Transcript
a8QHovkkMZw • "Trump Is Completely Falling Apart! " - Migrant Crisis, Israel-Palestine & Putin | David Pakman
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Kind: captions Language: en what's up guys Tom Bilu here and this week we're doing something a little bit different with the election right around the corner I wanted to do something special and really cut through the noise so we're bringing in some of the sharpest Minds from both sides of the aisle to answer two simple questions in addition to our normal robust interview what I want to capture with these interviews are the values and beliefs that drive my guests voting choices and then give them a chance to tell you why you should vote the same way each guest is going to to break down the reasoning and make their case the goal here is simple to help you guys think for yourselves using the same first principles thinking that all of us should rely on no BS just straight talk with that let's kick things off with our first guest David Pac-Man how would you feel very much out of curiosity how would you feel if Trump wins this election by a landslide uh how would I feel I mean how how honest do you want me to be as honest as you're prepared to be if if Trump wins this election by a landslide I'm going to have from the standpoint of my business a very very good four years and uh I know that some people will hear that they will say David how can that be your reaction when it will be dystopian in so many ways well I can't control that right I mean I I I don't think Trump will win in a landslide I think either Trump loses the popular vote and wins the electoral vote by a little bit or Harris wins in a landslide I I think that those are the that's the spectrum of outcomes I think but no I mean I think there will be tens of millions of people so horrified that they will rightly say I want to find a community that I can identify with that matches my values Etc and I think Progressive Independent Media will absolutely explode that's my that's my prediction would that be an indication of something that is more broken in the country than you previous thought or no it's just let's focus on the good my genuine belief is that if you sit me down with Trump voters if I start talking to them and learning more about them the vast majority have misidentified that a trump presidency would be good for them I I think that there's a lot of people that are just confused and I think that if Trump wins by a landslide it can we could have multiple things going on at once I think it will have been a failure by the Harris uh uh campaign there's no doubt you can't just say Trump won by a landslide even though kamla Harris did everything perfectly just because people are dumb I that that I don't think that that would be true if you can't defeat this guy after Joe Biden defeated him in 2020 and then you know you find out he's stacking classified documents around his toilet and he's been convicted on 34 counts and he was found you know civil liable for sexually assaulting a woman and then defaming her and he still doesn't understand how tariffs work and his brain doesn't seem to be working too well if you can't beat him you can't just blame the voters that would be very wrong you have to also blame K Harris and also I think that my my view of a lot of trump voters who wrongly think they he'd be good for them is also true if you had to pick a North star for people what what would you want to see people aiming at like when they go to vote what should be the thing that they're trying to accomplish or when they spend a lifetime creating and adding to a culture what should they be aiming for and I can speak to myself when I think about voting in November I definitely think about what will the country look like that my daughter will live in X number of years from now if Trump gets four years to realign the ship versus if kamla Harris gets four years to realign the ship and so for me the Trump vision is quite scary when it comes to women's bodily autonomy a lack of a respect for institutions and public education and the rule of law and all of those different things that kind of scares me in terms of like projected out not just four years but even Beyond when I see KLA Harris it seems very uncontroversial I I know that that you probably from what we've talked about would would not expect her to deal with debt in the way that I understand you would like to see it dealt with but there's nothing that scares me about it it seems relatively uncontroversial the way that the Biden Administration has been there's a respect for the rule of law there's a respect for institutions countries that are historical allies will be able to more or less trust that if they get into an agreement or treaty with us uh that that uh the Parris Administration would stick with it so so it's sort of like a very general approach of what's the world going to be like for my daughter if a or b is the next president all right uh what would the world look like if Trump or president for your daughter what path that on the areas I mentioned would be of significant concern do we do we have press Freedom or does Trump get to take the licenses of the media Outlets he doesn't like and therefore my daughter doesn't even have the diversity of media that we have today but rather the media that the President says is okay if she were to need Family Planning services or whatever the case may be is there going to be Trump or a guy that looks and sounds like Trump between her and medical professionals that's terrifying what will public education look like if someone like Trump is able to either do away with the Department of Education or replace the the employees with the partisan hacks I mean I think those are the things that scare me and a lot of people when they hear people talk like that about Trump the first question out of their mouth is we had four years with them what makes you think that this is going to be so much worse this time is it just that he doesn't have another