough to support life is not something that you can guarantee that's going to be rare even if you are the right distance your atmosphere isn't necessarily going to be right and that's what we see with venus earth and mars right only earth turned out to be earth this is this is trippy i feel so fortunate to be an organism right now but you should be your concentrated energy man that's what i see life as these days just concentrated energy figuratively and literally yeah you know i understand what you're saying when 300 million years is probably quick relative to what we know about universe processes yeah but in terms of probability that there was intelligent extraterrestrial life out there in your opinion it's not probable that they would be in a humanoid flying object like if we saw uap it's not probable that that life somewhere out there also has a similar understanding of physics with the same type of jet propulsion technology or whatever to create a ufo we always assume that aliens are going to be way more advanced than we are at this point i'm thinking maybe we are the advanced aliens team human yeah i don't consider humans to be the only intelligent species on earth personally once you know you're you you're intelligent right but now going from intelligence to technological advanced technology that's another major leap of all the species we've had on earth we're the only ones who've done that we've had species use simple technology but doing what we've done oh that is something i think is incredibly rare i'm so proud to be a human but also enlightened right now because i never thought of it that way because you know as you're mentioning this i i brought up proxima b earlier yeah people see that they're like oh it's it's earth-like it's still four point what 4.3 light years away which means whatever intelligent life would have to be able to do something that we cannot do richard branson is not going to light year no anytime soon no one's pulling this off when you look at it from like a universal perspective all of our space travel is damn near a joke right because space is vast how far are we going you know that's like taking one step in your living room it's like i've explored america you know for me the question is does life exist in the universe does intelligent life exist in the universe does technological life exist in the universe yes it does i've observed it here on earth so yes it does exist in the universe which means that it will exist elsewhere in the universe the statement is there are levels to this and if you look at the four and a half billion year history of earth you can see the levels because for the first four billion years there were no bears pooping in the woods right so there's a lot of coincidences that go into becoming us ever since the former soviet union launched sputnik space travel has redefined what humankind thought was possible but how far can we really go after the break we talked to someone who takes our technological intelligence to its interstellar limit we're getting signals from mro tango delta touchdown confirmed perseverance faithfully on the surface of mars ready to begin seeking the sand of past life if we find life on mars it will be like the algae it won't have binoculars and self-awareness adam stelzner was chief engineer of the perseverance rover and the mars 2020 project the nasa mission that landed the rover on mars in february of this year with the goal of seeking signs of ancient life and collecting samples of rock and soil he's also the chief engineer of the mars sample return which is what's going to hopefully bring all that martian material back to earth if the life on mars is advanced enough to perceive things like motion we would definitely look like a ufo because we come ripping in using a set of technologies that have yet to show up to the surface of mars it would look like a dream or a ghost or something stelzner also led the team that developed the sky crane landing system for the curiosity rover which landed on mars in 2012 but way before that oh and before that i was a wannabe rock and roller back in 1984 21 year old adam was playing bass for a rock band in the bay area heading to a gig one night there was a big beautiful constellation over the east but on his way back he had a cosmic revelation and as i was driving home after the show it was over the west and i was like whoa the stars are moving stelzner was looking at the constellation of orion which made him curious about the stars so we signed up for courses in astronomy and physics at the local community college i was totally blown away by the idea that there are some simple laws that govern the way our universe works then i just got into physics and the application the creative application of physics which is the art of engineering it's one of the beautiful things about science it's an endeavor to discover the truth it's an endeavor to understand our universe and so very very um woven into that act is appreciating the partial nature of our understanding of the universe though we know that we don't know all the laws of physics there are poor zones of our universe that we can't quite understand and explicitly describe today he says there is science to support the possibility of life beyond earth through the kepler mission and our observations of the solar system and our galaxy we've come to realize that many many more stars than we thought have planets around them and many many of those planets are in an area where liquid water would be capable of existing and our tendency would be that those could be places where life as we understand here on earth could flourish there's a great equation called the drake equation and it basically goes like you take the number of stars and you multiply it by the probability that there's a planet around a star and then by the probability that there's life formed or in that planet and as long as you put anything close to a good estimate for the number of stars you end up with certainty that there must be life out there because there are hundreds of trillions of stars and yet why haven't we heard from them why hello you know time we've only been talking and emitting uh electromagnetic radiation that would tell the universe that were pier for maybe 100 years 50 years uh and so that has to go some distance before it gets there and comes back so if there aren't some laws of physics to be learned that change your understanding you know we won't be talking to folks much out there in the universe because it takes thousands of years for the message to get there when the office of the director of national intelligence released that document about the unidentified aerial phenomenon or as a lot of us saw it a ufo over american airspace what was your gut reaction what was the first thing you thought