term to worry about and he can go Hog Wild I think it's there there's a bunch of different things and to be clear I'm not saying the world will end if Trump is President right I'm to just I'm trying to keep it sober and realistic I think yes he will be uninhibited by having no reelection concern number two I think there's something going on with him cognitively and he has no idea what's going on so I would very much worry about about that and not so much that he would do crazy things but just that the extremists that would be around him giving him ideas would be suggesting really wild and wacky stuff and then number three that he's making a lot of extreme promises that he didn't make last time and I think we have to trust that he's really going to try to do these things when he said okay MSNBC maybe will be kicked off the air and then ABC should have their broadcast license removed because I was fact checked twice during a debate right I think he will probably try to do that I think he probably will try to round up millions of of immigrants in these militarized camps and then Deport them I think he uh uh will oversee further repression of um uh women's bodily autonomy Family Planning contraceptives Etc I I think he's going to try to replace uh bureaucrats with loyalists so so I I just I believe he's going to do the things he says he's going to do who do you think would be better from a foreign policy perspective I think KLA Harris would be better from a foreign policy perspective how do you think she'll handle um Ukraine Russia I think she will handle it by keeping boots on the ground as something the US is not going to do which I agree with and I'm I'm glad that that's been the case so far I think she will continue funding Ukraine uh with military equipment that we are often contractually obligated to replace every X number of years anyway uh because I think it's been a really good deal I mean if you think back two years um you know there were headlines to two weeks until Putin takes keev inevitable Ukraine will fall and for like 1% of the military budget we have been able to fund a resistance to this Invasion by Putin such that there have even been points during which little bits you know the the front was moved into Russian territory uh by Ukrainian troops it's been an insanely good deal financially with no boots on the ground and you you know our old equipment to uh push back against an authoritarian who's trying to illegally take land so that makes a lot of sense to me so for people that are more populist they want an America First agenda um do you think that that's just ill advised and the that America needs to play some sort of um International cop role no I don't think the US has to play an international cop role uh and in fact I think if you think back to the George W bush presidency the neocon approach which I disagreed with was we need to be the international cops we need to be the cops in Afghanistan and we need to be the cops in Iraq no no I don't agree with that at all I am very much an anti-authoritarian I don't like these strong men dictator types whether it's Putin or or Bon or whoever I don't I don't like any of them uh Ukraine is an ally and also represents you know sort of this um Lial space in a sense between the East and and Western Europe and I think that Ukraine is the victim of this illegal Invasion From Russia so given that a lot of this equipment is old anyway and we're going to be getting rid of it it it just seems obvious that we would say here have this stuff and try to push back against this authoritarian so uh if we're not trying to play the role of cop why don't we just let play out what's going to play out between the Ukraine and Russia well not not being not being a global police officer doesn't mean we just ignore when our allies are under attack or that we you know one of the things foreign policy-wise that I really very much disliked about Trump is no sense of responsibility to agreements that we've entered into for example you know when Trump came in and said well we're at did the Iran deal even though Iran didn't actually violate it just because I don't like it and I want to undo something Obama did and we're out of Paris climate and I don't even know that I'd come to the shared defense of NATO allies because I don't think that they're paying enough or whatever the case may be I think that that's really dangerous because it makes the United States completely unreliable as a global negotiating partner why would anyone take any Administration seriously not just Trump why would anyone take any Administration seriously if they know hey you know what depending on even if we sign something depending on who wins and who's President next year he or she might just go ah I don't want to do that I'm I'm canceling it so it's not about we just are Global cops everywhere but Ukraine's an ally there's NATO discussion happening there there's a shared NATO interest and a shared Western Europe interest I I think it's more narrow than that and again I would not support boots on the ground so I think there's also a huge difference between boots on the ground and they get our old equipment and are doing really effective things with it and how would you manage the public perception obviously for a lot of people call it half of the voting public uh they don't want to see us involved in that you've also got things going on in Israel Palestine that's become wildly unpopular uh I if the noise I suppose can be believed um how would you want to see that managed whether by Trump or by Harris well the the public perception has two sides to it there are people who I would argue as a result of populist roric to some degree have been lulled into sort of thinking that some of these authoritarian strong men and dictators really aren't that bad you know we did some interviews at uh Trump rallies where our correspondent would say would you vote for Putin or Biden this is when Biden was still the candidate would you vote for Putin or Biden if those were the options for American president and a bunch of these Trump supporters said to our said to our guy I would vote for Putin so to those people I don't think it's about perception management right they've just I think that for whatever reason either either because they're they're moral compass is upside down or they're confused or as you you said they are dumb um they have ended up in a place where they think that it's better for the United States to say I want Putin over Biden I don't think that that's about perception management I think I for the record I can feel that I need to put this uh addendum here uh I did not say specifically who was dumb I'm just saying some people fall below an IQ level there are dumb voters that's all I'm saying everybody you're just making and by the way my my take is everyone should be allowed to vote I'm G to be very clear I may be in the dumb half that's or not it's not even half I can feel the number of times You' said that David Pacman I thought oh good lord you were making a statistical analysis that when you a bell curve there's people on both sides of the media and that's all you were saying correct there you go thank you um okay so the people that just are enamored with Putin you're not going to be able to really convince them I do think that saying there there's a lot of people who believe that we're sending billions of dollars in cash to Ukraine and then they go why are we sending cash to Ukraine instead of you know housing homeless veterans there's two answers to that one is the money for Ukraine and the money for homeless veterans are allocated through compl completely different processes and there's actually no way to take the money from one to the other secondly a lot of the people that say that don't actually want to spend the money to house the homeless veterans so they they actually are just saying that uh to troll but number three it's mostly old military equipment so it's not even cash I think it's important to tell people that a lot of people don't know that they think we're sending billions in cash it seems counterintuitive though that you couldn't shut off the funding from one place and allocate it somewhere else what do you mean we couldn't do that well no you're right that if our entire House of Representatives worked differently than it does you absolutely could do that but what I'm saying is that these are votes that are coming at the end of long processes where these are different buckets of money they're allocated differently they're voted on differently there There's no practical way when we're saying let's do X for Ukraine to go actually let's do it for the homeless veterans instead they're just different budgetary processes different departments you you have to start that process at the top got it understood that makes sense I wish it were different don't we both uh okay talk to me about immigration so this basket of goods is is a lot of people are feeling some kind of way they feel uh not seen not heard that we're importing a bunch of people into the country but like you said we're not taking care of the veterans whether they mean it or not um that is certainly the sentiment the border is a a pretty hot button issue um how should that be handled and who do you think would be better in this election uh for doing the Border in a way you think is sensible okay so I think your audience will get sick of me saying this I think kamla Harris would do a better job than Donald Trump Trump's plan has been biggest deportations ever militarized deportations put people in camps before they are deported you know this kind of sort of thing however what I will say is that neither party has had a big accomplishment when it comes to the immigration reform that we need I mean President Obama didn't either and there's a lot of different things going on here first of all like as a disclaimer for people in your audience who don't know me however you would define an open border a quote open border I don't support nor am I advocating for an open border nor do I believe that we have one now it is true that people come into the United States legally that happened when Trump was president when Obama was President when Bush was president when Clinton people enter the United States illegally is it always the same number it is not always the same number there's seasonality to it uh it's very much affected by the state of the economy in the country's people are coming from um so you know I I my instinct is I'm quite reasonable on this issue I think there's a couple things that are important to mention a lot of the stories that are told about immigration uh by Trump and Maga are stories that are deliberately lurid and uh sort of salacious in order to trigger those fear centers in the brain that we talked about a couple of hours ago and it's working quite well and I think it's important to be able to say two things at the same time the United States and whatever country have a right to enforce immigration policy to stop people from entering the country illegally to deport people who are here illegally that is absolutely the case it's also really important to understand that without immigrants both documented and undocumented the American economy would significantly suffer entire Industries would be significantly hurt um both documented and undocumented immigrants commit crime at lower rates than us-born citizens and so the story about dangerous migrants and and so on it's not that sometimes migrants or immigrants or legal undocumented immigrants don't commit crimes yes they do every group commits crimes little old ladies sometimes commit crimes right but the the point is that the the focus on this as a disproportionate problem is inaccurate and also um Republicans and to a degree Democrats have not successfully put together a package that includes do some stuff on the border I'm fine with border stuff but also we have to deal with Visa overstays we have to actually go after the companies hiring the undocumented immigrants which is against