when you saw and heard that report well some of the things are very hard to explain especially where there's multiple sightings especially when there's multiple methods of detection like pilots are seeing them and they're being picked up by radar and tracked by some of the devices on these aircraft but still skeptical i mean still skeptical that some intelligent entity capable of the biggest hardest deal is is crossing the distance from wherever they are to to here you know would be so foolish just to let us see them if they didn't want to be seen so you know you as an expert of as you worded it of identified flying objects what is it about the motion of some of these that makes them so fascinating is there is there something particular that they do or don't do look i'm laying down a big caveat right um so at we've all been driving our car and looked at an airplane that seemed to be floating in air and not moving it's just sitting there in the sky well that's because your perception of how far it is from you puts it in a place where it looks like it's not moving but it really is in fact moving now that said some of these observations seem to not be that kind of a thing stelzner says it's telling that the report didn't dismiss these observations as a fluke of human perception the motions seem to be associated with forces that would if they were here on earth move air around or need to have wings or need to have rocket plumes or need to have some other of the tools that we use to provide forces in such a way and we see none of the telltale signs that we would expect from ways that we would apply such forces or generate such power and energy what about that is going against our understanding of law of physics is there something about this that you're like like what exactly is puzzling about it um it's mostly what the pilots are discussing it's rotated and they are amazed at the capacity of this apparent object to move against the very strong winds and move it as as it is the vehicle's um radar or targeting system does pick up this object and it's moving above the water and so we know it can't be too far away we have a targeting system that has just picked up an object to do that it needed to know where that object was in distance from it to and we have data about how far the thing is away so i don't think that they all are dismissible from a perception perspective richard branson just uh flew to the edge of space off in new mexico a couple of days ago somebody has a license with the faa to conduct an experiment or fly certain fast in certain area and that's not generally known to everybody and somebody else sees their rocket ship go rip and buy and they say what the heck we develop here in this country missiles that go very very fast call them hypersonic right they go faster than mach 3 mach 4. you know if you happen to see one of those from us from our nation or from some other nation being tested you would be very surprised and if you didn't you know know that was going on and you're a pilot you'd be freaking out are there any specific experimental aircrafts that you think people could see up there and wouldn't move in a way the average person would understand the us make a couple of fighter planes that use thrust vectoring that means out of the back end of the engine the nozzles can move and the f-22 is a supersonic fighter aircraft we've been making them for maybe 20 years it will do all sorts of things that totally defy your intuition it's a pointy fast looking thing and it's sitting up on its tail and then it moves forward and starts flying the aerodynamic surfaces would essentially be stalling it defies your intuition your physical understanding of how aircraft work mostly because you've looked at a lot of aircraft in your lives all of us have none of which had thrust vector control if the government were working on another wild aircraft that could do unexpected things in the sky would they tell us not necessarily in the 1950s they secretly tested u2 spy planes in nevada leading to years of supposed ufo sightings absolutely if the federal government were doing something special there might be all sorts of people certainly citizens and maybe even other folks in the government that don't know about it another category in the report is other well in that bin of other this is where the classic ufo the classic flying saucer would find itself in that taxonomy i personally don't spend too much time because if it's a flying saucer from another planet well i'm not going to worry about it because the fact that they got here they way so far ahead of us that if they want to come and eat our brains or enslave us our brains will be eaten and we will be enslaved they've got a huge upper hand if there are creatures that live in in other parts of the universe which i do definitely believe the mathematics tells us there are so these are vast distances you know if human beings using the technology that we all the laws of physics that we understand today were to try and go from here to the nearest star it would take generations of human beings living in a spacecraft successfully think about how long the longest most stable nation has existed on the surface of earth and a group of humans would have to be more stable and exist for a longer period of time in a spacecraft to make it to the next star and so if another species has figured out how to cross that distance in an appreciably shorter time they've got crazy technology there's a set of laws of the universe a set of behaviors of the physical universe that we have yet to understand and that maybe when we unlock that which might be tomorrow it might be in a hundred years we may never get there that we might find a universe filled with a chorus of conversations between other intelligent species that are happening my sense is that uh if these ever were or ever are other entities from another place they're leveraging a set of laws of physics that we have not discovered yet [Music] nova now is a production of gbh and prx it's produced by terence bernardo ari daniel joslyn gonzalez isabel hibbard sandra lopez monsalve and rosalind tordesillas julia court and chris schmidt are the co-executive producers of nova sookie bennett is senior digital editor christina manan is associate researcher robin casimir is science editor and devon robbins is managing producer of podcasts at gbh our theme music is by the dj with other worldly astronomical turntable talent dj kid koala i'm alopatel we'll be back in two weeks which is enough time for you to try and find a uap and decide if it's a foreign government spy plane a cloud formation a missile test venus a massive balloon ice crystals a secret u.s military experiment or maybe just maybe it's an alien spaceship coming to say what's up [Music] gbh
Resume
Categories