the law but is very rarely actually prosecuted um we have to probably you know you I think that from some of the things you said you're concerned about population decline there are really good studies that show the US actually needs to be bringing in Far More legal immigrants uh both for Innovation and growth purposes than what's currently coming in some estimates are we should be uh uh inviting in three million rather than 1 million a year um so you know I think that this is a very complicated issue but we've got to do something about those who were brought here as children by their parents uh and give them some kind of permanent status that's I think critically important just because it it's the ethical thing to do um so there's multiple multiple components to this but I don't really think that we're getting an honest discussion about it for a lot of different reasons you said something that surprised me why are undocumented workers critical to our economy there are um a number of this is not to stereotype but it's it's just the data that Agriculture and Food Service are significantly bolstered by undocumented immigrants um who are of course overwhelming ly just people looking to make some money uh to support their their families and there is no real Accounting in these Deport 20 million people phrases from Trump as to what we do about those Industries but why can't we get a system set up such that the same kind of people that are coming through are documented yeah there there's there's no reason that you couldn't but it's not going to happen if you Deport you know know I I say 20 million because Trump says 20 million I don't there's not actually that's not actually the number but the the point is you you would instantly have industry collapse could you fix it eventually of course uh but it that's that's going to take a long time it's sort of like when people say bring all the manufacturing here from China sure yes here's how long it'll take and here's how much more your stuff will cost these things can be done uh but not not quickly and what do you think about assimilation do does a country invite a certain amount of um societal conflict if they are bringing in people so quickly that they recluster around the Home Country uh the home ideals all of that rather than um assimilating into the nation they' just gone to whether here or in Europe obviously we're seeing a lot of weird stuff happen in Europe um which as an outsider sort of glancing at the headlines feels like it's an assimilation problem largely what do you mean by assimilation I guess would be my question so if you come to America we obviously are not um any one ethnic group we are a bunch of people that are completely mixed and if you come here by my estimation and you believe in uh freedom of speech you believe in Freedom of opportunity and you want to celebrate people that are striving for excellence all the things that I would consider core American values then I think you would be embraced and that nobody would care what you look like because we share values so I have a base assumption that where people Collide and where trouble arises is not about the surface level thing the surface level thing just happens to be a proxy in most places other than other than the US for value system do we share values I think people very quickly attach to people that share their values regardless of what the surface presentation is so but if people come regardless of what they look like and they don't share those values now you're going to see people Collide I guess I'm wondering what some examples of not sharing values what is what does it look like at the kind of day-to-day interpersonal level uh so one would be uh if you've got people that are coming in and saying um I believe that London should be run with Sharia law okay you actually have people saying that out on the streets that's a collision of values that is very much not what the average person who grew up in England is going to be thinking about but nonetheless there are people who feel who who are there now and they do want to see that happen so they haven't necessarily assimilated into British culture become a part of that they have brought what they think is better from their culture to this new place and saying hey this is better and I would love to see it here and so it's inevitable I think that given how much people fear change and that they just have an affinity towards what they know and what they love just as the other people have an affinity for what they know and what they love and those things are now colliding and so you're going to have a coll Collision of visions of where we go from here and I think about that a lot there was a speech that the woman in um Sweden gave I think it was Sweden where she said basically Sweden has values and anybody that doesn't want to um join in these values has no place here that that is a terrible paraphrase hopefully you know it better than I but that was the rough direction of what she was saying okay yeah I think I get a sense for what you're saying I mean listen the so there's two there's two answers to this I don't want to skip over the fact that a lot of times they don't share our values is disproportionately applied to people who aren't white or aren't Christian so I want to acknowledge that I want to go beyond that that's not a super interesting conversation to me there's racism and xenophobia anywhere and I think in white majority countries it's usually code for I'm envisioning a non-white person I talk about this I'm putting that on the record because I think it's the case but I want to move Beyond it because I think there's more interesting stuff to talk about here I'm from Argentina so I'm Hispanic and I'm Jewish I have Affinity groups I'm a member of in the US that are Jewish based and I have Affinity groups in the United States that I'm associated with that are groups of argentinians yesterday I was at the White House in DC for Hispanic Heritage Month uh and so that's not just argentinians but it's you know everybody from from the Spanish-speaking world and so these are all groups that I heavily identify with but I think the shared values you're talking about with which I've been able to succeed in the US include I did learn the language when I moved to the United States and I believe in democracy I believe in religion being separate from government interestingly there's a lot of American born evangelicals some of whom are in currently in government who actually want religion to play a bigger role in in civil government I actually think that that's unconstitutional I don't want that it's not a question of assimilation with them I think it's just radical belief so you don't have to come from another country to have such a belief and maybe we'll talk about that but to the degree that we're not using these terms as proxies for racism or xenophobia I do think that it's not so much about uh the the surface level but it is about values I also think that we project sometimes false beliefs about people's values based on the way they look the way they dress or the way they talk do you think uh all of that I agree with every word of that my only concern is that just like my father-in-law was very worried that coming from such a different background as than his daughter that we wouldn't be able to navigate the difficulties of marriage because in his mind we didn't share he wouldn't have said values but you don't share enough in common and what my wife and I found was despite having these wildly different backgrounds we actually did share values so we had these same very um a a group of very meaningful ways of believing how the world ought to be that we shared and that made us getting along very easy what were the background differences so she is um Greek cypriate from London uh fleu Greek the whole nine her parents had to or I should say uh when Greece sorry when Cyprus was invaded by the Turks a bunch of people fled uh and they her both of her parents left around that time they weren't directly impacted her mother-in-law was like literally had to evacuate her house thought she was going to be a refugee for a weekend ended up being a refugee for the rest of her life uh and had to leave everything behind ended up coming to England anyway so um very fascinating Mass migration out of Cyprus into England so there's a huge Greek population so not only am I not Greek which for him with the thick accent and you know moves in his I think late 20s um for him it was very jarring that I was an American that wasn't religious and he had raised his daughter to be Greek Orthodox and obviously in a Greek family and speaking Greek and so he starts thinking oh man these guys aren't gonna make it and look I I guess I don't blame him he started thinking that my grandchildren which unfortunately he never got any but my grandchildren aren't going to be Greek fully will they even speak Greek and so um he had a lot of anxiety not my father-in-law is the most lovely human being ever and welcomed me with open arms but he was very tense about that and that was one of the reasons why he actually said that I did not have his Blessing to Mar's daughter while still being lovely to me it's very important that I say that but anyway that was my first like thing of like oh whoa like values really matter thankfully we shared values despite all the surface differences which is another reason for me that is the issue but I'm not surprised when I see groups that don't share values clashing yeah I think I think some of the most predictive factors to whether one will succeed and the funny thing is this doesn't just apply to immigrants this is also just like you know to people in Ohio I think it applies to to to Americans as well is sort of like do you respect the rule of law and social norms um are you adaptable to a culture that may be different or may change over time right because sometimes it's not oh I was born into one culture and I immigrated into another one but sometimes it's like this conservative resistance to the fact that culture can change over time I think that's similar and that that kind of applies to people who were born in the United States I think for countries where immigration is a thing and it's a Melting Pot tolerating and respecting diversity it's probably a factor right and this applies again if you were born in Nashville or if you came here from Dubai either way that tolerance for diversity is probably a factor that will that will be sort of predictive of success to some reason um and you know this starts to get polit more overtly political in a way but in the United States we at least have the idea of racial and gender equality and so if someone doesn't believe in that whether you're born here or because you came from a country where that's not the case that that seems like a clash that could be problematic so I think these are mostly values things the way you're pointing out yeah that's my entire point but do you think that there is like if you were designing immigration policy is rate of acquisition of immigrants a factor it seems important to me that there's some sensible amount that you can take in in a year and that you need to Define that and then stick to it I I tend to agree with that and where you might have variances or kind of more flexible numbers would be if we decide that we are going to be a country that wants to be a safe haven for Asylum Seekers we would also say we can't predict every Global Calamity that might generate refugees so you might say that that may not be as closely defined or we might have a more flexible upper limit but here's like the standard we would apply for a adjudicating Asylum claims I think that's less predictable where it's more predictable is where a lot of the new population science is going on the population decline stuff which is in order to remain competitive and maintain economic growth which maybe we want to do maybe we don't maybe at some point like you said the growth has to stop but if we want to continue the growth we probably do want to be bringing more uh people from certain fields and with certain um uh uh areas of expertise in order to remain competitive and those numbers probably should be higher than where they are right now if you're concerned about population decline you're the only person I've ever heard say that he has something going on cognitively what is it that makes you think that bunch of different things none of these opinions mine these are all mental health and neurology and Alzheimer's dementia professionals who I've interviewed and who have written extensively about this so I I would not just come up with this you know without having interviewed a bunch of different people there actually so much and in fact I think it's been a disservice to the American people that corporate media is only now kind of starting to tell this story uh if you look at Trump's um verbal patterns over the last 4 8 12 16 20 years there is a incredible reduction in his vocabulary the number of different words that he uses uh and repetition and a bunch of other signs that are typically concerning number two two he regularly gets basic facts about the world around him completely wrong he's talked about how Barack Obama is President many times he's talked about how he defeated Barack Obama when he ran for president he's talked about how Nikki Haley was in charge of Capital Security on January 6th when it was actually Nancy Pelosi he uh does everything from not noticing that either Rudy Giuliani is in front of him or Melania is next to him when Melania used to be next to him she she's missing of course she's no longer with Trump at anything public but when she used to go he would look around for her wouldn't see her he has these uh cognitive kind of lapses during rallies where he seems almost like he freezes and there are dozens of these people can look at the videos on my YouTube channel uh which have been identified Again by mental health professionals as uh sometimes paraphasia pheic paraphasia so on and so forth he will often get wrong uh the city that he's in he will uh it's it's we could do three hours just on Trump's cognitive gaffs now I don't want to pretend that I'm saying he has absolutely no idea where he is or or anything like that but he's close to 80 he's very overweight his speech patterns are a concern I mean to me he doesn't even seem fit for the job and what's your take on Biden is he is Trump as bad as Biden what's going on with Biden seems different Biden is definitely experiencing age related decline there's no doubt about it and this is not partisan for me people can go to my YouTube channel and see my commentary on Biden's debate performance I made it clear I don't think Biden's up to it I made it clear I don't think Biden can win and it seems inevitable that he's going to have to be replaced uh yeah B Biden is also experiencing age related decline I think the difference is Biden notices when he's made a mistake and Trump tends not to he will steamroll right through the wrong City that he's in Biden might get us into World War II it's like wait a second World War II already happened I defeated Obama no no what are you talking about you ran against Hillary I don't even know what you're talk and he doesn't even recognize that the thing he's saying don't make sense Biden definitely is having uh a Slowdown he does seem to recognize when he makes these mistakes um so yeah I mean listen I Biden is absolutely also uh experiencing age related symptoms for sure and I think it was 100% the right thing for him to say I'm not going to run for reelection now are you less tense about Biden and what's happening to him cognitively than you are Trump setting aside Trump like I know there's a whole host of reasons that you don't want Trump but just from cognition to cognition are you more worried about Biden's abilities or Trump's I'm less worried about about Biden only because his presidency is almost over his ego is not so out of control that he's insisting that he can and will do this uh contrary to what's going on to Donald Trump and also nothing concerning has happened for the three plus years that he's been president with regard to you know as presidents have extraordinarily large teams that are doing most of the actual drafting of policy and so on and so forth and I know we don't necessarily agree about the state of the economy but I think the economy has basically been fine our relationships with allies have basically been fine the withdrawal from Afghanistan which I agreed with whether it was Trump or Biden doing it was chaotic but it was the right thing to do in other words there's no like oh my goodness here's what went completely Haywire because of Biden's age related Decline and we've just got a couple months left where I'm like listen we're we're almost Beyond this now given the state that Biden's in do you think that he should hand the torch off to Harris immediately not from every mental health and neurology professional I've spoken to they've all indicated there there's really no you know he gets he gets tired earlier than younger people for example loses his train of thought sometimes Etc but that doesn't signify uh anything that would approach like the 25th amendment that can be used if you believe the president is unfit in fact I just saw Biden in person the other day he looked very old he was getting around really gingerly but he gave a speech and then spoke to people for a while and it was like okay yeah I mean you're you're probably too old to do another four years but it there was nothing like you need to resign right now um what do you think it says about our current political system that we have two candidates running for president that uh did not go through any sort of primary process and the guy that's currently in office is uh moving around very gingerly I think you're being overly generous in your assessment of Biden just to plant my own flag but uh what do you think it says about our system that again you've got one person that is debatable in terms of his ability to even get around and then You' got the other two never did a primary very funny uh so let's take each piece by piece so in general like old can Cates we do have sort of a gerontocracy here in the United States it's interesting because pop culture is very much oriented towards young people and against older people I mean product Services most commercials it's it's all like we're clearly targeting everything to let's get young people using it and then everybody else will just kind of sort of follow so in one sense we have a society that's kind of biased against older folks but at the same time you look at the average age in the US Senate and it's dramatically High higher than the median age you've got sen I don't know if you have anyone in their 90s right now but certainly close grassley's got to be close if he's not in his 90s Patrick Ley Etc so I think that there is this um sort of gerent cracy as as the term may be with regard to elected officials part of it can be just sort of like path dependent we're on this path it's easier to get reelected than it is elected and so people tend to be able to kind of stay in power at least in the in This House and Senate uh and we ended up with um with presidential candidates along the same lines the no primary thing there was a Republican primary it's just that the Republican party has been completely subjugated by Maga at this point so it was like no one really had a shot other than Trump but they did do a primary uh on the Biden side there's never a primary when the incumbent is running for reelection the one thing I would say is KLA Harris did two things that I do think matter in this entire thing number one it was even though it was only nominally a primary like I say you know in 2020 with trump it was the same thing there was nominally a primary but there wasn't really a primary Harris was on the ticket that won that nominal primary it was Biden Harris it wasn't like let's bring in some state senator from Oklahoma uh who wasn't even on the ticket it was Biden Harris that those who voted in the nominal primary voted for so at least she was there but she did go and seek the support of the Democratic delegates um and you could say well what were they going to say no maybe I don't know but but she did do that and so my message to people who are like I don't like how she ended up being the candidate I would say well then don't vote for her most people aren't having a problem with that when Jordan Peterson I have no idea how you feel about him but uh I've been very interested by him for a long time uh when he stopped being the internet's dad and he started being religious I was super surprised about it at first I had no idea what that represented what it was about um and then the more closely I looked at it I actually started thinking whoa I think this actually is a continuation of that same thing so first it's you know the really basic stuff pick up your room like be prepared to carry your weight and then it's getting into this more advanced sense of um understand that religion is the ultimate meme medium by which I are carried to people and so there's all this wisdom in the Bible and then at first it seemed like he didn't really believe it was literally true but thought it was useful and then it seems to have gone to no I think this is actually literally true and then I look at Candice Owens and the wave that she's riding around just really focusing on religion and all of this paints a picture for me of uh a now move and I don't know if it's going to be everybody or if it's just the right but uh a move towards religion in a way that is going to make it one of the the defining cultural um topics of the next call it three years do you see a similar move happening and if so what do you make of it well it's less about whether I see it but it's more about what the data show and the Pew religion survey religiosity survey which is kind of the gold standard on this shows people in the US continuing to move away from religion so trying to take my opinion out of it the data don't show that I do think that I mean you know the other day Tucker Carlson did an event where Russell Brand was literally on his knees praying on stage with Tucker he was recently baptized and he found religion and all of this stuff so I think that it's becoming kind of uh Vogue in a certain right-wing space right now to find your religion once again it's not super interesting to me personally but I don't see it more more people than ever identify as not religious in the United States so I I don't see that uh the trend you're kind of signaling is is based in fact interesting so um I will Repose what I'm seeing and see if this lands so I don't have a sense of the um the total scale so you have been very um careful to get people to delineate the people that we know support Trump are 50% of the voting public um so cool it might be it is a a subset that happens to be making this switch but this subset is utterly fascinating to me the fact that it's happening the fact that this is becoming like uh I mean Candace is last check she was either two or three on the most popular podcasts this is obviously a Core theme for her it's one of the organizing principles and so I look at that and say there's something about this is gaining a lot of energy now I have a hypothesis about what it is I think this is really one of the big problems that people are suffering from right now is a lack of meaning and purpose and I think meaning and purpose drives a lot and in all of these um in the uptick and suicides the number one word that you find is people saying I feel useless and so you you have this generation that is really feeling unored they're they don't have anything to attach to and religion is providing them with that Anchor Point um not just morally but just it it is an anchor point it gives them something to identify with to hold on to that um is is giving them something clearly positive and so to me it's what it's highlighting is that lack of meaning and purpose and that there is this readymade thing that has lasted for God knows how many thousands of years um that has been able to transmit these ideas very rapidly so let's see um Candace's podcast is the eighth most listened to right-wing podcast to be to be precise that's Edison research which is usually I think the the kind of go-to Source on this I think that there's a couple different things going on I do think it's true that there are people who for the first time are finding meaning in religion there are more people leaving religion than finding it so but but you're absolutely right that there are people finding meaning in religion for some of these people I think it's a grift uh I'll give you an example I don't believe for a second that Donald Trump is religious he hasn't been to church for three years he last went to church three years ago um for some there was some political reason that he went and yet he claims that his faith is important and all these different things he's very obviously not religious he came up with I'm religious because he was going to be the Republican nominee he needed to win over Evangelical so like that's an example of someone who is who went to religion it's a complete and total grift I don't believe it for a second there are some who unfortunately I think are struggling with mental illness and sometimes you find a cult sometimes you find a drug sometimes you find religion and sometimes you find a diet right I mean sometimes people decide I either need to be eating only nuts or eating only pmms or eating only fried eggs or and it's a substitute for there's a Calamity in your life and you've identified the thing that is kind of going to fix it for you for some people that's religion and then some people I presume genuinely it's just giving them meaning and and purpose and that I think that that's fine my view on this has kind of always been I understand and really respect the evolutionary purpose that religion served especially in in the past uh Robin Dunbar has written about this in a way that I think is really interesting to to read about and so have others um I think it's less necessary right now as we learn more about how the world Works empirically and I basically have no problem like you know some there's some people on the left who will say to me David how how are you so tolerant of religion when it's like how are we going to agree about global warming if you think that there was a boat built that had two of every species it's like yeah listen it's it is completely incompatible but to the extent that people just have like they have their private religious beliefs and with regard to What government policy should be we're just talking about empiricism science and what can be demonstrated I don't really care what they believe you know in the same way that like yeah Flat Earth maybe connects to some other wacky stuff it's not necessarily isolated if someone just has an isolated Flat Earth belief if we can work together on some other issue where we do agree on what the facts are I'm not going to reject them I want as many people in the Coalition kind of as possible so I try to take the view that to the extent that people are keeping their religion private not trying to impose it or use it to determine government policy it's been around for a long time and it'll probably continue to be although at a diminishing rate it seems and fine kind of believe what you want under those circumstances and do you think that as religion continues to dissipate that more and more people will feel a lack of meaning and purpose or do you think that there'll be a ready-made way other than religion for them to get that well I don't know that it's readymade but I I don't attribute the lack of meaning and purpose to lack of religiosity necessarily there's so much going on in society including that we've reduced abject poverty so much especially in you know globally there's still a lot of abject poverty in the United States there there's arguably less than ever a standard of living goes up as people not everybody we still have poverty but as as more people have the flexibility to figure out what do I want to do sometimes there's like this Paradox of choice and and the more options you have the more difficult it can actually be to figure out what is Meaningful uh I think it's more about that I think it's about keeping up with the Joneses as facilitated by social media I think there's a lot of explanations for lack of meaning and purpose but I I don't think the the decline in religion is the explanation at least I've not seen a good argument for that David Pacman this has been uh very enjoyable we may not agree on everything but you are very articulate uh you certainly seem reasonable except for your assessment of Biden uh tell me where people can follow you uh I'm on all the different social media platforms uh so you could just search my name YouTube is probably my biggest platform right now but I've got an audio podcast if you prefer that format or Tik Tok or whatever the case may be and then I also have a Bookout coming out in a few months called the echo machine where I write about a lot of the things you and I have talked about it's available for pre-order so for people who prefer to read There is that option as well thanks for joining me today for this deep dive with David Pacman this is just the beginning of our special election series and I hope you guys will join us for all of the thought-provoking conversations that we have coming up every day if you're finding any value make sure that you hit that follow button so you don't miss any of it appreciate you guys listening as always stay curious my friends and I will see you on the next one until then be legendary if you like this conversation check out this episode to learn more the financial cliff that we're rapidly driving off uh is is pretty terrifying um there you know it's not just the $35 trillion in debt or the fact that um that interest on the debt is now overtaking the budget